United States - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate was 2.44% in July of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate reached a record high of 3.02 in April of 2022 and a record low of 0.04 in November of 2008. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

View market daily updates and historical trends for 10 Year TIPS/Treasury Breakeven Rate. from United States. Source: Federal Reserve. Track economic data…

Graph and download economic data for 20-year Breakeven Inflation Rate (T20YIEM) from Jul 2004 to Aug 2025 about 20-year, participation, inflation, rate, and USA.

About the Dataset

The breakeven inflation rate represents a measure of expected inflation derived from 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Securities (BC_10YEAR) and 10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Securities (TC_10YEAR). The latest value implies what market participants expect inflation to be in the next 10 years, on average. Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department.

Graph and download economic data for 30-year Breakeven Inflation Rate (T30YIEM) from Feb 2010 to Aug 2025 about 30-year, participation, inflation, rate, and USA.

View market daily updates and historical trends for 5 Year TIPS/Treasury Breakeven Rate. from United States. Source: Federal Reserve. Track economic data …

View daily updates and historical trends for 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate. from United States. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Track econom…

United States - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate was 2.38% in July of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate reached a record high of 2.88 in April of 2022 and a record low of 0.25 in December of 2008. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.

10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate - Historical chart and current data through 2025.

Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data was reported at 2.160 % in Mar 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.320 % for Dec 2024. Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.620 % from Dec 1985 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 157 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.370 % in Mar 1989 and a record low of 0.660 % in Mar 2020. Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.I067: Breakeven Inflation Rate. The Breakeven 10 Year Inflation Rate is measured by the Reserve Bank of Australia using Commonwealth government securities. For data since 1996, the RBA uses interpolation and projection of the yield curve to estimate both nominal and inflation-indexed bond yields with an exact 10-year maturity. Prior to 1996, these adjustments are not made and the nominal and inflation-indexed bond yields used to derive the series may not reflect ideal 10-year maturities. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

United States - 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate was 2.41% in August of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate reached a record high of 3.59 in March of 2022 and a record low of -2.24 in November of 2008. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on August of 2025.

View the average 10-year expectation for the inflation rate among market participants, based upon Treasury securities.

United States Breakeven Inflation: 10-Year data was reported at 2.340 % in 15 May 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.370 % for 14 May 2025. United States Breakeven Inflation: 10-Year data is updated daily, averaging 2.130 % from Jan 2003 (Median) to 15 May 2025, with 5597 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.020 % in 21 Apr 2022 and a record low of 0.500 % in 19 Mar 2020. United States Breakeven Inflation: 10-Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I: Breakeven Inflation Rate. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Ten-Year TIPS Yields versus Real Yields is a part of the Inflation Expectations indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

Data was cleaned and prepared for a data visualization comparing the Federal Funds Rate to the 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate. The purpose of this project was to visualize a perspective of the Federal Reserve. With the Federal Reserve raising rates to control inflation, many are debating when will the Federal Reserve pause raising rates or cut rates. The 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate is still well above the Federal Reserve's FAIT (Flexible Average Inflation Targeting) of 2% for that reason the Federal Reserve still has room to play with the Funds Rate.

Breakeven Inflation: 10 Year Bonds data was reported at 4.450 % in Jan 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 4.670 % for Dec 2024. Breakeven Inflation: 10 Year Bonds data is updated monthly, averaging 3.880 % from Jan 2010 (Median) to Jan 2025, with 181 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.930 % in Oct 2022 and a record low of 2.730 % in Jan 2015. Breakeven Inflation: 10 Year Bonds data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Mexico. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Mexico – Table MX.I051: Breakeven Inflation Rate.

Ten-Year Expected Inflation and Real and Inflation Risk Premia is a part of the Inflation Expectations indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

United States Retail Sales Nowcast: sa: YoY: Contribution: Breakeven Inflation Rate: Breakeven Inflation: 10-Year data was reported at 0.175 % in 12 May 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 0.175 % for 05 May 2025. United States Retail Sales Nowcast: sa: YoY: Contribution: Breakeven Inflation Rate: Breakeven Inflation: 10-Year data is updated weekly, averaging 0.000 % from Feb 2020 (Median) to 12 May 2025, with 274 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.704 % in 11 Mar 2024 and a record low of 0.000 % in 28 Apr 2025. United States Retail Sales Nowcast: sa: YoY: Contribution: Breakeven Inflation Rate: Breakeven Inflation: 10-Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.CEIC.NC: CEIC Nowcast: Retail Sales.

Expected Inflation Term Structure is a part of the Inflation Expectations indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

United States Unemployment Rate Nowcast: sa: Contribution: Breakeven Inflation Rate: Breakeven Inflation: 10-Year data was reported at 14.261 % in 12 May 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 12.872 % for 05 May 2025. United States Unemployment Rate Nowcast: sa: Contribution: Breakeven Inflation Rate: Breakeven Inflation: 10-Year data is updated weekly, averaging 0.073 % from Jan 2020 (Median) to 12 May 2025, with 279 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 17.258 % in 13 Jan 2025 and a record low of 0.000 % in 24 Mar 2025. United States Unemployment Rate Nowcast: sa: Contribution: Breakeven Inflation Rate: Breakeven Inflation: 10-Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.CEIC.NC: CEIC Nowcast: Unemployment Rate.