The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was 4.39 percent, forecasted to decrease to reach 3.27 percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

Germany Interest Rates: Mortgage & Public Bond: Residual Mat: 10 Years data was reported at 2.960 % pa in Feb 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.070 % pa for Jan 2025. Germany Interest Rates: Mortgage & Public Bond: Residual Mat: 10 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 3.260 % pa from Jan 2000 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 302 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.100 % pa in Jan 2000 and a record low of -0.170 % pa in Aug 2019. Germany Interest Rates: Mortgage & Public Bond: Residual Mat: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Deutsche Bundesbank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Germany – Table DE.M016: Mortgage & Public Bonds: Rate.

Graph and download economic data for Assets: Securities Held Outright: Mortgage-Backed Securities: Maturing in over 10 Years: Wednesday Level (MBS10Y) from 2002-12-18 to 2025-03-19 about 10 years +, mortgage-backed, maturity, securities, and USA.

Germany Mortgage Bonds Yield: Residual Maturity: >7 Years: 9 to 10 Years data was reported at 2.890 % pa in Feb 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.010 % pa for Jan 2025. Germany Mortgage Bonds Yield: Residual Maturity: >7 Years: 9 to 10 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 4.100 % pa from Feb 1990 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 421 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.100 % pa in Nov 1990 and a record low of -0.260 % pa in Dec 2020. Germany Mortgage Bonds Yield: Residual Maturity: >7 Years: 9 to 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Deutsche Bundesbank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Germany – Table DE.M011: Mortgage Bonds Yield.

As of October 16, 2024, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.04 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.96 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in 2022 and 2023. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

Ten-year government bonds in the Netherlands had a yield of 2.8 percent in 2023, compared to 1.47 percent in 2022. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

Germany Zero Coupon Bond Yield: Mort & Public: Residual Mat: 10 Years data was reported at 2.960 % pa in Feb 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.070 % pa for Jan 2025. Germany Zero Coupon Bond Yield: Mort & Public: Residual Mat: 10 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 3.260 % pa from Jan 2000 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 302 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.100 % pa in Jan 2000 and a record low of -0.170 % pa in Aug 2019. Germany Zero Coupon Bond Yield: Mort & Public: Residual Mat: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Deutsche Bundesbank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Germany – Table DE.M018: Mortgage & Public Bonds: Zero Coupon Bond Yield.

Historical dataset of the daily 10 year treasury yield back to 1962. The 10 year treasury is the benchmark used to decide mortgage rates across the U.S. and is the most liquid and widely traded bond in the world.

This statistic shows the yield on ten-year government bonds in the Netherlands from 2011 to 2023 with a forecast for 2024 and 2025. In 2023, the long-term interest rate was at 2.8 percent. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

Due to financial unrest caused by the coronavirus outbreak in March 2020, the yield of ten-year governments in the Netherlands dropped significantly. During the last quarter 2021, the yield on 10-year government bonds was on average -0.26 percent. The beginning of 2022 saw the start of a positive yield with the rate resting at an average of 2.79 percent as of the second quarter of 2024. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

The yield of ten-year government bonds in Belgium have started declining from April 2020 due to the financial unrest caused by the coronavirus outbreak in early March 2020, spending much of 2020 in negative territory. By July 2021, Belgian bond yields had dropped back to a negative value of -0.13 percent, before just creeping into positive territory again in September 2021 with a yield of 0.01 percent. From the beginning of 2022, ten-year yield of Belgian government bonds started to increase and reached 3.06 percent as of June 2023.

A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

Netherlands 10Y Bond Yield was 3 percent on Wednesday March 26, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Netherlands 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

Ten-year government bonds in Belgium had a yield of 3.1 percent in 2023, compared to 1.74 percent in 2022. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

Key information about Uruguay Long Term Interest Rate

• Uruguay Long Term Interest Rate: Month End: Uruguay: Sovereign Debt Bond CUD Yield: 10 Years was reported at 2.74 % pa in Jul 2021, compared with 2.76 % pa in the previous month.
• Uruguay Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Oct 2003 to Jul 2021.
• The data reached an all-time high of 13.03 % pa in Oct 2008 and a record low of 2.20 % pa in Dec 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Electronic Stock Exchange of Uruguay.

• In the latest reports, Uruguay Short Term Interest Rates: Month End: Central Bank Bills: Peso: 3 Month was reported at 11.04 % pa in Jun 2023.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Monetary Policy Rate) was set at 11.25 % pa in Jun 2023.
• Uruguay Exchange Rate against USD averaged 38.20 (USD/UYU) in Jun 2023.

In November 2022, the long-term interest rate of the Netherlands reached a value of approximately 2.35, compared to 2.7 percent in Luxembourg. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

Graph and download economic data for 15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE15US) from 1991-08-30 to 2025-03-20 about 15-year, fixed, mortgage, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

This table contains 71 series, with data starting from 1934 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 items: Canada ...), Rates (71 items: Bank rate; last Tuesday or last Thursday; Bank rate; Chartered bank administered interest rates - prime business; Chartered bank - consumer loan rate ...).

Guarantees of Mortgage-backed Securities Financing Account account, Iteration 1, Fiscal year 2022

As of December 2024, all United Kingdom government debt securities were returning positive yields, regardless of maturity. This places the yield of both UK short term bonds and long term bonds above that of major countries like Germany, France and Japan, but lower than the United States. What are government bonds? Government bonds are debt instruments where a certain amount of money is given to the issuer, in exchange for regular payments of interest over a fixed period. At the end of this period the issuer then returns the amount in full. Bonds differ from a regular loan through how they can be traded on financial markets once issued. This ability to trade bonds makes it more complex to measure the return investors receive from bonds, as the price they buy a bond for on the market may differ from the price the same bond was initially issued at. The yield is therefore calculated as what investors can expect to receive based on current market prices paid for the bond, not the value it was issued at. In total, UK government debt amounted to over 2.4 trillion British pounds in 2023 – with the majority being comprised of different types of UK government bonds. Why are inverted yield curves important? UK government bond yields over recent years have taken on a typical shape, with short term bonds having a lower yield than bonds with a maturity of 10 to 20 years. The higher yield of longer-term bonds compensates investors for the higher level of uncertainty in the future. However, if investors are sufficiently worried about both a short term economic decline, and low long term growth, they may prefer to purchase short term bonds in order to secure assets with regular interest payments in the here and now (as opposed to shares, which can lose a lot of value in a short time). This can lead to an inverted yield curve, where shorter term debt has a higher yield. Inverted yield curves are generally seen as a reliable indicator of a recession, with inverted yields occurring before most recent U.S. recessions. The major exception to this is the recession from the coronavirus pandemic – but even then, U.S. yield curves came perilously close to being inverted in mid-2019.