In June 2025, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by February 2026. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.22% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.15 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.06 points, though it remains 0.43 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years: Annual data was reported at 3.742 % in 2028. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.715 % for 2027. United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years: Annual data is updated yearly, averaging 3.676 % from Dec 2013 (Median) to 2028, with 16 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.954 % in 2021 and a record low of 1.841 % in 2016. United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years: Annual data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Congressional Budget Office. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M009: Treasury Securities Yields: Projection: Congressional Budget Office.

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to increase by *** percentage points by 2027, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by *** percentage points. From *** percent in 2024, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach *** percent in 2027.

The yield on Japan 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.55% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.12 points and is 0.59 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Japan 10 Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

The yield on Germany 10Y Bond Yield eased to 2.67% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.03 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.05 points and is 0.51 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Germany 10-Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

This statistic shows the yield on ten-year government bonds in the Netherlands from 2011 to 2023 with a forecast for 2024 and 2025. In 2023, the long-term interest rate was at *** percent. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

United States CBO Projection: Treasury Bills Yield: 10 Years: Annual data was reported at 2.813 % in 2028. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.788 % for 2027. United States CBO Projection: Treasury Bills Yield: 10 Years: Annual data is updated yearly, averaging 2.742 % from Dec 2013 (Median) to 2028, with 16 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.239 % in 2021 and a record low of 0.040 % in 2014. United States CBO Projection: Treasury Bills Yield: 10 Years: Annual data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Congressional Budget Office. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M009: Treasury Securities Yields: Projection: Congressional Budget Office.

The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.71% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.03 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.07 points, though it remains 0.41 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

Mexico BDM Forecast: Fixed Rate Bond Yield: 10 Years: Median: Plus 1 Year data was reported at 8.150 % pa in Mar 2019. This records a decrease from the previous number of 8.450 % pa for Feb 2019. Mexico BDM Forecast: Fixed Rate Bond Yield: 10 Years: Median: Plus 1 Year data is updated monthly, averaging 6.970 % pa from Jul 2013 (Median) to Mar 2019, with 69 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.200 % pa in Dec 2018 and a record low of 6.000 % pa in Oct 2013. Mexico BDM Forecast: Fixed Rate Bond Yield: 10 Years: Median: Plus 1 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Mexico. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Mexico – Table MX.M004: Securities Yield: Forecast.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States (IRLTLT01USM156N) from Apr 1953 to Jun 2025 about long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Real Interest Rate (REAINTRATREARAT10Y) from Jan 1982 to Jul 2025 about 10-year, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

SECO Forecast: Swiss Confederation Bonds Yield: 10 Years data was reported at 0.100 % in 2020. This stayed constant from the previous number of 0.100 % for 2019. SECO Forecast: Swiss Confederation Bonds Yield: 10 Years data is updated yearly, averaging 0.100 % from Dec 2012 (Median) to 2020, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.900 % in 2013 and a record low of -0.400 % in 2016. SECO Forecast: Swiss Confederation Bonds Yield: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by State Secretariat for Economic Affairs. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Switzerland – Table CH.M008: Government Bonds Yield: 10 Years: Forecast: State Secretariat for Economic Affairs.

United States FRBOP Forecast: Annual 10 Year Bond Yield: Median: Next 10 Yrs data was reported at 3.700 % in 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.860 % for 2017. United States FRBOP Forecast: Annual 10 Year Bond Yield: Median: Next 10 Yrs data is updated yearly, averaging 5.000 % from Dec 1992 (Median) to 2018, with 27 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.500 % in 1992 and a record low of 3.386 % in 2016. United States FRBOP Forecast: Annual 10 Year Bond Yield: Median: Next 10 Yrs data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.M006: Treasury Bills Rates: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

As of 2023, Vanguard's U.S. high-yield corporate bonds were forecast to provide the highest 10-year annualized return spread with a minimum forecast return of *** percent. Emerging markets sovereign bonds came in second place with possible returns forecast to range from a possible *** to *** percent. These two securities were also forecast to have the highest medium volatility over a 10-year investment period.

The yield on South Korea 10Y Bond Yield rose to 2.84% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.05 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0 points, though it remains 0.15 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. South Korea 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

MFCR Forecast: Treasury Bond Yield: 10 Years data was reported at 4.000 % pa in Dec 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 4.100 % pa for Sep 2025. MFCR Forecast: Treasury Bond Yield: 10 Years data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.265 % pa from Mar 2017 (Median) to Dec 2025, with 36 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.580 % pa in Mar 2023 and a record low of 0.770 % pa in Jun 2017. MFCR Forecast: Treasury Bond Yield: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Ministry of Finance of the Czech Republic. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Czech Republic – Table CZ.M009: Treasury Bond Yield: Forecast: Ministry of Finance of the Czech Republic.

We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for Canada (IRLTLT01CAM156N) from Jan 1955 to Jun 2025 about long-term, Canada, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, and rate.

The yield on Canada 10Y Bond Yield eased to 3.39% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.08 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.03 points and is 0.39 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.