The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 4.41% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.06 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.04 points and is 0.23 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

The yield on US 2 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 3.91% on July 14, 2025, marking a 0 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.08 points and is 0.56 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years data was reported at 3.753 % in Dec 2028. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.745 % for Sep 2028. United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years data is updated quarterly, averaging 3.677 % from Mar 2013 (Median) to Dec 2028, with 64 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.958 % in Sep 2021 and a record low of 1.563 % in Sep 2016. United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Congressional Budget Office. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M009: Treasury Securities Yields: Projection: Congressional Budget Office.

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to increase by *** percentage points by 2027, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by *** percentage points. From *** percent in 2024, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach *** percent in 2027.

The yield on US 3 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 3.89% on July 14, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.05 points and is 0.36 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 3 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The yield on Japan 2 Year Bond Yield rose to 0.77% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.01 points and is 0.44 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Japan 2 Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Economic Expectations Evolution: 5 Years Chilean Peso Treasury Bonds Rate: (BCP 5): Next 2 Months data was reported at 5.700 % pa in Feb 2023. This records a decrease from the previous number of 5.800 % pa for Jan 2023. Economic Expectations Evolution: 5 Years Chilean Peso Treasury Bonds Rate: (BCP 5): Next 2 Months data is updated monthly, averaging 4.800 % pa from Jan 2007 (Median) to Feb 2023, with 194 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.000 % pa in Sep 2008 and a record low of 1.500 % pa in Oct 2020. Economic Expectations Evolution: 5 Years Chilean Peso Treasury Bonds Rate: (BCP 5): Next 2 Months data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Central Bank of Chile. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Chile – Table CL.M007: Bond Yield: Forecast.

This dataset provides values for 2 YEAR NOTE YIELD reported in several countries. The data includes current values, previous releases, historical highs and record lows, release frequency, reported unit and currency.

Chile Economic Expectations Evolution: 5 Years Unit of Account Treasury Bonds Rate (BCU 5): Next 2 Months data was reported at 2.100 % pa in Feb 2023. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.000 % pa for Jan 2023. Chile Economic Expectations Evolution: 5 Years Unit of Account Treasury Bonds Rate (BCU 5): Next 2 Months data is updated monthly, averaging 1.900 % pa from Jan 2007 (Median) to Feb 2023, with 194 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.200 % pa in Dec 2008 and a record low of -1.300 % pa in Mar 2021. Chile Economic Expectations Evolution: 5 Years Unit of Account Treasury Bonds Rate (BCU 5): Next 2 Months data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Central Bank of Chile. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Chile – Table CL.M007: Bond Yield: Forecast.

As of April 16, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.34 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.86 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States (IRLTLT01USM156N) from Apr 1953 to May 2025 about long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

Key information about Canada Short Term Government Bond Yield

• Canada Short Term Government Bond Yield: Daily: Canada: 2 Years was reported at 2.54 % pa in Mar 2025, compared with 2.51 % pa in the previous day.
• Canada Short Term Government Bond Yield data is updated daily, available from Jan 1993 to Mar 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 4.97 % pa in Oct 2023 and a record low of 0.15 % pa in Feb 2021.
• Short Term Government Bond Yield is reported by CEIC Data.

The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield rose to 1.66% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0 points, though it remains 0.60 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Slovakia SK: Long-Term Interest Rate: Government Bonds data was reported at 3.487 % in 2026. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.357 % for 2025. Slovakia SK: Long-Term Interest Rate: Government Bonds data is updated yearly, averaging 3.872 % from Dec 1996 (Median) to 2026, with 31 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 21.725 % in 1998 and a record low of -0.080 % in 2021. Slovakia SK: Long-Term Interest Rate: Government Bonds data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Slovakia – Table SK.OECD.EO: Interest Rate: Forecast: OECD Member: Annual. IRL - Long-term interest rate on government bonds; Yield of long term government bond yield. Before September 2000, data refer to average interest rate yield for Government Bonds achieved on the primary market (with 2 years maturity). From September 2000, data refer to yields on 10-year benchmark bonds

FRBOP Forecast: Corp Bonds Yield: Moody's Aaa: Median: Plus 2 Qtrs data was reported at 4.300 % in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 4.200 % for Mar 2018. FRBOP Forecast: Corp Bonds Yield: Moody's Aaa: Median: Plus 2 Qtrs data is updated quarterly, averaging 6.925 % from Sep 1981 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 148 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 15.000 % in Mar 1982 and a record low of 3.700 % in Sep 2012. FRBOP Forecast: Corp Bonds Yield: Moody's Aaa: Median: Plus 2 Qtrs data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.M006: Treasury Bills Rates: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

United States FRBOP Forecast: Corp Bonds Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Plus 2 Qtrs data was reported at 5.039 % in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 4.925 % for Mar 2018. United States FRBOP Forecast: Corp Bonds Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Plus 2 Qtrs data is updated quarterly, averaging 5.290 % from Mar 2010 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 34 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.525 % in Jun 2010 and a record low of 4.750 % in Sep 2017. United States FRBOP Forecast: Corp Bonds Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Plus 2 Qtrs data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.M006: Treasury Bills Rates: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

The yield on US 30 Year Bond Yield rose to 4.96% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.09 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points and is 0.56 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 30 Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.

China Bond Yield: Treasury Bond: 10 Year data was reported at 1.679 % pa in 16 May 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 1.680 % pa for 15 May 2025. China Bond Yield: Treasury Bond: 10 Year data is updated daily, averaging 3.254 % pa from Mar 2006 (Median) to 16 May 2025, with 4806 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.722 % pa in 20 Nov 2013 and a record low of 1.596 % pa in 06 Feb 2025. China Bond Yield: Treasury Bond: 10 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by China Central Depository & Clearing Co., Ltd. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MF: PBC & CCDC: Treasury Bond and Other Bond Yield: Daily.