Global carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry totaled 37.01 billion metric tons (GtCO₂) in 2023. Emissions are projected to have risen 1.08 percent in 2024 to reach a record high of 37.41 GtCO₂. Since 1990, global CO₂ emissions have increased by more than 60 percent. Who are the biggest emitters? The biggest contributor to global GHG emissions is China, followed by the United States. China wasn't always the world's biggest emitter, but rapid economic growth and industrialization in recent decades have seen emissions there soar. Since 1990, CO₂ emissions in China have increased by almost 450 percent. By comparison, U.S. CO₂ emissions have fallen by 6.1 percent. Nevertheless, the North American country remains the biggest carbon polluter in history. Global events cause emissions to drop The outbreak of COVID-19 caused global CO₂ emissions to plummet some 5.5 percent in 2020 as a result of lockdowns and other restrictions. However, this wasn't the only time in recent history when a major global event caused emissions reductions. For example, the global recession resulted in CO₂ levels to fall by almost two percent in 2009, while the recession in the early 1980s also had a notable impact on emissions. On a percentage basis, the largest annual reduction was at the end of the Second World War in 1945, when emissions decreased by 17 percent.
In 2023, global carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel combustion and industrial processes reached a record high of 37.8 billion metric tons (GtCO₂). Global CO₂ emissions are projected to have reached record levels in 2024. The world has pumped more than 1,800 GtCO₂ into the atmosphere since the industrial revolution began, though almost 45 percent has been produced since 2000. What is carbon dioxide? CO₂ is a colorless, naturally occurring gas that is released after people and animals inhale oxygen. It is a greenhouse gas, meaning it absorbs and releases thermal radiation which in turn creates the “greenhouse effect”. In addition to other greenhouse gases, CO₂ is also a major contributor to the ability of the Earth to maintain a habitable temperature. Without CO₂ and other greenhouse gases, Earth would be too cold to live on. However, while CO₂ alone is not a harmful gas, the abundance of it is what causes climate change. The increased use of electricity, transportation, and deforestation in human society have resulted in the increased emissions of CO₂, which in turn has seen a rise in earth’s temperature. In fact, around 70 percent of global warming since 1851 is attributable to CO₂ emissions from human activities. Who are the largest emitters worldwide? China is the biggest carbon polluter worldwide, having released almost 12 GtCO₂ in 2023. This was more than the combined emissions of the United States and India, the second and third-largest emitters that year, respectively.
ExxonMobil's equity-based greenhouse gas emissions totaled *** million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent in 2024. This was a reduction of *** million metric ton compared to the previous year. ExxonMobil is an American multinational oil and gas company that has released more than ** billion metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent since 1965. This makes it one of the biggest contributors to global greenhouse gas emissions in the world.
In 2023, global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions increased by *** percent year-over-year to reach a new record high of ** billion metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (GtCO₂e). This represents a more than ** percent rise in GHG emissions since 1990. The continuous growth in emissions has significant implications for global climate patterns and environmental stability. Rising global temperatures GHG emissions from human activities are contributing to global warming. In 2023, the global land and ocean surface temperature stood at **** degrees Celsius above the 20th century average, the largest recorded deviation in history. This temperature increase is part of a consistent pattern of positive temperature anomalies observed since the 1980s, highlighting the long-term warming effect of increased GHG accumulation in the atmosphere, particularly carbon dioxide. Biggest contributors to GHG emissions Globally, the power industry was responsible for ** GtCO₂e in 2023, accounting for approximately ** percent of global GHG emissions. This sector's emissions were nearly double those of the global transportation sector, the second-largest emitter. Coal-fired generation is the main contributor to power sector emissions. This is particularly the case in Asian countries, where there is a high reliance on this energy source. The Asia-Pacific region was the largest contributor to global CO₂ emissions in 2023, producing **** GtCO₂ from energy use alone.
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Trends of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide measurements from the Mauna Loa Baseline Observatory, Hawaii, United States.
Energy consumption in the United States produced 4.8 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide (GtCO₂) in 2024 - a decrease of 0.4 percent from the previous year. U.S. CO₂ emissions from energy consumption have fallen by approximately 20 percent since 2005. Sources of emissions in the U.S. The main source of CO₂ emissions in the U.S. is the transportation sector. For many years, the power sector was the country’s biggest contributor to CO₂ emissions, but the transition towards cleaner energy sources and a shift away from coal-fired power generation – the most carbon intensive fossil fuel – have slashed emissions from this sector. Meanwhile, transportation emissions have continued to rise, except for an unprecedented drop in 2020 due to the outbreak of COVID-19. U.S. transportation emissions The U.S. is the biggest contributor to global transportation emissions by far. The states with the largest transportation-related emissions in the U.S. are Texas and California, which combined account for almost one quarter of total U.S. transportation emissions.
In 2023, China was the biggest carbon polluter in the world by far, having released 11.9 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide (GtCO₂). Although the U.S. was the second-biggest emitter, with 4.9 GtCO₂ in 2023, its CO₂ emissions have declined by 13 percent since 2010. By comparison, China’s CO₂ emissions have increased by more than 38 percent in the same period. Cumulative emissions Although China is currently the world's largest carbon polluter, the U.S. has released far more historical carbon dioxide emissions, at more than 400 GtCO₂ since 1750. The wide gap between the two countries is because China's emissions have mostly been produced in the past two decades. Combined, the U.S. and China account for roughly 40 percent of cumulative CO₂ emissions since the Industrial Revolution began. Sources of emissions One of the largest sources of global CO₂ emissions is the power sector, with electricity produced by coal-fired power plants a significant contributor. In China, emissions from coal-fired electricity generation have soared since the turn of the century, and reached 5.2 GtCO₂ in 2023.
The global power industry produced 15 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (GtCO₂e) in 2023. This accounted for around 28 percent of global GHG emissions, and was almost double the emissions of the global transportation sector that year. The global power industry was consistently been the biggest overall contributor to global GHG emissions between 1990 and 2023.
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Trends of Atmospheric Methane measurements from marine surface sites.
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ExioML is the first ML-ready benchmark dataset in eco-economic research, designed for global sectoral sustainability analysis. It addresses significant research gaps by leveraging the high-quality, open-source EE-MRIO dataset ExioBase 3.8.2. ExioML covers 163 sectors across 49 regions from 1995 to 2022, overcoming data inaccessibility issues. The dataset includes both factor accounting in tabular format and footprint networks in graph structure.
We demonstrate a GHG emission regression task using a factor accounting table, comparing the performance of shallow and deep models. The results show a low Mean Squared Error (MSE), quantifying sectoral GHG emissions in terms of value-added, employment, and energy consumption, validating the dataset's usability. The footprint network in ExioML, inherent in the multi-dimensional MRIO framework, enables tracking resource flow between international sectors.
ExioML offers promising research opportunities, such as predicting embodied emissions through international trade, estimating regional sustainability transitions, and analyzing the topological changes in global trading networks over time. It reduces barriers and intensive data pre-processing for ML researchers, facilitates the integration of ML and eco-economic research, and provides new perspectives for sound climate policy and global sustainable development.
ExioML supports graph and tabular structure learning algorithms through the Footprint Network and Factor Accounting table. The dataset includes the following factors in PxP and IxI:
- Region (Categorical feature)
- Sector (Categorical feature)
- Value Added [M.EUR] (Numerical feature)
- Employment [1000 p.] (Numerical feature)
- GHG emissions [kg CO2 eq.] (Numerical feature)
- Energy Carrier Net Total [TJ] (Numerical feature)
- Year (Numerical feature)
The Factor Accounting table shares common features with the Footprint Network and summarizes the total heterogeneous characteristics of various sectors.
The Footprint Network models the high-dimensional global trading network, capturing its economic, social, and environmental impacts. This network is structured as a directed graph, where directionality represents sectoral input-output relationships, delineating sectors by their roles as sources (exporting) and targets (importing). The basic element in the ExioML Footprint Network is international trade across different sectors with features such as value-added, emission amount, and energy input. The Footprint Network helps identify critical sectors and paths for sustainability management and optimization. The Footprint Network is hosted on Zenodo.
The ExioML development toolkit in Python and the regression model used for validation are available on the GitHub repository: (https://github.com/YVNMINC/ExioML). The complete ExioML dataset is hosted by Zenodo: (https://zenodo.org/records/10604610).
More details about the dataset are available in our paper: *ExioML: Eco-economic dataset for Machine Learning in Global Sectoral Sustainability*, accepted by the ICLR 2024 Climate Change AI workshop: (https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.09046).
@article{guo2024exioml, title={ExioML: Eco-economic dataset for Machine Learning in Global Sectoral Sustainability}, author={Guo, Yanming and Guan, Charles and Ma, Jin}, journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.09046}, year={2024} }
Stadler, Konstantin, et al. "EXIOBASE 3." Zenodo. Retrieved March 22 (2021): 2023.
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Thailand Carbon Dioxide Emission per Electricity Generation data was reported at 0.399 kg/kWh in 2024. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.400 kg/kWh for 2023. Thailand Carbon Dioxide Emission per Electricity Generation data is updated yearly, averaging 0.560 kg/kWh from Dec 1994 (Median) to 2024, with 31 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.656 kg/kWh in 1997 and a record low of 0.399 kg/kWh in 2024. Thailand Carbon Dioxide Emission per Electricity Generation data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Energy Policy and Planning Office, Ministry of Energy. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Thailand – Table TH.RB020: Carbon Dioxide Emissions Statistics.
Carbon Credit Market Size 2025-2029
The carbon credit market size is forecast to increase by USD 1,966.3 billion at a CAGR of 32.1% between 2024 and 2029.
The market is experiencing significant growth due to rising emissions in the Earth's atmosphere, which necessitates the need for businesses and individuals to offset their carbon footprint. Booming investment and partnership deals in this market are driving its expansion, with various organizations recognizing the importance of reducing their carbon emissions and contributing to environmental sustainability. However, the fluctuating prices of carbon credits pose a challenge for market participants, as they can impact the profitability of carbon offsetting projects.
To stay competitive, market players must closely monitor carbon credit prices and adapt their strategies accordingly. In summary, the market is witnessing increasing demand due to growing environmental concerns and regulatory requirements, but its growth is influenced by the volatility of carbon credit prices.
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The market has gained significant traction in recent years as businesses and individuals seek to offset their carbon emissions and contribute to the global decarbonization effort. This market facilitates the buying and selling of carbon credits, which represent the right to emit a specific amount of greenhouse gases. The voluntary carbon market plays a crucial role in this context, enabling organizations to offset their carbon footprint beyond regulatory requirements. Net-zero greenhouse-gas emissions have become a key business objective, driving demand for carbon credits from various sources. Forestry projects are a significant contributor to the market. These projects involve the protection, restoration, or reforestation of forests, which act as carbon sinks, absorbing and storing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.
Carbon emission reduction projects, such as renewable energy and energy efficiency initiatives, also contribute to the market. Carbon storage projects, including those focused on geological storage, are another essential component. The market's dynamics are influenced by various factors, including regulatory policies, market prices, and technological advancements. As the world moves towards a low-carbon economy, the demand for carbon credits is expected to continue growing, making it an attractive investment opportunity for businesses and individuals alike.
How is this market segmented and which is the largest segment?
The market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
End-user
Power
Energy
Transportation
Industrial
Others
Type
Compliance
Voluntary
Geography
Europe
Germany
UK
France
Italy
Asia
China
North America
Rest of World (ROW)
By End-user Insights
The power segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
Carbon credits represent financial instruments that enable organizations to invest in emission reduction projects, contributing to the global effort to transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources. These initiatives, which focus on conservation, biodiversity, and livelihoods, provide a means to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the effects of climate change.
Additionally, the energy sector, specifically power generation, can benefit significantly from this shift, as renewable energy sources offer a sustainable and non-depleting alternative to coal and natural gas. To achieve the international goal of limiting global temperature rise to 2°C or 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions is crucial. Carbon credits facilitate this transition by incentivizing investment in renewable energy projects and reducing the overall carbon footprint.
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The power segment was valued at USD 61.30 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.
Regional Analysis
Europe is estimated to contribute 84% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.
Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.
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The European Union (EU) held a significant share of The market in 2023, with countries like the UK and Germany being major buyers. To achieve climate neutrality by 2050, the EU established the International Emissions Trading System (ETS) in 2005, which sets the cost of CO2 emissions
Monthly mean atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO₂) concentrations reached a record high of 430.5 parts per million (ppm) in May 2025. This represents an increase of roughly 22 percent compared with average CO₂ levels recorded in January 1990. In 2024, global average annual CO₂ concentrations reached a record high of 424.61 ppm. CO₂ concentrations typically fall during the summer months. This is a result of plants taking in more CO₂ through photosynthesis than they release through respiration during the warmer months when they are growing the most.
The Asia-Pacific region produced 19 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide (GtCO₂) from energy use in 2024. China's CO₂ emissions are by far the highest in the Asia-Pacific region, at more than 10 GtCO₂ per year. The second most polluting region in 2024 was North America, where 5.6 GtCO₂ were generated, the majority of which came from the U.S. Global CO₂ emissions growth Global CO₂ emissions from energy consumption have more than doubled since 1970, reaching a record high of 35.5 GtCO₂ in 2024. The rise in emissions is mainly due to rapidly growing economies and increasing energy demand in developing regions. This is especially the case in the Asia-Pacific region, where emissions have almost tripled since the turn of the century. The Middle East has also seen a dramatic rise in emissions, going from producing the lowest CO₂ emissions worldwide in 1965, to the fourth-highest as of 2024. Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations The increased burning of fossil fuels - as well as deforestation and other human activities - has seen atmospheric CO₂ concentrations surge in recent decades. In 2023, global atmospheric concentrations of CO₂ reached a record high of 424.61 parts per million, which is roughly 50 percent higher than before the industrial revolution.
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Brunei Production Based Emissions of CO2: Flaring data was reported at 0.214 Tonne mn in 2023. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.171 Tonne mn for 2022. Brunei Production Based Emissions of CO2: Flaring data is updated yearly, averaging 0.358 Tonne mn from Dec 1970 (Median) to 2023, with 54 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.864 Tonne mn in 1973 and a record low of 0.033 Tonne mn in 1986. Brunei Production Based Emissions of CO2: Flaring data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Our World in Data. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Brunei – Table BN.OWID.ESG: Environmental: CO2 and Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Annual.
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BASE YEAR | 2024 |
HISTORICAL DATA | 2019 - 2024 |
REPORT COVERAGE | Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends |
MARKET SIZE 2023 | 0.34(USD Billion) |
MARKET SIZE 2024 | 0.36(USD Billion) |
MARKET SIZE 2032 | 0.56(USD Billion) |
SEGMENTS COVERED | Technology, Gas Purity, Capacity, Application, Regional |
COUNTRIES COVERED | North America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA |
KEY MARKET DYNAMICS | Rising awareness of greenhouse gas emissions reduction Increasing adoption of precision farming Government regulations on agricultural emissions |
MARKET FORECAST UNITS | USD Billion |
KEY COMPANIES PROFILED | Linde, Messer, Air Water, Airgas, Puritan Medical Products, NexAir LLC, MG Industries, Southern Carbonic, Praxair, Matheson, Taiyo Nippon Sanso Corporation, TGC Industries, Liquid Air Corp, Chart Industries, Air Liquide |
MARKET FORECAST PERIOD | 2025 - 2032 |
KEY MARKET OPPORTUNITIES | Increased greenhouse cultivation Growing demand for organic produce Rising awareness about environmental sustainability Technological advancements in carbon dioxide gas generators Government incentives for sustainable farming practices |
COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE (CAGR) | 5.77% (2025 - 2032) |
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The global Carbon Monoxide (CO) Market, a foundational segment of the industrial gas and chemical industry, is on a course of steady growth, with revenues projected to increase from $4,854.29 million in 2021 to $7,909.28 million by 2033, at a CAGR of 4.152%. This growth is almost entirely driven by its consumption as a critical raw material in the production of high-value downstream chemicals. The market's health is a direct reflection of the global demand for products like acetic acid, polycarbonates, and polyurethanes. Geographically, the market is dominated by the Asia-Pacific region, which is the largest and fastest-growing hub for chemical manufacturing worldwide. From our current location in Nashik, amidst a thriving industrial belt, the rapid expansion of India's chemical sector exemplifies the trend that underpins the country's market-leading 5.89% CAGR. The long-term future of the market will be influenced by the development of technologies to produce CO from captured carbon dioxide, representing a shift towards a circular carbon economy.
Key strategic insights from our comprehensive analysis reveal:
The market is a B2B industrial gas segment, with demand directly tied to the capital investments and output of the global chemical industry.
The Asia-Pacific region, led by China and India, is the undisputed center of global demand and future growth.
The "over-the-fence" pipeline supply model to large chemical complexes is the dominant business strategy.
A key long-term trend is the R&D focus on producing "green" CO from captured CO2, transforming a waste product into a valuable feedstock.
Global Carbon Monoxide Market Overview & Dynamics
Carbon Monoxide (CO) is a colorless, odorless, and flammable gas that serves as an essential C1 building block in industrial chemistry. While highly toxic to humans, it is an indispensable reactant in a controlled industrial setting. It is primarily produced on a massive scale through processes like steam methane reforming (SMR), where natural gas reacts with steam, or through the gasification of coal or biomass. The vast majority of commercially produced CO is not sold on the merchant market but is consumed as a primary feedstock in the synthesis of a wide range of bulk and specialty chemicals. Its main applications include the production of acetic acid, phosgene (a key precursor for polycarbonates and isocyanates used in polyurethane manufacturing), and for hydroformylation reactions to create oxo-alcohols, which are used as plasticizers and solvents.
Global Carbon Monoxide Market Drivers
Growth in Key Downstream Chemical Markets: The primary driver of CO demand is the growth of its derivatives. The expanding market for polyurethanes (used in insulation, furniture, automotive seating), polycarbonates (used in automotive parts, electronics, and eyewear), and acetic acid (used in PET plastics and paints) directly dictates the need for more CO production.
Expansion of the Global Chemical Industry: The ongoing construction of large-scale, integrated chemical production facilities, particularly in Asia and the Middle East, is a direct driver of demand. These world-scale plants often require a dedicated, on-site CO production facility to support their operations.
Demand for Oxo-Alcohols and Plasticizers: The global demand for flexible PVC and other polymers relies on plasticizers, which are predominantly made from oxo-alcohols. The production of these alcohols via the hydroformylation process is a major consumer of carbon monoxide.
1.2. Global Carbon Monoxide Market Trends
Dominance of On-site and Pipeline Supply: For the large volumes required by chemical plants, the clear trend is an "over-the-fence" supply model. An industrial gas major (like Linde or Air Liquide) builds, owns, and operates a CO plant on or adjacent to the customer's site and supplies the gas via a direct pipeline under a long-term contract. This ensures reliability and eliminates transportation risks.
CO from CO2 Valorization (Carbon Capture & Utilization): A major long-term R&D trend is the development of commercially viable technologies to create CO from captured CO2. Processes like the reverse water-gas shift (RWGS) reaction and high-temperature co-electrolysis of CO2 and steam could potentially create a pathway for "green" CO, using waste CO2 as a feedstock.
In...
Charcoal Market Size 2025-2029
The charcoal market size is forecast to increase by USD 769.8 million at a CAGR of 2.1% between 2024 and 2029.
The market is driven by the increasing regulations aimed at reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and the growing adoption of bioenergy in heating systems. These factors create a significant opportunity for the charcoal industry, particularly for those producing biocharcoal, as it offers a more sustainable alternative to traditional coal. However, the market faces challenges in attracting new investments due to the industry's reputation for high environmental impact and the rise in deforestation practices for charcoal production. These challenges necessitate the adoption of innovative technologies and sustainable production methods to ensure the long-term viability and growth of the market. Regulations on reducing greenhouse gas emissions are increasing, which may discourage new investments in the coal industry.
Additionally, the use of bioenergy in heating systems are increasing, which can further impact the market growth. Companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities must focus on sustainable production and compliance with environmental regulations, while also addressing the challenges posed by deforestation and securing investments. The strategic landscape requires a balance between environmental responsibility and economic viability, offering opportunities for companies that can effectively navigate these complexities.
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The market encompasses various applications, from charcoal sketching and charcoal smoking to charcoal fuel for industrial processes. Traditional charcoal production methods, such as kiln and pit production, continue to coexist with modern techniques like charcoal gasification and pyrolysis. Charcoal's versatility extends to industries like water filtration and air purification through activated charcoal and charcoal filters. Charcoal's role as a fuel source is significant, with charcoal biomass contributing to energy generation and charcoal briquettes used for grilling and cooking. In the construction industry, charcoal is used as a fuel for brick kilns and cement production. Climate change concerns have brought carbon emissions and greenhouse gas emissions from charcoal production under scrutiny. In response, charcoal sustainability and certification schemes have emerged, promoting eco-friendly production methods.
Moreover, the market extends to the realm of renewable energy, with charcoal being a sustainable alternative to traditional fossil fuels. Charcoal's applications in art, such as charcoal drawing and charcoal painting, showcase its artistic potential. Meanwhile, charcoal's use in industries like carbon capture and climate change mitigation underscores its relevance in the modern world. Charcoal's multifaceted role, from charcoal sketching to charcoal energy, makes it a vital component in numerous industries.
How is this Charcoal Industry segmented?
The charcoal industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD million' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
End-user
Households
Metallurgical industry
Others
Distribution Channel
Offline
Online
Product Type
Charcoal briquettes
Lump charcoal
Japanese charcoal
Sugar charcoal
Geography
North America
US
Canada
Mexico
Europe
Germany
Italy
UK
APAC
Australia
China
India
Indonesia
Rest of World (ROW)
By End-user Insights
The households segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period. The market encompasses a wide array of applications in the households segment, serving as a versatile fuel source for cooking, heating, and outdoor recreation. Consumers prioritize convenience and efficiency, driving demand for dependable charcoal options. Factors influencing this segment include shifting consumer habits, availability of alternative fuel sources, and regional economic conditions. Market players are focused on ensuring product accessibility, maintaining consistent supply, and adhering to environmental regulations. Distribution channels significantly impact consumer purchasing patterns, with both traditional retail outlets and digital platforms expanding market reach. Quality assurance is paramount, with certifications and testing playing a crucial role in consumer trust.
Charcoal production methods, such as kiln technology and carbonization process, impact product quality and environmental impact. Natural charcoal alt
Average annual atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide (CO₂) reached a record high of 424.61 parts per million (ppm) in 2024. Monthly atmospheric CO₂ concentrations peaked that year in June, at 426.91 ppm. Human activities have caused CO₂ concentrations to soar Annual CO₂ concentrations consistently averaged around 280 ppm before the industrial revolution began, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). However, the mass burning of fossil fuels, and deforestation over the past two centuries has released trillions of tons of CO₂ into the atmosphere. This has caused atmospheric CO₂ levels to climb more than 50 percent above pre-industrial levels. Impacts of high atmospheric greenhouse gas levels The rapidly rising concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHGs) are worrying news for the planet, as they contribute to the climate crisis. GHGs like CO₂, methane, and nitrous oxide trap heat radiating from the planet’s surface, preventing it from escaping into space. This causes Earth’s atmosphere to heat and increases land and sea surface temperatures. Higher surface temperatures can unleash severe weather conditions such as extreme heat, droughts, and a higher frequency of high-intensity tropical storms.
Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market Size 2025-2029
The sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) market size is forecast to increase by USD 6.78 billion at a CAGR of 68.1% between 2024 and 2029.
The market is experiencing significant growth, driven by favorable government policies and the increasing research on third-generation biofuels. These factors are pushing the aviation industry towards reducing carbon emissions and adopting more sustainable fuel options. However, the market faces challenges, primarily in the form of regulatory hurdles and supply chain inconsistencies. Governments worldwide are implementing regulations to mandate the use of SAF in aviation, creating a demand for this alternative fuel. Yet, the lack of a standardized regulatory framework and inconsistent supply chain infrastructure pose challenges to market expansion. The higher cost of SAF production compared to conventional fuels is another significant hurdle, limiting the market's growth potential.
To capitalize on the opportunities presented by the SAF market, companies must navigate these challenges effectively. Strategies such as collaborating with governments and industry partners, investing in research and development, and optimizing production processes can help mitigate these challenges and ensure long-term success. Moreover, the global sustainable aviation fuel market's expansion is driven by favorable government policies pushing for lower carbon emissions and technological advancements in third-generation biofuels, such as those derived from algae and waste materials. These developments align with rising industry demand for cleaner alternatives in the aviation sector and shifting consumer expectations for environmentally responsible air travel.
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The market is experiencing significant momentum, driven by various factors. SAF mandates from policy makers are pushing for the adoption of this cleaner-burning fuel in the aviation sector. SAF testing and certification by recognized bodies ensure compliance with industry standards and safety regulations. SAF's lifecycle assessment demonstrates its environmental benefits, aligning with sustainability reporting requirements. Advocacy groups and industry consortia are promoting SAF compatibility and awareness through educational campaigns. Technological advancements in SAF production, transportation, storage, and logistics are improving SAF performance and reducing costs.
The market represents a significant response from the global aviation industry to mitigate carbon emissions from jet fuels used in air travel. SAFs, which include biofuels derived from renewable feedstocks and synthetic fuels produced using hydrogen and other sources, offer a potential solution to reduce the carbon footprint of commercial and military aviation. Bio-jet fuel and SAF blends are gaining traction due to their lower carbon footprint and compatibility with existing aircraft. SAF incentives, such as tax breaks and subsidies, are encouraging investments in the SAF industry. Research centers and laboratories are focusing on SAF production and performance enhancements. Consumer perception towards SAF is evolving positively, recognizing its role in reducing aviation's carbon emissions.
How is this Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Industry segmented?
The sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD million' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
Type
Biofuel
Hydrogen fuel
Power to liquid fuel
Application
Commercial aviation
Business and general aviation
Military aviation
Unmanned aerial aviation
Technology
FT
SPK
HEFA
ATJ
Others
Capacity
Below 30 percentage
30 to 50 percentage
Above 50 percentage
Geography
North America
US
Canada
Europe
France
Germany
Italy
UK
APAC
China
India
Japan
South Korea
Rest of World (ROW)
By Type Insights
The biofuel segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period. The market is witnessing significant growth as the aviation industry seeks to reduce carbon emissions and promote environmental sustainability. Bio-based fuels, derived from renewable resources such as plant oils, agricultural residues, and waste materials, are gaining traction as an alternative to conventional jet fuels. These fuels, produced through processes like hydroprocessing, fermentation, and gasification, can significantly lower greenhouse gas emissions compared to fossil fuels. Energy companies are investing heavily in SAF production using technologies like Fischer-Tropsch synthesis and Hydrotreated Vegetable Oi
Global carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels and industry totaled 37.01 billion metric tons (GtCO₂) in 2023. Emissions are projected to have risen 1.08 percent in 2024 to reach a record high of 37.41 GtCO₂. Since 1990, global CO₂ emissions have increased by more than 60 percent. Who are the biggest emitters? The biggest contributor to global GHG emissions is China, followed by the United States. China wasn't always the world's biggest emitter, but rapid economic growth and industrialization in recent decades have seen emissions there soar. Since 1990, CO₂ emissions in China have increased by almost 450 percent. By comparison, U.S. CO₂ emissions have fallen by 6.1 percent. Nevertheless, the North American country remains the biggest carbon polluter in history. Global events cause emissions to drop The outbreak of COVID-19 caused global CO₂ emissions to plummet some 5.5 percent in 2020 as a result of lockdowns and other restrictions. However, this wasn't the only time in recent history when a major global event caused emissions reductions. For example, the global recession resulted in CO₂ levels to fall by almost two percent in 2009, while the recession in the early 1980s also had a notable impact on emissions. On a percentage basis, the largest annual reduction was at the end of the Second World War in 1945, when emissions decreased by 17 percent.