The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

Policy interest rates in the U.S. and Europe are forecasted to decrease gradually between 2024 and 2027, following exceptional increases triggered by soaring inflation between 2021 and 2023. The U.S. federal funds rate stood at 5.38 percent at the end of 2023, the European Central Bank deposit rate at four percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate at 1.75 percent. With inflationary pressures stabilizing, policy interest rates are forecast to decrease in each observed region. The U.S. federal funds rate is expected to decrease to 3.5 percent, the ECB refi rate to 2.65 percent, the Bank of England bank rate to 3.33 percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate to 0.75 percent by 2025. An interesting aspect to note is the impact of these interest rate changes on various economic factors such as growth, employment, and inflation. The impact of central bank policy rates The U.S. federal funds effective rate, crucial in determining the interest rate paid by depository institutions, experienced drastic changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The subsequent slight changes in the effective rate reflected the efforts to stimulate the economy and manage economic factors such as inflation. Such fluctuations in the federal funds rate have had a significant impact on the overall economy. The European Central Bank's decision to cut its fixed interest rate in June 2024 for the first time since 2016 marked a significant shift in attitude towards economic conditions. The reasons behind the fluctuations in the ECB's interest rate reflect its mandate to ensure price stability and manage inflation, shedding light on the complex interplay between interest rates and economic factors. Inflation and real interest rates The relationship between inflation and interest rates is critical in understanding the actions of central banks. Central banks' efforts to manage inflation through interest rate adjustments reveal the intricate balance between economic growth and inflation. Additionally, the concept of real interest rates, adjusted for inflation, provides valuable insights into the impact of inflation on the economy.

According to the European Central Bank's survey of professional forecasters, the interest rate on the ECB's main refinancing operations is expected to decrease from 2.9 percent in January 2025 to 1.9 percent in 2026.

Forecast: 3-Month Bank Deposit Interest Rates in Indonesia 2023 - 2027 Discover more data with ReportLinker!

Austria BMF Forecast: Interest Rate: Short Term: Annual Average data was reported at 2.400 % in 2027. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.600 % for 2026. Austria BMF Forecast: Interest Rate: Short Term: Annual Average data is updated yearly, averaging -0.300 % from Dec 2016 (Median) to 2027, with 12 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.800 % in 2024 and a record low of -0.500 % in 2021. Austria BMF Forecast: Interest Rate: Short Term: Annual Average data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Ministry of Finance. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Austria – Table AT.M002: Key Interest Rates: Forecast.

The benchmark interest rate in the United Kingdom was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides - United Kingdom Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The benchmark interest rate in Pakistan was last recorded at 12 percent. This dataset provides - Pakistan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Midpoint (FEDTARRM) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, rate, and USA.

Just as in many other countries, the housing market in the UK grew substantially during the coronavirus pandemic, fueled by robust demand and low borrowing costs. Nevertheless, high inflation and the increase in mortgage rates has led to house price growth slowing down. According to the forecast, 2024 is expected to see house prices decrease by three percent. Between 2024 and 2028, the average house price growth is projected at 2.7 percent. A contraction after a period of continuous growth In June 2022, the UK's house price index exceeded 150 index points, meaning that since 2015 which was the base year for the index, house prices had increased by 50 percent. In just two years, between 2020 and 2022, the index surged by 30 index points. As the market stood in December 2023, the average price for a home stood at approximately 284,691 British pounds. Rents are expected to continue to grow According to another forecast, the prime residential market is also expected to see rental prices grow in the next years. Growth is forecast to be stronger in 2024 and slow down in the period between 2025 and 2028. The rental market in London is expected to follow a similar trend, with Central London slightly outperforming Greater London.

The benchmark interest rate in India was last recorded at 6.25 percent. This dataset provides - India Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The benchmark interest rate in the United Arab Emirates was last recorded at 4.40 percent. This dataset provides - United Arab Emirates Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

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Home Equity Lending Market Size 2025-2029

The home equity lending market size is forecast to increase by USD 48.16 billion at a CAGR of 4.7% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth due to several key trends. One major factor driving market expansion is the massive increase in home prices, which has resulted in homeowners having more equity in their properties. Another trend is the rise in residential property values, leading to an increase in the number of homeowners with sufficient equity to access loans or lines of credit, with property management and digital lending playing a significant role in facilitating these transactions.
However, the lengthy procedures involved in securing these loans can present challenges for both lenders and borrowers. Despite this, the benefits of lending, such as lower interest rates compared to other types of debt, make it an attractive option for many consumers looking to finance home improvements, debt consolidation, or other major expenses. Overall, the market is poised for continued growth in the coming years.

What will be the Size of the Home Equity Lending Market During the Forecast Period?

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The market in the United States has experienced significant growth, driven by the increasing collateral value of residential real estate and the resulting equity available to borrowers. Monetary authorities' efforts to keep inflation in check and stable housing prices have contributed to this trend. Homeowners have utilized loans and lines of credit to fund various expenses, including home improvements, tax deductions, and debt consolidation.



The interest rate on these loans often remains competitive with other forms of borrowing, making them an attractive option for many. Banks and credit unions are the primary providers of these loans, offering borrowers the ability to access a lump sum amount or a revolving line of credit secured against their residence and property. Regulatory restrictions on high-interest debt and outstanding mortgages may impact the market's growth, but the demand for loans is expected to remain strong as homeowners continue to seek ways to access the value of their homes.

How is this Home Equity Lending Industry segmented and which is the largest segment?

The home equity lending industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Source

  Mortgage and credit union
  Commercial banks
  Others


Distribution Channel

  Offline
  Online


Geography

  North America

    Canada
    US


  Europe

    Germany
    UK
    France


  APAC

    China
    Japan
    South Korea


  South America



  Middle East and Africa

By Source Insights

The mortgage and credit union segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Home equity lending is a financing solution for homeowners looking to access the value of their property. Mortgage and credit unions serve as trusted providers in this market, offering various financial services including loans and lines of credit. These institutions not only offer consumer loans but also manage deposits, handle checking and savings accounts, disburse credit and debit cards, and grant house loans. Credit unions, in particular, provide personalized services with live representatives, ensuring a human touch in understanding complex financial matters.

Homeowners can secure competitive rates on loans through credit unions, making them a preferred choice over other lenders. With a strong focus on consumer protection and affordability, mortgage and credit unions are an excellent option for homeowners seeking to tap into their for renovation projects or other financial needs.

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The mortgage and credit union segment was valued at USD 82.39 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

North America is estimated to contribute 47% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.

Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

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The market in North America experienced notable growth in 2024, driven by the increase in home values and fewer regulations. Homeowners in Canada have been utilizing their properties as collateral for loans, with residential mortgages accounting for 74% of household debt and lines of credit for 16%. The balance of Lines of Credit (HELOC) rose by 1% to USD 128 billion in February 2022.

In 2024, the annual inflation rate for the United Kingdom was 2.5 percent, with the average rate for 2025 predicted to rise to 3.2 percent. The UK has only recently recovered from a period of elevated inflation, which saw the CPI rate reach 7.3 percent in 2023, and 9.1 percent in 2022. Before 2022, the inflation rate was at its highest in 2011 when it reached 4.5 percent, and was lowest in 2015 when an annual inflation rate of zero percent was recorded. Inflation has been surging in the UK since late 2021, and reached a 41-year-high of 11.1 percent in October 2022. Since that recent peak, inflation has gradually subsided, and was four percent in January 2024. Inflation down but not out in 2024 Although there are some positive signals regarding UK inflation decelerating throughout 2023, prices are still rising at quite a fast rate, especially in certain sectors. Food inflation, for example, only fell below double-figures in November 2023, and was still rising by 6.9 percent in January 2024. As of that month, however, alcohol and tobacco prices were rising faster than any other sector, with an inflation rate of 12.4 percent. Additionally, underlying core inflation, which measures prices rises without food and energy, is slightly above the headline inflation rate, and was 5.1 percent as of the most recent month. With some aspects of inflation seemingly becoming embedded in the UK economy, this will likely prolong the current Cost of Living Crisis engulfing UK households. Inflation crisis across in the world in 2022 The UK has not been alone in suffering from runaway inflation over the last few years. From late 2021 onwards, various factors converged to encourage a global acceleration of prices, leading to the ongoing inflation crisis. Blocked-up supply chains were one of the main factors as the world emerged from the COVID-19 pandemic. This was followed by energy and food inflation skyrocketing after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Central bank interest rates were raised globally in response to the problem, possibly putting an end to the era of cheap money that has defined monetary policy since the financial crash of 2008.

In 2024, the gross domestic product (GDP) of the United Kingdom grew by 0.9 percent and is expected to grow by just one percent in 2025 and by 1.9 percent in 2026. Growth is expected to slow down to 1.8 percent in 2027, and then grow by 1.7, and 1.8 percent in 2027 and 2028 respectively. The sudden emergence of COVID-19 in 2020 and subsequent closure of large parts of the economy were the cause of the huge 9.4 percent contraction in 2020, with the economy recovering somewhat in 2021, when the economy grew by 7.6 percent. UK slips into recession in late 2023 In the last two quarters of 2023, the UK economy shrank by 0.1 percent in Q3 and by 0.3 percent in Q4, plunging the UK into recession for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic. Even before this latest recession, however, the UK economy has been struggling with weak growth. In the eight quarters between 2022 and 2023, the economy grew in just half of them, falling in three, and stagnating in one. As the UK gears up for a likely general election in 2024, the economy has consistently been seen as one of the most important issues to people in Britain, ahead of health, immigration and the environment. As for which political party would handle the economy better, the ruling-Conservative party have trailed the Labour Party on this issue in polls since October 2022. High inflation persisting longer than expected One of the main factors that explains the UK's economic woes recently is rising prices. UK inflation accelerated sharply from late 2021 onwards, and reached a peak of 11.1 percent in October 2022. Unfortunately for UK residents, wage growth has only recently caught up with inflation, with wages in real terms falling throughout for twenty months between November 2021 and June 2023. By January 2024, inflation had fallen to the more modest rate of four percent, but getting inflation down to such levels came at a price. The Bank of England raised interest rates throughout 2022 and 2023, which certainly played a part in the UK's weak economic performance during that time.

Between 2023 and 2026, the value of the WIBOR 3M interest rate in Poland will decreased. The forecast shows that by 2026, the rate will reach 5.95 percent.

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REIT Market Size 2025-2029

The reit market size is forecast to increase by USD 372.8 billion at a CAGR of 3% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth driven by the increasing global demand for warehousing and storage facilities, particularly in response to the e-commerce sector's continued expansion. This trend is further accentuated by the emergence of self-storage as a service, providing investors with attractive returns and meeting the evolving needs of consumers. However, the market also faces challenges, including intense competition and the need for vertical integration to remain competitive. E-commerce giants are increasingly investing in their logistics capabilities, creating a more complex and dynamic market landscape. To capitalize on these opportunities, companies must stay agile and adapt to changing consumer preferences and market conditions. Strategic partnerships, innovation, and operational efficiency will be key differentiators for success in this competitive market.

What will be the Size of the REIT Market during the forecast period?

Request Free SampleThe Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) market represents a significant segment of the investment landscape, offering income-producing opportunities through commercial real estate. REITs are publicly traded entities that enable investors to access the benefits of owning and operating income-generating commercial properties without the operational burdens. Both traded and non-traded REITs are available, each with unique features and eligibility criteria. The market is characterized by its sizeable presence, with numerous entities focusing on various commercial property sectors, including equity, mortgage, hybrid, and private REITs. These entities provide investors with dividend yields, capital appreciation potential, and diversification benefits. However, investing in REITs involves risks, including liquidity concerns, share value transparency, conflicts of interest, and potential fraud. Investors should carefully consider these factors, along with fees, taxes, and broker or financial adviser relationships, when constructing their investment portfolios. REITs offer investors regular income through rental yields and potential capital gains. Dividend income and equity appreciation make REITs an attractive option for those seeking income and growth. However, investors should be aware of taxation implications, including eligibility criteria and capital gains taxes. Investors should consult with their financial advisers to understand the risks and benefits of REITs and to determine whether they align with their investment objectives and risk tolerance. Ultimately, REITs provide a valuable opportunity for investors seeking income and growth in the commercial real estate sector.

How is this REIT Industry segmented?

The reit industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments. TypeIndustrialCommercialResidentialApplicationWarehouses and communication centersSelf-storage facilities and data centersOthersProduct TypeTriple netDouble netModified gross leaseFull servicePercentageGeographyNorth AmericaUSCanadaAPACChinaIndiaJapanSingaporeEuropeFranceGermanyItalyUKSouth AmericaMiddle East and Africa

By Type Insights

The industrial segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.The market experienced notable growth in the industrial sector in 2024, driven by the increasing demand for commercial real estate, particularly warehousing space. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated this trend as online sales d, necessitating more warehouse space for inventory storage. Industrial companies have responded by leasing additional warehouses to meet occupancy and rental rate demands. Furthermore, e-commerce companies are establishing warehouses and fulfillment centers near metropolitan areas to cater to growing online consumer bases. These factors create significant expansion opportunities for industrial REITs, including Equity, Mortgage, and Hybrid types, thereby fueling market growth. Publicly traded and non-traded REITs offer investors diverse investment portfolio options, providing both dividend income and capital appreciation potential. Transparent share value and dividend yields, professional management, and regular income make REITs an attractive asset allocation choice for investors seeking diversification and emergency liquidity.

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The Industrial segment was valued at USD 1525.50 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

North America is estimated to contribute 63% to the growth of the global market during t

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Turkey Construction Market Size 2024-2028

The Turkey construction market size is forecast to increase by USD 68.3 billion, at a CAGR of 5.96% between 2023 and 2028.

The market is experiencing significant growth, driven by the increasing demand for urbanization and housing in major cities such as Ankara and Afyonkarahisar. This trend is further fueled by the focus on improving urban infrastructure, including the expansion of airports. 
The economic prospects of the country are also contributing to the growth of the construction sector, as investments in education, healthcare, and enhancing quality of life become priorities. However, the rising cost of construction materials poses a challenge for market participants. Despite this, the market remains a promising area for investment, offering potential returns for businesses involved in residential and commercial projects.

Market Analysis

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Turkey construction market has been a significant contributor to the country's economic growth, with residential and commercial sectors playing pivotal roles. The industry's resilience is evident in its ability to adapt to various market conditions and global trends. The construction sector's linkages with other sectors, such as education, healthcare, and urban infrastructure development, are essential for improving the quality of life and enhancing the overall economic prospects of the country. In recent years, Turkey has shown a strong commitment to sustainable development, with renewable energy becoming an increasingly important focus. The Turkish government's efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adhere to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) standards have led to a rise in the adoption of renewable energy sources.
In addition, the Construction Industry Development Board of Turkey (CBRT) has been instrumental in promoting the use of green technologies and materials in the construction sector. The construction industry's impact on Turkey's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is substantial. According to the OECD, the sector accounted for approximately 6% of Turkey's GDP in 2020. The sector's contribution to the economy is expected to continue, with the demand for housing and urban infrastructure projects remaining strong. Mortgage loans have been a crucial financing instrument for the residential sector. The availability of affordable mortgage loans has led to a rise in demand for housing, contributing to urbanization and population growth.

Market Segmentation

The Turkey construction market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2024-2028, as well as historical data from 2018-2022 for the following segments.

Sector

  Private
  Public


End-user

  Residential
  Infrastructure
  Commercial


Geography

  Turkey

By Sector Insights

The private segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.The private construction sector in Turkey plays a pivotal role in the country's development, particularly in urban areas such as Afyonkarahisar, Ankara, and Izmir. The private sector's impact extends beyond infrastructure, with a focus on residential housing and urbanization. This investment in housing and urban infrastructure enhances economic prospects, creating jobs and driving growth. Additionally, the private sector's involvement in education and healthcare projects improves the quality of life for Turkish citizens. The construction sector's continued expansion in Turkey is a testament to its importance in the country's overall economic growth.

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The private segment accounted for USD 125.60 billion in 2018 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Market Dynamics

The commercial sector has also seen significant investment, with a focus on modernizing and expanding existing infrastructure. The construction sector's macroeconomic stability is influenced by various factors, including inflation, materials cost, and labor cost. The sector's ability to manage these factors effectively is crucial for maintaining competitiveness and ensuring sustainable growth. The Turkish railway network is undergoing significant expansion, with the government investing heavily in modernizing and expanding the network. This investment is expected to boost economic growth by improving connectivity and reducing transportation costs. The construction sector's growth is not without challenges, however. Earthquakes pose a significant risk to the sector, with Turkey situated in a seismically active region.

Turkey construction market researchers analyzed the data with 2023 as the base year, along with the key drivers, trends, and challenges. A holistic analysis of drivers will help companie

Inflation is generally defined as the continued increase in the average prices of goods and services in a given region. Following the extremely high global inflation experienced in the 1980s and 1990s, global inflation has been relatively stable since the turn of the millennium, usually hovering between three and five percent per year. There was a sharp increase in 2008 due to the global financial crisis now known as the Great Recession, but inflation was fairly stable throughout the 2010s, before the current inflation crisis began in 2021. Recent years Despite the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic, the global inflation rate fell to 3.26 percent in the pandemic's first year, before rising to 4.66 percent in 2021. This increase came as the impact of supply chain delays began to take more of an effect on consumer prices, before the Russia-Ukraine war exacerbated this further. A series of compounding issues such as rising energy and food prices, fiscal instability in the wake of the pandemic, and consumer insecurity have created a new global recession, and global inflation in 2024 is estimated to have reached 5.76 percent. This is the highest annual increase in inflation since 1996. Venezuela Venezuela is the country with the highest individual inflation rate in the world, forecast at around 200 percent in 2022. While this is figure is over 100 times larger than the global average in most years, it actually marks a decrease in Venezuela's inflation rate, which had peaked at over 65,000 percent in 2018. Between 2016 and 2021, Venezuela experienced hyperinflation due to the government's excessive spending and printing of money in an attempt to curve its already-high inflation rate, and the wave of migrants that left the country resulted in one of the largest refugee crises in recent years. In addition to its economic problems, political instability and foreign sanctions pose further long-term problems for Venezuela. While hyperinflation may be coming to an end, it remains to be seen how much of an impact this will have on the economy, how living standards will change, and how many refugees may return in the coming years.

The statistic shows the inflation rate in India from 1987 to 2023, with projections up until 2029. The inflation rate is calculated using the price increase of a defined product basket. This product basket contains products and services, on which the average consumer spends money throughout the year. They include expenses for groceries, clothes, rent, power, telecommunications, recreational activities and raw materials (e.g. gas, oil), as well as federal fees and taxes. In 2023, the inflation rate in India was around 5.36 percent compared to the previous year. See figures on India's economic growth for additional information. India's inflation rate and economy Inflation is generally defined as the increase of prices of goods and services over a certain period of time, as opposed to deflation, which describes a decrease of these prices. Inflation is a significant economic indicator for a country. The inflation rate is the rate at which the general rise in the level of prices, goods and services in an economy occurs and how it affects the cost of living of those living in a particular country. It influences the interest rates paid on savings and mortgage rates but also has a bearing on levels of state pensions and benefits received. A 4 percent increase in the rate of inflation in 2011 for example would mean an individual would need to spend 4 percent more on the goods he was purchasing than he would have done in 2010. India’s inflation rate has been on the rise over the last decade. However, it has been decreasing slightly since 2010. India’s economy, however, has been doing quite well, with its GDP increasing steadily for years, and its national debt decreasing. The budget balance in relation to GDP is not looking too good, with the state deficit amounting to more than 9 percent of GDP.

The inflation rate in Germany was 1.35 percent in 2019. The current rate meets the European Central Bank’s target rate, which is “below, but close to, 2 percent.” Many central bankers favor inflation between 2 and 3 percent, but Germans in particular would rather risk deflation than too much inflation.

Causes of inflation

Central bankers like low, stable inflation because this is a sign of a growing economy. When the economy grows, workers become more productive and spend more, and prices slowly rise. Monetary policy can cause inflation, but Germany has given this responsibility to the European Central Bank (ECB). Importantly, inflation expectations affect inflation, making it a self-fulfilling prophecy.

The German context

During the eurozone crisis, German politicians were advocating for the ECB to raise interest rates quickly. This would have reduced inflation, possibly causing deflation, but would have presented another hurdle for the struggling Greek economy. This is because of the hyperinflation of the Weimar Republic in the 1920s, when Germans carried their pay home in wheelbarrows because the banknotes had lost so much value. Ever since, Germans often warn that inflation harms pensioners and that personal provisions are necessary in any case. Fortunately for them, this statistic forecasts stable, modest inflation that does not alarm many economists.