Climate change is a major concern for governments and institutions worldwide, as is evident from the signing of the Paris Agreement in 2016, where most countries agreed to make efforts to achieve different climate-related goals. The evidence of climate change has been established, as extreme natural events occur more frequently and temperatures increase worldwide. A forecast for 2050 indicates that the temperature of the warmest month in Madrid would increase by 6.4 degrees Celsius, making it comparable to the temperatures of Marrakesh, Morocco.
The graph shows the proportion of the population in cities worldwide from 1985 to 2050. **** percent of the world's population lived in cities in the year of 2015. This percentage is forecasted to grow to **** percent in the year 2050.
This dataset includes 2019 estimates and 2035 and 2050 projections approximated to city limits for select cities. It is provided as a convenient summary of NCTCOG 2050 Forecast data, having stated limitations. For more information, see NCTCOG 2050 Forecast Methodology.pdf and Data Dictionary 2050 Forecast (city).pdf.
PLANNED CENTERS, CORE CITIES & NEIGHBORHOOD CENTERS All Connections 2050 Long-Range Plan elements are available online at www.dvrpc.org/plan. The Plan has two primary documents: (1) The Connections 2050 Policy Manual (www.dvrpc.org/Products/21027) identifies the vision, goals, strategies, and a summary of the financial plan. (2) The Connections 2050 Process and Analysis Manual (www.dvrpc.org/Products/21028) provides a more detailed look at the Plan’s outreach, background information, analysis, and financial plan. The concept of Centers is the cornerstone of the Connections 2050 Long-Range Plan. Centers provide a focal point in the regional landscape that recognizes the regional and local significance of places, while reinforcing a sense of community for local residents. Centers serve as a basis for organizing and focusing the development landscape and provide a framework for the most efficient provision of supportive infrastructure systems, including water, sewer, and transportation. By concentrating growth around and within Centers, the region can both preserve open space and reduce infrastructure costs. The densities and mixed uses inherent within Centers can enhance the feasibility of walking, bicycling, and public transit as alternatives to the automobile.
This dataset provides information about the number of properties, residents, and average property values for 2050 cross streets in Cedar City, UT.
It is expected that the highest temperature in Summer on average will be approximately *** degrees Fahrenheit hotter in New York City by 2050 compared to the year 2000. The Winter lowest temperature will be *** degrees hotter by 2050. The city of Chicago, Illinois expects an even higher increase of *** degrees Fahrenheit in Summer's highest temperature and an increase of *** degrees in Winter.
Extreme heat in the U.S. – additional information
Projected changes in global average temperature are associated with widespread changes in weather patterns. Scientific studies indicate that extreme weather events, such as heat waves, are likely to become more frequent or more intense within the next few years. These changes may lead to an increase in heat-related deaths in the United States. Outdoor temperatures can affect daily life in many ways. Extreme heat and the combination of high heat and humidity can pose a serious risk for human health. Exposure to extreme heat can lead to heat stroke and dehydration, as well as cardiovascular, respiratory and cerebrovascular disease. When the weather becomes excessively hot, it can be deadly. According to the National Weather Service, heat waves caused ** fatalities in the United States in 2015.
The average temperatures in the U.S. have risen significantly since 1895. Long-term changes in climate can directly or indirectly affect many aspects of a person’s life. For example, warmer days could increase air conditioning or water supply costs. One way to measure the influence of temperature change on energy demand is by using heating and cooling degree days. Cooling degree days measure the difference between outdoor temperature and a temperature that people generally find comfortable indoors. Cooling degree days have not increased significantly over the past decades. However, a slight increase is evident for this period. In 2014, there were around ***** cooling degree days in the U.S., compared to ***** in 2009. More cooling degree days indicate an increase in temperature, leading to a greater likeliness of using air conditioning.
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It is estimated that more than 8 billion people live on Earth and the population is likely to hit more than 9 billion by 2050. Approximately 55 percent of Earth’s human population currently live in areas classified as urban. That number is expected to grow by 2050 to 68 percent, according to the United Nations (UN).The largest cities in the world include Tōkyō, Japan; New Delhi, India; Shanghai, China; México City, Mexico; and São Paulo, Brazil. Each of these cities classifies as a megacity, a city with more than 10 million people. The UN estimates the world will have 43 megacities by 2030.Most cities' populations are growing as people move in for greater economic, educational, and healthcare opportunities. But not all cities are expanding. Those cities whose populations are declining may be experiencing declining fertility rates (the number of births is lower than the number of deaths), shrinking economies, emigration, or have experienced a natural disaster that resulted in fatalities or forced people to leave the region.This Global Cities map layer contains data published in 2018 by the Population Division of the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA). It shows urban agglomerations. The UN DESA defines an urban agglomeration as a continuous area where population is classified at urban levels (by the country in which the city resides) regardless of what local government systems manage the area. Since not all places record data the same way, some populations may be calculated using the city population as defined by its boundary and the metropolitan area. If a reliable estimate for the urban agglomeration was unable to be determined, the population of the city or metropolitan area is used.Data Citation: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs. World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision. Statistical Papers - United Nations (ser. A), Population and Vital Statistics Report, 2019, https://doi.org/10.18356/b9e995fe-en.
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This database represents the historic, current and future estimates and projections with number of inhabitants for the world's largest urban areas from 1950-2050. The data covers cities and other urban areas with more than 750,000 people.
In 2020, about 82.66 percent of the total population in the United States lived in cities and urban areas. As the United States was one of the earliest nations to industrialize, it has had a comparatively high rate of urbanization over the past two centuries. The urban population became larger than the rural population during the 1910s, and by the middle of the century it is expected that almost 90 percent of the population will live in an urban setting. Regional development of urbanization in the U.S. The United States began to urbanize on a larger scale in the 1830s, as technological advancements reduced the labor demand in agriculture, and as European migration began to rise. One major difference between early urbanization in the U.S. and other industrializing economies, such as the UK or Germany, was population distribution. Throughout the 1800s, the Northeastern U.S. became the most industrious and urban region of the country, as this was the main point of arrival for migrants. Disparities in industrialization and urbanization was a key contributor to the Union's victory in the Civil War, not only due to population sizes, but also through production capabilities and transport infrastructure. The Northeast's population reached an urban majority in the 1870s, whereas this did not occur in the South until the 1950s. As more people moved westward in the late 1800s, not only did their population growth increase, but the share of the urban population also rose, with an urban majority established in both the West and Midwest regions in the 1910s. The West would eventually become the most urbanized region in the 1960s, and over 90 percent of the West's population is urbanized today. Urbanization today New York City is the most populous city in the United States, with a population of 8.3 million, while California has the largest urban population of any state. California also has the highest urbanization rate, although the District of Columbia is considered 100 percent urban. Only four U.S. states still have a rural majority, these are Maine, Mississippi, Montana, and West Virginia.
This dataset provides information about the number of properties, residents, and average property values for 2050 cross streets in Salt Lake City, UT.
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DC 2050 presents an opportunity for the District to identify future challenges and opportunities and consider how to meet them in the next two decades. The DC Office of Planning (OP) will work with residents, community-based organizations, businesses, and elected officials to develop policies that guide how new buildings are added as the District's population and economy grow over the coming years.
Through an inclusive and robust public process, the District’s diverse communities will be invited to imagine the kind of city they want for themselves, their neighbors, and their children. Our approach for DC 2050:Community-centeredEngagement will reach residents who face the greatest barriers to involvement. Policies will be developed and assessed based on their impact on these populations.Data-drivenOP will use data in new ways to help residents learn how the Comprehensive Plan's policies are likely to impact their communities.User-friendlyA shorter, visually-appealing, and well-organized document will set priorities that can be easily understood by residents, property owners, investors, and community-based organizations.Outcome-orientedThe Comprehensive Plan will clearly explain the changes DC residents can expect for the District and their community.
This dataset contains the indicators included in the OneNYC 2050 Strategic Plan that will be used to assess progress in achieving the eight overreaching goals of the plan: (1) Vibrant Democracy; (2) Inclusive Economy; (3) Thriving Neighborhoods; (4) Healthy Lives; (5) Equity and Excellence in Education; (6) Livable Climate; (7) Efficient Mobility; and (8) Modern Infrastructure. Each line of data provides the goal, the relevant sub-initiative, the indicator, the baseline year and value for the indicator and the goal. Data is collected by the Mayor’s Office of Operations from the relevant agency.
It was estimated that by the year 2050, the temperature of the warmest month in Rostov-on-Don in the south of Russia would increase by *** degrees Celsius compared to 2019 levels. In comparison, the country's capital Moscow would see the warmest month temperature increase by *** degrees Celsius. According to a survey from 2019, approximately ** percent of Russians saw climate change as a real threat.
Sea level rise projections for New York City in the 2050s from the New York City Panel on Climate Change (2019).
The West Africa Coastal Vulnerability Mapping: Population Projections, 2030 and 2050 data set is based on an unreleased working version of the Gridded Population of the World (GPW), Version 4, year 2010 population count raster but at a coarser 5 arc-minute resolution. Bryan Jones of Baruch College produced country-level projections based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 4 (SSP4). SSP4 reflects a divided world where cities that have relatively high standards of living, are attractive to internal and international migrants. In low income countries, rapidly growing rural populations live on shrinking areas of arable land due to both high population pressure and expansion of large-scale mechanized farming by international agricultural firms. This pressure induces large migration flow to the cities, contributing to fast urbanization, although urban areas do not provide many opportUnities for the poor and there is a massive expansion of slums and squatter settlements. This scenario may not be the most likely for the West Africa region, but it has internal coherence and is at least plausible.
The tier I areas are expected to receive urban services (sewer, water, roads, etc…) within the 30 year planning period. Tier II are areas that will receive urban services after 2060. As the 2060 Comp Plan is updated in upcoming years, some of these areas may be moved into the Tier I area. Tier II should remain in its current use in order to facilitate future development. Tier III, are areas for future development in the very long term – beyond 50 years. It is delineated along drainage basin lines that are mainly within the City’s 3-mile extraterritorial jurisdiction and is not actively planned for urban land uses and infrastructure. Maintained and Updated by the City of Lincoln / Lancaster County Planning Department.
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50 year Projected Urban Growth scenarios. Base year is 2000. Projected year in this dataset is 2050.
By 2020, most forecasters agree, California will be home to between 43 and 46 million residents-up from 35 million today. Beyond 2020 the size of California's population is less certain. Depending on the composition of the population, and future fertility and migration rates, California's 2050 population could be as little as 50 million or as much as 70 million. One hundred years from now, if present trends continue, California could conceivably have as many as 90 million residents. Where these future residents will live and work is unclear. For most of the 20th Century, two-thirds of Californians have lived south of the Tehachapi Mountains and west of the San Jacinto Mountains-in that part of the state commonly referred to as Southern California. Yet most of coastal Southern California is already highly urbanized, and there is relatively little vacant land available for new development. More recently, slow-growth policies in Northern California and declining developable land supplies in Southern California are squeezing ever more of the state's population growth into the San Joaquin Valley. How future Californians will occupy the landscape is also unclear. Over the last fifty years, the state's population has grown increasingly urban. Today, nearly 95 percent of Californians live in metropolitan areas, mostly at densities less than ten persons per acre. Recent growth patterns have strongly favored locations near freeways, most of which where built in the 1950s and 1960s. With few new freeways on the planning horizon, how will California's future growth organize itself in space? By national standards, California's large urban areas are already reasonably dense, and economic theory suggests that densities should increase further as California's urban regions continue to grow. In practice, densities have been rising in some urban counties, but falling in others.
These are important issues as California plans its long-term future. Will California have enough land of the appropriate types and in the right locations to accommodate its projected population growth? Will future population growth consume ever-greater amounts of irreplaceable resource lands and habitat? Will jobs continue decentralizing, pushing out the boundaries of metropolitan areas? Will development densities be sufficient to support mass transit, or will future Californians be stuck in perpetual gridlock? Will urban and resort and recreational growth in the Sierra Nevada and Trinity Mountain regions lead to the over-fragmentation of precious natural habitat? How much water will be needed by California's future industries, farms, and residents, and where will that water be stored? Where should future highway, transit, and high-speed rail facilities and rights-of-way be located? Most of all, how much will all this growth cost, both economically, and in terms of changes in California's quality of life? Clearly, the more precise our current understanding of how and where California is likely to grow, the sooner and more inexpensively appropriate lands can be acquired for purposes of conservation, recreation, and future facility siting. Similarly, the more clearly future urbanization patterns can be anticipated, the greater our collective ability to undertake sound city, metropolitan, rural, and bioregional planning.
Consider two scenarios for the year 2100. In the first, California's population would grow to 80 million persons and would occupy the landscape at an average density of eight persons per acre, the current statewide urban average. Under this scenario, and assuming that 10% percent of California's future population growth would occur through infill-that is, on existing urban land-California's expanding urban population would consume an additional 5.06 million acres of currently undeveloped land. As an alternative, assume the share of infill development were increased to 30%, and that new population were accommodated at a density of about 12 persons per acre-which is the current average density of the City of Los Angeles. Under this second scenario, California's urban population would consume an additional 2.6 million acres of currently undeveloped land. While both scenarios accommodate the same amount of population growth and generate large increments of additional urban development-indeed, some might say even the second scenario allows far too much growth and development-the second scenario is far kinder to California's unique natural landscape.
This report presents the results of a series of baseline population and urban growth projections for California's 38 urban counties through the year 2100. Presented in map and table form, these projections are based on extrapolations of current population trends and recent urban development trends. The next section, titled Approach, outlines the methodology and data used to develop the various projections. The following section, Baseline Scenario, reviews the projections themselves. A final section, entitled Baseline Impacts, quantitatively assesses the impacts of the baseline projections on wetland, hillside, farmland and habitat loss.
The future land use plan displays the generalized location of each land use. It is not intended to be used to determine the exact boundaries of each designation. The area of transition from one land use to another is often gradual. PLANforward 2050 also encourages the integration of compatible land uses, rather than a strict segregation of different land uses. Maintained and Updated by the City of Lincoln / Lancaster County Planning Department.
Climate change projections suggest that European summer heat waves will become more frequent and severe during this century, continuing the trend of the past decades. The most severe impacts arise from multi-day heat waves associated with warm night-time temperatures and high relative humidity. Heat waves include tropical nights (with minimum temperatures above 20°C) and hot days (with maximum temperatures exceeding 35°C). The temperature map is the result of climatic modelling and represents the number of combined tropical nights and hot days. These projections are just one set of many different modelled scenarios that were produced by the ENSEMBLES project and featured in CLIMATE-ADAPT. For methodology see Fischer, E. M. and Schär, C., 2010, 'Consistent geographical patterns of changes in high-impact European heatwaves', Nature Geoscience, 3(6), pp.398–403. The original map is presented in the EEA report 2/2012 'Urban adaptation to climate change in Europe': map 2.4; data table and further methodological explanations in Annex II.
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This repository contains the data and code necessary to reproduce the results of the paper:
"live (a) little: GHG emissions from residential building materials for all 400 counties and cities of Germany until 2050"
by Jakob Napiontek, Tomer Fishman, Peter-Paul Pichler, John Heintz and Helga Weisz.
Please see the supplementary information in the paper for instructions on use, and contact napiontek@pik-potsdam.de for further questions.
Climate change is a major concern for governments and institutions worldwide, as is evident from the signing of the Paris Agreement in 2016, where most countries agreed to make efforts to achieve different climate-related goals. The evidence of climate change has been established, as extreme natural events occur more frequently and temperatures increase worldwide. A forecast for 2050 indicates that the temperature of the warmest month in Madrid would increase by 6.4 degrees Celsius, making it comparable to the temperatures of Marrakesh, Morocco.