Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (WGS30YR) from 1977-02-18 to 2025-08-01 about 30-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

As of July 22, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.38 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.88 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

Fixed 30-year mortgage rates in the United States averaged 6.77 percent in the week ending August 1 of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

As of July 18, 2025, the major economy with the highest yield on 10-year government bonds was Turkey, with a yield of ** percent. This is due to the risks investors take when investing in Turkey, notably due to high inflation rates potentially eradicating any profits made when using a foreign currency to investing in securities denominated in Turkish lira. Of the major developed economies, United Kingdom had one the highest yield on 10-year government bonds at this time with **** percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at **** percent. How does inflation influence the yields of government bonds? Inflation reduces purchasing power over time. Due to this, investors seek higher returns to offset the anticipated decrease in purchasing power resulting from rapid price rises. In countries with high inflation, government bond yields often incorporate investor expectations and risk premiums, resulting in comparatively higher rates offered by these bonds. Why are government bond rates significant? Government bond rates are an important indicator of financial markets, serving as a benchmark for borrowing costs, interest rates, and investor sentiment. They affect the cost of government borrowing, influence the price of various financial instruments, and serve as a reflection of expectations regarding inflation and economic growth. For instance, in financial analysis and investing, people often use the 10-year U.S. government bond rates as a proxy for the longer-term risk-free rate.

In June 2025, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by February 2026. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

At the end of 2024, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond was **** percent. Despite the increase in recent years, the highest yields could be observed in the early 1990s. What affects bond prices? The factors that play a big role in valuation and interest in government bonds are interest rate and inflation. If inflation is expected to be high, investors will demand a higher return on bonds. Country credit ratings indicate how stable the economy is and thus also influence the government bond prices. Risk and bonds Finally, when investors are worried about the bond issuer’s ability to pay at the end of the term, they demand a higher interest rate. For the U.S. Treasury, the vast majority of investors consider the investment to be perfectly safe. Ten-year government bonds from other countries show that countries seen as more risky have a higher bond return. On the other hand, countries in which investors do not expect economic growth have a lower yield.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis, Inflation-Indexed (RIFLGFCY30XIINA) from 2010 to 2024 about TIPS, 30-year, maturity, investment, securities, Treasury, yield, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

Between January 1971 and May 2025, gold had average annual returns of **** percent, which was only slightly more than the return of commodities, with an annual average of around eight percent. The annual return of gold was over ** percent in 2024. What is the total global demand for gold? The global demand for gold remains robust owing to its historical importance, financial stability, and cultural appeal. During economic uncertainty, investors look for a safe haven, while emerging markets fuel jewelry demand. A distinct contrast transpired during COVID-19, when the global demand for gold experienced a sharp decline in 2020 owing to a reduction in consumer spending. However, the subsequent years saw an increase in demand for the precious metal. How much gold is produced worldwide? The production of gold depends mainly on geological formations, market demand, and the cost of production. These factors have a significant impact on the discovery, extraction, and economic viability of gold mining operations worldwide. In 2024, the worldwide production of gold was expected to reach *** million ounces, and it is anticipated that the rate of growth will increase as exploration technologies improve, gold prices rise, and mining practices improve.

The U.S. bank prime loan rate has undergone significant fluctuations over the past three decades, reflecting broader economic trends and monetary policy decisions. From a high of **** percent in 1990, the rate has seen periods of decline, stability, and recent increases. As of June 2025, the prime rate stood at *** percent, marking a notable rise from the historic lows seen in the early 2020s. Federal Reserve's impact on lending rates The prime rate's trajectory closely mirrors changes in the federal funds rate, which serves as a key benchmark for the U.S. financial system. In 2023, the Federal Reserve implemented a series of rate hikes, pushing the federal funds target range to ******** percent by year-end. This was followed by several rate cuts in 2024, with the target range standing at 4.25 to 4.5 percent in December 2024. The aggressive monetary tightening in 2023 was aimed at combating rising inflation, and its effects rippled through various lending rates, including the prime rate. Long-term investment outlook While short-term rates have risen, long-term investment yields have also seen changes. The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond, a benchmark for long-term interest rates, showed an average market yield of **** percent in the second quarter of 2024, adjusted for constant maturity and inflation. This figure represents a recovery from negative real returns seen in 2021, reflecting shifting expectations for economic growth and inflation. The evolving yield environment has implications for both borrowers and investors, influencing decisions across the financial landscape.

The China mortgage/loan broker market, valued at $33.90 billion in 2025, exhibits robust growth potential, projected to expand at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 12.56% from 2025 to 2033. This significant expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Firstly, a burgeoning middle class with increasing disposable income and homeownership aspirations is driving demand for mortgage loans. Secondly, government initiatives aimed at boosting affordable housing and supporting the real estate sector are creating a favorable environment for mortgage brokers. Thirdly, the increasing complexity of mortgage products necessitates the expertise of brokers to navigate the process for both borrowers and lenders. However, the market isn't without challenges. Regulatory changes, fluctuations in interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns could act as restraints on growth. The market is segmented by mortgage loan type (conventional, jumbo, government-insured, others), loan terms (15-year, 20-year, 30-year, others), interest rate (fixed, adjustable), and provider (primary and secondary lenders). Major players include Bank of Japan, Bank of China, Suruga Bank Ltd., and several other significant financial institutions. While the detailed regional breakdown for China is unavailable, the national market size and CAGR provide a strong indication of its overall growth trajectory. The diverse range of services offered by mortgage brokers, catering to varied customer needs and risk profiles, further enhances the market's dynamism and resilience. Strategic partnerships between brokers and financial institutions are also likely to increase market penetration and efficiency. The forecast period suggests a continuously upward trend, with broader implications for the overall Chinese financial landscape. The competitive landscape within the Chinese mortgage broker market is characterized by a mix of large established financial institutions and potentially smaller, more specialized brokerages. The dominance of established banks reflects their extensive reach and brand recognition. However, niche players specializing in specific mortgage types or customer segments could experience rapid growth by leveraging their expertise and filling unmet market needs. The market is expected to see consolidation in the coming years, as larger firms seek to acquire smaller ones to expand their market share and service offerings. Technological advancements, such as online platforms and fintech solutions, are transforming the market, improving accessibility and efficiency. This digital transformation is expected to attract new entrants and further accelerate growth, but will also necessitate ongoing adaptation and investment by existing players to maintain competitiveness. Analyzing specific regional variations within China would require additional data, but the overall national projections paint a positive picture for the growth of this sector. Recent developments include: In September 2023, the Agricultural Bank of China (ABC), one of the four major state-owned banks in the country, launched a global matchmaking platform during the Belt and Road Agricultural Cooperation and Development Forum in Beijing., In June 2023, HSBC Bank (China) Company Limited acquired Citi’s retail wealth management portfolio in mainland China.. Key drivers for this market are: Surge in China household Wealth, Increasing Penetration rate among investors. Potential restraints include: Surge in China household Wealth, Increasing Penetration rate among investors. Notable trends are: Change in Monetary factors affecting China Mortgage/Loan Brokers market..

The Qatar mortgage and loan broker market, valued at $1.27 billion in 2025, is projected to experience robust growth, driven by a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.94% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key factors. Firstly, Qatar's burgeoning real estate sector and government initiatives promoting homeownership are significantly increasing demand for mortgages. Secondly, rising disposable incomes and a growing middle class are enabling more individuals to access mortgage financing. The increasing preference for convenient and efficient mortgage services offered by brokers is further propelling market growth. Competition within the market is largely driven by a mix of established domestic banks like Qatar National Bank, Commercial Bank, and Doha Bank, alongside international players like HSBC. These institutions cater to diverse segments, offering conventional, jumbo, and government-insured mortgage loans with varying terms (15, 20, and 30-year options) and interest rates (fixed and adjustable). The market's segmentation reflects the diverse needs and preferences of borrowers. However, potential restraints may include fluctuations in global interest rates and the cyclical nature of the real estate market. Nevertheless, the long-term outlook remains positive, given Qatar's economic stability and continued infrastructure development. The segmentation of the market by loan type, loan term, and interest rate reveals key market dynamics. The prevalence of 30-year mortgages suggests a preference for longer-term financing, reflecting affordability concerns and a desire for manageable monthly payments. The presence of both fixed and adjustable-rate options caters to different risk tolerances and financial planning strategies. The competitive landscape suggests that market share will be determined by factors such as service quality, competitive pricing strategies, and the ability to navigate evolving regulatory environments. The significant presence of Islamic banks within the market underscores the importance of catering to the religious preferences of a substantial portion of the Qatari population. Future growth will depend on successful adaptations to changing consumer expectations, technological advancements within the financial sector, and the continued stability of the Qatari economy. This comprehensive report provides a detailed analysis of the Qatar mortgage/loan brokers market, covering the period from 2019 to 2033. With a focus on the base year 2025 and an estimated market size in the millions, this report is an essential resource for businesses, investors, and stakeholders seeking to understand this dynamic market. The report incorporates key search terms such as Qatar mortgage brokers, Qatar loan brokers, Islamic mortgage Qatar, mortgage lenders Qatar, and home loans Qatar to ensure maximum visibility. Recent developments include: In February 2024, QNB, the leading financial institution has launched of its revolutionary digital onboarding service., In January 2024, the first digital bank in Qatar, Qatar Islamic Bank (QIB), has announced the opening of QIB Marketplace, a unique e-commerce platform that can only be accessed through its mobile banking app.. Key drivers for this market are: Surge in Qatar household Wealth, Increasing Penetration rate of brokerage services. Potential restraints include: Surge in Qatar household Wealth, Increasing Penetration rate of brokerage services. Notable trends are: Rising Homeownership Aspirations and Government Initiatives Drive Qatar's Mortgage Broker Market.

As of December 30, 2024, ** economies reported a negative value for their ten year minus two year government bond yield spread: Ukraine with a negative spread of ***** percent; Turkey, with a negative spread of 1332 percent; Nigeria with **** percent; and Russia with **** percent. At this time, almost all long-term debt for major economies was generating positive yields, with only the most stable European countries seeing smaller values. Why is an inverted yield curve important? Often called an inverted yield curve or negative yield curve, a situation where short term debt has a higher yield than long term debt is considered a main indicator of an impending recession. Essentially, this situation reflects an underlying belief among a majority of investors that short term interest rates are about to fall, with the lowering of interest rates being the orthodox fiscal response to a recession. Therefore, investors purchase safe government debt at today's higher interest rate, driving down the yield on long term debt. In the United States, an inverted yield curve for an extended period preceded (almost) all recent recessions. The exception to this is the economic downturn caused by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic – however, the U.S. ten minus two year spread still came very close to negative territory in mid-2019. Bond yields and the coronavirus pandemic The onset of the coronavirus saw stock markets around the world crash in March 2020. This had an effect on bond markets, with the yield of both long term government debt and short term government debt falling dramatically at this time – reaching negative territory in many countries. With stock values collapsing, many investors placed their money in government debt – which guarantees both a regular interest payment and stable underlying value - in contrast to falling share prices. This led to many investors paying an amount for bonds on the market that was higher than the overall return for the duration of the bond (which is what is signified by a negative yield). However, the calculus is that the small loss taken on stable bonds is less that the losses likely to occur on the market. Moreover, if conditions continue to deteriorate, the bonds may be sold on at an even higher price, partly offsetting the losses from the negative yield.

According to Cognitive Market Research, the global Certificate of Deposit market size will be USD XX million in 2024. It will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.00% from 2024 to 2031.

North America held the major market share for more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.2% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a market share of over 30% of the global revenue with a market size of USD XX million.
Asia Pacific held a market share of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.0% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America had a market share of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.4% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa had a market share of around 2% of the global revenue and was estimated at a market size of USD XX million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.7% from 2024 to 2031.
The Less than 1 year held the highest Certificate of Deposit market revenue share in 2024.

Market Dynamics of Certificate of Deposit Market

Key Drivers for Certificate of Deposit Market

Growing Demand for Early Retirement Planning to Increase the Demand Globally

The growing demand for early retirement planning is driving the Certificate of Deposit (CD) market as individuals increasingly seek secure and reliable investment options to ensure financial stability in their retirement years. CDs offer a low-risk investment with guaranteed returns, making them an attractive choice for conservative investors looking to preserve capital and generate predictable income. With an aging population and heightened awareness of the need for financial planning, more people are prioritizing investments that provide safety and stability. CDs, with their fixed interest rates and protection against market volatility, align well with the goals of early retirees who prioritize preserving their savings while earning a steady return. This trend fuels the growth of the CD market as part of comprehensive retirement strategies.

Growing Demand of Enhanced CD products to Propel Market Growth

The growing demand for enhanced Certificate of Deposit (CD) products is driving the market due to their ability to offer higher returns and additional features compared to traditional CDs. Enhanced CDs, such as those with variable interest rates, callable options, or market-linked returns, attract investors seeking better yields while still enjoying the security and low risk associated with CDs. These innovative products appeal to a broader range of investors, including those looking for diversified income streams and higher growth potential. Additionally, the customization and flexibility of enhanced CDs cater to the evolving preferences of investors, who are increasingly sophisticated and seeking tailored financial solutions. This trend boosts the attractiveness and market adoption of CDs, expanding their role in investment portfolios.

Restraint Factor for the Certificate of Deposit Market

Low Interest Rates to Limit the Sales

Low interest rates restrain the Certificate of Deposit (CD) market by reducing the attractiveness of these financial instruments to investors seeking higher returns. When interest rates are low, the yields on CDs decrease, making them less appealing compared to other investment options such as stocks, bonds, or mutual funds, which may offer higher potential returns. This diminished appeal leads to reduced demand for CDs among both retail and institutional investors. Additionally, low interest rates can prompt banks and financial institutions to offer fewer incentives or promotional rates for CDs, further dampening market growth. The overall impact is a slowdown in the market's expansion, as investors seek alternative investments that promise better returns in a low-interest-rate environment.

Impact of Covid-19 on the Certificate of Deposit Market

The COVID-19 pandemic had a mixed impact on the Certificate of Deposit (CD) market. On one hand, economic uncertainty and market volatility drove many investors towards safer, more stable investment options like CDs. This increased demand for secure, low-risk instruments as people sought to protect their capital. On the ot...

The UK is the largest European centre for the management of private equity (PE) investments and funds, second only to the US in terms of global importance. PE firms pool investment funds or use leverage to purchase other companies. Their goal is to improve a company's performance by introducing managerial and operational changes, before selling the company for a profit. More CEOs are wanting to retain control of their companies, increasing the number of minority stake buyouts. PE firms profit from management fees, calculated as a percentage of AUM, and performance fees on the total return from the invested company's IPO or sale to another company. Revenue is expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 6.6% to £4.6 billion over the five years through 2024-25, including growth of 4.9% in 2024-25. Following a short-lived halt in PE dealmaking at the start of 2020 following the COVID-19 outbreak, PE buyouts skyrocketed in 2021-22 due to higher levels of dry powder and low interest rates. Despite strong fundraising in 2022-23 as investors sought higher yields, PE activity slowed amid rising interest rates and a gloomy economic outlook, hitting deal volumes. Conditions only worsened in 2023-24 as the higher base rate environment, spiralling inflation and geopolitical tensions incited significant fundraising challenges and clobbered investment activity, hurting revenue. The macroeconomic environment is set to improve in 2024-25, driven by the prospect of further rate cuts and investors upgrading growth prospects, lifting deal activity. Revenue is forecast to grow at a compound annual rate of 7.2% to £6.5 billion over the five years through 2029-30. In the coming years, private equity firms will focus more on optimising operational performance and driving inorganic growth amid the high base rate environment and inflation, a sharp contrast to the expansion-driven growth experienced over the past decade. ESG will also be on their agenda, realising that significant value can be achieved from the investment strategy. Brexit has proven detrimental to domestic PE firms, but this could change depending on how effective the government's regulatory divergence is. Growing competition from alternative investment vehicles will also hurt revenue growth.

Index Time Series for Nuveen Enhanced Yield 1-5 Year U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF. The frequency of the observation is daily. Moving average series are also typically included. The index utilizes certain environmental, social, and governance ("ESG") criteria to select from the securities included in a modified version of the Bloomberg 1-5 Year U.S. Aggregate Index, which is designed to broadly capture the 1-5 year U.S. investment grade, taxable fixed income market. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80% of the sum of its net assets and the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes in component securities of the index.

Gold is the most popular precious metal in the investment industry. The rate of return for gold investments fluctuated significantly during the period from 2002 to 2024 but generated positive returns in most years of the observed period. The return of gold as an investment reached almost ** percent in 2024, one of the highest recorded. Why is gold valuable? Gold is a precious metal with several practical uses, particularly in technology. For example, NASA uses gold to improve its lasers and protect sensitive things in space, including a part of the visor for its astronauts. However, a large share of the demand for gold worldwide is as an investment, particularly by central banks. Gold serves the purpose of an alternative to currency because it is relatively scarce but still has enough mine production to serve the financial sector. Gold as an investment Under the Bretton Woods agreement after World War II, the world’s major currencies were tied to the value of gold. This system, called the Gold Standard, ended in 1971. Still, most countries maintain significant gold reserves. Due to this history and the overall faith in the value of gold, the average gold price tends to increase in times of recession, making it an attractive investment in uncertain times.

Key information about India Investment: % of GDP

• India Investment accounted for 30.5 % of its Nominal GDP in Dec 2024, compared with a ratio of 34.7 % in the previous quarter.
• India investment share of Nominal GDP data is updated quarterly, available from Jun 2004 to Dec 2024, with an average ratio of 33.6 %.
• The data reached an all-time high of 41.2 % in Sep 2011 and a record low of 21.8 % in Jun 2020.

CEIC calculates Investment as % of Nominal GDP from quarterly Nominal Gross Capital Formation and quarterly Nominal GDP. Gross Capital Formation is calculated as the sum of Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Changes in Stocks and Valuables. Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation provides Nominal Gross Capital Formation in local currency and Nominal GDP in local currency, based on SNA 2008 at 2011-2012 prices. Investment as % of Nominal GDP prior to Q2 2011 is based on a combination of SNA 2008 and SNA 1993, at 2004-2005 prices.


Related information about India Investment: % of GDP

• In the latest reports, India GDP expanded 6.1 % YoY in Mar 2023.
• India Nominal GDP reached 873.7 USD bn in Mar 2023.
• Its GDP deflator (implicit price deflator) increased 4.1 % in Mar 2023.
• India GDP Per Capita reached 2,452.2 USD in Mar 2023.
• Its Gross Savings Rate was measured at 30.7 % in Mar 2024.

China Mortgage/Loan Brokers Market Analysis The China Mortgage/Loan Brokers Market is poised for significant growth, driven by the robust demand for mortgages and loans. The market was valued at 33.90 million in 2025, and is projected to reach a value of XX million by 2033, registering a CAGR of 12.56% during the forecast period 2025-2033. The market's expansion is attributed to factors such as increasing urbanization, rising disposable income, and government initiatives to promote homeownership. Key drivers of the market include the growing number of first-time homebuyers, favorable interest rates, and increased access to credit. The market is segmented based on type of mortgage loan, mortgage loan terms, interest rate, and provider. The conventional mortgage loan segment holds the largest market share, while the 30-year mortgage loan terms segment is most popular. The fixed-rate interest rate segment is expected to witness significant growth during the forecast period, due to the stability and predictability it offers. Major players in the market include Bank of China, Bank of Japan, and Suruga Bank. The market faces challenges such as regulatory headwinds and competition from banks and financial institutions. However, the increasing adoption of technology and emerging trends such as online lending are expected to provide growth opportunities in the future. Recent developments include: In September 2023, the Agricultural Bank of China (ABC), one of the four major state-owned banks in the country, launched a global matchmaking platform during the Belt and Road Agricultural Cooperation and Development Forum in Beijing., In June 2023, HSBC Bank (China) Company Limited acquired Citi’s retail wealth management portfolio in mainland China.. Key drivers for this market are: Surge in China household Wealth, Increasing Penetration rate among investors. Potential restraints include: Surge in China household Wealth, Increasing Penetration rate among investors. Notable trends are: Change in Monetary factors affecting China Mortgage/Loan Brokers market..

Fund management activities revenue is forecast to rise at a compound annual rate of 0.7% over the five years through 2024-25 to £28.2 billion, including estimated growth of 7.8% in 2024-25. Fund managers have had to navigate turbulent markets in recent years, hit by aggressive monetary policy, geopolitical tensions and muted economic growth. Such uncertainty made investors antsy, triggering volatile capital flows and creating unstable fee income. Economic uncertainty surrounding markets amid the threat of a recession, the cost-of-living squeeze and the gilt crisis in 2022-23 all shook key investor segments, causing the first net outflow in funding in 2022 since data was first recorded. Despite conditions remaining bleak in 2023-24, financial markets made a slow recovery, with both bond and stock markets benefitting from the expectation of interest rate cuts, triggering a rally at the tail-end of the year. However, amid fierce price competition and falling fees, this wasn’t enough to offset the drop in revenue during 2023-24. Capital markets are set to perform well in 2024-25 thanks to further interest rate cuts and optimistic growth prospects supporting investment activity, driving up profit. However, fund managers exposed to US markets have seen hefty declines at the start of 2025, hit by Trump’s erratic tariff policies, which incited fears of a recession. Revenue is expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 4.4% over the five years through 2029-30 to £35 billion. Capital markets will continue to grow in 2025-26, propped up by the prospect of further rate cuts. However, equity remains vulnerable because soaring stock valuations seen in recent years can lead to a severe price correction if any negative news hits markets, hurting revenue growth. Already proving a useful tool for fund managers, AI will continue to gain momentum in the coming years, especially among smaller managers looking to improve data analytics capabilities and client offerings. Fund managers will also have to navigate the changing perceptions of ESG investments, which, although hitting the headlines over recent years, are beginning to lose the interest of investors due to their lower returns. While growth in the domestic economy may be slow in the coming years, investment companies will take advantage of growing opportunities in expanding markets, despite facing fiercer competition from foreign funds.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 20-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS20) from 1962-01-02 to 2025-08-07 about 20-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.