The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to increase by *** percentage points by 2027, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by *** percentage points. From *** percent in 2024, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach *** percent in 2027.

30 Year Mortgage Rate in the United States increased to 6.75 percent in July 17 from 6.72 percent in the previous week. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate.

In June 2025, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by February 2026. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

Graph and download economic data for 30-Year Fixed Rate Jumbo Mortgage Index (OBMMIJUMBO30YF) from 2017-01-03 to 2025-07-22 about jumbo, 30-year, fixed, mortgage, rate, indexes, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for 15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE15US) from 1991-08-30 to 2025-07-17 about 15-year, fixed, mortgage, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The U.S. bank prime loan rate has undergone significant fluctuations over the past three decades, reflecting broader economic trends and monetary policy decisions. From a high of **** percent in 1990, the rate has seen periods of decline, stability, and recent increases. As of May 2025, the prime rate stood at *** percent, marking a notable rise from the historic lows seen in the early 2020s. Federal Reserve's impact on lending rates The prime rate's trajectory closely mirrors changes in the federal funds rate, which serves as a key benchmark for the U.S. financial system. In 2023, the Federal Reserve implemented a series of rate hikes, pushing the federal funds target range to 5.25-5.5 percent by year-end. This aggressive monetary tightening was aimed at combating rising inflation, and its effects rippled through various lending rates, including the prime rate. Long-term investment outlook While short-term rates have risen, long-term investment yields have also seen changes. The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond, a benchmark for long-term interest rates, showed an average market yield of **** percent in the second quarter of 2024, adjusted for constant maturity and inflation. This figure represents a recovery from negative real returns seen in 2021, reflecting shifting expectations for economic growth and inflation. The evolving yield environment has implications for both borrowers and investors, influencing decisions across the financial landscape.

The yield on Japan 30 Year Bond Yield eased to 3.10% on July 24, 2025, marking a 0.04 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.19 points and is 0.93 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Japan 30 Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The yield on US 2 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 3.92% on July 24, 2025, marking a 0.04 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.13 points, though it remains 0.52 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

An index that can be used to gauge broad financial conditions and assess how these conditions are related to future economic growth. The index is broadly consistent with how the FRB/US model generally relates key financial variables to economic activity. The index aggregates changes in seven financial variables: the federal funds rate, the 10-year Treasury yield, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate, the triple-B corporate bond yield, the Dow Jones total stock market index, the Zillow house price index, and the nominal broad dollar index using weights implied by the FRB/US model and other models in use at the Federal Reserve Board. These models relate households' spending and businesses' investment decisions to changes in short- and long-term interest rates, house and equity prices, and the exchange value of the dollar, among other factors. These financial variables are weighted using impulse response coefficients (dynamic multipliers) that quantify the cumulative effects of unanticipated permanent changes in each financial variable on real gross domestic product (GDP) growth over the subsequent year. The resulting index is named Financial Conditions Impulse on Growth (FCI-G). One appealing feature of the FCI-G is that its movements can be used to measure whether financial conditions have tightened or loosened, to summarize how changes in financial conditions are associated with real GDP growth over the following year, or both.

Key information about New Zealand Long Term Interest Rate

• New Zealand Government Bond Yield: 10 Years was reported at 4.58 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 4.55 % pa in the previous month.
• New Zealand Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1985 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 18.90 % pa in Mar 1986 and a record low of 0.46 % pa in Sep 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

CEIC calculates monthly Long Term Interest Rate from daily 10 year Government Bond Yield. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand provides 10 year Treasury Bond Yield. Long Term Interest Rate prior to March 1985 is sourced directly from Reserve Bank of New Zealand.. The ten-year benchmark for New Zealand Government bonds with a fixed interest coupon paid semi-annually in arrears. The bonds are redeemable at par on maturity.


Related information about New Zealand Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, New Zealand Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: New Zealand: Bank Accepted Bills: 90 Days was reported at 5.71 % pa in Jun 2023.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: New Zealand: Official Cash Rate) was set at 5.50 % pa in Jun 2023.
• New Zealand Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.63 (USD/NZD) in Jun 2023.

The yield on Singapore 30 Year Bond Yield eased to 2.22% on July 24, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.15 points and is 0.69 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Singapore Government Bond 30y.

Key information about Australia Long Term Interest Rate

• Australia Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: 10 Years was reported at 4.42 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 4.48 % pa in the previous month.
• Australia Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jul 1969 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 16.50 % pa in Aug 1982 and a record low of 0.80 % pa in Oct 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Reserve Bank of Australia.

Related information about Australia Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, Australia Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Bank Acceptance Bills Rates: 90 days was reported at 4.12 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Cash Target Rate) was set at 4.10 % pa in Feb 2025.
• Australia Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.49 (USD/AUD) in Jun 2023.

Key information about China Long Term Interest Rate

• China Treasury Bond Yield: Interbank: Spot Yield: 10 year was reported at 1.73 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 1.64 % pa in the previous month.
• China Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jul 2008 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 4.63 % pa in Dec 2013 and a record low of 1.64 % pa in Jan 2025.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by National Interbank Funding Center.

Related information about China Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, China Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: SHIBOR: 3 Months was reported at 1.92 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: China: Rediscount Rate) was set at 2.65 % pa in Jun 2023.
• China Exchange Rate against USD averaged 7.16 (USD/RMB) in Jun 2023.

View data of the effective yield of an index of non-investment grade publically issued corporate debt in the U.S.

The benchmark interest rate in the United Arab Emirates was last recorded at 4.40 percent. This dataset provides - United Arab Emirates Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The benchmark interest rate in Iran was last recorded at 23 percent. This dataset provides - Iran Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The benchmark interest rate in Ecuador was last recorded at 8.46 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Ecuador Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.