100+ datasets found
  1. Central bank interest rates in the U.S. and Europe 2022-2023, with a...

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 20, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Central bank interest rates in the U.S. and Europe 2022-2023, with a forecast to 2027 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1429525/policy-interest-rates-forecast-in-europe-and-us/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 20, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Description

    Policy interest rates in the U.S. and Europe are forecasted to decrease gradually between 2024 and 2027, following exceptional increases triggered by soaring inflation between 2021 and 2023. The U.S. federal funds rate stood at **** percent at the end of 2023, the European Central Bank deposit rate at **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate at **** percent. With inflationary pressures stabilizing, policy interest rates are forecast to decrease in each observed region. The U.S. federal funds rate is expected to decrease to *** percent, the ECB refi rate to **** percent, the Bank of England bank rate to **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate to **** percent by 2025. An interesting aspect to note is the impact of these interest rate changes on various economic factors such as growth, employment, and inflation. The impact of central bank policy rates The U.S. federal funds effective rate, crucial in determining the interest rate paid by depository institutions, experienced drastic changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The subsequent slight changes in the effective rate reflected the efforts to stimulate the economy and manage economic factors such as inflation. Such fluctuations in the federal funds rate have had a significant impact on the overall economy. The European Central Bank's decision to cut its fixed interest rate in June 2024 for the first time since 2016 marked a significant shift in attitude towards economic conditions. The reasons behind the fluctuations in the ECB's interest rate reflect its mandate to ensure price stability and manage inflation, shedding light on the complex interplay between interest rates and economic factors. Inflation and real interest rates The relationship between inflation and interest rates is critical in understanding the actions of central banks. Central banks' efforts to manage inflation through interest rate adjustments reveal the intricate balance between economic growth and inflation. Additionally, the concept of real interest rates, adjusted for inflation, provides valuable insights into the impact of inflation on the economy.

  2. T

    United States Fed Funds Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • ko.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jul 10, 2025
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    United States Fed Funds Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/interest-rate
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    xml, excel, json, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 10, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Aug 4, 1971 - Jun 18, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  3. T

    United States MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • zh.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jul 9, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). United States MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/mortgage-rate
    Explore at:
    xml, excel, json, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 9, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 5, 1990 - Jul 4, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Fixed 30-year mortgage rates in the United States averaged 6.77 percent in the week ending July 4 of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  4. Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 26, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/247565/monthly-average-10-year-us-treasury-note-yield-2012-2013/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 26, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

  5. T

    Sweden Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • pt.tradingeconomics.com
    • +12more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated May 8, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Sweden Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/sweden/interest-rate
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    csv, excel, xml, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 8, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    May 26, 1994 - Jun 18, 2025
    Area covered
    Sweden
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in Sweden was last recorded at 2 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Sweden Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  6. F

    10-Year Real Interest Rate

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 11, 2025
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    (2025). 10-Year Real Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REAINTRATREARAT10Y
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 11, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Real Interest Rate (REAINTRATREARAT10Y) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about 10-year, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

  7. T

    China Loan Prime Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • de.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jun 20, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). China Loan Prime Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/china/interest-rate
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    xml, csv, excel, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 20, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Oct 25, 2013 - Jun 20, 2025
    Area covered
    China
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in China was last recorded at 3 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - China Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  8. Average mortgage interest rates in the UK 2000-2025, by month and type

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 24, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Average mortgage interest rates in the UK 2000-2025, by month and type [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/386301/uk-average-mortgage-interest-rates/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 24, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Jan 2000 - May 2025
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Mortgage rates increased at a record pace in 2022, with the 10-year fixed mortgage rate doubling between March 2022 and December 2022. With inflation increasing, the Bank of England introduced several bank rate hikes, resulting in higher mortgage rates. In May 2025, the average 10-year fixed rate interest rate reached **** percent. As borrowing costs get higher, demand for housing is expected to decrease, leading to declining market sentiment and slower house price growth. How have the mortgage hikes affected the market? After surging in 2021, the number of residential properties sold declined in 2023, reaching just above *** million. Despite the number of transactions falling, this figure was higher than the period before the COVID-19 pandemic. The falling transaction volume also impacted mortgage borrowing. Between the first quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, the value of new mortgage loans fell year-on-year for five straight quarters in a row. How are higher mortgages affecting homebuyers? Homeowners with a mortgage loan usually lock in a fixed rate deal for two to ten years, meaning that after this period runs out, they need to renegotiate the terms of the loan. Many of the mortgages outstanding were taken out during the period of record-low mortgage rates and have since faced notable increases in their monthly repayment. About **** million homeowners are projected to see their deal expire by the end of 2026. About *** million of these loans are projected to experience a monthly payment increase of up to *** British pounds by 2026.

  9. F

    15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jul 10, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). 15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE15US
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 10, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Graph and download economic data for 15-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in the United States (MORTGAGE15US) from 1991-08-30 to 2025-07-10 about 15-year, fixed, mortgage, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

  10. T

    Norway Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • fa.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated May 8, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Norway Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/norway/interest-rate
    Explore at:
    xml, excel, csv, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 8, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1991 - Jun 19, 2025
    Area covered
    Norway
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in Norway was last recorded at 4.25 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Norway Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  11. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly

    • ceicdata.com
    + more versions
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    CEICdata.com, Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/canada/conventional-mortgage-rate/conventional-mortgage-5-years-weekly
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    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 2025 - Mar 19, 2025
    Area covered
    Canada
    Variables measured
    Lending Rate
    Description

    Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data was reported at 6.490 % pa in 07 May 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 6.490 % pa for 30 Apr 2025. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data is updated weekly, averaging 5.700 % pa from Jan 2000 (Median) to 07 May 2025, with 1323 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.750 % pa in 31 May 2000 and a record low of 4.640 % pa in 12 Jul 2017. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.M005: Conventional Mortgage Rate. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

  12. Forecasted interest rate on the ECB's main refinancing operations 2025-2027

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 24, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Forecasted interest rate on the ECB's main refinancing operations 2025-2027 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1440772/forecasted-interest-rate-ecb-main-refinancing-operations/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 24, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Europe, EU
    Description

    According to the European Central Bank's survey of professional forecasters, the interest rate on the ECB's main refinancing operations is expected to decrease from *** percent in January 2025 to *** percent in 2026.

  13. T

    Poland Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • fa.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
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    TRADING ECONOMICS, Poland Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/poland/interest-rate
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    excel, xml, csv, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Feb 26, 1998 - Jul 2, 2025
    Area covered
    Poland
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in Poland was last recorded at 5 percent. This dataset provides - Poland Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

  14. F

    5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jul 11, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T5YIE
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 11, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (T5YIE) from 2003-01-02 to 2025-07-11 about spread, interest rate, interest, 5-year, inflation, rate, and USA.

  15. U

    United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Apr 12, 2018
    + more versions
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    CEICdata.com (2018). United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/consumer-sentiment-index-unemployment-interest-rates-prices-and-government-expectations
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Apr 12, 2018
    Dataset provided by
    CEICdata.com
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    May 1, 2017 - Apr 1, 2018
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs data was reported at 2.400 % in Jul 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.600 % for Jun 2018. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs data is updated monthly, averaging 2.900 % from Feb 1979 (Median) to Jul 2018, with 382 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.700 % in Feb 1980 and a record low of 2.300 % in Dec 2016. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'What about the outlook for prices over the next 5 to 10 years? Do you think prices will be higher, to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?' and 'By about what percent per year do you expect prices to go up or down, on the average, during the next 5 to 10 years?'

  16. U

    United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 6-9%

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Apr 12, 2018
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    CEICdata.com (2018). United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 6-9% [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/consumer-sentiment-index-unemployment-interest-rates-prices-and-government-expectations
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Apr 12, 2018
    Dataset provided by
    CEICdata.com
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Apr 1, 2017 - Mar 1, 2018
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 6-9% data was reported at 3.000 % in May 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.000 % for Apr 2018. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 6-9% data is updated monthly, averaging 4.000 % from Feb 1979 (Median) to May 2018, with 380 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18.000 % in Jul 1982 and a record low of 1.000 % in Nov 2017. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 6-9% data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'What about the outlook for prices over the next 5 to 10 years? Do you think prices will be higher, to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?' and 'By about what percent per year do you expect prices to go up or down, on the average, during the next 5 to 10 years?'

  17. Inflation rate and central bank interest rate 2025, by selected countries

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jul 2, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Inflation rate and central bank interest rate 2025, by selected countries [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1317878/inflation-rate-interest-rate-by-country/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jul 2, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    May 2025
    Area covered
    Worldwide
    Description

    In May 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 20 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.1 percent in May 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 9.9 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

  18. United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Standard Deviation

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Nov 27, 2021
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    CEICdata.com (2021). United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Standard Deviation [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/consumer-sentiment-index-unemployment-interest-rates-prices-and-government-expectations/csi-expected-inflation-next-5-yrs-standard-deviation
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Nov 27, 2021
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Apr 1, 2017 - Mar 1, 2018
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Standard Deviation data was reported at 2.500 % in May 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 2.500 % for Apr 2018. United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Standard Deviation data is updated monthly, averaging 3.200 % from Feb 1979 (Median) to May 2018, with 380 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 10.900 % in Feb 1980 and a record low of 2.200 % in Apr 1999. United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Standard Deviation data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'What about the outlook for prices over the next 5 to 10 years? Do you think prices will be higher, to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?' and 'By about what percent per year do you expect prices to go up or down, on the average, during the next 5 to 10 years?'

  19. United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Variance

    • ceicdata.com
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    CEICdata.com, United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Variance [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/consumer-sentiment-index-unemployment-interest-rates-prices-and-government-expectations/csi-expected-inflation-next-5-yrs-variance
    Explore at:
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Apr 1, 2017 - Mar 1, 2018
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Variance data was reported at 6.000 % in May 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 6.000 % for Apr 2018. United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Variance data is updated monthly, averaging 10.000 % from Feb 1979 (Median) to May 2018, with 380 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 118.000 % in Feb 1980 and a record low of 5.000 % in Jul 2017. United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Variance data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'What about the outlook for prices over the next 5 to 10 years? Do you think prices will be higher, to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?' and 'By about what percent per year do you expect prices to go up or down, on the average, during the next 5 to 10 years?'

  20. M

    5-Year Expected Inflation (1982-2025)

    • macrotrends.net
    csv
    Updated Jun 30, 2025
    + more versions
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    MACROTRENDS (2025). 5-Year Expected Inflation (1982-2025) [Dataset]. https://www.macrotrends.net/3445/5-year-expected-inflation
    Explore at:
    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 30, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    MACROTRENDS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    1982 - 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate.

    Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations.

    For more information, please visit the "https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations#background">Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

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Statista (2025). Central bank interest rates in the U.S. and Europe 2022-2023, with a forecast to 2027 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1429525/policy-interest-rates-forecast-in-europe-and-us/
Organization logo

Central bank interest rates in the U.S. and Europe 2022-2023, with a forecast to 2027

Explore at:
Dataset updated
Jun 20, 2025
Dataset authored and provided by
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Description

Policy interest rates in the U.S. and Europe are forecasted to decrease gradually between 2024 and 2027, following exceptional increases triggered by soaring inflation between 2021 and 2023. The U.S. federal funds rate stood at **** percent at the end of 2023, the European Central Bank deposit rate at **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate at **** percent. With inflationary pressures stabilizing, policy interest rates are forecast to decrease in each observed region. The U.S. federal funds rate is expected to decrease to *** percent, the ECB refi rate to **** percent, the Bank of England bank rate to **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate to **** percent by 2025. An interesting aspect to note is the impact of these interest rate changes on various economic factors such as growth, employment, and inflation. The impact of central bank policy rates The U.S. federal funds effective rate, crucial in determining the interest rate paid by depository institutions, experienced drastic changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The subsequent slight changes in the effective rate reflected the efforts to stimulate the economy and manage economic factors such as inflation. Such fluctuations in the federal funds rate have had a significant impact on the overall economy. The European Central Bank's decision to cut its fixed interest rate in June 2024 for the first time since 2016 marked a significant shift in attitude towards economic conditions. The reasons behind the fluctuations in the ECB's interest rate reflect its mandate to ensure price stability and manage inflation, shedding light on the complex interplay between interest rates and economic factors. Inflation and real interest rates The relationship between inflation and interest rates is critical in understanding the actions of central banks. Central banks' efforts to manage inflation through interest rate adjustments reveal the intricate balance between economic growth and inflation. Additionally, the concept of real interest rates, adjusted for inflation, provides valuable insights into the impact of inflation on the economy.

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