Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 5-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis, Inflation-Indexed (WFII5) from 2003-01-03 to 2025-03-21 about TIPS, maturity, securities, Treasury, interest rate, interest, real, 5-year, rate, and USA.

In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was 4.39 percent, forecasted to decrease to reach 3.27 percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

Graph and download economic data for 5-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus Federal Funds Rate (T5YFF) from 1962-01-02 to 2025-03-24 about yield curve, spread, maturity, Treasury, federal, interest rate, interest, 5-year, rate, and USA.

US 5 Year Note Bond Yield was 4.09 percent on Wednesday March 26, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 5 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 5-Year Constant Maturity, Inflation-Indexed was 1.55% in March of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 5-Year Constant Maturity, Inflation-Indexed reached a record high of 4.24 in November of 2008 and a record low of -1.91 in May of 2021. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 5-Year Constant Maturity, Inflation-Indexed - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on March of 2025.

As of October 16, 2024, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.04 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.96 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in 2022 and 2023. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

After to as low as low as 0.55 percent in July 2020, in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, the yield on 10-year U.S treasury bonds increased considerably. As of June 2024, it reached 4.36 percent.

UK 5 Year Bond Yield was 4.40 percent on Wednesday March 26, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United Kingdom 5 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

Of the 27 trillion U.S. dollars of marketable U.S. treasury securities that were outstanding as of May 2024, just below half were for treasury notes. Treasury notes have maturities of two, three, five, seven or 10 years, and have a coupon payment every six months. This contrasts to treasury bills, with maturity of one year or less, and treasury bonds, which have a maturity of 30 years.

5 Year TIPS Yield was 1.47 percent on Tuesday March 25, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 5 Year TIPS Yield.

US 2 Year Note Bond Yield was 3.99 percent on Thursday March 27, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

Japan 5 Year Bond Yield was 1.19 percent on Wednesday March 26, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Japan 5 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for 5-Year 0.125% Treasury Inflation-Indexed Bond, Due 4/15/2025 (DTP5A25) from 2020-06-30 to 2025-03-24 about fees, notes, TIPS, bonds, Treasury, 5-year, and USA.

10 Year TIPS Yield was 1.98 percent on Wednesday March 26, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 10 Year TIPS Yield.

Australia 5 Year Bond Yield was 4.01 percent on Thursday March 27, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Australia 5 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

U.S. Marketable Treasury securities that are sold to the public through the Treasury auction process.

This table contains 14 series, with data starting from 1925 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 items: United States ...), Rate (14 items: 91-day treasury bill yield; Treasury bills at Monday tender; adjusted: 3 month (average);United States treasuries constant maturity: 5 year; United States treasuries constant maturity: long term ...).

The 2020 recession did not follow the trend of previous recessions in the United States because only six months elapsed between the yield curve inversion and the 2020 recession. Over the last five decades, 12 months, on average, has elapsed between the initial yield curve inversion and the beginning of a recession in the United States. For instance, the yield curve inverted initially in January 2006, which was 22 months before the start of the 2008 recession. A yield curve inversion refers to the event where short-term Treasury bonds, such as one or three month bonds, have higher yields than longer term bonds, such as three or five year bonds. This is unusual, because long-term investments typically have higher yields than short-term ones in order to reward investors for taking on the extra risk of longer term investments. Monthly updates on the Treasury yield curve can be seen here.

Canada 5 Year Bond Yield was 2.77 percent on Wednesday March 26, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Canada 5Y.

Graph and download economic data for 5-Year High Quality Market (HQM) Corporate Bond Spot Rate (HQMCB5YR) from Jan 1984 to Feb 2025 about bonds, corporate, interest rate, interest, 5-year, rate, and USA.