88 datasets found
  1. Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 26, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/247565/monthly-average-10-year-us-treasury-note-yield-2012-2013/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 26, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

  2. T

    United States 6 Month Bill Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Oct 11, 2014
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2014). United States 6 Month Bill Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/6-month-bill-yield
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    xml, json, csv, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 11, 2014
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 4, 1982 - Jul 14, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 6 Month Bill Bond Yield rose to 4.27% on July 14, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.03 points and is 0.91 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 6 Month Bill Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  3. T

    United States 3 Month Bill Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Oct 11, 2014
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2014). United States 3 Month Bill Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/3-month-bill-yield
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    xml, json, excel, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 11, 2014
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 29, 1982 - Jul 15, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 3 Month Bill Bond Yield rose to 4.35% on July 15, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.01 points and is 0.98 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 3 Month Bill Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  4. T

    US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • it.tradingeconomics.com
    • +14more
    csv, excel, json, xml
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/government-bond-yield
    Explore at:
    json, xml, excel, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 1, 1912 - Jul 15, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.43% on July 15, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.02 points, though it remains 0.27 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  5. United States Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Month Average: 6 Months...

    • ceicdata.com
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    CEICdata.com, United States Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Month Average: 6 Months [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/treasury-bills-rates/treasury-bills-rate-secondary-market-month-average-6-months
    Explore at:
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    May 1, 2017 - Apr 1, 2018
    Area covered
    United States
    Variables measured
    Securities Yield
    Description

    United States Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Month Average: 6 Months data was reported at 2.396 % pa in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.285 % pa for Sep 2018. United States Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Month Average: 6 Months data is updated monthly, averaging 4.822 % pa from Dec 1958 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 719 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 15.516 % pa in Aug 1981 and a record low of 0.042 % pa in Sep 2013. United States Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Month Average: 6 Months data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M004: Treasury Bills Rates.

  6. Japan Treasury Bills: Rate: 6 Months

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Feb 15, 2025
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    CEICdata.com (2025). Japan Treasury Bills: Rate: 6 Months [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/japan/bills-rate/treasury-bills-rate-6-months
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Feb 15, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Apr 1, 2017 - Mar 1, 2018
    Area covered
    Japan
    Variables measured
    Securities Yield
    Description

    Japan Treasury Bills: Rate: 6 Months data was reported at -0.210 % pa in Oct 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of -0.150 % pa for Sep 2018. Japan Treasury Bills: Rate: 6 Months data is updated monthly, averaging 0.040 % pa from Nov 2000 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 204 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.700 % pa in Jul 2007 and a record low of -0.324 % pa in Sep 2016. Japan Treasury Bills: Rate: 6 Months data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Japan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Japan – Table JP.M006: Bills: Rate.

  7. T

    United States 4 Week Bill Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Oct 11, 2014
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2014). United States 4 Week Bill Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/4-week-bill-yield
    Explore at:
    json, csv, xml, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 11, 2014
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jul 31, 2001 - Jul 15, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 4 Week Bill Yield rose to 4.32% on July 15, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.13 points, though it remains 1.03 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 4 Week Bill Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  8. F

    Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including...

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 16, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IRLTLT01USM156N
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    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 16, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States (IRLTLT01USM156N) from Apr 1953 to May 2025 about long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

  9. United States Treasury Bills Rate: Auction High: Month Average: 6 Months

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Apr 3, 2018
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    CEICdata.com (2018). United States Treasury Bills Rate: Auction High: Month Average: 6 Months [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/treasury-bills-rates/treasury-bills-rate-auction-high-month-average-6-months
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Apr 3, 2018
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    May 1, 2017 - Apr 1, 2018
    Area covered
    United States
    Variables measured
    Securities Yield
    Description

    United States Treasury Bills Rate: Auction High: Month Average: 6 Months data was reported at 2.455 % pa in Nov 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.389 % pa for Oct 2018. United States Treasury Bills Rate: Auction High: Month Average: 6 Months data is updated monthly, averaging 4.850 % pa from Jan 1960 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 707 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 15.567 % pa in Aug 1981 and a record low of 0.043 % pa in Sep 2013. United States Treasury Bills Rate: Auction High: Month Average: 6 Months data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bureau of the Fiscal Service. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M004: Treasury Bills Rates.

  10. Sweden Treasury Bill Rate: Riksbank: Maximum: 6 Months

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Jan 15, 2025
    + more versions
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    CEICdata.com (2025). Sweden Treasury Bill Rate: Riksbank: Maximum: 6 Months [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/sweden/treasury-bill-rate/treasury-bill-rate-riksbank-maximum-6-months
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jan 15, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jul 1, 2017 - Jun 1, 2018
    Area covered
    Sweden
    Variables measured
    Securities Yield
    Description

    Sweden Treasury Bill Rate: Riksbank: Maximum: 6 Months data was reported at -0.697 % pa in Nov 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of -0.698 % pa for Oct 2018. Sweden Treasury Bill Rate: Riksbank: Maximum: 6 Months data is updated monthly, averaging 4.162 % pa from Jan 1984 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 418 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 30.000 % pa in Sep 1992 and a record low of -0.747 % pa in Jul 2017. Sweden Treasury Bill Rate: Riksbank: Maximum: 6 Months data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Riksbank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Sweden – Table SE.M014: Treasury Bill Rate.

  11. Albania Treasury Bills Rate: Annual: 6 Month

    • ceicdata.com
    • dr.ceicdata.com
    Updated Jan 15, 2025
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    CEICdata.com (2025). Albania Treasury Bills Rate: Annual: 6 Month [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/albania/treasury-bills-rate/treasury-bills-rate-annual-6-month
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jan 15, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 1, 2007 - Dec 1, 2023
    Area covered
    Albania
    Variables measured
    Securities Yield
    Description

    Albania Treasury Bills Rate: Annual: 6 Month data was reported at 1.500 % pa in 2023. This records a decrease from the previous number of 4.640 % pa for 2022. Albania Treasury Bills Rate: Annual: 6 Month data is updated yearly, averaging 6.660 % pa from Dec 2001 (Median) to 2023, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 12.020 % pa in 2002 and a record low of 1.500 % pa in 2023. Albania Treasury Bills Rate: Annual: 6 Month data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Albania. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Albania – Table AL.M009: Treasury Bills Rate.

  12. T

    Pakistan Six Month Treasury Bill Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • ko.tradingeconomics.com
    • +14more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jan 4, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Pakistan Six Month Treasury Bill Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/pakistan/interbank-rate
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    json, excel, csv, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jan 4, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Mar 31, 1991 - Jun 30, 2025
    Area covered
    Pakistan
    Description

    Interbank Rate in Pakistan decreased to 10.90 percent in June from 11.11 percent in May of 2025. This dataset provides - Pakistan Six Month Treasury Bill Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

  13. F

    10-Year Real Interest Rate

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 11, 2025
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    (2025). 10-Year Real Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REAINTRATREARAT10Y
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 11, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Real Interest Rate (REAINTRATREARAT10Y) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about 10-year, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

  14. C

    China Bond Yield: Treasury Bond: 6 Month

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Mar 27, 2025
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    CEICdata.com (2025). China Bond Yield: Treasury Bond: 6 Month [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/china/pbc--ccdc-treasury-bond-and-other-bond-yield-daily/bond-yield-treasury-bond-6-month
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Mar 27, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    CEICdata.com
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Mar 12, 2025 - Mar 27, 2025
    Area covered
    China
    Variables measured
    Securities Yield
    Description

    China Bond Yield: Treasury Bond: 6 Month data was reported at 1.416 % pa in 16 May 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.405 % pa for 15 May 2025. China Bond Yield: Treasury Bond: 6 Month data is updated daily, averaging 2.420 % pa from Mar 2006 (Median) to 16 May 2025, with 4806 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.374 % pa in 25 Jun 2013 and a record low of 0.930 % pa in 24 Dec 2024. China Bond Yield: Treasury Bond: 6 Month data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by China Central Depository & Clearing Co., Ltd. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MF: PBC & CCDC: Treasury Bond and Other Bond Yield: Daily.

  15. u

    2012-13 First Quarterly Report - Private Sector Canadian Interest Rate...

    • data.urbandatacentre.ca
    • beta.data.urbandatacentre.ca
    Updated Sep 30, 2024
    + more versions
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    (2024). 2012-13 First Quarterly Report - Private Sector Canadian Interest Rate Forecasts Tbl 2.4 - Catalogue - Canadian Urban Data Catalogue (CUDC) [Dataset]. https://data.urbandatacentre.ca/dataset/gov-canada-6576d4ef-3286-426e-a9fd-17e56023a78d
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    Dataset updated
    Sep 30, 2024
    Area covered
    Canada
    Description

    A tabular presentation of interest rate forecasts for Canadian 3-month Treasury Bills and 10-year Government Bonds in 2012 and 2013 by 6 private sector institutions.

  16. G

    2012-13 Second Quarterly Report - Private Sector Canadian Interest Rate...

    • open.canada.ca
    • datasets.ai
    html, xls
    Updated Feb 12, 2025
    + more versions
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    Government of British Columbia (2025). 2012-13 Second Quarterly Report - Private Sector Canadian Interest Rate Forecasts Tbl 2.2 [Dataset]. https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/d94dbcaa-2fcb-44a3-a859-876a937dcb98
    Explore at:
    xls, htmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Feb 12, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Government of British Columbia
    License

    Open Government Licence - Canada 2.0https://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    Canada
    Description

    A tabular presentation of interest rate forecasts for Canadian 3-month Treasury Bills and 10-year Government Bonds in 2012 and 2013 by 6 private sector institutions.

  17. G

    2013-14 First Quarterly Report - Private Sector Canadian Interest Rate...

    • open.canada.ca
    html, xls
    Updated Feb 12, 2025
    + more versions
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    Government of British Columbia (2025). 2013-14 First Quarterly Report - Private Sector Canadian Interest Rate Forecasts Tbl 2.2 [Dataset]. https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/07715684-b605-49b3-9722-62b2813b5300
    Explore at:
    html, xlsAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Feb 12, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Government of British Columbia
    License

    Open Government Licence - Canada 2.0https://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    Canada
    Description

    A tabular presentation of interest rate forecasts for Canadian 3-month Treasury Bills and 10-year Government Bonds in 2013 by 6 private sector institutions as at July 22, 2013.

  18. T

    Netherlands 6 Month Bill Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated May 29, 2017
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2017). Netherlands 6 Month Bill Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/netherlands/6-month-bill-yield
    Explore at:
    json, csv, excel, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 29, 2017
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Mar 2, 2010 - Jul 14, 2025
    Area covered
    Netherlands
    Description

    The yield on Netherlands 6 Month Bill Yield eased to 1.93% on July 14, 2025, marking a 0 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.02 points, though it remains 1.44 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Netherlands 6 Month Bill Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  19. Spain Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Outright Spot: 6-12 Months

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Feb 15, 2025
    + more versions
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    CEICdata.com, Spain Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Outright Spot: 6-12 Months [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/spain/treasury-bills-rate/treasury-bills-rate-secondary-market-outright-spot-612-months
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Feb 15, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Nov 1, 2016 - Oct 1, 2017
    Area covered
    Spain
    Variables measured
    Securities Yield
    Description

    Spain Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Outright Spot: 6-12 Months data was reported at -0.350 % pa in Oct 2017. This records a decrease from the previous number of -0.050 % pa for Sep 2017. Spain Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Outright Spot: 6-12 Months data is updated monthly, averaging 3.570 % pa from Jan 1988 (Median) to Oct 2017, with 358 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 14.470 % pa in Nov 1990 and a record low of -0.350 % pa in Oct 2017. Spain Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Outright Spot: 6-12 Months data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Spain. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Spain – Table ES.M013: Treasury Bills Rate.

  20. Spain Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Repo: 6 Months

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Dec 15, 2019
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    CEICdata.com (2019). Spain Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Repo: 6 Months [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/spain/treasury-bills-rate/treasury-bills-rate-secondary-market-repo-6-months
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Dec 15, 2019
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jul 1, 2014 - Sep 1, 2015
    Area covered
    Spain
    Variables measured
    Securities Yield
    Description

    Spain Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Repo: 6 Months data was reported at 0.470 % pa in Sep 2015. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.400 % pa for Jul 2015. Spain Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Repo: 6 Months data is updated monthly, averaging 3.610 % pa from Jan 1988 (Median) to Sep 2015, with 329 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 13.480 % pa in May 1989 and a record low of 0.000 % pa in May 2015. Spain Treasury Bills Rate: Secondary Market: Repo: 6 Months data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Spain. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Spain – Table ES.M013: Treasury Bills Rate.

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Statista (2025). Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/247565/monthly-average-10-year-us-treasury-note-yield-2012-2013/
Organization logo

Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025

Explore at:
Dataset updated
Jun 26, 2025
Dataset authored and provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Time period covered
Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
Area covered
United States
Description

In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

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