Cap rates in the U.S. multifamily real estate sector have increased significantly since 2021, reflecting a rise in borrowing costs. In 2023, the average multifamily cap rate was **** percent, up **** percent in 2021, when it was at its low. By 2026, the average multifamily cap rate is forecast to decline slightly, to **** percent.

Retail properties had the highest capitalization rates in the United States in 2023, followed by offices. The cap rate for office real estate was **** percent in the fourth quarter of the year and was forecast to rise further to **** percent in 2024. Cap rates measure the expected rate of return on investment, and show the net operating income of a property as a percentage share of the current asset value. While a higher cap rate indicates a higher rate of return, it also suggests a higher risk. Why have cap rates increased? The increase in cap rates is a consequence of a repricing in the commercial real estate sector. According to the National NCREIF Property Return Index, prices for commercial real estate declined across all property types in 2023. Rental growth was slow during the same period, resulting in a negative annual return. The increase in cap rates reflects the increased risk in the investment environment. Pricing uncertainty in the commercial real estate sector Between 2014 and 2021, commercial property prices in the U.S. enjoyed steady growth. Access to credit with low interest rates facilitated economic growth and real estate investment. As inflation surged in the following two years, lending policy tightened. That had a significant effect on the sector. First, it worsened sentiment among occupiers. Second, it led to a decline in demand for commercial spaces and commercial real estate investment volumes. Uncertainty about the future development of interest rates and occupier demand further contributed to the repricing of real estate assets.

Multifamily buildings had some of the lowest cap rates in Canada in the first quarter of 2023. For class A multifamily high rise buildings, investors could expect a capitalization rate of **** percent, while for class AA downtown offices, the cap rate was **** percent. The capitalization rate measures the rate of return on commercial properties and is calculated by dividing the net operating income of a property by its asset value. While a higher rate might promise higher return, it is also an indication of a riskier asset.

Mid-America Apartment Communities market cap as of June 22, 2025 is $18.36B. Mid-America Apartment Communities market cap history and chart from 2010 to 2025. Market capitalization (or market value) is the most commonly used method of measuring the size of a publicly traded company and is calculated by multiplying the current stock price by the number of shares outstanding.

In 2023, the return of the national NCREIF Property Index in the United States declined for the first time since 2009. The annualized total return of the index plummeted in 2023, followed by a slight increase in 2024. Just three years ago, in 2021, the rate of return of the index hit **** percent. The NCREIF Property Index reflects the change in prices of commercial real estate for investment purposes in the United States. Property types with the highest cap rates Cap rates, which measure the expected return rate of a real estate asset, were the highest for retail properties in 2023. While a higher cap rate indicates a higher rate of return, it is also associated with higher risk: The multifamily sector, which has enjoyed steady and robust growth in recent years, had the lowest cap rate of all commercial property types. Commercial property area with the best development prospects In 2025, the real estate development opportunities for single-family housing were deemed to be the best when compared with other types of commercial property. Industrial real estate includes warehouses, factories, and big box distribution centers.

The Canadian commercial real estate market, valued at $77.09 billion in 2025, is projected to experience robust growth, driven by a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7.59% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key factors. Increased urbanization in major cities like Toronto, Vancouver, and Calgary is creating higher demand for office, retail, and multi-family spaces. Furthermore, a burgeoning technology sector and a growing population are bolstering the need for modern and efficient commercial properties. The industrial sector is experiencing significant growth due to e-commerce expansion and the related need for logistics and warehousing facilities. While rising interest rates and potential economic uncertainties present some headwinds, the strong fundamentals of the Canadian economy and continued investment in infrastructure projects are expected to mitigate these risks. The market is segmented across various property types, including office, retail, industrial, multi-family, and hospitality, with significant activity across key cities such as Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary, Ottawa, Montreal, and Edmonton. Leading players like Cominar REIT, Goodman Commercial, and Dream Office REIT are shaping the market landscape, while emerging companies and startups contribute to innovation and competition. The forecast period of 2025-2033 suggests continued expansion, with a projected market size exceeding $130 billion by 2033, assuming a consistent CAGR. This growth trajectory is expected to attract further investment and development, particularly in sustainable and technologically advanced commercial buildings. However, factors such as fluctuating energy prices, evolving work patterns (e.g., remote work trends impacting office demand), and potential regulatory changes will need to be monitored to ensure accurate projections and informed investment decisions. The dynamic nature of the market necessitates continuous evaluation of macro-economic conditions and micro-market specific factors to achieve accurate forecasting and strategic planning. Recent developments include: June 2023: Prologis, Inc. and Blackstone announced a definitive agreement for Prologis to acquire nearly 14 million square feet of industrial properties from opportunistic real estate funds affiliated with Blackstone for USD 3.1 billion, funded by cash. The acquisition price represents an approximately 4% cap rate in the first year and a 5.75% cap rate when adjusting to today's market rents., May 2023: An experiential real estate investment trust, VICI Properties Inc., announced that it had signed agreements to buy the real estate assets of Century Casinos, Inc.'s Century Downs Racetrack and Casino in Calgary, Alberta, Century Casino St. Albert in Edmonton, Alberta, and Century Casino St. Albert in St. Albert, Alberta, for a total purchase price of USD 164.7 million. This move demonstrates both their continued drive to grow abroad and their faith in the Canadian gaming industry. They are also excited to assist Century's asset monetization strategy, which will open up new opportunities for their cooperation.. Key drivers for this market are: Evolution of retail sector driving the market, Office spaces in Toronto and Vancouver are increasing. Potential restraints include: High interest rates tend to slowdown business growth, Increasing cost of real estate affecting the growth of the market. Notable trends are: Evolution of retail sector driving the market.