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We examine how trade and policy uncertainty affect shipping freight rates, using a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) model. Trade uncertainty has a strong effect on shipping costs, even though the effects become insignificant within a year. On the other hand, policy uncertainty has a slightly smaller initial effect but tends to have longer-lasting effects on shipping costs. Trade uncertainty tends to benefit European stocks, perhaps as investors may believe that consumers will shift to local companies, with the impact on US stocks also being (mildly) positive, despite the (lagged) deterioration in economic activity. Trade uncertainty tends to have a longer-lasting impact on GDP than policy uncertainty, given then known merits of comparative advantage, while the effect of policy uncertainty is higher in the European markets compared to the US ones.
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Discover how Elkem, a leading silicon producer, is strategically tackling trade uncertainty and market challenges to maintain stability in prices and availability across Europe and the US.
Securities Exchanges Market Size 2025-2029
The securities exchanges market size is forecast to increase by USD 56.67 billion at a CAGR of 12.5% between 2024 and 2029.
The market is experiencing significant growth, driven by the increasing demand for investment opportunities. This trend is fueled by a global economic recovery and a rising interest in various asset classes, particularly in emerging markets. Another key driver is the increasing focus on sustainable and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investing. This shift reflects a growing awareness of the importance of long-term value creation and the role of exchanges in facilitating socially responsible investments. This trend is driven by the expanding securities business units, including stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and other securities, which cater to the needs of investment firms and individual investors. However, the market is not without challenges. Increasing market volatility poses a significant risk for exchanges and their clients.
Furthermore, the rapid digitization of trading and the emergence of alternative trading platforms are disrupting traditional exchange business models. To navigate these challenges, exchanges must adapt by investing in technology, expanding their product offerings, and building strong regulatory frameworks. Data analytics and big data are also crucial tools for e-brokerage firms to gain insights and make informed decisions. By doing so, they can capitalize on the market's growth potential and maintain their competitive edge. Geopolitical tensions, economic instability, and regulatory changes can all contribute to market fluctuations and uncertainty.
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In the dynamic market, financial instrument classification plays a crucial role in facilitating efficient trade matching through advanced execution quality metrics and order book liquidity. Quantitative trading models leverage options clearing corporation data to optimize portfolio holdings, while trade matching engines utilize high-speed data storage solutions and portfolio optimization algorithms to minimize latency and enhance market depth indicators. Data center infrastructure and network bandwidth capacity are essential components for supporting complex algorithmic trading strategies, including latency reduction and price volatility forecasting. Market impact measurement and risk assessment methodologies are integral to managing market impact and mitigating fraud, ensuring regulatory compliance through transaction reporting standards and regulatory compliance software.
Exchange traded funds (ETFs) have gained popularity, necessitating robust quote dissemination systems and trade surveillance analytics. Server virtualization and cybersecurity threat mitigation strategies further strengthen the market's resilience, enabling seamless integration of data-driven quantitative models and sophisticated fraud detection algorithms. Additionally, users of online trading platforms can easily monitor the performance of their assets thanks to real-time stock data.
How is this Securities Exchanges Industry segmented?
The securities exchanges industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD million' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
Service
Market platforms
Capital access platforms
Others
Trade Finance Instruments
Equities
Derivatives
Bonds
Exchange-traded funds
Others
Type
Large-cap exchanges
Mid-cap exchanges
Small-cap exchanges
Geography
North America
US
Canada
Europe
France
Germany
Switzerland
UK
APAC
China
Hong Kong
India
Japan
Rest of World (ROW)
By Service Insights
The Market platforms segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period. The market is characterized by advanced technologies and systems that enable efficient price discovery, manage settlement risk, and ensure regulatory compliance. Market platforms, which include trading platforms, order-matching systems, and market data dissemination, hold the largest share of the market. These platforms facilitate the buying and selling of securities, providing market liquidity and transparency. Real-time market surveillance and high-frequency trading infrastructure are crucial components, ensuring fair and orderly markets and enabling efficient trade execution. Financial modeling techniques and algorithmic trading platforms optimize trading strategies, while electronic communication networks and central counterparty cleari
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The European capital market exchange ecosystem, encompassing major exchanges like Euronext, London Stock Exchange, and Deutsche Börse, is experiencing robust growth, driven by increasing investor activity and the ongoing digital transformation of financial services. The market's Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 1.00% indicates a consistently expanding market size, projected to reach significant value in the coming years. While precise figures are unavailable, estimations based on industry reports suggest a market size of approximately €5 trillion in 2025, further expanding to potentially €6 trillion by 2033. This growth is fueled by several key factors, including the rising prevalence of retail and institutional investment in European markets, the increasing adoption of fintech solutions that streamline trading processes and improve access for investors, and the expansion of sustainable and impact investing. The market is segmented by type (primary and secondary markets), financial instruments (debt and equity), and investor types (retail and institutional). Furthermore, regional variations are significant, with the United Kingdom, Germany, and France commanding the largest shares of the market, although other countries like the Netherlands and Italy are also showing strong growth. However, the market also faces challenges. Regulatory changes, geopolitical uncertainty, and economic fluctuations pose considerable risks to consistent growth. Increased regulatory scrutiny aimed at protecting investors and maintaining market stability could increase compliance costs for exchanges and hinder innovation. Economic downturns can lead to reduced investor confidence and trading volumes. Nevertheless, the long-term outlook for the European capital market exchange ecosystem remains positive. Continued technological advancements, coupled with the increasing attractiveness of European markets to both domestic and international investors, are expected to drive substantial growth throughout the forecast period. Furthermore, the growing focus on ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) investing presents a significant opportunity for the exchanges to adapt and expand their offerings, leading to further market expansion. Recent developments include: In October 2023, Euronext introduced a new VaR-based margin methodology on the Euronext Milan equities, ETF and financial derivatives markets., In March 2023, Innovate UK and the London Stock Exchange entered a partnership to enable financial access for businesses that prioritize innovation and position them for growth. With this alliance, the UK's long-term capital of EUR 6 trillion will be made more accessible for innovation and growth in the country.. Notable trends are: Significance of Primary Market in European Capital Market Exchange Ecosystem.
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Italy's main stock market index, the IT40, fell to 40552 points on July 24, 2025, losing 0.36% from the previous session. Over the past month, the index has climbed 3.13% and is up 20.08% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks this benchmark index from Italy. Italy Stock Market Index (IT40) - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.
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We examine how the looming threat of tariff hikes under a trade agreement renegotiation impacts firm entry into a trading partner's market by exploiting uncertainty over the future UK-EU trade relationship brought about by the June 2016 Brexit referendum. Using the universe of UK export transactions at the firm and product level, we find that uncertainty over future market access to the EU deterred entry modestly in the months immediately after the Brexit vote, but the deterrent effect increased over time.
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This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.
Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)
Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)
Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)
Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators
Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles
Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)
Stock price prediction
Portfolio optimization
Algorithmic trading
Market sentiment analysis
Risk management
Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction
Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies
Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models
Students learning about machine learning and financial applications
The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)
Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training
Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data
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According to Cognitive Market Research, the global stock market size will be USD 3645.2 million in 2024. It will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13% from 2024 to 2031.
North America held the major market share for more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 1458.1 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.2% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a market share of over 30% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 1093.6 million.
Asia Pacific held a market share of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 838.4 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America had a market share of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 182.3 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.4% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa had a market share of around 2% of the global revenue and was estimated at a market size of USD 72.9 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.7% from 2024 to 2031.
The broker end users held the highest stock market revenue share in 2024.
Market Dynamics of Stock Market
Key Drivers for the Stock Market
Rising Demand for Real-Time Data and Analytics to be an Emerging Market Trend
The increasing need for real-time data and advanced analytics is a significant driver in the stock trading and investing market growth. Investors and traders require up-to-the-minute information on stock prices, market trends, and financial news to make informed decisions quickly. As financial markets become more dynamic and competitive, the ability to access and analyze real-time data becomes crucial for success. Trading applications that offer real-time updates, advanced charting tools, and detailed analytics provide users with a competitive edge by enabling them to react swiftly to market movements. This heightened demand for real-time insights fuels the development and adoption of sophisticated trading platforms that cater to both professional traders and retail investors seeking to maximize their investment opportunities.
Increasing Adoption of Mobile Trading Platforms to Boost Market Growth
The rapid adoption of mobile trading platforms is another key driver for the stock market expansion. With the proliferation of smartphones and mobile internet access, investors are increasingly favoring mobile platforms for their trading activities due to their convenience and accessibility. Mobile trading apps offer users the ability to trade, monitor portfolios, and access financial information on the go, which appeals to both active traders and casual investors. This shift towards mobile platforms is supported by innovations in-app functionality, user experience, and security features. As more investors seek flexibility and real-time engagement with their investments, the demand for sophisticated and user-friendly mobile trading applications continues to rise, propelling market growth.
Restraint Factor for the Stock Market
Stringent Rules and Regulations to Impede the Adoption of Online Trading Platforms
Regulatory compliance and legal challenges are major restraints for the stock trading and investing market share. The financial industry is heavily regulated, with strict rules governing trading practices, data protection, and financial disclosures. Compliance with these regulations requires substantial investment in legal expertise, technology, and administrative processes. Changes in regulations can also introduce uncertainty and additional compliance costs for application providers. For example, regulations such as the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive II (MiFID II) in Europe and the Dodd-Frank Act in the U.S. impose stringent requirements on trading practices and transparency. Failure to adhere to these regulations can result in legal penalties and damage to a company’s reputation, which can inhibit market growth and innovation in trading applications.
Market Volatility and Investor Uncertainty
The stock market is highly sensitive to global economic conditions, geopolitical tensions, interest rate fluctuations, and unexpected events (such as pandemics or wars). This inherent volatility can lead to sharp declines in investor confidence and capital outflows, especially among retai...
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The European customs brokerage market, valued at €27.22 billion in 2025, is projected to experience robust growth, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.81% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is driven by several key factors. The increasing complexity of international trade regulations, coupled with the growing e-commerce sector and its associated cross-border shipments, necessitates the expertise of customs brokers to ensure smooth and compliant import/export processes. Furthermore, the rising demand for efficient supply chain management solutions and the need to minimize delays and associated costs are fueling market growth. The diverse range of services offered by customs brokers, including customs clearance, documentation preparation, and compliance advisory, caters to a wide spectrum of businesses, from small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to large multinational corporations. The market's segmentation by mode of transport (sea, air, and cross-border land transport) reflects the diverse shipping methods used for European trade, with each segment presenting unique opportunities and challenges for customs brokers. Leading players such as DB Schenker, UPS, and DHL are leveraging technological advancements, such as automation and digital platforms, to optimize processes and enhance service offerings. The geographical distribution of the market across major European economies like Germany, the United Kingdom, France, the Netherlands, and Italy reveals varying levels of market maturity and growth potential. While established markets like Germany and the UK likely contribute significantly to the overall market size, countries with developing e-commerce sectors might witness faster growth in demand for customs brokerage services. However, potential restraints include fluctuations in global trade volumes, economic uncertainty, and evolving regulatory landscapes. The ongoing adaptation to Brexit's impact on trade flows between the UK and the EU also presents both challenges and opportunities for customs brokers operating in this region. Consequently, the market is expected to see continued consolidation, with larger players potentially acquiring smaller firms to expand their market reach and service capabilities. European Customs Brokers Market Report: 2019-2033 This comprehensive report provides a detailed analysis of the European Customs Brokers market, offering invaluable insights for businesses operating within this dynamic sector. The study covers the period 2019-2033, with a focus on the forecast period 2025-2033 and a base year of 2025. This in-depth analysis covers market size, segmentation, trends, growth drivers, challenges, and competitive landscape, helping you navigate the complexities of this crucial industry. The market is projected to reach XXX million by 2033. Recent developments include: December 2023: Kuehne Nagel finalized the acquisition of customs broker Farrow for an undisclosed amount. This strategic move is set to strengthen the company's customs capabilities within the North American market, with a particular focus on improving operations at the US-Canadian and Mexican borders. The transaction is anticipated to be completed in the first quarter of 2024., October 2023: Rock-It Freight Forwarding and Logistics, specializing in the live event, entertainment, sports, and broadcast industry, has successfully acquired customs broker Dell Will. This acquisition is part of Rock-It's strategic plan to accelerate growth in the motorsports sector.. Key drivers for this market are: Increasing international trade, Complex custom regulations. Potential restraints include: Regulatory Challenges, Geopolitical Uncertainity. Notable trends are: Germany Driving the Growth of the Market.
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California's wine industry is concerned about U.S.-Europe trade tensions, which may affect wine prices and market dynamics.
From January to December 2021, the European Union imported some 7.1 billion euros worth of medium and heavy commercial vehicles (MHCV) - vehicles weighing more than five metric tons - and buses, while exporting 12.96 billion euros worth of vehicles in return.
MHCV and buses: international trade was a profitable market Over the course of the past four years, the EU bus and MHCV market has seen a consistently positive trade balance which amounted to some 3.9 billion euros in the first eleven months of 2020. The trade surplus came amid a drop in both imports and exports from the previous year due in part to the Covid-19 pandemic which led to a slow-down of manufacturing plants' activities and tepid demand in a time of global economic uncertainty.
The leading source of exports was intra-Europe trade Turkey was the main country of origin for the European Union's commercial vehicle imports, dwarfing other countries by taking up more than half the European trade in value. This was due in part to the wide number of manufacturing plants owned by European manufacturers in the country. By contrast, countries from the European Free Trade Association and former EU-members were the leading destinations for MHCV exports. The United Kingdom had the highest trade in value, followed by Norway and Switzerland. This showcases the importance of trade partners in European territories outside the EU for the Union.
Trade Finance Market Size 2025-2029
The trade finance market size is forecast to increase by USD 18.6 billion, at a CAGR of 5.7% between 2024 and 2029.
The market is experiencing significant growth, driven by the increasing number of exports and the incorporation of advanced technology into trade finance solutions. This trend is expected to continue as global trade volumes increase and businesses seek more efficient and secure methods for financing international transactions. In the realm of business and finance, the Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance (BFSI) sector has experienced significant advancements in technology, particularly in trade financing. Advanced technology, including fintech solutions, is also transforming trade finance, providing more efficient funding options, hedging alternatives, and fraud prevention measures. However, the market is not without challenges. Protectionist policies and trade wars pose significant obstacles, creating uncertainty and potential disruptions in global trade flows. As a result, trade finance providers must navigate these geopolitical risks while also adapting to technological advancements and evolving customer expectations.
Companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities and navigate challenges effectively should focus on leveraging technology to streamline processes, enhance security, and provide customized solutions for clients. Additionally, building strong relationships with clients and maintaining a deep understanding of regulatory and geopolitical risks will be crucial for success in this dynamic market.
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The market continues to evolve, driven by the dynamic nature of global trade and the increasing adoption of digital technologies. Trade finance instruments and services play a crucial role in facilitating international business transactions, with applications spanning various sectors. Compliance with regulations and adherence to trade finance frameworks are essential components of this ecosystem. Digital trade finance solutions, such as supply chain finance and invoice discounting, are gaining traction, streamlining processes and enhancing efficiency. Trade finance advisory and analytics offer valuable insights, enabling informed decision-making. Export credit insurance and export finance provide risk mitigation and financing options for exporters.
Trade finance institutions, including banks and non-bank financial institutions, are leveraging technology to offer innovative products and services. Trade finance platforms and models are evolving to address the challenges of complex global supply chains and changing market conditions. The trade finance industry remains focused on adapting to these trends and continuously improving its offerings to meet the needs of businesses. The ongoing unfolding of market activities and evolving patterns in the market present numerous opportunities for growth and innovation. Trade finance strategies that effectively address these dynamics and leverage technology will be key to success in this ever-changing landscape.
How is this Trade Finance Industry segmented?
The trade finance industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD million' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
Type
Traditional trade finance
Supply chain finance
Structured trade finance
End-user
Importers and exporters
Banks and financiers
Insurers and export credit agencies
Product Type
Letters of credit
Supply chain finance
Trade credit insurance
Documentary collections
Others
Business Segment
Domestic trade finance
International trade finance
Geography
North America
US
Canada
Europe
France
Germany
The Netherlands
UK
APAC
China
India
Japan
South Korea
Rest of World (ROW)
By Type Insights
The traditional trade finance segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
Trade finance is a vital component of international business, providing risk management tools and facilitating trade payments through various instruments such as commercial letters of credit, documentary collections, open account processing, purchase order management, and document preparation. JPMorgan Chase and Co. (JPMorgan) are among the institutions offering these traditional trade finance solutions via web-based trade transaction management platforms. These platforms enable clients to manage their trade activities from purchase orders to payments, connecting sellers and buyers to the
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The European e-brokerage market, valued at approximately €[Estimate based on market size XX and value unit Million. For example, if XX = 100, then the value would be €100 million in 2025] in 2025, is projected to experience robust growth, driven by several key factors. Increasing smartphone penetration and internet accessibility across Europe are fueling the adoption of online trading platforms, particularly amongst younger demographics. Furthermore, the rise of mobile-first trading apps and user-friendly interfaces has significantly lowered the barrier to entry for retail investors. Competitive pricing strategies employed by discount brokers are also attracting a large segment of price-sensitive traders. The market is further segmented by investor type (retail and institutional), services offered (full-time and discount brokers), and operation (domestic and foreign), reflecting the diverse needs and preferences within the European investment landscape. Regulatory changes aimed at increasing transparency and protecting investors are also shaping market dynamics, encouraging the consolidation of smaller players and promoting the adoption of secure and reliable platforms. However, the market faces some challenges. Geopolitical uncertainty and economic volatility can impact investor sentiment and trading activity. The increasing regulatory scrutiny and compliance costs associated with operating in the European Union present a hurdle for smaller brokerage firms. Competition among established players and the emergence of new fintech entrants will continue to intensify, driving the need for constant innovation and improvement in technology and customer service. The market's growth trajectory hinges on maintaining investor confidence, ensuring regulatory compliance, and adapting to evolving technological advancements in areas such as artificial intelligence and algorithmic trading. The projected CAGR of 6.67% suggests substantial growth through 2033, placing the market size at approximately €[Calculate using the CAGR and 2025 value. For example, using a 2025 value of €100 million and a CAGR of 6.67%, the 2033 value would be approximately €190 million (calculated using compound interest formula)] by 2033. Recent developments include: February 2023: Interactive Brokers announced the launch of its new IBUSOPT order destination. With the dramatic increase in retail options trading, Interactive Brokers has launched this new order destination to help its retail and institutional clients achieve better price execution on their options trades., January 2023: Etoro announced the launch of ValueGurus, a portfolio offering retail investors long-term exposure to companies cherry-picked by influential financial personalities who choose value investing.. Notable trends are: Growing Retail Investors in The Region is Driving The E-Brokerages Market.
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The global commodity index funds market size was valued at approximately $200 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach nearly $400 billion by 2032, growing at a robust CAGR of 7.5% during the forecast period. The significant growth in this market can be attributed to the increasing demand for diversification in investment portfolios and the inherent benefits of hedging against inflation that commodity investments provide. Furthermore, the volatility in global stock markets and geopolitical uncertainties have led investors to seek safer, more stable investment avenues, thus driving the growth of commodity index funds.
One of the primary growth factors propelling the commodity index funds market is the rising awareness among investors about the advantages of commodity investments as a hedge against inflation. Commodities, unlike stocks and bonds, often move inversely to the stock market, providing a cushion during market downturns. This characteristic makes commodity index funds an attractive option for risk-averse investors and those looking to balance their portfolios. Additionally, the globalization of trade and the increasing demand for raw materials in emerging markets have further spurred the demand for commodity investments.
Technological advancements in trading platforms have also significantly contributed to the growth of this market. The advent of sophisticated online platforms has made it easier for retail investors to access and invest in commodity index funds. These platforms offer a range of tools and resources that help investors make informed decisions, thereby democratizing access to commodity investments. Moreover, the rise of robo-advisors and algorithm-based trading strategies has further simplified the investment process, attracting a new generation of tech-savvy investors.
The regulatory landscape has also played a crucial role in shaping the commodity index funds market. Governments and financial regulatory bodies across the globe have been working to create a transparent and secure trading environment. Regulatory reforms aimed at reducing market manipulation and increasing transparency have instilled confidence among investors, thereby boosting the market. Additionally, tax incentives and favorable policies for commodity investments in various countries have also contributed to market growth.
In terms of regional outlook, North America holds a significant share of the global commodity index funds market, followed by Europe and Asia Pacific. The presence of well-established financial markets and a high level of investor awareness in North America are key factors driving the market in this region. Europe, with its strong regulatory framework and increasing adoption of alternative investment strategies, is also witnessing substantial growth. Meanwhile, the Asia Pacific region is emerging as a lucrative market, driven by the rapid economic growth in countries like China and India, and the increasing interest in commodity investments among institutional and retail investors.
When analyzing the market by fund type, Broad Commodity Index Funds dominate the landscape. These funds invest in a diversified portfolio of commodities, making them a popular choice for investors seeking broad exposure to the commodity markets. The broad commodity index funds are designed to track the performance of a basket of commodities, ranging from energy products to metals and agricultural goods. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with the volatility of individual commodities, thereby providing a more stable investment option for risk-averse investors.
Single Commodity Index Funds, on the other hand, focus on specific commodities such as gold, oil, or agricultural products. These funds appeal to investors who have a strong conviction about the performance of a particular commodity. For instance, during periods of economic uncertainty, gold-focused funds often see a surge in demand as investors flock to the safe-haven asset. Similarly, energy-focused funds attract investors when there are disruptions in oil supply or significant geopolitical events affecting oil prices. While these funds offer the potential for high returns, they also come with higher risks due to their lack of diversification.
Sector Commodity Index Funds are another important segment within the commodity index funds market. These funds concentrate on commodities within a specific sector, such as energy, agriculture, or metals, allowing investors to target particular segments of the commo
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In the decade after the 2008 financial crisis, pension providers across faced challenging conditions thanks to interest rates falling to historical lows, affecting the returns on fixed-income investments, like bonds. Revenue is expected to drop at a compound annual rate of 2.6% over the five years through 2025 to €517.9 billion, including a forecast climb of 2.5% in 2025. Profit has also edged downwards due to higher interest rates and geopolitical tensions hitting equity and bond markets, though the average industry profit margin still stands strong, at an estimated 43.7% in 2025. Pension providers invest the contributions of policyholders into investment markets like bonds and equity to ensure their assets can meet their liabilities – the benefits paid to retirees. Pension funds invest heavily in bond markets due to their relatively low risk and low volatility. However, this type of fixed-income investment has struggled since 2022 in the rising base rate environment, which saw yields skyrocket and bond prices plummet, hitting investment income. Despite interest rates coming down over the two years through 2025, bond values have remained extremely volatile, creating difficulties in calculating long-term planning and the solvency of funds. Bond markets have also been clouded by ongoing uncertainty surrounding upcoming rate cuts and trade tensions, eroding investment income. Equity markets have experienced a similarly volatile period over recent years, with investors pricing rate cuts at the tail-end of 2023, inciting hefty capital flows and supporting investment income for funds exposed to the asset class. In 2024, US equities performed particularly well due to the dominance of big-tech companies and the excitement surrounding AI. However, Trump’s erratic policies have incited a shift away from US markets in 2025, aiding pension funds with exposure to European markets, which are seen as less risky. Revenue is anticipated to climb at a compound annual rate of 6% over the five years through 2030 to €691.5 billion, while the average industry profit margin is estimated to swell to 45.3% in 2030. The shift towards European markets is set to continue in the short term. However, governments must be proactive in taking measures to capitalise on this demand. This would involve the expansion of a safe investment base of sovereign bonds jointly issued by euro members, overcoming the investment headaches that traditionally arose from fragmented national government bond markets and creating a liquid market for pension funds to exploit, aiding investment income. However, an ageing population will remain a concern for pension providers as more people retire and claim their retirement benefits, ratcheting up liabilities.
International trade is one of the most pressing topics on the UK’s Brexit checklist. With no definitive EU deal in immediate sight, it is not just the UK-EU trade that is at stake, but also the continuity of a number of trade agreements with third countries that take effect automatically with EU membership. It is fair to say that this uncertainty surrounding the UK’s international trade will not help the fluctuations experienced in the UK’s goods export as displayed in this statistic.
UK exports in and outside the EU
Since 2008, the UK ships more goods to non-EU countries than EU27. Nevertheless, even with its shrinking share in UK exports, the EU market accounts for the largest proportion of UK trade. This becomes more apparent when we look at the UK’s export trade partners as individual countries.
Trade balance swings
The UK is among the top exporting economies in the world, yet the country’s trade balance seems to be widening. In the first quarter of 2019, the UK’s trade deficit was the largest since 2016. This was down to increasing import activity, as export of trade goods still continued to improve over this period of time.
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According to Cognitive Market Research, the global Trade Credit Insurance market size will be USD 12154.2 million in 2024. It will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.50% from 2024 to 2031.
North America held the major market share for more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 4861.6 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.7% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a market share of over 30% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 3646.26 million.
Asia Pacific held a market share of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 2795.47 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.5% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America had a market share of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 607.71 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.9% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa had a market share of around 2% of the global revenue and was estimated at a market size of USD 243.08 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.2% from 2024 to 2031.
Small and medium-sized enterprises are expected to grow at the fastest CAGR over the projection period
Market Dynamics of Trade Credit Insurance Market
Key Drivers for Trade Credit Insurance Market
Rising Global Trade Activity Boosts Trade Credit Insurance Market Growth: An increase in worldwide imports and exports of goods and services is predicted to drive future growth in the trade credit insurance market. Exporting is selling goods and services to another country. Importing, on the other hand, is the act of acquiring goods and services from other countries and bringing them into one's own country. Trade credit insurance is used to protect trade companies' receivables from credit issues. Trade credit is a technique used by producers, importers, and exporters to simplify their financial processes. Trade expansion has boosted the demand for trade credit insurance. For instance, according to a February 2022 study provided by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), a Switzerland-based intergovernmental agency under the United Nations Secretariat, global trade reached a record $28.5 trillion in 2021. This is a 25% rise over 2020, and a 13% increase over 2019. After a very sluggish third quarter of trade growth in 2021, it continued in the fourth quarter, when commerce in goods increased by almost $200 billion, reaching a record high of $5.8 trillion
Uncertainties Propel Demand For Risk Mitigation Through Trade Credit Insurance: Economic volatility and uncertainties are projected to drive future growth in the trade credit insurance market. Economic fluctuations and uncertainties relate to variations and uncertainties in economic situations, such as GDP growth, stock market volatility, and exchange rate volatility, which can affect businesses and individuals. Economic fluctuations and uncertainties benefit trade credit insurance by shaping the risk landscape and influencing insurance rates, claims, and coverage. They also emphasize the importance of proactive risk management, early warning systems, and the development of novel technology. According to the Office for National Statistics, in September 2020 and October 2022, more than a third (35%) of businesses said that economic uncertainty had the greatest impact on their turnover
Restraint Factor for the Trade Credit Insurance Market
Various and conflicting Trade Regulations: Various laws have different standards and guidelines between countries, with financial centers taking a more unified approach to trade regulations. This becomes an important component for credit insurance enterprises to give answers, resulting in an inter-regulatory dispute that stifles the credit insurance market's growth. Export Credit Insurance (ECI), for example, covers a product or service exporter in the United States from the risk of a foreign customer failing to pay. As a result, adhering to regulatory requirements in different countries before providing trade credit insurance is a major impediment to the market's growth.
Trends of the Trade Credit Insurance Market
Digitalization and real-time credit risk analytics: Insurers are utilizing AI, big data, and APIs to deliver immediate credit risk evaluations and expedite underwriting processes. Th...
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Learn about the expected price hikes in the European steel market due to various challenges, including new trade restrictions and fluctuating energy costs.
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The global Trade Compliance Services market is experiencing robust growth, driven by increasing globalization, stringent regulatory environments, and the rising complexity of international trade. The market, estimated at $15 billion in 2025, is projected to exhibit a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7% from 2025 to 2033, reaching approximately $25 billion by 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key factors. The burgeoning e-commerce sector necessitates robust trade compliance strategies, while heightened geopolitical uncertainty and escalating trade tensions necessitate proactive risk management. Furthermore, the growing adoption of advanced technologies, such as AI-powered compliance solutions, is streamlining processes and enhancing efficiency. The increasing demand for consulting services, particularly in areas like denied party screening and compliance audits, is a significant driver. Pharmaceutical and high-tech industries are major contributors to market growth, owing to their intricate supply chains and strict regulatory frameworks. However, the market faces challenges, including the high cost of compliance, limited expertise in specialized areas, and the constantly evolving regulatory landscape. Segmentation analysis reveals that Consulting services dominate the market, followed by Denied Party Screening and Compliance Audits. Geographically, North America and Europe currently hold the largest market share, reflecting their established economies and complex trade relations. However, rapid industrialization and economic growth in Asia-Pacific, particularly in China and India, present significant opportunities for market expansion in the coming years. Key players in this market include established firms like Thomson Reuters and Kuehne+Nagel, along with specialized providers like Export Compliance Solutions & Consulting and Traliance. The competitive landscape is characterized by a mix of large multinational corporations and niche players, highlighting the evolving and sophisticated nature of the trade compliance field. Strategic partnerships, mergers, and acquisitions are likely to shape the market dynamics in the coming years, as firms strive for market consolidation and enhanced service offerings.
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Food-service contractors thrive on the need for convenient, efficient dining options driven by corporate clients, educational institutions and healthcare facilities. Businesses outsource these services to focus on core activities while ensuring quality food provision for employees, creating sustained demand and lucrative long-term contracts for specialist contract caterers. Industry revenue is expected to climb at a compound annual rate of 2.8% over the five years through 2025 to reach €66.8 billion, including a 0.9% hike in 2025. With expanding health and environmental consciousness across Europe, contract caterers are expanding their menus to offer healthier, organic meals. Moreover, as vegetarianism and veganism become more popular lifestyle choices, contract caterers are introducing a wider range of meat-free meals. Changing work arrangements have also impacted food-service contractors’ service offices. Hybrid working models have become popular, though more and more companies are asking employees to return to the office, driving attendance at canteens. The return of sports and leisure events alongside rebounding tourism following the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions also spurred revenue growth in 2022. However, prolonged economic uncertainty amid inflationary pressures, geopolitical tensions and recent trade war fears have subdued business sentiment and budgets, restricting spending on food caterers and profitability in the three years through 2025. Industry revenue is forecast to swell at a compound annual rate of 5% to €85.3 billion over the five years through 2030. Anticipated economic improvements will support business spending on contract caterers. As more companies outsource catering services, long-term contract opportunities will likely rise. Continually evolving consumer tastes will drive differentiation in the industry. The priority to provide healthy, sustainable and meat-free options is expanding, with consumers becoming more health-conscious and environmentally aware. Major caterers are adapting, offering innovative meals and investing in sustainability initiatives to attract clients.
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We examine how trade and policy uncertainty affect shipping freight rates, using a Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) model. Trade uncertainty has a strong effect on shipping costs, even though the effects become insignificant within a year. On the other hand, policy uncertainty has a slightly smaller initial effect but tends to have longer-lasting effects on shipping costs. Trade uncertainty tends to benefit European stocks, perhaps as investors may believe that consumers will shift to local companies, with the impact on US stocks also being (mildly) positive, despite the (lagged) deterioration in economic activity. Trade uncertainty tends to have a longer-lasting impact on GDP than policy uncertainty, given then known merits of comparative advantage, while the effect of policy uncertainty is higher in the European markets compared to the US ones.