Crude Oil fell to 65.37 USD/Bbl on July 2, 2025, down 0.12% from the previous day. Over the past month, Crude Oil's price has risen 3.09%, but it is still 21.43% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Crude Oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The annual price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is expected to reach an average of 61.81 U.S. dollars per barrel in 2025, according to a May 2025 forecast. This would be a decrease of roughly 15 U.S. dollar compared to the previous year. In the first months weeks of 2025, weekly crude oil prices largely stayed below 70 U.S. dollars per barrel amid trade tariffs and expected economic downturn. What are benchmark crudes? WTI is often used as a price reference point called a benchmark (or ”marker”) crude. This category includes Brent crude from the North Sea, Dubai Crude, as well as blends in the OPEC reference basket. WTI, Brent, and the OPEC basket have tended to trade closely, but since 2011, Brent has been selling at a higher annual spot price than WTI, largely due to increased oil production in the United States. What causes price volatility? Oil prices are historically volatile. While mostly shaped by demand and supply like all consumer goods, they may also be affected by production limits, a change in U.S. dollar value, and to an extent by market speculation. In 2022, the annual average price for WTI was close to the peak of nearly 100 U.S. dollars recorded in 2008. In the latter year, multiple factors, such as strikes in Nigeria, an oil sale stop in Venezuela, and the continuous increase in oil demand from China were partly responsible for the price surge. Higher oil prices allowed the pursuit of extraction methods previously deemed too expensive and risky, such as shale gas and tight oil production in the U.S. The widespread practice of fracturing source rocks for oil and gas extraction led to the oil glut in 2016 and made the U.S. the largest oil producer in the world.

Brent crude oil is projected to have an average annual spot price of 65.85 U.S. dollars per barrel in 2025, according to a forecast from May 2025. This would mean a decrease of nearly 15 U.S. dollars compared to the previous year, and also reflects a reduced forecast WTI crude oil price. Lower economic activity, an increase in OPEC+ production output, and uncertainty over trade tariffs all impacted price forecasting. All about Brent Also known as Brent Blend, London Brent, and Brent petroleum, Brent Crude is a crude oil benchmark named after the exploration site in the North Sea's Brent oilfield. It is a sweet light crude oil but slightly heavier than West Texas Intermediate. In this context, sweet refers to a low sulfur content and light refers to a relatively low density when compared to other crude oil benchmarks. Price development in the 2020s Oil prices are volatile, impacted by consumer demand and discoveries of new oilfields, new extraction methods such as fracking, and production caps routinely placed by OPEC on its member states. The price for Brent crude oil stood at an average of just 42 U.S. dollars in 2020, when the coronavirus pandemic resulted in a sudden demand drop. Two years later, sanctions on Russian energy imports, had pushed up prices to a new decade-high, above 100 U.S. dollars per barrel.

Brent fell to 67 USD/Bbl on July 2, 2025, down 0.16% from the previous day. Over the past month, Brent's price has risen 2.09%, but it is still 22.66% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Brent crude oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

On June 30, 2025, the Brent crude oil price stood at 66.64 U.S. dollars per barrel, compared to 65.11 U.S. dollars for WTI oil and 68.35 U.S. dollars for the OPEC basket. OPEC prices fell that week as concerns over supply constraints related to the Israel-Iran conflict eased.Europe's Brent crude oil, the U.S. WTI crude oil, and OPEC's basket are three of the most important benchmarks used by traders as reference for oil and gasoline prices. Lowest ever oil prices during coronavirus pandemic In 2020, the coronavirus pandemic resulted in crude oil prices hitting a major slump as oil demand drastically declined following lockdowns and travel restrictions. Initial outlooks and uncertainty surrounding the course of the pandemic brought about a disagreement between two of the largest oil producers, Russia and Saudi Arabia, in early March. Bilateral talks between global oil producers ended in agreement on April 13th, with promises to cut petroleum output and hopes rising that these might help stabilize the oil price in the coming weeks. However, with storage facilities and oil tankers quickly filling up, fears grew over where to store excess oil, leading to benchmark prices seeing record negative prices between April 20 and April 22, 2020. How crude oil prices are determined As with most commodities, crude oil prices are impacted by supply and demand, as well as inventories and market sentiment. However, as oil is most often traded in future contracts (whereby a contract is agreed upon, while the product delivery will follow in the next two to three months), market speculation is one of the principal determinants for oil prices. Traders make conclusions on how production output and consumer demand will likely develop over the coming months, leaving room for uncertainty. Spot prices differ from futures in so far as they reflect the current market price of a commodity.

Stocks of crude oil in the United States decreased by 5.84million barrels in the week ending June 20 of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Crude Oil Stocks Change - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Deterministic and stochastic are two methods for modeling of crude oil and bottled water market. Forecasting the price of the market directly affected energy producer and water user.There are two software, Tableau and Python, which are utilized to model and visualize both markets for the aim of estimating possible price in the future.The role of those software is to provide an optimal alternative with different methods (deterministic versus stochastic). The base of predicted price in Tableau is deterministic—global optimization and time series. In contrast, Monte Carlo simulation as a stochastic method is modeled by Python software. The purpose of the project is, first, to predict the price of crude oil and bottled water with stochastic (Monte Carlo simulation) and deterministic (Tableau software),second, to compare the prices in a case study of Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and the U.S. bottled water. 1. Introduction Predicting stock and stock price index is challenging due to uncertainties involved. We can analyze with a different aspect; the investors perform before investing in a stock or the evaluation of stocks by means of studying statistics generated by market activity such as past prices and volumes. The data analysis attempt to identify stock patterns and trends that may predict the estimation price in the future. Initially, the classical regression (deterministic) methods were used to predict stock trends; furthermore, the uncertainty (stochastic) methods were used to forecast as same as deterministic. According to Deterministic versus stochastic volatility: implications for option pricing models (1997), Paul Brockman & Mustafa Chowdhury researched that the stock return volatility is deterministic or stochastic. They reported that “Results reported herein add support to the growing literature on preference-based stochastic volatility models and generally reject the notion of deterministic volatility” (Pag.499). For this argument, we need to research for modeling forecasting historical data with two software (Tableau and Python). In order to forecast analyze Tableau feature, the software automatically chooses the best of up to eight models which generates the highest quality forecast. According to the manual of Tableau , Tableau assesses forecast quality optimize the smoothing of each model. The optimization model is global. The main part of the model is a taxonomy of exponential smoothing that analyzes the best eight models with enough data. The real- world data generating process is a part of the forecast feature and to support deterministic method. Therefore, Tableau forecast feature is illustrated the best possible price in the future by deterministic (time – series and prices). Monte Carlo simulation (MCs) is modeled by Python, which is predicted the floating stock market index . Forecasting the stock market by Monte Carlo demonstrates in mathematics to solve various problems by generating suitable random numbers and observing that fraction of the numbers that obeys some property or properties. The method utilizes to obtain numerical solutions to problems too complicated to solve analytically. It randomly generates thousands of series representing potential outcomes for possible returns. Therefore, the variable price is the base of a random number between possible spot price between 2002-2016 that present a stochastic method.

In 2024, the export price for one barrel of the Urals crude oil was expected to reach ** U.S. dollars. In the following year, the Russian government expected it to decrease slightly, and in 2027, it was projected to reach **** U.S. dollars per barrel. Urals is Russia's major export oil brand. Crude oil prices in Russia Different types of oil, such as light-weight, low-sulfur (light-sweet) grades and heavier, higher-sulfur (heavy-sour) crudes, can create differences in oil prices. Prices of a barrel of crude oil tend to fluctuate throughout the year due to factors like sulfur content, specific gravity, and location. In recent years, the price of Russian Urals crude oil reached a high of almost ** U.S. dollars per barrel in February 2022 and a low of **** U.S. dollars per barrel in April 2020. The Urals oil is used as a basis for Russian export oil mixture – a mix of heavy, high-oil from the Urals and Volga region and a light Siberian oil. The oil and gas industry account for a large majority of the country’s export income. Many global sources of crude oil are located in areas that are prone to political upheavals or have production disrupted by political events. Prices of major crude oil blends In comparison, the West Texas Intermediate crude oil price was estimated at **** U.S. dollars per barrel in 2024. Furthermore, Dubai Fateh oil prices have fluctuated in the past decade, having reached **** U.S. dollars per barrel in 2023. Prices of petroleum products fluctuate in parallel with crude oil prices but can also depend on seasonality, market factors, or refining outages. Petroleum products like gasoline, diesel, and petrochemical feedstocks are usually the most relevant to consumers.

Urals Oil fell to 61.57 USD/Bbl on July 1, 2025, down 2.98% from the previous day. Over the past month, Urals Oil's price has risen 6.16%, but it is still 24.30% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Urals Crude.

API Crude Oil Stock Change in the United States increased to 0.68 BBL/1Million in June 27 from -4.28 BBL/1Million in the previous week. This dataset provides - United States API Crude Oil Stock Change- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The US oil futures price, also known as the WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude oil price, represents the value of oil contracts for future delivery in the United States. It is an essential benchmark for oil traders, investors, and analysts to understand and predict market trends. Discover the factors that influence oil futures pricing and why it is crucial for traders and investors to closely monitor these prices to make informed decisions in the volatile oil market.

Palm Oil rose to 4,079 MYR/T on July 3, 2025, up 0.39% from the previous day. Over the past month, Palm Oil's price has risen 3.27%, and is up 0.30% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Palm Oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Heating oil price in the United States has peaked in winter 2022/23 at 4.31 U.S. dollars per gallon and has decreased ever since. Heating oil is a liquid petroleum product that is, among other things, used in residential buildings as a fuel oil in furnaces or boilers. Chemically, most heating oils are similar to motor diesel fuels and are often sold interchangeably. Forecast heating price in the U.S. The average price of heating oil in the United States in the winter of 2024/25 is expected to reach 3.44 U.S. dollars per gallon. Energy prices are projected to see a decrease this winter, because of increased production of heating fuels. The number of heating degree days, which are the days in which the average temperature is below 18 degrees Celsius (65 degrees Fahrenheit), also helps quantify the energy demand required to heat a building. What determines heating oil price? Generally, heating oil prices are collected during the heating season between October and March. In the U.S., the greatest determining factor for heating oil prices is the WTI crude oil price. Consumers can lower heating oil bills by considering when they purchase, reducing consumption, and through government assistance programs.

Natural gas rose to 3.50 USD/MMBtu on July 2, 2025, up 2.45% from the previous day. Over the past month, Natural gas's price has fallen 6.00%, but it is still 43.21% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Natural gas - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Shale gas and tight oil production in the United States is forecast to increase to more than 35 trillion cubic feet by 2050, up from 29.4 trillion cubic feet in 2024. Shale gas refers to natural gas that is trapped within dense shale formations. Tight oil is crude oil contained in such rock formations. It is extracted by drilling wells and pumping a sand, water, and chemical mixture into the rock. The pressure under which the mixture is pushed into fissures cracks the rock open, allowing for the gas and oil to be removed. Origins of U.S. shale gas production The extraction of shale gas and tight oil in the U.S. has increased dramatically since 2000; from about 1.77 trillion cubic feet to over 29 trillion cubic feet in 2024. The economic viability of shale exploration is a result of technological advances in horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing (fracking), as well as a surge in oil benchmark prices in the late 2000s and early 2010s. China's fast-growing economy meant it required ever greater amounts of petroleum products, while the largest oil producing body, OPEC, tightly controlled production output in order to push prices higher. This led to the WTI crude oil price climbing to an annual average of nearly 100 U.S. dollars in 2008, despite the onset of the financial crisis. Although early shale pioneer Mitchell Energy had experimented with horizontal drilling and fracking, it took until the 2000s for the technology to hit off. Shale gas production is concentrated primarily in regions such as the Northeast and the Gulf Coast, with Appalachia being the most productive U.S. natural gas region. Fossil fuel reserves in the U.S. The United States had 17.4 trillion cubic meters of proved natural gas reserves, as of 2023. The North American country ranked fourth among the leading countries by proved natural gas reserves. Russia led the ranking with over 44 trillion cubic meters. The same year, U.S. oil reserves amounted to over 47 billion barrels, more than double the amount in 2000.