United States (US) Durum Wheat Flour Market is expected to grow during 2025-2031

Wheat fell to 539.78 USd/Bu on July 24, 2025, down 0.13% from the previous day. Over the past month, Wheat's price has risen 2.18%, and is up 0.38% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Wheat - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

In 2017, imports of groats and meal of durum wheat in the U.S. stood at X tons, picking up by X% against the previous year. The total import volume had been increasing at an average annual rate of +X% over the period from 2007 to 2017; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2008, when the imports increased by X% year-to-year. The U.S.

After two years of decline, overseas shipments of durum wheat increased by 84% to 644K tons in 2023.

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Wheat Market Size 2025-2029

The wheat market size is forecast to increase by USD 87.6 billion at a CAGR of 4.6% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant shifts driven by several key trends and challenges. The growing vegan population represents a notable trend, as an increasing number of consumers adopt plant-based diets, leading to a higher demand for wheat-based food products and supplements. Simultaneously, the expansion of retail stores offering organic wheat-based supplements caters to the health-conscious consumer segment, further fueling market growth. The market plays a significant role in the global food industry, with its production and consumption influencing various sectors such as food manufacturing, food retail, and food service. However, the market faces challenges due to climate change and unpredictable weather patterns. Extreme weather conditions, such as droughts and heavy rainfall, can negatively impact wheat production, leading to supply chain disruptions and price volatility.
These challenges necessitate strategic planning and adaptability from market players to ensure a consistent supply of high-quality wheat products and maintain competitiveness. Companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities and navigate challenges effectively must focus on innovation, sustainability, and risk management strategies. Durum wheat, a key component in pasta and craft beer production, is also gaining attention, and will subsequently help with market expansion in the coming years. 

What will be the Size of the Wheat Market during the forecast period?

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The market encompasses various aspects, including gluten-free wheat, grain drying, and farming practices. Farmers employ precision agriculture to optimize wheat production, while grain drying ensures optimal moisture levels before storage in silos. Flour fortification enhances nutritional value, and flour milling technology, such as roller mills and stone mills, transforms wheat into various products like pasta and bread. Grain transportation and handling are crucial components, with grain elevators facilitating efficient movement. Grain inspection ensures grain quality, and certification guarantees adherence to industry standards. Wheat-based products, including bakery items, require careful flour blending and gluten content control. Wheat industry trends lean towards organic and non-GMO production, sustainability, and innovation in flour milling technology. The market is expected to witness notable expansion due to its increasing use in various industries, including food and animal feed.
Grain cleaning and grain storage are essential for maintaining grain quality and mitigating wheat price volatility. Pastry making and bread making continue to be significant applications, with the bakery industry driving demand for high-quality wheat and flour. Flour milling technology advances, such as grain inspection and grain handling systems, contribute to improved grain quality control. The market outlook remains positive, with ongoing research and development in wheat farming practices and wheat substitutes.

How is this Wheat Industry segmented?

The wheat industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Application

  Human
  Feed


Type

  Hard red winter
  Hard red spring
  Soft red winter
  Others


Distribution Channel

  Direct sales (B2B)
  Retail stores
  Online platforms


Geography

  North America

    US


  Europe

    France
    Germany
    Russia
    UK


  APAC

    China
    India
    Indonesia
    Pakistan
    South Korea


  Rest of World (ROW)

By Application Insights

The human segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period. Wheat, a significant global staple food, is renowned for its high carbohydrate content, primarily in the form of starch. Beyond its carbohydrate value, wheat offers essential nutrients, including protein, vitamins, soluble fiber, and phytochemicals. Consequently, wheat-based foods are popular worldwide, catering to both human consumption and industrial applications. These include refined wheat flour, pasta, noodles, beverages like wheat beer and malted milk, and various other processed goods. Wheat farming involves the use of fertilizers, herbicides, and water for optimal growth. Diseases and pests pose challenges to production, necessitating ongoing research and innovation. Winter and spring wheat varieties are cultivated, with spring wheat being more commonly used for food products due to its higher protein content.

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North America Durum Wheat Flour Market is expected to grow during 2025-2031

Graph and download economic data for Producer Price Index by Commodity: Farm Products: Hard Amber Durum Wheat (WPU01210105) from Dec 1984 to Jun 2025 about wheat, agriculture, commodities, PPI, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

The Latin American durum wheat market expanded significantly to $X in 2022, with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, consumption posted a remarkable increase. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

The North American durum wheat market reached $X in 2022, with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, consumption, however, continues to indicate a pronounced decrease. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

According to Cognitive Market Research, the global Wheat Seeds market size will be USD 4851.6 million in 2024. It will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.00% from 2024 to 2031.

North America held the major market share for more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 1940.64 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.2% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a market share of over 30% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 1455.48 million.
Asia Pacific held a market share of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 1115.87 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.0% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America had a market share of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 242.58 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.4% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa had a market share of around 2% of the global revenue and was estimated at a market size of USD 97.03 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.7% from 2024 to 2031.
The winter wheat seeds category is the fastest growing segment of the Wheat Seeds industry

Market Dynamics of Wheat Seeds Market

Key Drivers for Wheat Seeds Market

Technological Advancements to Boost Market Growth

Technological developments like gene editing and genetic engineering are influencing the dynamics and trends of the wheat seed market. By accelerating the development of wheat seeds, these technologies allow for the exact alteration of wheat's genetic composition to enhance characteristics like yield, disease resistance, and stress tolerance. The study for gene-edited wheat, which increases production by 10% and improves farming sustainability, started in Australia in May 2024. This invention is thought to be less dangerous and more similar to conventional plant breeding since it modifies the current natural genome without adding foreign DNA, unlike genetic manipulation. With the goal of having products on the market by 2028, Australian seed breeder InterGrain is working with American agritech startup Inari to import gene-edited wheat seeds. Furthermore, the market is transforming because of innovations like hybrid wheat seeds, which combine two genetically different parent lines to create children with hybrid vigor. In addition to having better resilience to pests, diseases, and environmental stressors, these wheat variants produce more than traditional wheat seeds.

Increasing Need for Drought-tolerant Wheat Seeds to Drive Market Growth

There is an increasing need for drought-tolerant wheat seeds that can flourish in harsh weather circumstances due to growing worries about climate change and the increasing frequency of unpredictable weather events like droughts and severe temperatures. A new climate-resilient wheat variety called Pusa Gehun Gaurav (HI 8840) was announced by the Indian government in August 2024. It was created by the Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR) to meet the various and difficult environmental conditions that affect wheat agriculture throughout India. Additionally, the need for disease-resistant wheat types is growing due to the increased prevalence of crop-damaging diseases such as Fusarium head blight, wheat rust, and powdery mildew. This is opening up profitable market potential for wheat seeds. For instance, in June 2024, Canada created the DT2033, an ergot-resistant durum wheat line with intermediate resistance to fusarium head blight (FHB).

Restraint Factor for the Wheat Seeds Market

Growing difficulties with wheat seed maintenance Will Limit Market Growth

To maintain their quality and integrity, wheat seeds need particular environmental factors, such as low moisture content and consistent temperatures. High humidity can encourage the growth of fungi and the degeneration of seeds, while temperature changes hasten the ageing of seeds. Other serious problems that need hygienic practices and pest management techniques include pest and pathogen infestation. The natural ageing processes that stored wheat seeds go through over time lower their germination rates. Due to their limited access to adequate storage infrastructure and resources, the great majority of farmers experience losses after harvest. The market's expansion is thus hampered by inadequate storage facilities, which also add to t...

Interactive chart of historical daily wheat prices back to 1975. The price shown is in U.S. Dollars per bushel.

Product Market size is rising upward in the past few years And it is estimated that the market will grow significantly in the forecasted period

Wheat Seeds Market size is expected to be worth around USD 8.5 Billion by 2034, from USD 5.6 Billion in 2024, growing at a CAGR of 4.3%

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Pasta Market Size 2025-2029

The pasta market size is forecast to increase by USD 8.24 billion at a CAGR of 3.7% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is witnessing significant growth, driven primarily by the increasing demand for instant pasta. Consumers' busy lifestyles and the convenience offered by ready-to-eat food and pasta products have led to their increasing popularity. Additionally, the market is witnessing a trend towards local flavors and varieties, reflecting consumers' growing preference for authentic and diverse culinary experiences. However, this market landscape is not without challenges. False claims by some companies regarding product authenticity and quality pose a significant threat to market transparency and trust.
Companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities must prioritize product innovation, transparency, and authenticity to differentiate themselves from competitors and maintain consumer trust. Navigating these challenges effectively will be crucial for long-term success in the market.

What will be the Size of the Pasta Market during the forecast period?

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The market continues to evolve, with dynamic trends shaping its landscape. Pasta dishes remain a staple in various sectors, from home cooking to foodservice and retail. Pasta drying and production techniques advance, influencing dry pasta's quality and consumer preferences. Pasta standards ensure product safety and sustainability, with organic, gluten-free, and whole wheat options gaining popularity. Fresh filled pasta emerges as a premium alternative, while pasta brands innovate through advertising and new product launches. Pasta recipes expand, incorporating diverse cuisines and ingredients.
Pasta technology streamlines processing and distribution, addressing the growing demand for convenience and affordability. Pasta sustainability becomes increasingly important, with eco-friendly packaging and ethical production methods gaining traction. Pasta innovation continues, with artisan pasta and specialty varieties capturing consumer attention. Pasta regulations ensure compliance, while pasta pricing remains a key competitive factor. Overall, the market's continuous evolution reflects its enduring appeal and versatility.

How is this Pasta Industry segmented?

The pasta industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Product

  Dried pasta
  Chilled and fresh pasta
  Canned and preserved pasta


Distribution Channel

  Offline
  Online


Raw Material

  Semolina
  Refined flour
  Durum wheat
  Chickpea
  Others


Type

  Spaghetti
  Penne
  Elbows
  Fettuccine and linguine
  Others


Application

  Household
  Foodservice
  Industrial


Geography

  North America

    US
    Canada


  Europe

    France
    Germany
    Italy
    UK


  APAC

    China
    India
    Japan


  South America

    Brazil


  Rest of World (ROW)

By Product Insights

The dried pasta segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Dried pasta, the longest-lasting and most widely consumed pasta variety worldwide, is renowned for its firm texture and ability to hold up well in strongly flavored dishes and sauces. Its production involves combining semolina flour, water, and essential ingredients, which are then extruded, dried, or baked. The market offers a diverse range of dried pasta products to cater to various consumer preferences. Certifications ensure pasta quality and safety, while trends favor organic and gluten-free options. Pasta sauces, an integral part of many dishes, complement the versatility of pasta. Restaurants and foodservice establishments serve pasta dishes to meet the growing demand.

The marketing strategies emphasize convenience, health benefits, and cultural significance. Innovation in pasta technology includes advancements in extrusion, processing, and packaging. Regulations govern pasta production and distribution to maintain standards. Artisan pasta, filled pasta, and specialty pasta cater to niche markets. Consumption patterns vary based on regional preferences and cultural influences. Pasta competition is fierce, with numerous brands offering a wide array of products. Pricing strategies aim to cater to different consumer segments. Whole wheat pasta and other healthier options are gaining popularity. Sustainability and eco-friendly practices are becoming increasingly important in pasta production. Fresh pasta, while delicious, has a shorter shelf life and requires more careful handling. Dried pasta's market share remains strong due to its convenience, long shelf life, and versatility. Its wide appeal and adaptability to various cuisines ensure its continued popularity.

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The global Italian flour market is experiencing robust growth, driven by increasing consumer demand for authentic Italian cuisine and the rising popularity of homemade pasta and baked goods. The market, valued at approximately $2.5 billion in 2025, is projected to exhibit a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5% from 2025 to 2033. This growth is fueled by several key factors. The expanding food service industry, particularly the rise of Italian restaurants and pizzerias globally, significantly contributes to the market's expansion. Furthermore, the increasing awareness of the health benefits associated with whole wheat and durum wheat flours, key components of Italian flour, is driving demand among health-conscious consumers. The segmentation of the market reveals strong performance across various applications, including home baking, food manufacturing, and restaurants, with the food manufacturing segment expected to show the highest growth rate due to large-scale production needs. Regional variations exist, with North America and Europe currently holding significant market shares, however, Asia Pacific is expected to witness substantial growth in the coming years due to increasing disposable incomes and changing dietary preferences. While challenges such as fluctuating wheat prices and competition from other flour types exist, the overall market outlook remains positive, indicating continued expansion over the forecast period. The competitive landscape comprises both established international brands like Barilla and smaller, regional producers focusing on specialized or artisanal flours. These companies are leveraging strategies such as product diversification, brand building, and strategic partnerships to gain a competitive edge. Innovation in flour types, like the development of gluten-free and organic options, further cater to evolving consumer preferences. The market's success hinges on the ability of companies to adapt to these changing demands, meet rising quality standards, and maintain efficient supply chains amidst global economic fluctuations. The continued growth in the demand for authentic Italian food globally positions the Italian flour market for long-term success.

Product Market size is rising upward in the past few years And it is estimated that the market will grow significantly in the forecasted period

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Filled Fresh Pasta Market Size 2025-2029

The filled fresh pasta market size is forecast to increase by USD 3.43 billion at a CAGR of 5.1% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth, driven by the increasing preference for ready-to-cook and instant food products among consumers. This trend is particularly prominent in Europe, where demand for filled fresh pasta is on the rise from various regions. However, market growth is not without challenges. Fluctuations in raw material costs pose a significant threat to market players, as price volatility can impact profitability and product affordability. To capitalize on market opportunities and navigate these challenges effectively, companies must focus on optimizing their supply chains, exploring alternative raw material sources, and investing in research and development to innovate and differentiate their offerings. Consumers are increasingly seeking authenticity and local flavors, leading to a growing demand for traditional pasta varieties, noodles, and regional specialties.
By staying agile and responsive to market dynamics, players can seize opportunities in the evolving filled fresh pasta landscape and build sustainable, profitable businesses. Moreover, the market is facing challenges from false claims made by some companies regarding the nutritional value and authenticity of their products, including filled fresh pasta.

What will be the Size of the Filled Fresh Pasta Market during the forecast period?

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The market exhibits dynamic growth, driven by the enduring appeal of traditional pasta dishes and the emergence of innovative culinary trends. With a significant global market size and continuous expansion, key factors fueling this growth include the increasing popularity of pasta artisans and the integration of data analytics in pasta production. Sustainability and customer experience are also critical priorities, leading to advancements in pasta manufacturing processes and the implementation of loyalty programs. The industry outlook is promising, with pasta tourism, education, and collaborations contributing to the sector's cultural significance. Health-conscious consumers seek out pasta made from durum wheat semolina, which is rich in vitamins, iron, and dietary fiber, providing sustained energy.

How is this Filled Fresh Pasta Industry segmented?

The filled fresh pasta industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD million' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Distribution Channel

  Offline
  Online


End-user

  Commercial
  Residential


Geography

  Europe

    France
    Germany
    Italy
    Spain
    UK


  North America

    US
    Canada


  APAC

    China
    India
    Japan


  South America



  Middle East and Africa

By Distribution Channel Insights

The offline segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period. The market encompasses the sales of pasta products with various fillings through both online and offline channels. In the offline segment, revenue is generated via sales at specialty stores, hypermarkets, supermarkets, department stores, and drugstores. However, the preference for online shopping has led to a decline in offline sales. To counteract this trend, retailers are expanding their presence in local and regional markets and increasing their operations at different locations. Product differentiation is a key strategy in the market, with offerings catering to various dietary restrictions, including vegetarian, gluten-free, vegan, kosher, and halal. Quality control is paramount in maintaining the freshness and texture of pasta, with companies investing in advanced pasta making equipment such as pasta sheeting machines, pasta forming machines, and pasta filling machines. Health-conscious consumers are increasingly seeking pasta made from durum wheat semolina, which is rich in B vitamins, iron, and dietary fiber

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The Offline segment was valued at USD 7.77 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period. Innovations in flavors and pasta shapes, as well as the use of local ingredients, have contributed to the growth of the gourmet food sector within the market. Consumer preferences for convenience foods, meal kits, and online grocery have also driven market growth. Companies are focusing on food safety, sustainable practices, and fine dining presentations to attract customers. Shelf life is extended through vacuum packaging, modified atmosphere packaging, and frozen storage. Brand building and ingredient sourcing are essential aspects of the market, with companies seeking to differentiate themselves through uniqu