Over the last decade, Japan’s population has aged more and more, to the point where more than a quarter of Japanese were 65 years and older in 2022. Population growth has stopped and even reversed, since it’s been in the red for several years now.
It’s getting old
With almost 30 percent of its population being elderly inhabitants, Japan is considered the “oldest” country in the world today. Japan boasts a high life expectancy, in fact, the Japanese tend to live longer than the average human worldwide. The increase of the aging population is accompanied by a decrease of the total population caused by a sinking birth rate. Japan’s fertility rate has been below the replacement rate for many decades now, mostly due to economic uncertainty and thus a decreasing number of marriages.
Are the Japanese invincible?
There is no real mystery surrounding the ripe old age of so many Japanese. Their high average age is very likely due to high healthcare standards, nutrition, and an overall high standard of living – all of which could be adopted by other industrial nations as well. But with high age comes less capacity, and Japan’s future enemy might not be an early death, but rather a struggling social network.
In 2023, people aged 65 years and older in Japan accounted for approximately **** percent of the total Japanese population. Due to a low birth rate and high longevity, people aged 65 years and older were estimated to make up almost ** percent of the population in Japan by 2070.
In 2020, around *** percent of the population in depopulated areas in Japan were aged 85 or older, as opposed to the national average of *** percent. The largest difference between the national average and depopulated areas could be observed among people aged 60 and older.
According to a projection made in 2023, it was forecast that the number of people aged 65 years or older in Japan would increase from about **** million in 2024 to around ** million people by 2033. By contrast, the number of children, as well as the working-age population, was forecast to shrink in the same period.
The median age of the population in Japan has steadily been increasing since 1950 and is projected to be around 47.7 years old in 2020. As of 2021, the median age of Japan is the second highest in the world, behind the Principality of Monaco. The elderly in Japan An improved quality of life and regular health checks are just two reasons why Japan has one of the highest life expectancies in the world. The life expectancy from birth in Japan improved significantly after World War II, rising 20 years in the decade between 1945 and 1955. As life expectancy continues to increase, Japan expects difficulties caring for the older generation in the future. Shortages in the service sector are already a major concern, with demand for nurses and care workers increasing. Fertility and birth rates The fertility rate among Japan’s population has been around 1.4 children per woman since 2010. Apart from a small baby boom in the early seventies, the crude birth rate of Japan has been declining since 1950 and is expected to be as low as 7.5 births per thousand people in 2020. With falling birth rates and such a large share of its inhabitants reaching their later years, Japan’s total population is expected to continue declining.
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The world's most accurate population datasets. Seven maps/datasets for the distribution of various populations in Japan: (1) Overall population density (2) Women (3) Men (4) Children (ages 0-5) (5) Youth (ages 15-24) (6) Elderly (ages 60+) (7) Women of reproductive age (ages 15-49).
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Japan is one of the highly urbanized and severely aging society. In an aging society, chronic disease and disability are prevalent, and the population is sensitive to environmental issues and climate change. To detect the impacts of population changes, formulate the population and public health policies, and assist environmental applications, the high-resolution and accurate gridded population dataset is strongly desired. To provide basic data for these studies, we create an open access annual dataset containing the total, male, and female population counts in each grid at a 500-m resolution from 2001 to 2020. The yearly population dataset is based on the 4th-level mesh data from the Statistics Bureau of Japan to make it easy to use. The dataset is provided here alongside the descriptions of the data and methods used in the fitting, cross-validation, and prediction processes.
The total population data are stored in 20 attributes, named the “X0000” style. The “0000” of “X0000” represents the four-digit year. For example, the attribute “X2001” reports the total 2001 population in the mesh. The dataset also preserves the direct output from the random forest and the logarithms of the total population. The attributes of the logarithms of the total population in each year are named in “X0000_log” style. The “0000” of “X0000_log” also stands for the four-digit year. The attributes of the female population, the logarithm of the female population, the male population, and the logarithm of the male population are written as “X0000_fema”, “X0000_fe_l”, “X0000_male”, and “X0000_ma_l”, respectively.
The accuracy of the models constructed to predict the total, male, and female populations are 92.09%, 91.92%, and 92.16%, respectively.
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Text A, Representation theorem for a right eigenvector of an irreducible non-negative matrix. Text B, Theorem for infinite series expansion of characteristic equation. Text C, Original definition of type-reproduction number. Text D, Extension theorem of type-reproduction number. (ZIP)
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This bar chart displays median age (year) by currency using the aggregation average, weighted by population in Japan. The data is about countries per year.
The Japanese Archipelago consists of a series of isolated yet interconnected islands off the Eurasian continent. The linear topography of the archipelago presents a unique biogeographic context for the dispersal of organisms from the continent. In this study, mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) and single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) variation were employed to elucidate the dispersal history of the Japanese clouded butterfly (Parnassius glacialis) across the Japanese Archipelago, including the northern island (Hokkaido), the main island (Honshu), and Shikoku Island. Network analysis of 1192 bp of mtDNA (cytochrome oxidase I and II) regions revealed 49 haplotypes and three distinct haplotype groups, which correspond geographically to Eastern Japan, Western Japan, and Chugoku–Shikoku. The Chugoku–Shikoku group is the most ancient lineage. Divergence time estimates using whole-genome sequencing of mtDNA suggest that the Japanese lineage diverged from the continental P. glacialis approximately 3.08 ..., SNPs were detected from the extracted DNA using the genotyping by random amplicon sequencing, direct (GRAS-Di) method designed by Enoki and Takeuchi (2018) and described by Hosoya et al. (2019); this method offers simple library construction and the capacity to detect many SNPs. Briefly, libraries were constructed through two sequential PCR steps, similar to multiplexed inter-simple sequence repeat genotyping by sequencing (Suyama and Matsuki 2015). The first PCR primers consisted of 10 bases of Illumina Nextera adaptor 3-end sequences plus 3-base random oligomers (13 bases). The final PCR product was purified using columns or magnetic beads without size selection and then employed for sequencing on an Illumina platform (Illumina, San Diego, CA, USA). Cyclized DNA was prepared using the produced library and the MGIEasy universal library conversion kit (App-A, MGI Tech) according to the manufacturer’s instructions. DNBs were prepared using the DNBSEQ DNB Rapid Make reagent kit (MGI Tech)..., , # Dual expansion routes likely underlie the present-day population structure in a Parnassius butterfly across the Japanese Archipelago
https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.69p8cz9d3
Each sample’s raw fastq sequence data for SNP and haplotype of mtDNA
Description: Each sample’s raw fastq sequence data and haplotype
In Japan, ** percent of the population was 65 years or older in 2025, underlining the aging population of the country. Among the G7, Japan and Italy had a higher share of people aged 65 years. The United States had the highest share of children and youth between zero and 19 years at nearly ** percent.
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Vicia sepium (bush vetch) is a perennial legume widely distributed throughout the Eurasian continent. However, its distribution in Japan is limited to Mt. Ibuki and small parts of central and southern Hokkaido. Therefore, each Japanese V. sepium lineage has been considered to have been introduced separately from Europe. Here, we examined whether the species was introduced or not on the basis of cpDNA sequences and genome-wide SNPs from Japanese and overseas samples. Both the cpDNA haplotype network and the nuclear DNA phylogenetic tree showed that Japanese V. sepium is monophyletic. Furthermore, although the nuclear DNA phylogenetic tree also showed that each lineage is clearly monophyletic, genetic admixture of the genetic cluster dominated in the Hokkaido lineage was also detected in the Mt. Ibuki lineage. Population divergence analysis showed that the two lineages diverged during the last glacial period. The Mt. Ibuki lineage showed a sudden population decline 300–400 years ago, indicating that some anthropogenic activity might be involved, while the Hokkaido lineage showed a gradual population decline from 5,000 years ago. Consequently, these two lineages show low current genetic diversity compared with overseas lineages. These results show that the Japanese V. sepium is not introduced but is native. Methods Six SNP data sets were generated for different data analyses shown in Table 2 in the main text.
Longitudinal data set of a nationally representative sample of the population aged 65 and over in Japan, comparable to that collected in the US and other countries. The first two waves of data are now available to the international research community. The sample is refreshed with younger members at each wave so it remains representative of the population at each wave. The study was designed primarily to investigate health status of the Japanese elderly and changes in health status over time. An additional aim is to investigate the impact of long-term care insurance system on the use of services by the Japanese elderly and to investigate the relationship between co-residence and the use of long term care. While the focus of the survey is health and health service utilization, other topics relevant to the aging experience are included such as intergenerational exchange, living arrangements, caregiving, and labor force participation. The initial questionnaire was designed to be comparable to the (US) Longitudinal Study of Aging II (LSOAII), and to the Asset and Health Dynamics Among the Oldest Old (AHEAD, a pre-1924 birth cohort) sample of the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), which has now been merged with the HRS. The sample was selected using a multistage stratified sampling method to generate 340 primary sampling units (PSUs). The sample of individuals was selected for the most part by using the National Residents Registry System, considered to be universal and accurate because it is a legal requirement to report any move to local authorities within two weeks. From each of the 340 PSUs, 6-11 persons aged 65-74 were selected and 8-12 persons aged 75+ were sampled. The population 75+ was oversampled by a factor of 2. Weights have been developed for respondents to the first wave of the survey to reflect sampling probabilities. Weights for the second wave are under development. With these weights, the sample should be representative of the 65+ Japanese population. In fall 1999, 4,997 respondents aged 65+ were interviewed, 74.6 percent of the initial target. Twelve percent of responses were provided by proxies, because of physical or mental health problems. The second wave of data was collected in November 2001. The third wave was collected in November 2003. Questionnaire topics include family structure, and living arrangements; subjects'''' parents/spouse''''s parents/children; socioeconomic status; intergenerational exchange; health behaviors, chronic conditions, physical functioning; activities of daily living and instrumental activities of daily living; functioning in the community; mental health depression measures; vision and hearing; dental health; health care and other service utilization. A CD is available which include the codebook and data files for the first and second waves of the national sample. The third wave of data will be released at a later date. * Dates of Study: 1999-2003 * Study Features: Longitudinal, International * Sample Size: ** 4,997 Nov/Dec 1999 Wave 1 ** 3,992 Nov 2001 Wave 2 ** Nov 2003 Wave 3 Link: * ICPSR: http://www.icpsr.umich.edu/icpsrweb/ICPSR/studies/00156
According to a survey conducted mainly in September 2023, people who bought a new motorcycle in Japan were typically between 50 and 59 years of age, accounting for ** percent of respondents. More than two in three buyers had surpassed the age of **, and the average buyer's age was **** years.
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This bar chart displays population (people) by ISO 3 country code using the aggregation sum in Japan. The data is filtered where the date is 2021. The data is about countries per year.
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This bar chart displays rural population (people) by date using the aggregation sum in Japan. The data is about countries per year.
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This bar chart displays female population (people) by date using the aggregation sum in Japan. The data is about countries per year.
We evaluated the effect of the Great Tohoku earthquake, which occurred on March 11, 2011 in Japan, on the genetic diversity and population structure of Pacific herring (Clupea pallasii). Pacific herring (n = 4466) were collected between 2003 and 2014 through more than 20 sampling events during spawning periods at nine spawning sites throughout the Pacific herring distribution range in Japan. We measured them and genotyped 3784 fish at five microsatellite loci. Following the tsunami, the sea-spawning population at the center of the affected area was almost extirpated and was replaced by a genetically distinct lagoon-spawning population from an adjacent brackish lake. However, the pattern of gene flow was stable for populations, with unique admixture proportions in local populations despite the high gene flow (FST = 0.0184). Our results indicate that Pacific herring in Japan spawn in a range of salinities and exchange genes between local populations regardless of the spawning ecotypes. We...
In 2023, approximately *** million people within the age group of 15 to 64 years were counted in Tokyo Prefecture, an increase from about *** million people recorded in 2020. Over *** million inhabitants in the metropolis were aged 65 years and older.
Constrained estimates, total number of people per grid-cell. The dataset is available to download in Geotiff format at a resolution of 3 arc (approximately 100m at the equator). The projection is Geographic Coordinate System, WGS84. The units are number of people per pixel. The mapping approach is Random Forest-based dasymetric redistribution.
More information can be found in the Release Statement
The difference between constrained and unconstrained is explained on this page: https://www.worldpop.org/methods/top_down_constrained_vs_unconstrained
Over the last decade, Japan’s population has aged more and more, to the point where more than a quarter of Japanese were 65 years and older in 2022. Population growth has stopped and even reversed, since it’s been in the red for several years now.
It’s getting old
With almost 30 percent of its population being elderly inhabitants, Japan is considered the “oldest” country in the world today. Japan boasts a high life expectancy, in fact, the Japanese tend to live longer than the average human worldwide. The increase of the aging population is accompanied by a decrease of the total population caused by a sinking birth rate. Japan’s fertility rate has been below the replacement rate for many decades now, mostly due to economic uncertainty and thus a decreasing number of marriages.
Are the Japanese invincible?
There is no real mystery surrounding the ripe old age of so many Japanese. Their high average age is very likely due to high healthcare standards, nutrition, and an overall high standard of living – all of which could be adopted by other industrial nations as well. But with high age comes less capacity, and Japan’s future enemy might not be an early death, but rather a struggling social network.