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Aluminum fell to 2,884.05 USD/T on December 2, 2025, down 0.29% from the previous day. Over the past month, Aluminum's price has fallen 0.99%, but it is still 10.42% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Aluminum - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.
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Monthly and long-term aluminium price data (US$/mt): historical series and analyst forecasts curated by FocusEconomics.
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The aluminium price outlook is currently bullish due to increased demand, supply constraints, improving macroeconomic conditions, and industry trends towards sustainability. However, commodity prices are subject to volatility and can be affected by unforeseen events.
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Predicting the aluminum price forecast is a complex task that requires analyzing several macro and microeconomic indicators. This article explores factors that could impact the aluminum price forecast, including demand-supply dynamics, technological advancements, and political disruptions. Read on for insights into the aluminum market and expert predictions for the coming years.
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The global aluminum sector grow in 2025 to 2035 with several sectors like automobile, aviation, real estate, packaging, and electrical uses intensifying demand. The sector will reach USD 331.1 billion in 2035 with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.1%.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Size (2025E) | USD 183.1 Billion |
| Market Size (2035F) | USD 331.1 Billion |
| CAGR (2025 to 2035) | 6.1% |
Aluminium Market Analyzed by Top Investment Segments
| Series | CAGR (2025 to 2035) |
|---|---|
| Series 5 Aluminium | 7.2% |
| Processing | CAGR (2025 to 2035) |
|---|---|
| Extrusions | 7.4% |
Country Wise Analysis
| Country | CAGR (2025 to 2035) |
|---|---|
| USA | 4.5% |
| Country | CAGR (2025 to 2035) |
|---|---|
| UK | 4.2% |
| Country | CAGR (2025 to 2035) |
|---|---|
| European Union (EU) | 4.8% |
| Country | CAGR (2025 to 2035) |
|---|---|
| Japan | 4.1% |
| Country | CAGR (2025 to 2035) |
|---|---|
| South Korea | 4.3% |
Competitive Outlook
| Company Name | Estimated Market Share (%) |
|---|---|
| China Hongqiao Group | 14-19% |
| UC Rusal | 9-13% |
| Alcoa Corporation | 7-11% |
| Rio Tinto Aluminium | 5-9% |
| Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA) | 4-8% |
| Other Companies (combined) | 45-55% |
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The aluminium market size attained a value of USD 157.03 Billion in 2024. The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.65% during the forecast period of 2025-2034. By 2034, the market is expected to reach USD 272.07 Billion.
Construction and urbanization are influencing the aluminum market dynamics as rapid infrastructure development is demanding lightweight, durable, and corrosion-resistant materials. With global urban population, large-scale projects in emerging economies are increasing aluminium consumption. According to industry reports, 68% of the global population is estimated to reside in urban areas by 2050. Innovations in aluminium alloys are further enhancing performance, making it a preferred choice for smart cities and energy-efficient buildings, adding to market growth.
Regulatory frameworks are favoring the aluminium industry by enforcing emissions reductions, promoting transparency, and incentivizing sustainable practices. Mechanisms, such as the European Union’s Emissions Trading System and China's national ETS are compelling aluminium producers to account for their carbon emissions whilst increasing financial pressure on high-emission producers. Certifications such as the Aluminium Stewardship Initiative (ASI) and TÜV Rheinland’s CertAl are providing frameworks for producers to demonstrate compliance with environmental and social standards for enhancing market access and competitiveness.
Recycled aluminium is a major driver of the aluminium market due to its significant energy savings and environmental benefits. As per industry reports, the recycling rate of aluminium packaging globally touched 68.2% in 2024, drastically reducing carbon emissions and costs. As sustainability has become a priority globally, the automotive, packaging, and construction industries are increasingly relying on recycled aluminium to meet green standards and circular economy goals.
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In Q3 2025, North America, the Aluminium Sheet Price Index rose by 4.9% quarter-over-quarter, driven by tariff-induced feedstock cost shock. Check detailed insights for Europe, MEA and APAC.
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In the Q4 of 2023, the price of the aluminium alloy in USA reached 3657 USD/MT by December. Similarly, in Germany, the aluminium alloy prices hit 3173 USD/MT in the same month.
|
Product
| Category | Region | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aluminium Alloy | Metals | USA | 3657 USD/MT |
| Aluminium Alloy | Metals | Germany | 3173 USD/MT |
Explore IMARC’s newly published report, titled “Aluminium Alloy Pricing Report 2024: Price Trend, Chart, Market Analysis, News, Demand, Historical and Forecast Data,” offers an in-depth analysis of aluminium alloy pricing, covering an analysis of global and regional market trends and the critical factors driving these price movements.
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Goldman Sachs revises aluminium price forecast amid economic concerns, expecting a drop followed by a rebound by December 2025 due to tariff impacts on major economies.
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In Q3 2025, North America, the Aluminium Ingot Price Index rose by 7.35% quarter-over-quarter in Q3 2025, tariff-driven tightening. Check detailed insights for Europe and APAC.
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The global aluminium market rose to $X in 2022, with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a perceptible expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by X% against 2016 indices. Over the period under review, the global market hit record highs in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.
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The Aluminum Report is Segmented by Processing Type (Castings, Extrusions, Forgings, Flat-Rolled Products, and Pigments and Powders), End-User Industry (Automotive, Aerospace and Defense, Building and Construction, Electrical and Electronics, Packaging, and More), and Geography (Asia-Pacific, North America, Europe, South America, and Middle-East and Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Volume (Tons).
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Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Aluminium Alloy Ingot in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East Africa).
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The U.S. Aluminum Market was valued at $12.47 Bn in 2023 and is expected to reach $17.13 Bn by 2030 due to increasing industrial demand of aluminum.
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TwitterIn 2024, the average price for aluminum stood at 2,419 nominal U.S. dollars per metric ton. This statistic depicts the average annual prices for aluminum from 2014 through 2026.
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View monthly updates and historical trends for Aluminum Price. Source: World Bank. Track economic data with YCharts analytics.
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The Aluminum Market was valued at USD 222.59 billion in 2024, and is projected to reach USD 302.04 billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 4.6% from 2025 to 2030
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Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Aluminium oxide in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East Africa).
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In Q3 2025, North America, the Aluminium Wire Price Index is estimated to have increased by approximately 2.7% quarter-over-quarter. Check detailed insights for Europe and APAC.
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Aluminum prices in , October, 2025 For that commodity indicator, we provide data from January 1960 to October 2025. The average value during that period was 1454.43 USD per metric ton with a minimum of 496.04 USD per metric ton in March 1962 and a maximum of 3577.86 USD per metric ton in June 1988. | TheGlobalEconomy.com
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Aluminum fell to 2,884.05 USD/T on December 2, 2025, down 0.29% from the previous day. Over the past month, Aluminum's price has fallen 0.99%, but it is still 10.42% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Aluminum - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.