Live Cattle rose to 231.03 USd/Lbs on October 3, 2025, up 0.22% from the previous day. Over the past month, Live Cattle's price has fallen 2.50%, but it is still 23.54% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Live Cattle - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on October of 2025.

Feeder Cattle fell to 354.70 USd/Lbs on October 2, 2025, down 1.19% from the previous day. Over the past month, Feeder Cattle's price has fallen 2.04%, but it is still 42.52% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Feeder Cattle - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on October of 2025.

Beef rose to 305.80 BRL/15KG on October 2, 2025, up 0.07% from the previous day. Over the past month, Beef's price has fallen 2.43%, but it is still 7.00% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Beef - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on October of 2025.

The US beef cattle production industry is currently marked by tight supply conditions and elevated prices. Over recent years, persistent drought conditions have led to significant herd liquidation, with beef cow numbers falling to historic lows. This contraction has created a bottleneck in calf production and feeder cattle availability, sustaining high cattle prices. In tandem, elevated feed costs have pressured prices upwards and profit down, driving revenue as cattle producers seek to pass on costs and prevent further profit declines. As herd rebuilding has remained slow, cattle supplies have remained low and kept prices high even as feed, energy and other key agricultural input costs have declined from their highs in 2022. Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 6.0% during the current period to reach an estimated $95.9 billion after declining by 2.4% in 2025 as reduced consumption and supplies limit sales. Consumer preferences are shifting in the beef cattle production industry. There is an increasing awareness of environmental and health-related concerns associated with beef consumption. Consequently, many consumers are reducing their intake of conventional beef, turning instead towards more sustainable options and alternatives that are perceived as healthier or higher quality, such as grass-fed and organic beef. This shift has spurred growth in these segments as consumers look for transparency and ethical farming practices. Retailers and restaurants have responded accordingly by offering more options that align with these consumer preferences. However, these trends also pose challenges, especially for smaller producers who face significant costs associated with transitioning to sustainable practices or achieving certifications like organic or "sustainably raised." Though opportunities for growth will continue to present themselves, the outlook for the industry as a whole does not look as positive in the next five years. Poultry, pork and plant-based proteins will threaten beef demand as they appeal to health-conscious customers, particularly as cattle prices are elevated. Climate change will also continue to introduce environmental pressures, demanding resilience and adaptability from producers. Periods of stable weather could facilitate herd rebuilding, leading to increased cattle supplies and dropping prices, but continued climatic fluctuations and extreme weather events could reduce the consistency of production and increase revenue volatility. Advancements in technology, such as drones and wearable sensors, promise to help optimize cattle management, improving operational efficiencies and animal welfare. These innovations, however, require investment and broader accessibility through government support to ensure equitable adoption across the industry. Additionally, while global trade disruptions remain a concern due to disease outbreaks and geopolitical tensions, US producers will have opportunities in niche market segments to differentiate themselves, counterbalancing some of these pressures. Overall, revenue for cattle producers is forecast to decline through 2030 at a CAGR of 0.4% to $94.0 billion.

The retail price of 100% ground beef in the United States has risen significantly in the last two decades. In 2024, a pound of ground beef cost **** U.S. dollars, up from **** U.S. dollars in 2008. Cattle and beef production in the U.S. In 2022, there were almost ** million beef cows in the United States. Compared to sheep, pigs, and chickens, cows are very expensive to raise and require much more water, feed, and land per calorie generated. Though beef production fluctuates from year to year, there has been a positive trend in beef production in the last several years in the United States. U.S. beef market In terms of retail sales, beef is the leading type of fresh meat in the United States. On average, beef generates about *********** U.S. dollars in sales per store per week, compared to approximately *********** dollars for chicken, and less than ************* dollars for pork. As of 2021, per capita consumption of beef in the United States amounted to about ** pounds per year.

The revenue of the beef market in Sao Tome and Principe amounted to $X in 2018, coming down by -X% against the previous year. Overall, beef consumption, however, continues to indicate a strong expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of X% against the previous year. In that year, the beef market attained its peak level of $X, and then declined slightly in the following year.

Fresh regular 100% ground beef excluding round, chuck, and sirloin. Includes organic and non-organic. Excludes pre-formed patties."

The price per pound of beef and pork are forecast to increase in the United States until about 2027 and then will decrease slightly. The price of beef is forecast to be *** U.S. dollars per pound in 2028 and the price of pork is forecast to be over five U.S. dollars per pound that same year.

Sheep-beef cattle farmers have faced variable conditions over the past few years, including changing weather patterns, downstream demand fluctuations and price movements. These factors have fuelled very high revenue volatility. Revenue plummeted over 2022-23 and 2023-24 as a surging supply of sheep and cattle hit the market, causing prices to fall. Conversely, strong price growth in 2024-25 lifted revenue. In 2025-26, a decline in beef and sheep turn-off rates is driving an anticipated 6.0% drop in revenue and resulting in lower profitability for sheep-beef cattle farmers. Overall, industry revenue is expected to have climbed at an annualised 2.9% over the five years through 2025-26 to $6.1 billion. Rainfall patterns heavily influence revenue trends and farmers' operational decisions. When rainfall increases and pasture feed quality improves, the cost of keeping livestock decreases. Lower costs typically encourage farmers to decrease turn-off rates and expand their herds and flocks. That’s why revenue tends to contract in the short term when rainfall increases, but then surges in subsequent years as farmers can sell more livestock from larger herds and flocks. Prices for beef cattle, sheep and wool also tend to trend upwards when farmers are expanding their herds and flocks due to reduced supply for downstream markets, which further boosts revenue once herds and flocks have been rebuilt and livestock sales recover. Beef, sheep meat and wool prices have been extremely volatile in recent years. Skyrocketing turn-off rates in 2023-24 saw saleyard prices collapse, leading to a plummet in revenue. With turn-off rates dropping in subsequent years, prices have bounced back up. Profit margins have fluctuated wildly, in line with these revenue trends, and are significantly lower than they were in 2020-21. Industry revenue is projected to fall over the coming years and will continue to depend on weather conditions. Following strong herd rebuilding activity over the past three years, the volume of sheep and beef cattle sales will climb. Wool sales volumes are forecast to edge down slightly over the next five years, but prices are set to rise. However, constrained prices for beef, cattle, lambs and sheep are set to weaken the industry’s overall performance. Industry revenue is forecast to drop at an annualised 3.7% over the five years through 2030-31 to $5.0 billion.

The total beef production in the United States is estimated to be 26.96 billion pounds in 2023, down from 28.29 billion pounds in the previous year. Over the last two decades, the total U.S. beef production has fluctuated slightly but remained stable overall.

Beef retail in the United States Beef has the highest retail sales of any fresh meat in the United States, as of 2021. In that year, over 30 billion U.S. dollars worth of fresh beef were sold in the United States. The retail price for 100 percent ground beef in the United States was 4.8 U.S. dollars per pound in 2022, up from 3.95 U.S. dollars in 2020. Beef brisket, on the other hand, was priced on average around 8.84 U.S. dollars per pound in major grocery retailers.

U.S. beef consumption The United States consumes more beef than any other country in the world. Consumption of beef amounted to around 59 pounds per capita on an annual basis. This was projected to decrease slowly until 2032.

Livestock product prices serve as a barometer and bellwether for the agricultural market. However, traditional point prediction techniques focus mainly on tracking or fitting, resulting in limited information and challenges in evaluating the uncertainty of future prices. A comprehensive livestock price prediction model with joint point and interval prediction capabilities is proposed, with fuzzy mathematics and long short-term memory. Three main steps are taken: (1) data composition and reconstruction, to extract a set of relatively stationary subsequence components by complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) from original signal, and divide these components into three groups according to fuzzy entropy (FE) value. (2) characteristics categorization, determining the lower bound, mean, and upper bound of the rebuilt data via fuzzy information granulation (FIG) to better characterize the price fluctuation range. (3) price prediction, including point and interval predictions with attention mechanism long short-term memory (AM-LSTM). An empirical study was conducted on the weekly price data of pork, beef, and mutton in China from 2009 to 2023, incorporating discussions on different embedding dimensions, prediction step, fuzzy granulation window sizes, decomposition techniques, and prediction algorithms. The results indicate that the proposed interval prediction model can not only achieve high accuracy in point prediction, but also better capture price change intervals.

Grain-sheep and grain-beef cattle farmers' performance has been volatile over the past five years. Fluctuations in annual rainfall have contributed to volatile grain production over the past few years. Rainfall has heavily influenced livestock production and sales because of its effect on pasture feed quality and the price of manufactured feed. La Niña weather conditions brought wetter, cooler weather across much of the country from 2020 to mid-2023. As a result, pasture feed quality improved, reducing farmers' reliance on purchased feed. Improving conditions allowed farmers to rebuild their herds and flocks, leading to an increase in saleyard livestock prices. Higher rainfall also bolstered grain output, causing revenue to rise. As conditions became drier, turn-off rates climbed and cattle prices plummeted in 2023-24. Collapsing prices for sheep, lambs and beef cattle, alongside falling prices for grains (with the exception of oats), led to a plummet in revenue and profit across farms. Prices have since bounced back, though turn-off rates have remained relatively high. However, falling grain prices have continued to weigh on revenue and profit. Overall, industry revenue is expected to edge downwards at an annualised 0.4% over the five years through 2025-26 to $17.2 billion. After surging in 2024-25, partly recovering from steep losses in 2023-24, revenue is projected to fall 7.4% in 2025-26 as sheep and beef cattle turn-off rates decline and grain harvest volumes drop. Farmers will continue to be at the mercy of weather patterns. Extreme weather conditions have the potential to negatively affect grain-sheep and grain-beef farmers. Additionally, farmers will likely have restricted access to water from the Murray-Darling Basin due to policies that limit water extraction, which could create production difficulties for farmers located in the region. Revenue is projected to rise, although with heavy volatility over the coming years, as wheat and beef cattle prices recover, but lamb and coarse grain prices fall. Overall, industry revenue is forecast to rise at an annualised 1.1% over the five years through 2030-31 to $18.2 billion.

In January 2018, the average farm price of beef in Great Britain fell to ***** pence per kilogram. This was a drop of over ** pence per kilo from the highest price for beef recorded in September of 2017. Since the peak in September 2017, the price has been falling. The farm price of beef has generally fluctuated with no clear monthly trend for the past three years.

Retail Prices

In Retail, beef prices reached a new peak in January of 2018 with ***** pence per kilogram. This new peak in retail prices comes almost a year after prices fell to less than *** pence in the last month of 2016. For the past three years prices had generally been fluctuating between *** and *** pence. The spread between farm and retail price amounted to ***** pence in December of 2017.

UK Beef Consumption

Beef consumption in the UK is down by over ** grams per week compared to ten years ago. While at the same time weekly spending is up by around ** pence. Furthermore, 24 percent of consumers are looking to eat less meat. With prices high and dwindling demand, a further decrease in consumption seems likely.

Overview
The September edition of Agricultural commodities contains ABARES latest outlook for Australia's key agricultural commodities in 2018-19, which updates the outlook released in June 2018.

Key Issues • In 2018-19 the value of farm production is forecast to be relatively unchanged at $60 billion. • Dry conditions are affecting agricultural production in eastern Australia, but strong forecast production in Western Australia, rising grain prices, high livestock prices and a lower Australian dollar are providing support to farm incomes. • Export prices are forecast to increase by around 3% in 2018-19, driven by a decline in the global supply of grains and strong demand for meat products. • Downside risks to Australian agriculture include uncertainty around the duration of the drought in impacted areas, the timing and amount of rain in other regions, and possible disruption to world agricultural markets stemming from protectionist trade measures. Commodity production forecasts
• The value of crop production is forecast to decrease by 3 per cent to $30 billion in 2018-19. ◦ The decline is expected to be driven by a forecast decline in area planted in the eastern states. Drought conditions across eastern Australia restricted planting opportunities for crops, such as barley, canola and wheat. ◦ Higher forecast prices for canola, coarse grains, cotton and wheat are expected to mitigate the impact of lower crop volumes on the value of production. ◦ Wine grape and sugar production are forecast to rise as producing areas have been less affected by drought. The value of sugar production is nevertheless forecast to decline due to weak international prices. ◦ Horticultural production has increased following a warm winter, boosting production of a range of fruits and vegetables

• The value of livestock production is forecast to increase by 2 per cent to $30 billion in 2018-19. ◦ Drought in the eastern states has increased cattle and sheep turn-off, lifting meat production and leading to a forecast reduction in herd size. ◦ Dairy production is forecast to increase, as processors continue to offer relatively high milk prices. However, the production response is likely to be dampened by increasing feed and fodder costs. ◦ Wool production is forecast to be lower, constrained by lower flock numbers and poor grazing conditions.

Commodity export forecasts
• Export earnings for farm commodities are forecast to be $47 billion in 2018-19, down 5 per cent from $49 billion in 2017-18 • The decline in export earnings is largely due to lower exportable supplies of canola, coarse grains, pulses and wheat and increased domestic demand for grain. Agricultural export prices, measured by the index of unit export returns, are forecast to increase by 3% in 2018-19. ◦ Export earnings are forecast to decline in 2018-19 for canola (down 39 per cent), coarse grains (24 per cent), wheat (10 per cent), sugar (9 per cent), wool (2 per cent) and wine (1 per cent). Export earnings for beef and veal and live feeder/slaughter cattle are unchanged.

• Export earnings are forecast to be supported by strong demand from Asia and advanced economies for Australian livestock and livestock products. Higher prices for wheat, coarse grains and cotton are also expected to support earnings. ◦ In 2018-19 export earnings are forecast to rise for lamb (up 17 per cent), rice (14 per cent), mutton (13 per cent), cotton (9 per cent), cheese (6 per cent) and rock lobster (3 per cent).

• Export earnings for fisheries products are forecast to increase by 2 per cent in 2018-19 to $1.6 billion, after increasing by an estimated 10 per cent in 2017-18.

Assumptions underlying this set of commodity forecasts

Forecasts of commodity production and exports are based on global and domestic demand and supply assumptions.

• On the demand side, stronger world economic growth will translate to higher per person incomes in most of Australia's export markets, supporting stronger demand. ◦ World economic growth is assumed to be 3.9 per cent in 2018 and 2019. ◦ Economic growth in Australia is assumed to be 3.0 per cent in 2018-19. ◦ The Australian dollar is assumed to average US74 cents in 2018-19, lower than the assumed average of US78 cents in 2017-18.

• On the supply side, Australian agricultural production prospects are assumed to be below average. ◦ Dry conditions are forecast to have significant implications for crop yields and livestock production cycles in the eastern states.

Uncertainties that could affect agricultural commodity production and export growth include supply shocks in Australia or international markets (such as natural disasters, drought and disease outbreaks) or unexpected economic events that affect trade and economic growth.

Boxes on agricultural issues

Evolving EU biodiesel policies

• Proposed changes to the EU renewable fuels policy could increase demand for Australia's canola exports in the short to medium term. • Since 2010-11 the European Union has been the largest export market for Australian canola. Most canola is imported to produce renewable transport fuel.

Learn about the increasing demand for raw hides and skins of cattle in Australia, and how it is expected to drive market growth over the next decade. Market performance is forecasted to slow down slightly, with a projected increase in market volume to 82K tons by 2035 and market value to $113M.

AI-powered price forecasts for CALF stock across different timeframes including weekly, monthly, yearly, and multi-year predictions.

The revenue of the bovine hide and skin market in Liberia amounted to $X in 2018, coming down by -X% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, bovine hide and skin consumption continues to indicate a sharp deduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2009 with an increase of X% y-o-y. Over the period under review, the bovine hide and skin market reached its maximum level at $X in 2007; however, from 2008 to 2018, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The revenue of the bovine hide and skin market in Tajikistan amounted to $X in 2018, going down by -X% against the previous year. In general, bovine hide and skin consumption continues to indicate a deep slump. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of X% year-to-year. Tajikistan bovine hide and skin consumption peaked at $X in 2007; however, from 2008 to 2018, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Grass-Fed Beef Market Outlook

According to our latest research, the global grass-fed beef market size reached USD 12.3 billion in 2024, reflecting robust consumer demand for premium, sustainable meat products. The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.1% from 2025 to 2033, reaching a forecasted value of USD 23.2 billion by 2033. This growth is primarily driven by increasing health consciousness, evolving dietary preferences, and heightened awareness of animal welfare and environmental sustainability. The grass-fed beef market is witnessing strong momentum as consumers globally seek alternatives to conventional beef, favoring products perceived as healthier and more ethically produced.

One of the most significant growth factors for the grass-fed beef market is the rising consumer awareness regarding the health benefits associated with grass-fed beef compared to grain-fed counterparts. Grass-fed beef is widely recognized for its higher levels of omega-3 fatty acids, antioxidants, and vitamins, while having lower total fat content. As health-conscious consumers become more discerning, they are increasingly willing to pay a premium for meat products that support their wellness goals. Additionally, the growing prevalence of lifestyle diseases such as obesity, diabetes, and cardiovascular conditions is prompting a shift towards cleaner, more natural protein sources, further fueling demand for grass-fed beef. This trend is particularly pronounced in developed markets, but is rapidly gaining traction in emerging economies as well.

Sustainability and animal welfare considerations are also central to the expansion of the grass-fed beef market. Modern consumers are more informed about the environmental impact of food production, and grass-fed beef is often perceived as a more sustainable and humane option. Grass-fed cattle are typically raised on pasture, which supports regenerative agriculture practices, enhances soil health, and reduces the carbon footprint associated with feedlot operations. Furthermore, regulatory bodies and certification organizations are increasingly enforcing stringent standards for labeling and marketing grass-fed products, which is enhancing consumer trust and driving market growth. The alignment of grass-fed beef production with broader sustainability goals is attracting eco-conscious consumers and facilitating market expansion.

Another critical driver is the premiumization of the meat industry, as consumers seek higher-quality and more traceable food options. Grass-fed beef is positioned as a premium product, often commanding higher prices in retail and foodservice channels. This premium positioning is supported by targeted marketing campaigns, strategic partnerships with gourmet restaurants, and an increase in specialty butcher shops that cater to discerning clientele. The proliferation of e-commerce and online retail platforms has further democratized access to grass-fed beef, allowing producers to reach a global audience and consumers to conveniently source niche products. These factors collectively contribute to the strong growth outlook for the grass-fed beef market.

In addition to grass-fed beef, the market for Dry-Aged Beef is also experiencing a surge in popularity among gourmet consumers. Dry-aged beef is prized for its rich flavor and tender texture, achieved through a meticulous aging process that enhances the natural qualities of the meat. This process involves storing beef in a controlled, chilled environment for several weeks, allowing enzymes to break down muscle tissue and intensify the beef's taste. As consumers become more adventurous and seek out premium dining experiences, dry-aged beef is becoming a sought-after delicacy in high-end restaurants and specialty butcher shops. The growing interest in culinary excellence and unique flavor profiles is driving demand for dry-aged beef, positioning it as a complementary offering alongside grass-fed options.

From a regional perspective, North America and Europe lead the grass-fed beef market, accounting for the largest shares in terms of value and volume. These regions benefit from established supply chains, robust regulatory frameworks, and high consumer awareness. However, the Asia Pacific region is emerging as a high-potential market, driven by rising disposable incomes, urbanization, and a growing appetite for premium,