More than ************* mortgage loans are projected to be affected by the increasing mortgage interest rates in Canada by 2025. About *********** of these mortgages are projected to be up for renewal in 2024. These loans were taken out at a time when interest rates were much lower, meaning that homeowners will be affected by a notable increase in their monthly payments.

The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

In 2025, mortgage interest rates in Canada decreased. The five-year insured fixed mortgage interest rate as of May 2025 stood at **** percent, making it the most affordable mortgage type. Meanwhile, the insured mortgage rate fixed for under one year was the highest, at **** percent.

FocusEconomics' economic data is provided by official state statistical reporting agencies as well as our global network of leading banks, think tanks and consultancies. Our datasets provide not only historical data, but also Consensus Forecasts and individual forecasts from the aformentioned global network of economic analysts. This includes the latest forecasts as well as historical forecasts going back to 2010. Our global network consists of over 1000 world-renowned economic analysts from which we calculate our Consensus Forecasts. In this specific dataset you will find economic data for Canada Interest Rate.

This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 items: Canada ...).

Canada's inflation rate experienced significant fluctuations from 2018 to 2025. Inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022 before steadily declining to *** percent by December 2024. In early 2025, inflation began to increase again, rising to *** percent in February, and dropping to *** percent in March. In response to rising inflation between 2020 and 2022, the Bank of Canada implemented aggressive interest rate hikes. The bank rate reached a maximum of **** percent in July 2023 and remained stable until June 2024. As inflationary pressures eased in the second half of 2024, the central bank reduced interest rates to *** percent in December 2024. In 2025, the bank rate witnessed two cuts, standing at ***** percent in June 2025. This pattern reflected broader global economic trends, with most advanced and emerging economies experiencing similar inflationary challenges and monetary policy adjustments. Global context of inflation and interest rates The Canadian experience aligns with the broader international trend of central banks raising policy rates to combat inflation. Between 2021 and 2023, nearly all advanced and emerging economies increased their central bank rates. However, a shift occurred in the latter half of 2024, with many countries, including Canada, beginning to lower rates. This change suggests a new phase in the global economic cycle and monetary policy approach. Notably, among surveyed countries, Russia maintained the highest interest rate in early 2025, while Japan had the lowest rate. Comparison with the United States The United States experienced a similar trajectory in inflation and interest rates. U.S. inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022, slightly higher than Canada's peak. The Federal Reserve responded with a series of rate hikes, reaching **** percent in August 2023. This rate remained unchanged until September 2024, when the first cut since September 2021 was implemented. In contrast, Canada's bank rate peaked at **** percent and began decreasing earlier, with cuts in June and July 2024. These differences highlight the nuanced approaches of central banks in managing their respective economies amid global inflationary pressures.

Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in June 2025, from less than ******percent in many European countries to as high as ***percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increases in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2024, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.

Key information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• Canada Government Benchmark Bonds Yield: Month End: 10 Years was reported at 2.90 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 3.07 % pa in the previous month.
• Canada Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1993 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 9.28 % pa in Jun 1994 and a record low of 0.46 % pa in Jul 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Bank of Canada.

• In the latest reports, Canada Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills Yield: 3 Months was reported at 2.82 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Target Rate) was set at 3.00 % pa in Feb 2025.
• Canada Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.33 (USD/CAD) in Jun 2023.

Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data was reported at 6.490 % pa in 07 May 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 6.490 % pa for 30 Apr 2025. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data is updated weekly, averaging 5.700 % pa from Jan 2000 (Median) to 07 May 2025, with 1323 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.750 % pa in 31 May 2000 and a record low of 4.640 % pa in 12 Jul 2017. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.M005: Conventional Mortgage Rate. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for Canada (IRLTLT01CAM156N) from Jan 1955 to Jul 2025 about long-term, Canada, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, and rate.

This table contains 39 series, with data for starting from 1991 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 item: Canada); Financial market statistics (39 items: Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 1-month (composite rates); Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 2-month (composite rates); Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 3-month (composite rates);Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 6-month (composite rates); ...).

The Canadian home lending market, valued at approximately $X million in 2025 (assuming a reasonable market size based on available data and comparable markets), is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 5.00% through 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Increasing homeownership aspirations among Canadians, particularly among millennials and Gen Z, are significantly contributing to market demand. Favorable government policies aimed at supporting affordable housing, though potentially fluctuating, also play a vital role. Furthermore, the rise of innovative financial technologies and the increasing accessibility of online lending platforms are streamlining the borrowing process and broadening market reach. Competition is intense among a diverse range of lenders, including commercial banks (like Bank of Montreal and National Bank of Canada), financial institutions, credit unions (such as PenFinancial and First Ontario), and specialized mortgage providers (like True North Mortgage and IntelliMortgage). This competitive landscape fosters innovation and drives down costs for borrowers. However, the market faces challenges. Rising interest rates represent a significant restraint, impacting affordability and potentially slowing growth. Stringent lending regulations, designed to mitigate risk, can also restrict lending volume to some extent. Furthermore, economic uncertainties and fluctuations in housing prices can influence market sentiment and borrower confidence. Market segmentation shows considerable diversity, with fixed-rate loans maintaining a significant share, alongside growing demand for home equity lines of credit. The rise of online lending is transforming the sector, though offline channels remain important, particularly for complex mortgages or those requiring personalized guidance. The forecast period (2025-2033) presents both opportunities and risks for lenders, requiring strategic adaptation to prevailing economic and regulatory conditions. The continued growth of the market depends upon careful balance between affordable housing options and sustainable financial practices. Recent developments include: On March 15, 2022, First Ontario Credit Union announced its merger with Heritage savings & Credit union to offer the best in financial products and services., On February 09, 2022, Hello safe announced a new partnership with Hard bacon, a personal finance application used by more than 35,000 Canadians, this partnership is to leverage Hard bacon's portfolio of comparison tools.. Notable trends are: A Rise in Home Prices Boosting Home Equity Lending Market.

In July 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In the first half of 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 18 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at 0 percent in July 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 8.8 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

This table contains 102 series, with data starting from 2013, and some select series starting from 2016. This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 item: Canada), Components (51 items: Total, funds advanced, residential mortgages, insured; Variable rate, insured; Fixed rate, insured, less than 1 year; Fixed rate, insured, from 1 to less than 3 years; ...), and Unit of measure (2 items: Dollars; Interest rate). For additional clarification on the component dimension, please visit the OSFI website for the Report on New and Existing Lending.

Risk premium on lending of Canada went down by 0.76% from 2.20 % in 2016 to 2.18 % in 2017. Since the 8.74% surge in 2015, risk premium on lending reduced by 3.89% in 2017. Risk premium on lending is the interest rate charged by banks on loans to private sector customers minus the "risk free" treasury bill interest rate at which short-term government securities are issued or traded in the market. In some countries this spread may be negative, indicating that the market considers its best corporate clients to be lower risk than the government. The terms and conditions attached to lending rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.

This table contains 38 series, with data starting from 1957 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 item: Canada), Rates (38 items: Bank rate; Chartered bank administered interest rates - prime business; Chartered bank - consumer loan rate; Forward premium or discount (-), United States dollars in Canada: 1 month; ...).

The Canadian housing market, particularly in major urban centers, has experienced a prolonged period of rapid price appreciation, driven by factors such as low interest rates, strong population growth, and limited supply. According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), the national average house price rose by more than 50% between 2020 and 2022, with prices in some major cities, such as Toronto and Vancouver, increasing by even more. This rapid price growth has made it increasingly difficult for many Canadians to afford a home, especially in the country's most desirable markets. However, the Canadian housing market is starting to show signs of cooling in 2023, as rising interest rates and stricter mortgage lending rules from the government begin to take effect. The CMHC predicts that the national average house price will decline by 7.6% in 2023, with prices in some markets, such as Toronto and Vancouver, expected to fall by even more. This cooling is expected to continue in 2024, with the CMHC predicting a further decline in the national average house price of 3.2%. The long-term outlook for the Canadian housing market is more uncertain, but the CMHC expects that prices will continue to rise, albeit at a more moderate pace. The Canadian housing market is one of the most expensive in the world, with prices in major cities like Toronto and Vancouver soaring to record highs in recent years. This has led to a growing concern about affordability, as many Canadians are being priced out of the market. Key drivers for this market are: Increasing Adoption of Remote and Hybrid Work Model. Potential restraints include: Lack of Privacy. Notable trends are: Pandemic Accelerated Luxury Home Sales in Major Canadian Markets.

View market daily updates and historical trends for Secured Overnight Financing Rate. from United States. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Track …

The yield on Canada 10Y Bond Yield eased to 3.27% on September 5, 2025, marking a 0.08 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.14 points, though it remains 0.30 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on September of 2025.

The North American mortgage/loan broker market, encompassing the United States and Canada, exhibits robust growth potential. Driven by factors such as increasing homeownership aspirations, fluctuating interest rates stimulating refinancing activity, and the rising complexity of mortgage products requiring expert guidance, the market is projected to maintain a healthy Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.00% from 2025 to 2033. This growth is further fueled by the expanding segments within the market. The enterprise segment, particularly the medium and large-sized businesses, demonstrates strong demand for efficient loan processing solutions offered by brokers. Within applications, home loans continue to be a major driver, followed by growing demand for commercial and industrial loans, reflecting an active construction and business investment landscape. The increasing number of individuals and businesses seeking financial assistance contributes to market expansion, with geographical variations existing between the United States and Canada, reflective of their distinct economic climates and real estate markets. The presence of established players like PennyMac, Home Point, and JP Morgan Chase, alongside numerous regional and independent brokers, indicates a competitive yet dynamic market landscape. However, the market faces certain restraints. Economic downturns, stricter lending regulations, and technological disruptions impacting traditional broker models pose challenges to sustained growth. Nevertheless, the adaptation of innovative technologies, such as online platforms and AI-powered tools, by brokers is expected to mitigate these challenges. The segment comprising loans to governments, while presently smaller, presents a potential avenue for expansion, especially considering infrastructure development projects and government initiatives. Effective segmentation strategies, focusing on specific customer needs and leveraging advanced technologies, are crucial for brokers to gain a competitive edge and capitalize on market opportunities in the years to come. The overall outlook remains positive, with significant growth prospects for well-positioned players in the coming decade. Recent developments include: In November 2022, To expand the use of eNotes across 250 locations in 49 states, Primary Residential Mortgage Inc. (PRMI) employed the eVault and digital closing platform from Snapdocs., In August 2022, Due to the slowdown in home sales caused by rising interest rates, the two biggest mortgage lenders in the US are increasing pressure on their smaller rivals by providing discounts and other incentives. The two biggest mortgage originators in the US, Rocket Mortgage and United Wholesale Mortgage, respectively, are pursuing aggressive strategies at a time when many lenders are leaving the market or going out of business.. Notable trends are: Increase in Digitization in Lending and Blockchain Technology is driving the market.