Policy interest rates in the U.S. and Europe are forecasted to decrease gradually between 2024 and 2027, following exceptional increases triggered by soaring inflation between 2021 and 2023. The U.S. federal funds rate stood at **** percent at the end of 2023, the European Central Bank deposit rate at **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate at **** percent. With inflationary pressures stabilizing, policy interest rates are forecast to decrease in each observed region. The U.S. federal funds rate is expected to decrease to *** percent, the ECB refi rate to **** percent, the Bank of England bank rate to **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate to **** percent by 2025. An interesting aspect to note is the impact of these interest rate changes on various economic factors such as growth, employment, and inflation. The impact of central bank policy rates The U.S. federal funds effective rate, crucial in determining the interest rate paid by depository institutions, experienced drastic changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The subsequent slight changes in the effective rate reflected the efforts to stimulate the economy and manage economic factors such as inflation. Such fluctuations in the federal funds rate have had a significant impact on the overall economy. The European Central Bank's decision to cut its fixed interest rate in June 2024 for the first time since 2016 marked a significant shift in attitude towards economic conditions. The reasons behind the fluctuations in the ECB's interest rate reflect its mandate to ensure price stability and manage inflation, shedding light on the complex interplay between interest rates and economic factors. Inflation and real interest rates The relationship between inflation and interest rates is critical in understanding the actions of central banks. Central banks' efforts to manage inflation through interest rate adjustments reveal the intricate balance between economic growth and inflation. Additionally, the concept of real interest rates, adjusted for inflation, provides valuable insights into the impact of inflation on the economy.
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Graph and download economic data for Equity Market Volatility Tracker: Macroeconomic News and Outlook: Interest Rates (EMVMACROINTEREST) from Jan 1985 to May 2025 about volatility, uncertainty, equity, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.
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United States CSI: Expected Interest Rates: Next Yr: Go Down data was reported at 4.000 % in May 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 6.000 % for Apr 2018. United States CSI: Expected Interest Rates: Next Yr: Go Down data is updated monthly, averaging 11.000 % from Jan 1978 (Median) to May 2018, with 485 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 54.000 % in Jun 1980 and a record low of 3.000 % in May 2014. United States CSI: Expected Interest Rates: Next Yr: Go Down data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The question was: No one can say for sure, but what do you think will happen to interest rates for borrowing money during the next 12 months -- will they go up, stay the same, or go down?
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The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
In April 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 21 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.1 percent in April 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 10.2 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.
The median mortgage rate was the highest among Black and Hispanic mortgage applicants in the third quarter of 2023, followed closely by White applicants. Asian mortgage applicants for conventional conforming loans had lower interest rate, amounting to 6.63 percent.
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The benchmark interest rate in Sweden was last recorded at 2 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Sweden Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
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The global mortgage loan service market size was valued at approximately $10.5 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $18.2 trillion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6.1% during the forecast period. The growth of this market is driven by the increasing urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and favorable government policies aimed at promoting homeownership across various regions. Additionally, the proliferation of digital banking and fintech solutions has made mortgage services more accessible, further contributing to the market's expansion.
One of the primary growth factors for the mortgage loan service market is the significant rise in housing demand globally. As urban populations swell and economic conditions improve, more individuals and families are seeking to purchase homes, driving the need for mortgage loans. This trend is particularly evident in emerging markets, where urbanization is occurring at an unprecedented rate. Governments are also playing a crucial role by implementing policies and grants to make housing more affordable, thereby boosting mortgage adoption.
Technological advancements are another significant factor propelling the mortgage loan service market. The integration of AI, big data analytics, and blockchain technology has revolutionized the way mortgage services are delivered. These technologies streamline application processes, enhance risk assessment, and improve customer service, making it easier and faster for consumers to secure loans. Fintech companies, in particular, are leveraging these technologies to offer more competitive rates and personalized loan products, thereby attracting a broader customer base.
Furthermore, the increasing participation of non-banking financial institutions (NBFIs) and credit unions has diversified the mortgage loan service market. These entities often provide more flexible and innovative loan products compared to traditional banks, meeting the needs of a more varied clientele. NBFIs and credit unions also tend to have more lenient approval processes, making them an attractive option for individuals with non-traditional income sources or lower credit scores. This diversification is contributing significantly to the market's growth.
Mortgage Loans Software is playing an increasingly pivotal role in the evolution of the mortgage loan service market. As the industry embraces digital transformation, software solutions are being developed to streamline the entire mortgage process, from application to approval. These software platforms facilitate better data management, enhance customer experience, and improve operational efficiency for service providers. By automating routine tasks and providing real-time analytics, Mortgage Loans Software helps lenders make more informed decisions, reduce processing times, and minimize errors. This technological advancement is not only beneficial for lenders but also empowers borrowers by offering them greater transparency and control over their mortgage journey.
Regionally, North America continues to dominate the mortgage loan service market due to its well-established financial infrastructure and high homeownership rates. However, the Asia Pacific region is expected to register the fastest growth during the forecast period, driven by rapid urbanization, rising incomes, and government initiatives aimed at affordable housing. Countries like China and India are particularly noteworthy due to their large and growing middle-class populations.
The mortgage loan service market is segmented by type into fixed-rate mortgages, adjustable-rate mortgages, interest-only mortgages, reverse mortgages, and others. Fixed-rate mortgages are the most popular type, offering borrowers the stability of a constant interest rate over the life of the loan. This makes them particularly attractive in times of low-interest rates, as borrowers can lock in favorable terms for the long term. The predictability of monthly payments also makes fixed-rate mortgages a preferred choice for many homeowners.
Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) offer lower initial interest rates compared to fixed-rate mortgages, making them an attractive option for borrowers who anticipate an increase in their income or plan to sell their property before the rate adjusts. However, the fluctuating interest rates can pose a risk, especially in volatile economic conditions. Despite this, the flexibility
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CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 6-9% data was reported at 3.000 % in May 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.000 % for Apr 2018. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 6-9% data is updated monthly, averaging 4.000 % from Feb 1979 (Median) to May 2018, with 380 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18.000 % in Jul 1982 and a record low of 1.000 % in Nov 2017. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 6-9% data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'What about the outlook for prices over the next 5 to 10 years? Do you think prices will be higher, to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?' and 'By about what percent per year do you expect prices to go up or down, on the average, during the next 5 to 10 years?'
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The global certificate of deposit (CD) market size was valued at approximately USD 1 trillion in 2023, and it is projected to reach nearly USD 1.5 trillion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 4.5%. This growth is primarily driven by the increasing preference for safe and secure investment options amidst global economic uncertainties. Factors such as technological advancements in banking, fluctuating interest rates, and evolving consumer preferences are expected to further fuel the expansion of the CD market. As investors seek to balance risk and return, the certificate of deposit market is poised for significant growth over the next decade.
A major growth factor in the certificate of deposit market is the heightened demand for low-risk investment products, especially in volatile economic climates. As global markets experience fluctuations due to geopolitical tensions and unpredictable economic policies, investors are increasingly turning to CDs as a stable and predictable source of income. The fixed interest rates and government insurance associated with CDs make them an attractive option for risk-averse investors. Additionally, the increasing financial literacy among the population is leading to greater awareness of CDs as an investment tool, further driving market growth.
The digital transformation of banking services has also had a profound impact on the certificate of deposit market. Online banks and financial institutions are now offering more competitive rates and greater accessibility to CD products, thereby expanding their customer base. This digital shift has not only increased the convenience for consumers but also allowed institutions to reduce operational costs, enabling them to offer more attractive rates. Furthermore, the proliferation of fintech platforms has facilitated easier comparison of CD rates and terms, empowering consumers to make more informed investment decisions, which ultimately supports market growth.
Interest rates, which are a critical determinant of the attractiveness of CDs, have become progressively volatile, largely influencing the dynamics of the CD market. Central banks across the globe are adjusting rates in response to inflationary pressures and economic recovery efforts post-pandemic. While higher interest rates may enhance the appeal of CDs by offering better returns, they also make other investment avenues more attractive. Consequently, financial institutions are developing innovative CD products with features such as bump-up rates or liquidity options to maintain competitiveness. As interest rate environments evolve, so too will the strategies employed by both issuers and investors within the CD market.
Regionally, North America holds a significant share of the certificate of deposit market, driven by a mature banking sector and a high level of investor awareness. Europe follows closely, with its robust regulatory framework and stable economic environment contributing to sustained interest in CDs. Meanwhile, the Asia Pacific region is expected to exhibit the fastest growth rate, attributed to rapid economic development and increasing individual wealth in countries such as China and India. The Latin America and Middle East & Africa regions are also anticipated to see moderate growth, spurred by improving financial infrastructure and increasing investor education initiatives. Overall, the global CD market is poised for steady expansion, with varying growth trajectories across different regions.
The certificate of deposit market is diverse, encompassing several types of CDs, each catering to different investor needs and preferences. Traditional CDs remain the most prevalent, offering fixed interest rates over specified terms. Their appeal lies in their simplicity and the assurance of a guaranteed return, which continues to attract conservative investors. The demand for traditional CDs is particularly strong among retirees and individuals seeking stable income sources. Despite the emergence of more flexible CD options, traditional CDs maintain their dominance due to the predictability and security they offer in uncertain financial climates.
Bump-Up CDs have gained traction as investors seek products that allow for interest rate adjustments during the term. This type of CD offers the potential for higher returns if market rates increase, providing a hedge against rising interest environments. The flexibility of bump-up CDs makes them attractive to investors who wish to capitalize on upward trends without abandoning the security of a CD. Howe
Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in 2024, from less than **** percent in many European countries, to as high as ** percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increase in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2023, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.
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The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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The benchmark interest rate in Mexico was last recorded at 8 percent. This dataset provides - Mexico Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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Fixed 30-year mortgage rates in the United States averaged 6.88 percent in the week ending June 20 of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States MBA 30-Yr Mortgage Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
In the United States, interest rates for all mortgage types started to increase in 2021. This was due to the Federal Reserve introducing a series of hikes in the federal funds rate to contain the rising inflation. In the fourth quarter of 2024, the 30-year fixed rate rose slightly, to **** percent. Despite the increase, the rate remained below the peak of **** percent in the same quarter a year ago. Why have U.S. home sales decreased? Cheaper mortgages normally encourage consumers to buy homes, while higher borrowing costs have the opposite effect. As interest rates increased in 2022, the number of existing homes sold plummeted. Soaring house prices over the past 10 years have further affected housing affordability. Between 2013 and 2023, the median price of an existing single-family home risen by about ** percent. On the other hand, the median weekly earnings have risen much slower. Comparing mortgage terms and rates Between 2008 and 2023, the average rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage in the United States stood between **** and **** percent. Over the same period, a 30-year mortgage term averaged a fixed-rate of between **** and **** percent. Rates on 15-year loan terms are lower to encourage a quicker repayment, which helps to improve a homeowner’s equity.
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The benchmark interest rate in Australia was last recorded at 3.85 percent. This dataset provides - Australia Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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The benchmark interest rate In the Euro Area was last recorded at 2.15 percent. This dataset provides - Euro Area Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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The global investment trust market size was valued at approximately USD 2.5 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 4.1 trillion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.5% during the forecast period. The growth of this market is driven by several factors including increasing investor preference for diversified portfolios and the growing availability of various types of investment trusts to meet different investment goals. These factors are expected to propel the market significantly over the coming years.
Expanding middle-class populations and increasing disposable incomes in emerging economies are also contributing significantly to the growth of the investment trust market. With more individuals seeking avenues for better returns on their investments, investment trusts offer an attractive proposition due to their diversified nature and professional management. Additionally, the growing awareness about the benefits of investing in such diversified instruments, as opposed to individual stocks or bonds, is a crucial growth factor.
Technological advancements and digitalization have made it easier for investors to access investment trusts. Online platforms have simplified the process of investing, enabling real-time tracking and management of investment portfolios. This ease of access has broadened the market's appeal, attracting a younger, tech-savvy investor base. The integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning in these platforms further enhances their capabilities, making investment decisions more data-driven and informed.
The rising trend of sustainable and responsible investing is another significant driver for the investment trust market. Many investors are now seeking to align their portfolios with their personal values, focusing on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria. Investment trusts that prioritize ESG factors are seeing increased demand, as investors look to not only generate financial returns but also contribute positively to society and the environment.
Regionally, North America and Europe dominate the investment trust market, primarily due to their well-established financial sectors and higher levels of investor sophistication. However, the Asia Pacific region is expected to witness the highest growth rate during the forecast period. The increasing economic development and growing middle-class population in countries like China and India are major contributors to this growth. As more individuals in these regions become financially literate, the demand for diverse investment options like investment trusts is expected to rise steadily.
Equity investment trusts, fixed-income investment trusts, hybrid investment trusts, and other specialized types form the various segments of the investment trust market. Equity investment trusts, which primarily invest in stocks, remain the most popular due to their potential for high returns. These trusts appeal to investors looking for growth opportunities, particularly in sectors showing robust performance. The volatility of stock markets, however, poses a risk, making it essential for these trusts to maintain a well-diversified portfolio to mitigate potential losses.
Fixed-income investment trusts focus on bonds and other debt instruments, offering a more stable and predictable income stream, which is particularly attractive to conservative investors or those nearing retirement. These trusts typically have lower risk compared to equity trusts, but also potentially lower returns. With interest rates playing a critical role in their performance, the recent trends of fluctuating interest rates have made these trusts more appealing as they adapt to the changing economic landscape.
Hybrid investment trusts combine both equity and fixed-income investments, providing a balanced approach that appeals to a broader range of investors. These trusts aim to achieve a mix of income generation and capital appreciation, making them suitable for investors with moderate risk tolerance. The flexibility offered by hybrid trusts allows them to adjust their asset allocation based on market conditions, enhancing their appeal in uncertain economic climates.
Other types of investment trusts include those specializing in real estate, commodities, and niche sectors like technology or healthcare. These specialized trusts cater to investors looking to focus on specific sectors that they believe will outperform the broader market. While they offer t
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30 Year Mortgage Rate in the United States decreased to 6.77 percent in June 26 from 6.81 percent in the previous week. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate.
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The benchmark interest rate in Philippines was last recorded at 5.25 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Philippines Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
Policy interest rates in the U.S. and Europe are forecasted to decrease gradually between 2024 and 2027, following exceptional increases triggered by soaring inflation between 2021 and 2023. The U.S. federal funds rate stood at **** percent at the end of 2023, the European Central Bank deposit rate at **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate at **** percent. With inflationary pressures stabilizing, policy interest rates are forecast to decrease in each observed region. The U.S. federal funds rate is expected to decrease to *** percent, the ECB refi rate to **** percent, the Bank of England bank rate to **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate to **** percent by 2025. An interesting aspect to note is the impact of these interest rate changes on various economic factors such as growth, employment, and inflation. The impact of central bank policy rates The U.S. federal funds effective rate, crucial in determining the interest rate paid by depository institutions, experienced drastic changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The subsequent slight changes in the effective rate reflected the efforts to stimulate the economy and manage economic factors such as inflation. Such fluctuations in the federal funds rate have had a significant impact on the overall economy. The European Central Bank's decision to cut its fixed interest rate in June 2024 for the first time since 2016 marked a significant shift in attitude towards economic conditions. The reasons behind the fluctuations in the ECB's interest rate reflect its mandate to ensure price stability and manage inflation, shedding light on the complex interplay between interest rates and economic factors. Inflation and real interest rates The relationship between inflation and interest rates is critical in understanding the actions of central banks. Central banks' efforts to manage inflation through interest rate adjustments reveal the intricate balance between economic growth and inflation. Additionally, the concept of real interest rates, adjusted for inflation, provides valuable insights into the impact of inflation on the economy.