82 datasets found
  1. Great Recession: delinquency rate by loan type in the U.S. 2007-2010

    • statista.com
    Updated Sep 2, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Great Recession: delinquency rate by loan type in the U.S. 2007-2010 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1342448/global-financial-crisis-us-economic-indicators/
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    Dataset updated
    Sep 2, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    2007 - 2012
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09 was a period of severe macroeconomic instability for the United States and the global economy more generally. The crisis was precipitated by the collapse of a number of financial institutions who were deeply involved in the U.S. mortgage market and associated credit markets. Beginning in the Summer of 2007, a number of banks began to report issues with increasing mortgage delinquencies and the problem of not being able to accurately price derivatives contracts which were based on bundles of these U.S. residential mortgages. By the end of 2008, U.S. financial institutions had begun to fail due to their exposure to the housing market, leading to one of the deepest recessions in the history of the United States and to extensive government bailouts of the financial sector.

    Subprime and the collapse of the U.S. mortgage market

    The early 2000s had seen explosive growth in the U.S. mortgage market, as credit became cheaper due to the Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates in the aftermath of the 2001 'Dot Com' Crash, as well as because of the increasing globalization of financial flows which directed funds into U.S. financial markets. Lower mortgage rates gave incentive to financial institutions to begin lending to riskier borrowers, using so-called 'subprime' loans. These were loans to borrowers with poor credit scores, who would not have met the requirements for a conventional mortgage loan. In order to hedge against the risk of these riskier loans, financial institutions began to use complex financial instruments known as derivatives, which bundled mortgage loans together and allowed the risk of default to be sold on to willing investors. This practice was supposed to remove the risk from these loans, by effectively allowing credit institutions to buy insurance against delinquencies. Due to the fraudulent practices of credit ratings agencies, however, the price of these contacts did not reflect the real risk of the loans involved. As the reality of the inability of the borrowers to repay began to kick in during 2007, the financial markets which traded these derivatives came under increasing stress and eventually led to a 'sudden stop' in trading and credit intermediation during 2008.

    Market Panic and The Great Recession

    As borrowers failed to make repayments, this had a knock-on effect among financial institutions who were highly leveraged with financial instruments based on the mortgage market. Lehman Brothers, one of the world's largest investment banks, failed on September 15th 2008, causing widespread panic in financial markets. Due to the fear of an unprecedented collapse in the financial sector which would have untold consequences for the wider economy, the U.S. government and central bank, The Fed, intervened the following day to bailout the United States' largest insurance company, AIG, and to backstop financial markets. The crisis prompted a deep recession, known colloquially as The Great Recession, drawing parallels between this period and The Great Depression. The collapse of credit intermediation in the economy lead to further issues in the real economy, as business were increasingly unable to pay back loans and were forced to lay off staff, driving unemployment to a high of almost 10 percent in 2010. While there has been criticism of the U.S. government's actions to bailout the financial institutions involved, the actions of the government and the Fed are seen by many as having prevented the crisis from spiraling into a depression of the magnitude of The Great Depression.

  2. Volcker Shock: federal funds, unemployment and inflation rates 1979-1987

    • statista.com
    Updated Sep 2, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Volcker Shock: federal funds, unemployment and inflation rates 1979-1987 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1338105/volcker-shock-interest-rates-unemployment-inflation/
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    Dataset updated
    Sep 2, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    1979 - 1987
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The Volcker Shock was a period of historically high interest rates precipitated by Federal Reserve Chairperson Paul Volcker's decision to raise the central bank's key interest rate, the Fed funds effective rate, during the first three years of his term. Volcker was appointed chairperson of the Fed in August 1979 by President Jimmy Carter, as replacement for William Miller, who Carter had made his treasury secretary. Volcker was one of the most hawkish (supportive of tighter monetary policy to stem inflation) members of the Federal Reserve's committee, and quickly set about changing the course of monetary policy in the U.S. in order to quell inflation. The Volcker Shock is remembered for bringing an end to over a decade of high inflation in the United States, prompting a deep recession and high unemployment, and for spurring on debt defaults among developing countries in Latin America who had borrowed in U.S. dollars.

    Monetary tightening and the recessions of the early '80s

    Beginning in October 1979, Volcker's Fed tightened monetary policy by raising interest rates. This decision had the effect of depressing demand and slowing down the U.S. economy, as credit became more expensive for households and businesses. The Fed funds rate, the key overnight rate at which banks lend their excess reserves to each other, rose as high as 17.6 percent in early 1980. The rate was allowed to fall back below 10 percent following this first peak, however, due to worries that inflation was not falling fast enough, a second cycle of monetary tightening was embarked upon starting in August of 1980. The rate would reach its all-time peak in June of 1981, at 19.1 percent. The second recession sparked by these hikes was far deeper than the 1980 recession, with unemployment peaking at 10.8 percent in December 1980, the highest level since The Great Depression. This recession would drive inflation to a low point during Volcker's terms of 2.5 percent in August 1983.

    The legacy of the Volcker Shock

    By the end of Volcker's terms as Fed Chair, inflation was at a manageable rate of around four percent, while unemployment had fallen under six percent, as the economy grew and business confidence returned. While supporters of Volcker's actions point to these numbers as proof of the efficacy of his actions, critics have claimed that there were less harmful ways that inflation could have been brought under control. The recessions of the early 1980s are cited as accelerating deindustrialization in the U.S., as manufacturing jobs lost in 'rust belt' states such as Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania never returned during the years of recovery. The Volcker Shock was also a driving factor behind the Latin American debt crises of the 1980s, as governments in the region defaulted on debts which they had incurred in U.S. dollars. Debates about the validity of using interest rate hikes to get inflation under control have recently re-emerged due to the inflationary pressures facing the U.S. following the Coronavirus pandemic and the Federal Reserve's subsequent decision to embark on a course of monetary tightening.

  3. Annual Fed funds effective rate in the U.S. 1990-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Jan 3, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Annual Fed funds effective rate in the U.S. 1990-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/247941/federal-funds-rate-level-in-the-united-states/
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    Dataset updated
    Jan 3, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The U.S. federal funds rate peaked in 2023 at its highest level since the 2007-08 financial crisis, reaching 5.33 percent by December 2023. A significant shift in monetary policy occurred in the second half of 2024, with the Federal Reserve implementing regular rate cuts. By December 2024, the rate had declined to 4.48 percent. What is a central bank rate? The federal funds rate determines the cost of overnight borrowing between banks, allowing them to maintain necessary cash reserves and ensure financial system liquidity. When this rate rises, banks become more inclined to hold rather than lend money, reducing the money supply. While this decreased lending slows economic activity, it helps control inflation by limiting the circulation of money in the economy. Historic perspective The federal funds rate historically follows cyclical patterns, falling during recessions and gradually rising during economic recoveries. Some central banks, notably the European Central Bank, went beyond traditional monetary policy by implementing both aggressive asset purchases and negative interest rates.

  4. if the stock market goes down during a recession, you should sell all of...

    • kappasignal.com
    Updated May 6, 2023
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    KappaSignal (2023). if the stock market goes down during a recession, you should sell all of your investments to minimize your losses. (Forecast) [Dataset]. https://www.kappasignal.com/2023/05/if-stock-market-goes-down-during.html
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    May 6, 2023
    Dataset authored and provided by
    KappaSignal
    License

    https://www.kappasignal.com/p/legal-disclaimer.htmlhttps://www.kappasignal.com/p/legal-disclaimer.html

    Description

    This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

    if the stock market goes down during a recession, you should sell all of your investments to minimize your losses.

    Financial data:

    • Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

    • Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

    • Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

    Machine learning features:

    • Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

    • Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

    • Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

    Potential Applications:

    • Stock price prediction

    • Portfolio optimization

    • Algorithmic trading

    • Market sentiment analysis

    • Risk management

    Use Cases:

    • Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

    • Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

    • Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

    • Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

    Additional Notes:

    • The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

    • Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

    • Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

  5. Monthly bank rate in the UK 2012-2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Aug 4, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Monthly bank rate in the UK 2012-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/889792/united-kingdom-uk-bank-base-rate/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Aug 4, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Jan 2012 - Jul 2025
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    August 2024 marked a significant shift in the UK's monetary policy, as it saw the first reduction in the official bank base interest rate since August 2023. This change came after a period of consistent rate hikes that began in late 2021. In a bid to minimize the economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Bank of England cut the official bank base rate in March 2020 to a record low of *** percent. This historic low came just one week after the Bank of England cut rates from **** percent to **** percent in a bid to prevent mass job cuts in the United Kingdom. It remained at *** percent until December 2021 and was increased to one percent in May 2022 and to **** percent in October 2022. After that, the bank rate increased almost on a monthly basis, reaching **** percent in August 2023. It wasn't until August 2024 that the first rate decrease since the previous year occurred, signaling a potential shift in monetary policy. Why do central banks adjust interest rates? Central banks, including the Bank of England, adjust interest rates to manage economic stability and control inflation. Their strategies involve a delicate balance between two main approaches. When central banks raise interest rates, their goal is to cool down an overheated economy. Higher rates curb excessive spending and borrowing, which helps to prevent runaway inflation. This approach is typically used when the economy is growing too quickly or when inflation is rising above desired levels. Conversely, when central banks lower interest rates, they aim to encourage borrowing and investment. This strategy is employed to stimulate economic growth during periods of slowdown or recession. Lower rates make it cheaper for businesses and individuals to borrow money, which can lead to increased spending and investment. This dual approach allows central banks to maintain a balance between promoting growth and controlling inflation, ensuring long-term economic stability. Additionally, adjusting interest rates can influence currency values, impacting international trade and investment flows, further underscoring their critical role in a nation's economic health. Recent interest rate trends Between 2021 and 2024, most advanced and emerging economies experienced a period of regular interest rate hikes. This trend was driven by several factors, including persistent supply chain disruptions, high energy prices, and robust demand pressures. These elements combined to create significant inflationary trends, prompting central banks to raise rates in an effort to temper spending and borrowing. However, in 2024, a shift began to occur in global monetary policy. The European Central Bank (ECB) was among the first major central banks to reverse this trend by cutting interest rates. This move signaled a change in approach aimed at addressing growing economic slowdowns and supporting growth.

  6. Understanding the Dynamics and Implications of a Housing Market Recession...

    • kappasignal.com
    Updated May 25, 2023
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    KappaSignal (2023). Understanding the Dynamics and Implications of a Housing Market Recession (Forecast) [Dataset]. https://www.kappasignal.com/2023/05/understanding-dynamics-and-implications.html
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    May 25, 2023
    Dataset authored and provided by
    KappaSignal
    License

    https://www.kappasignal.com/p/legal-disclaimer.htmlhttps://www.kappasignal.com/p/legal-disclaimer.html

    Description

    This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

    Understanding the Dynamics and Implications of a Housing Market Recession

    Financial data:

    • Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

    • Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

    • Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

    Machine learning features:

    • Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

    • Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

    • Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

    Potential Applications:

    • Stock price prediction

    • Portfolio optimization

    • Algorithmic trading

    • Market sentiment analysis

    • Risk management

    Use Cases:

    • Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

    • Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

    • Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

    • Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

    Additional Notes:

    • The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

    • Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

    • Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

  7. TA:TSX Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession? (Forecast)

    • kappasignal.com
    Updated Aug 22, 2023
    + more versions
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    KappaSignal (2023). TA:TSX Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession? (Forecast) [Dataset]. https://www.kappasignal.com/2023/08/tatsx-stock-are-we-headed-for-recession.html
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Aug 22, 2023
    Dataset authored and provided by
    KappaSignal
    License

    https://www.kappasignal.com/p/legal-disclaimer.htmlhttps://www.kappasignal.com/p/legal-disclaimer.html

    Description

    This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

    TA:TSX Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession?

    Financial data:

    • Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

    • Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

    • Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

    Machine learning features:

    • Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

    • Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

    • Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

    Potential Applications:

    • Stock price prediction

    • Portfolio optimization

    • Algorithmic trading

    • Market sentiment analysis

    • Risk management

    Use Cases:

    • Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

    • Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

    • Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

    • Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

    Additional Notes:

    • The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

    • Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

    • Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

  8. LON:ETX Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession? (Forecast)

    • kappasignal.com
    Updated Nov 4, 2023
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    KappaSignal (2023). LON:ETX Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession? (Forecast) [Dataset]. https://www.kappasignal.com/2023/11/lonetx-stock-are-we-headed-for-recession.html
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Nov 4, 2023
    Dataset authored and provided by
    KappaSignal
    License

    https://www.kappasignal.com/p/legal-disclaimer.htmlhttps://www.kappasignal.com/p/legal-disclaimer.html

    Description

    This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

    LON:ETX Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession?

    Financial data:

    • Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

    • Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

    • Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

    Machine learning features:

    • Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

    • Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

    • Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

    Potential Applications:

    • Stock price prediction

    • Portfolio optimization

    • Algorithmic trading

    • Market sentiment analysis

    • Risk management

    Use Cases:

    • Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

    • Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

    • Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

    • Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

    Additional Notes:

    • The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

    • Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

    • Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

  9. F

    Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Aug 1, 2025
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    (2025). Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 1, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMREALTIME) from Dec 1959 to Jul 2025 about recession indicators, academic data, and USA.

  10. o

    Replication data for: A Simple Model of Subprime Borrowers and Credit Growth...

    • openicpsr.org
    Updated May 1, 2016
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    Alejandro Justiniano; Giorgio E. Primiceri; Andrea Tambalotti (2016). Replication data for: A Simple Model of Subprime Borrowers and Credit Growth [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.3886/E116314V1
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    May 1, 2016
    Dataset provided by
    American Economic Association
    Authors
    Alejandro Justiniano; Giorgio E. Primiceri; Andrea Tambalotti
    Time period covered
    Jan 2000 - Dec 2006
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The surge in credit and house prices that preceded the Great Recession was particularly pronounced in ZIP codes with a higher fraction of subprime borrowers (Mian and Sufi, 2009). We present a simple model with prime and subprime borrowers distributed across geographic locations, which can reproduce this stylized fact as a result of an expansion in the supply of credit. Due to their low income, subprime households are constrained in their ability to meet interest payments and hence sustain debt. As a result, when the supply of credit increases and interest rates fall, they take on disproportionately more debt than their prime counterparts, who are not subject to that constraint.

  11. Yield Curve and Predicted GDP Growth

    • clevelandfed.org
    csv
    Updated Mar 1, 2002
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    Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2002). Yield Curve and Predicted GDP Growth [Dataset]. https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/yield-curve-and-predicted-gdp-growth
    Explore at:
    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Mar 1, 2002
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Federal Reserve Bank of Clevelandhttps://www.clevelandfed.org/
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.

  12. Great Recession: unemployment rate in the G7 countries 2007-2011

    • statista.com
    Updated Sep 2, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Great Recession: unemployment rate in the G7 countries 2007-2011 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1346779/unemployment-rate-g7-great-recession/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Sep 2, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    2007 - 2011
    Area covered
    Worldwide
    Description

    With the collapse of the U.S. housing market and the subsequent financial crisis on Wall Street in 2007 and 2008, economies across the globe began to enter into deep recessions. What had started out as a crisis centered on the United States quickly became global in nature, as it became apparent that not only had the economies of other advanced countries (grouped together as the G7) become intimately tied to the U.S. financial system, but that many of them had experienced housing and asset price bubbles similar to that in the U.S.. The United Kingdom had experienced a huge inflation of housing prices since the 1990s, while Eurozone members (such as Germany, France and Italy) had financial sectors which had become involved in reckless lending to economies on the periphery of the EU, such as Greece, Ireland and Portugal. Other countries, such as Japan, were hit heavily due their export-led growth models which suffered from the decline in international trade. Unemployment during the Great Recession As business and consumer confidence crashed, credit markets froze, and international trade contracted, the unemployment rate in the most advanced economies shot up. While four to five percent is generally considered to be a healthy unemployment rate, nearing full employment in the economy (when any remaining unemployment is not related to a lack of consumer demand), many of these countries experienced rates at least double that, with unemployment in the United States peaking at almost 10 percent in 2010. In large countries, unemployment rates of this level meant millions or tens of millions of people being out of work, which led to political pressures to stimulate economies and create jobs. By 2012, many of these countries were seeing declining unemployment rates, however, in France and Italy rates of joblessness continued to increase as the Euro crisis took hold. These countries suffered from having a monetary policy which was too tight for their economies (due to the ECB controlling interest rates) and fiscal policy which was constrained by EU debt rules. Left with the option of deregulating their labor markets and pursuing austerity policies, their unemployment rates remained over 10 percent well into the 2010s. Differences in labor markets The differences in unemployment rates at the peak of the crisis (2009-2010) reflect not only the differences in how economies were affected by the downturn, but also the differing labor market institutions and programs in the various countries. Countries with more 'liberalized' labor markets, such as the United States and United Kingdom experienced sharp jumps in their unemployment rate due to the ease at which employers can lay off workers in these countries. When the crisis subsided in these countries, however, their unemployment rates quickly began to drop below those of the other countries, due to their more dynamic labor markets which make it easier to hire workers when the economy is doing well. On the other hand, countries with more 'coordinated' labor market institutions, such as Germany and Japan, experiences lower rates of unemployment during the crisis, as programs such as short-time work, job sharing, and wage restraint agreements were used to keep workers in their jobs. While these countries are less likely to experience spikes in unemployment during crises, the highly regulated nature of their labor markets mean that they are slower to add jobs during periods of economic prosperity.

  13. F

    Bank Prime Loan Rate Changes: Historical Dates of Changes and Rates

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jan 8, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). Bank Prime Loan Rate Changes: Historical Dates of Changes and Rates [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PRIME
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jan 8, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Bank Prime Loan Rate Changes: Historical Dates of Changes and Rates (PRIME) from 1955-08-04 to 2024-12-20 about prime, loans, interest rate, banks, interest, depository institutions, rate, and USA.

  14. DTRTU Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession? (Forecast)

    • kappasignal.com
    Updated Nov 4, 2023
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    KappaSignal (2023). DTRTU Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession? (Forecast) [Dataset]. https://www.kappasignal.com/2023/11/dtrtu-stock-are-we-headed-for-recession.html
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Nov 4, 2023
    Dataset authored and provided by
    KappaSignal
    License

    https://www.kappasignal.com/p/legal-disclaimer.htmlhttps://www.kappasignal.com/p/legal-disclaimer.html

    Description

    This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

    DTRTU Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession?

    Financial data:

    • Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

    • Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

    • Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

    Machine learning features:

    • Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

    • Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

    • Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

    Potential Applications:

    • Stock price prediction

    • Portfolio optimization

    • Algorithmic trading

    • Market sentiment analysis

    • Risk management

    Use Cases:

    • Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

    • Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

    • Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

    • Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

    Additional Notes:

    • The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

    • Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

    • Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

  15. f

    Data from: Monetary policy in Brazil in pandemic times

    • scielo.figshare.com
    tiff
    Updated Jun 1, 2023
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    Carmem Feijó; Eliane Cristina Araújo; Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira (2023). Monetary policy in Brazil in pandemic times [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.19965335.v1
    Explore at:
    tiffAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 1, 2023
    Dataset provided by
    SciELO journals
    Authors
    Carmem Feijó; Eliane Cristina Araújo; Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    Brazil
    Description

    ABSTRACT The paper discusses the determination of inflation in Brazil, especially after the great recession of 2015-2016, to assess the adequacy of manipulating interest rates to control the rise in prices due to permanent cost pressure. The burden of using the interest rate to fight cost inflation is to create a highly conventional level of the real interest rate, which benefits the rentier class in a financialized economy. In the light of the post-Keynesian macroeconomics, a high-interest rate convention keeps the economy with a low growth rate and a low investment rate, which in the case of the Brazilian economy has resulted in a regression in the productive matrix and productivity stagnation, and both contribute to perpetuating cost pressures on prices. The empirical analysis corroborates the discussion about recent inflation having its origin in cost pressures over which the interest rate impact for its control is limited. We complement the empirical analysis by testing the response to the SELIC interest rate of the variables used to explain the fluctuation of market prices and administered prices: commodity price index, exchange rate and activity level. As expected, the impact of an increase in the interest rate appreciates the exchange rate, favouring inflation control and reducing the level of activity but has no impact on the commodity price index.

  16. NGT:TSX Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession? (Forecast)

    • kappasignal.com
    Updated Aug 22, 2023
    + more versions
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    KappaSignal (2023). NGT:TSX Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession? (Forecast) [Dataset]. https://www.kappasignal.com/2023/08/ngttsx-stock-are-we-headed-for-recession.html
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Aug 22, 2023
    Dataset authored and provided by
    KappaSignal
    License

    https://www.kappasignal.com/p/legal-disclaimer.htmlhttps://www.kappasignal.com/p/legal-disclaimer.html

    Description

    This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

    NGT:TSX Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession?

    Financial data:

    • Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

    • Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

    • Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

    Machine learning features:

    • Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

    • Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

    • Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

    Potential Applications:

    • Stock price prediction

    • Portfolio optimization

    • Algorithmic trading

    • Market sentiment analysis

    • Risk management

    Use Cases:

    • Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

    • Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

    • Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

    • Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

    Additional Notes:

    • The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

    • Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

    • Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

  17. Global Financial Crisis: Fannie Mae stock price and percentage change...

    • statista.com
    Updated Sep 2, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Global Financial Crisis: Fannie Mae stock price and percentage change 2000-2010 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1349749/global-financial-crisis-fannie-mae-stock-price/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Sep 2, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The Federal National Mortgage Association, commonly known as Fannie Mae, was created by the U.S. congress in 1938, in order to maintain liquidity and stability in the domestic mortgage market. The company is a government-sponsored enterprise (GSE), meaning that while it was a publicly traded company for most of its history, it was still supported by the federal government. While there is no legally binding guarantee of shares in GSEs or their securities, it is generally acknowledged that the U.S. government is highly unlikely to let these enterprises fail. Due to these implicit guarantees, GSEs are able to access financing at a reduced cost of interest. Fannie Mae's main activity is the purchasing of mortgage loans from their originators (banks, mortgage brokers etc.) and packaging them into mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in order to ease the access of U.S. homebuyers to housing credit. The early 2000s U.S. mortgage finance boom During the early 2000s, Fannie Mae was swept up in the U.S. housing boom which eventually led to the financial crisis of 2007-2008. The association's stated goal of increasing access of lower income families to housing finance coalesced with the interests of private mortgage lenders and Wall Street investment banks, who had become heavily reliant on the housing market to drive profits. Private lenders had begun to offer riskier mortgage loans in the early 2000s due to low interest rates in the wake of the "Dot Com" crash and their need to maintain profits through increasing the volume of loans on their books. The securitized products created by these private lenders did not maintain the standards which had traditionally been upheld by GSEs. Due to their market share being eaten into by private firms, however, the GSEs involved in the mortgage markets began to also lower their standards, resulting in a 'race to the bottom'. The fall of Fannie Mae The lowering of lending standards was a key factor in creating the housing bubble, as mortgages were now being offered to borrowers with little or no ability to repay the loans. Combined with fraudulent practices from credit ratings agencies, who rated the junk securities created from these mortgage loans as being of the highest standard, this led directly to the financial panic that erupted on Wall Street beginning in 2007. As the U.S. economy slowed down in 2006, mortgage delinquency rates began to spike. Fannie Mae's losses in the mortgage security market in 2006 and 2007, along with the losses of the related GSE 'Freddie Mac', had caused its share value to plummet, stoking fears that it may collapse. On September 7th 2008, Fannie Mae was taken into government conservatorship along with Freddie Mac, with their stocks being delisted from stock exchanges in 2010. This act was seen as an unprecedented direct intervention into the economy by the U.S. government, and a symbol of how far the U.S. housing market had fallen.

  18. Cooperatives in Germany - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

    • ibisworld.com
    Updated Jul 29, 2024
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    IBISWorld (2024). Cooperatives in Germany - Market Research Report (2015-2030) [Dataset]. https://www.ibisworld.com/germany/industry/cooperatives/937/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 29, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    IBISWorld
    License

    https://www.ibisworld.com/about/termsofuse/https://www.ibisworld.com/about/termsofuse/

    Time period covered
    2014 - 2029
    Area covered
    Germany
    Description

    The cooperative banking sector has developed negatively over the last five years. Industry revenue, which is made up of interest and commission income, has fallen by an average of 0.6% per year since 2019. The poor earnings performance in the years 2019 to 2021 is primarily due to the low level of interest rates and strong competition in the market. As a result of the financial crisis in 2008 and the euro crisis in 2010, the European Central Bank (ECB) was forced to keep lowering the key interest rate until it reached a low of 0% in March 2016. In 2020, the far-reaching negative effects of the coronavirus crisis prevented an increase in the key interest rate due to the associated risk of a Europe-wide recession. As a result, interest income in the sector fell, which caused difficulties for smaller cooperative banks in particular.In the current year, the sector should be able to increase commission income from the home loan and savings business and interest income from overdraft facilities and variable-interest loans in the short term, as demand is increasingly shifting from building loans to home loan and savings products due to high interest rates and overdraft facilities are increasingly in demand to cover the high cost of living. Overall, turnover in the sector is expected to increase by 0.3% year-on-year to 29.6 billion euros. However, the poor business and consumer climate is weighing on the cooperative banks. In addition, the over-indebtedness ratio is likely to stagnate or even rise slightly in the current year, which is why there is a risk that the number of non-performing loans will increase. This development is likely to cause problems for the cooperative banks.IBISWorld expects the cooperative banks' interest and commission income to fall by an average of 0.7% per year over the next five years and thus amount to 28.7 billion euros in 2029. As the banking market in Germany, which is highly fragmented by international standards, is saturated, significant changes are to be expected in the coming years. It can be assumed that banks will increasingly merge in order to increase their competitiveness, meaning that the previous consolidation of the sector is likely to accelerate. In addition, digitalisation will continue to gain in importance and the successful introduction of innovative and modern products as well as the expansion of sales channels will be decisive for a company's success.

  19. v

    Global Debt Consolidation Market Size By Service Type, By Customer Type, By...

    • verifiedmarketresearch.com
    Updated Aug 2, 2024
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    VERIFIED MARKET RESEARCH (2024). Global Debt Consolidation Market Size By Service Type, By Customer Type, By Loan Type, By Geographic Scope And Forecast [Dataset]. https://www.verifiedmarketresearch.com/product/debt-consolidation-market/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Aug 2, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    VERIFIED MARKET RESEARCH
    License

    https://www.verifiedmarketresearch.com/privacy-policy/https://www.verifiedmarketresearch.com/privacy-policy/

    Time period covered
    2024 - 2031
    Area covered
    Global
    Description

    Debt Consolidation Market Size And Forecast

    Debt Consolidation Market size was valued at USD 1351 Billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 3100 Billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 12.49% during the forecast period 2024-2031.

    Global Debt Consolidation Market Drivers

    The debt consolidation market is influenced by various market drivers that affect consumer behavior, financial institutions, and the overall economic environment. Here are some of the key drivers:

    Rising Debt Levels: Increasing levels of consumer debt, including credit cards, personal loans, and student loans, drive individuals to seek debt consolidation solutions to manage their financial obligations more effectively. Economic Conditions: Fluctuations in the economy, such as rising inflation, recession, or unemployment rates, can lead consumers to seek debt consolidation services as they struggle to meet their financial commitments. Interest Rates: The prevailing interest rates significantly affect the demand for debt consolidation. When interest rates are low, consumers are more inclined to consolidate their debts at favorable rates. Conversely, higher rates may deter consolidation efforts.

    Global Debt Consolidation Market Restraints

    The debt consolidation market, while presenting various opportunities for growth, also faces several market restraints. Here are some of the notable constraints:

    High Interest Rates: If interest rates on debt consolidation loans are higher than the existing debt, consumers may be discouraged from pursuing consolidation. This can limit the market's growth potential. Lack of Consumer Awareness: Many consumers may not fully understand the benefits of debt consolidation or may perceive it as merely a temporary solution to financial problems. Lack of financial literacy can deter individuals from seeking these services.

  20. D

    Flat Cable Assemblies Market Report | Global Forecast From 2025 To 2033

    • dataintelo.com
    csv, pdf, pptx
    Updated Sep 18, 2023
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    Dataintelo (2023). Flat Cable Assemblies Market Report | Global Forecast From 2025 To 2033 [Dataset]. https://dataintelo.com/report/flat-cable-assemblies-market
    Explore at:
    csv, pptx, pdfAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Sep 18, 2023
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Dataintelo
    License

    https://dataintelo.com/privacy-and-policyhttps://dataintelo.com/privacy-and-policy

    Time period covered
    2024 - 2032
    Area covered
    Global
    Description

    Summary
    Cable assembly is a group of cables or wires lined into a single entity. Flat cables refer to any electrical cables that are both flat and flexibility.
    Majorly, growth in automotive, telecom and datacom sector is directly driving the market of flat cable assemblies market globally. The key factor that lifts the market growth of flat cable assemblies worldwide is its flexible structure and custom made manufacturing property because of which flat cable assemblies fit into any electronic applications and therefore serve to the variety of end-use industries.
    Despite the soft economy, consumers of United States are buying cars, this raises demand for flat cable assemblies in countries such as Canada and US, making, United States leading region in flat cable assemblies market.
    In Eastern Europe unexpressed demand from the recession recovery coupled with low-interest rates offered for car loans/leases makes Eastern Europe second leading region in the market of global flat cable assemblies market.
    The global Flat Cable Assemblies market was xx million US$ in 2018 and is expected to xx million US$ by the end of 2025, growing at a CAGR of xx% between 2019 and 2025.
    This report studies the Flat Cable Assemblies market size (value and volume) by players, regions, product types and end industries, history data 2014-2018 and forecast data 2019-2025; This report also studies the global market competition landscape, market drivers and trends, opportunities and challenges, risks and entry barriers, sales channels, distributors and Porter's Five Forces Analysis.
    Geographically, this report is segmented into several key regions, with sales, revenue, market share and growth Rate of Flat Cable Assemblies in these regions, from 2014 to 2025, covering
    North America (United States, Canada and Mexico)
    Europe (Germany, UK, France, Italy, Russia and Turkey etc.)
    Asia-Pacific (China, Japan, Korea, India, Australia, Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines, Malaysia and Vietnam)
    South America (Brazil etc.)
    Middle East and Africa (Egypt and GCC Countries)
    The various contributors involved in the value chain of the product include manufacturers, suppliers, distributors, intermediaries, and customers. The key manufacturers in this market include
    Bizlink Tech
    TE Connectivity
    Copartner
    Molex
    Datwyler
    ITT Interconnect Solutions
    Foxlink
    Ideal Industries
    Yazaki
    Connector Technology
    Amphenol
    Foxconn
    Glenair
    3M Interconnect Solutions
    Meritec
    Alpha Wire
    Axon
    Axon Cable
    Watteredge
    HEC Electronic
    Nicomatic
    By the product type, the market is primarily split into
    Cable Length
    Operating Voltage
    Lead Ttime
    By the end users/application, this report covers the following segments
    Automotive Market

Share
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Close
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Statista (2024). Great Recession: delinquency rate by loan type in the U.S. 2007-2010 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1342448/global-financial-crisis-us-economic-indicators/
Organization logo

Great Recession: delinquency rate by loan type in the U.S. 2007-2010

Explore at:
Dataset updated
Sep 2, 2024
Dataset authored and provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Time period covered
2007 - 2012
Area covered
United States
Description

The Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09 was a period of severe macroeconomic instability for the United States and the global economy more generally. The crisis was precipitated by the collapse of a number of financial institutions who were deeply involved in the U.S. mortgage market and associated credit markets. Beginning in the Summer of 2007, a number of banks began to report issues with increasing mortgage delinquencies and the problem of not being able to accurately price derivatives contracts which were based on bundles of these U.S. residential mortgages. By the end of 2008, U.S. financial institutions had begun to fail due to their exposure to the housing market, leading to one of the deepest recessions in the history of the United States and to extensive government bailouts of the financial sector.

Subprime and the collapse of the U.S. mortgage market

The early 2000s had seen explosive growth in the U.S. mortgage market, as credit became cheaper due to the Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates in the aftermath of the 2001 'Dot Com' Crash, as well as because of the increasing globalization of financial flows which directed funds into U.S. financial markets. Lower mortgage rates gave incentive to financial institutions to begin lending to riskier borrowers, using so-called 'subprime' loans. These were loans to borrowers with poor credit scores, who would not have met the requirements for a conventional mortgage loan. In order to hedge against the risk of these riskier loans, financial institutions began to use complex financial instruments known as derivatives, which bundled mortgage loans together and allowed the risk of default to be sold on to willing investors. This practice was supposed to remove the risk from these loans, by effectively allowing credit institutions to buy insurance against delinquencies. Due to the fraudulent practices of credit ratings agencies, however, the price of these contacts did not reflect the real risk of the loans involved. As the reality of the inability of the borrowers to repay began to kick in during 2007, the financial markets which traded these derivatives came under increasing stress and eventually led to a 'sudden stop' in trading and credit intermediation during 2008.

Market Panic and The Great Recession

As borrowers failed to make repayments, this had a knock-on effect among financial institutions who were highly leveraged with financial instruments based on the mortgage market. Lehman Brothers, one of the world's largest investment banks, failed on September 15th 2008, causing widespread panic in financial markets. Due to the fear of an unprecedented collapse in the financial sector which would have untold consequences for the wider economy, the U.S. government and central bank, The Fed, intervened the following day to bailout the United States' largest insurance company, AIG, and to backstop financial markets. The crisis prompted a deep recession, known colloquially as The Great Recession, drawing parallels between this period and The Great Depression. The collapse of credit intermediation in the economy lead to further issues in the real economy, as business were increasingly unable to pay back loans and were forced to lay off staff, driving unemployment to a high of almost 10 percent in 2010. While there has been criticism of the U.S. government's actions to bailout the financial institutions involved, the actions of the government and the Fed are seen by many as having prevented the crisis from spiraling into a depression of the magnitude of The Great Depression.

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