Policy interest rates in the U.S. and Europe are forecasted to decrease gradually between 2024 and 2027, following exceptional increases triggered by soaring inflation between 2021 and 2023. The U.S. federal funds rate stood at **** percent at the end of 2023, the European Central Bank deposit rate at **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate at **** percent. With inflationary pressures stabilizing, policy interest rates are forecast to decrease in each observed region. The U.S. federal funds rate is expected to decrease to *** percent, the ECB refi rate to **** percent, the Bank of England bank rate to **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate to **** percent by 2025. An interesting aspect to note is the impact of these interest rate changes on various economic factors such as growth, employment, and inflation. The impact of central bank policy rates The U.S. federal funds effective rate, crucial in determining the interest rate paid by depository institutions, experienced drastic changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The subsequent slight changes in the effective rate reflected the efforts to stimulate the economy and manage economic factors such as inflation. Such fluctuations in the federal funds rate have had a significant impact on the overall economy. The European Central Bank's decision to cut its fixed interest rate in June 2024 for the first time since 2016 marked a significant shift in attitude towards economic conditions. The reasons behind the fluctuations in the ECB's interest rate reflect its mandate to ensure price stability and manage inflation, shedding light on the complex interplay between interest rates and economic factors. Inflation and real interest rates The relationship between inflation and interest rates is critical in understanding the actions of central banks. Central banks' efforts to manage inflation through interest rate adjustments reveal the intricate balance between economic growth and inflation. Additionally, the concept of real interest rates, adjusted for inflation, provides valuable insights into the impact of inflation on the economy.

Graph and download economic data for Personal Saving Rate (PSAVERT) from Jan 1959 to May 2025 about savings, personal, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for National Rate: Savings (SNDR) from Apr 2021 to Jun 2025 about savings, deposits, rate, and USA.

In the 1st quarter of 2025, personal savings amounted to 3.97 percent of the disposable income in the United States. The personal savings rate peaked in 2020, when U.S. households saved on average over 15 percent of their income. After that, it has remained between three and five percent. Savings during recessions During recessions, households often tend to increase their savings due to economic uncertainty and to compensate for any possible loss of income, which could occur, for example, in the case of falling into unemployment. For example, as seen in this statistic, the savings rate increased noticeably between 2007 and 2012, coinciding with a period of crisis. However, there are also factors that affect the amount of money that households can manage to set aside, such as inflation. Saving can be particularly difficult during periods when the inflation rate has been higher than the growth rates of wages. Savings accounts The value of savings deposits and other checkable deposits in the U.S. amounted to roughly 11 trillion U.S. dollars in early 2025, even after a significant fall in the amount of money placed in those types of instruments. In other words, savings accounts are a type of financial asset that is very widely used among households to save money. Nevertheless, interest rates of savings’ accounts differ a lot from one financial institution to another. Some of the lesser-known online banks had the highest interest rates, while the major banks often offered lower interest rates.

Certificate of Deposit Market Outlook

The global certificate of deposit (CD) market size was valued at approximately USD 1 trillion in 2023, and it is projected to reach nearly USD 1.5 trillion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 4.5%. This growth is primarily driven by the increasing preference for safe and secure investment options amidst global economic uncertainties. Factors such as technological advancements in banking, fluctuating interest rates, and evolving consumer preferences are expected to further fuel the expansion of the CD market. As investors seek to balance risk and return, the certificate of deposit market is poised for significant growth over the next decade.

A major growth factor in the certificate of deposit market is the heightened demand for low-risk investment products, especially in volatile economic climates. As global markets experience fluctuations due to geopolitical tensions and unpredictable economic policies, investors are increasingly turning to CDs as a stable and predictable source of income. The fixed interest rates and government insurance associated with CDs make them an attractive option for risk-averse investors. Additionally, the increasing financial literacy among the population is leading to greater awareness of CDs as an investment tool, further driving market growth.

The digital transformation of banking services has also had a profound impact on the certificate of deposit market. Online banks and financial institutions are now offering more competitive rates and greater accessibility to CD products, thereby expanding their customer base. This digital shift has not only increased the convenience for consumers but also allowed institutions to reduce operational costs, enabling them to offer more attractive rates. Furthermore, the proliferation of fintech platforms has facilitated easier comparison of CD rates and terms, empowering consumers to make more informed investment decisions, which ultimately supports market growth.

Interest rates, which are a critical determinant of the attractiveness of CDs, have become progressively volatile, largely influencing the dynamics of the CD market. Central banks across the globe are adjusting rates in response to inflationary pressures and economic recovery efforts post-pandemic. While higher interest rates may enhance the appeal of CDs by offering better returns, they also make other investment avenues more attractive. Consequently, financial institutions are developing innovative CD products with features such as bump-up rates or liquidity options to maintain competitiveness. As interest rate environments evolve, so too will the strategies employed by both issuers and investors within the CD market.

Regionally, North America holds a significant share of the certificate of deposit market, driven by a mature banking sector and a high level of investor awareness. Europe follows closely, with its robust regulatory framework and stable economic environment contributing to sustained interest in CDs. Meanwhile, the Asia Pacific region is expected to exhibit the fastest growth rate, attributed to rapid economic development and increasing individual wealth in countries such as China and India. The Latin America and Middle East & Africa regions are also anticipated to see moderate growth, spurred by improving financial infrastructure and increasing investor education initiatives. Overall, the global CD market is poised for steady expansion, with varying growth trajectories across different regions.

Type Analysis

The certificate of deposit market is diverse, encompassing several types of CDs, each catering to different investor needs and preferences. Traditional CDs remain the most prevalent, offering fixed interest rates over specified terms. Their appeal lies in their simplicity and the assurance of a guaranteed return, which continues to attract conservative investors. The demand for traditional CDs is particularly strong among retirees and individuals seeking stable income sources. Despite the emergence of more flexible CD options, traditional CDs maintain their dominance due to the predictability and security they offer in uncertain financial climates.

Bump-Up CDs have gained traction as investors seek products that allow for interest rate adjustments during the term. This type of CD offers the potential for higher returns if market rates increase, providing a hedge against rising interest environments. The flexibility of bump-up CDs makes them attractive to investors who wish to capitalize on upward trends without abandoning the security of a CD. Howe

The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

United States SCE: Interest Rate Expectation: Probability of Higher Average Interest Rate on Savings Accounts 1 Year from Now data was reported at 26.500 % in Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 26.133 % for Mar 2025. United States SCE: Interest Rate Expectation: Probability of Higher Average Interest Rate on Savings Accounts 1 Year from Now data is updated monthly, averaging 29.753 % from Jun 2013 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 143 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 41.800 % in Mar 2017 and a record low of 24.225 % in Mar 2024. United States SCE: Interest Rate Expectation: Probability of Higher Average Interest Rate on Savings Accounts 1 Year from Now data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.H085: Survey of Consumer Expectations: Financial.

Argentina AR: Deposit Interest Rate data was reported at 94.997 % pa in 2023. This records an increase from the previous number of 52.417 % pa for 2022. Argentina AR: Deposit Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 22.725 % pa from Dec 2010 (Median) to 2023, with 14 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 94.997 % pa in 2023 and a record low of 9.167 % pa in 2010. Argentina AR: Deposit Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Argentina – Table AR.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Deposit interest rate is the rate paid by commercial or similar banks for demand, time, or savings deposits. The terms and conditions attached to these rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.;International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files.;;

Chile CL: Deposit Interest Rate data was reported at 10.408 % pa in 2023. This records an increase from the previous number of 8.986 % pa for 2022. Chile CL: Deposit Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 6.187 % pa from Dec 1985 (Median) to 2023, with 39 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 40.354 % pa in 1990 and a record low of 0.857 % pa in 2020. Chile CL: Deposit Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Chile – Table CL.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Deposit interest rate is the rate paid by commercial or similar banks for demand, time, or savings deposits. The terms and conditions attached to these rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.;International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files.;;

Bank deposit interest rate, percent in El Salvador, March, 2025 The most recent value is 5.93 percent as of March 2025, an increase compared to the previous value of 5.75 percent. Historically, the average for El Salvador from January 2010 to March 2025 is 4.41 percent. The minimum of 2.11 percent was recorded in February 2011, while the maximum of 6.25 percent was reached in September 2024. | TheGlobalEconomy.com

Oman OM: Deposit Interest Rate data was reported at 3.446 % pa in 2017. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.557 % pa for 2016. Oman OM: Deposit Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 3.331 % pa from Dec 2000 (Median) to 2017, with 17 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.675 % pa in 2000 and a record low of 2.202 % pa in 2014. Oman OM: Deposit Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Oman – Table OM.World Bank: Interest Rates. Deposit interest rate is the rate paid by commercial or similar banks for demand, time, or savings deposits. The terms and conditions attached to these rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files.; ;

In December 2024, the personal saving rate in the United States amounted to 3.8 percent. That was slightly lower figure than a year earlier. The personal saving rate is calculated as the ratio of personal savings to disposable personal income. Within the topic of personal savings in the U.S., there are different goals and reasons for saving. What are personal savings? Saving refers to strategies of accumulating capital for future use by either not spending a part of one’s income or cutting down on certain costs. Saved money may be preserved as cash, put on a deposit account, or invested in various financial instruments. Investing usually incorporates some level of risk which means that part of the invested money can be gone. An example of a relatively safe investment would be saving bonds, such as the debt securities issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury. Saving trends in the U.S. and abroad Looking at the personal saving rate in the United States throughout the past decades, it can be observed that savings had been decreasing until the mid-2000s, and they increased after the 2008 financial crisis. Still, the largest savings rates were reached in 2020 and 2021. The reason for that increase in the savings rate that year might be related to the measures to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. The value of personal savings in the United Kingdom has also followed a similar trend. Although events like the COVID-19 pandemic may have affect many countries in a similar way, the ability to save, as well as the average savings as a share of personal income across countries can vary significantly depending on multiple factors affecting each territory.

Personal savings in the United States reached a value of 975 billion U.S. dollars in 2024, marking a slight increase compared to 2023. Personal savings peaked in 2020 at nearly 2.7 trillion U.S. dollars. Those figures remained very high until 2021. The excess savings during the COVID-19 pandemic in the U.S. and other countries were the main reason for that increase, as the measures implemented to contain the spread of the virus had an impact on consumer spending. Saving before and after the 2008 financial crisis During the periods of growth and certain economic stability in the pre-2008 crisis period, there were falling savings rates. People were confident the good times would stay and felt comfortable borrowing money. Credit was easily accessible and widely available, which encouraged people to spend money. However, in times of austerity, people generally tend to their private savings due to a higher economic uncertainty. That was also the case in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis. Savings and inflation The economic climate of high inflation and rising Federal Reserve interest rates in the U.S. made it increasingly difficult to save money in 2022. Not only does inflation affect the ability of people to save, but reversely, consumer behavior also affects inflation. On the one hand, prices can increase when the production costs are higher. That can be the case, for example, when the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil or other raw materials increases. On the other hand, when people have a lot of savings and the economy is strong, high levels of consumer demand can also increase the final price of products.

The dataset shows structure of interest rates

Note: 1. For the year 1995-96, interest rate on deposits of maturity above 3 years, and from 1996-97 onwards, interest rates on deposit for all the maturities refer to the deposit rates of 5 major public sector banks as at end-March. 2. From 1994-95 onwards, data on minimum general key lending rates prescribed by RBI refers to the prime lending rates of 5 major public sector banks. 3. For 2011-12, data on deposit rates and Base rates of 5 major public sector banks refer to the period up to July 31, 2010. From July 1, 2010 BPLR System is replaced by Base Rate System. Accordingly the data reflects the Base Rate of five major public sector banks. Data for 2010-11 for Call/Notice Money rates are average of April-July 2010. 4. Data for dividend rate and yield rate for units of UTI are based on data received from Unit Trust of India. 5. Data on annual(gross) redemption yield of Government of India securities are based on redemption yield which is computed from 2000-01 as the mean of the daily weighted average yield of the transactions in each traded security. The weight is calculated as the share of the transaction in a given security in the aggregated value. 6. Data on prime lending rates for IDBI, IFCI and ICICI for the year 1999-00 relates to long-term prime lending rates in January 2000. 7. Data on prime lending rates for State Financial Corporation for all the years and for other term lending institutions from 2002-03 onwards relate to long-term (over 36-month) PLR. 8. Data on prime lending rate of IIBI/ IRBI from 2003-04 onwards relate to single PLR effective July 31, 2003. 9. IDBI ceased to be term lending institution on its conversion into a banking entity effective October 11, 2004. 10. ICICI ceased to be a term-lending institution after its merger with ICICI Bank. 11. Figures in brackets indicate lending rate charged to small-scale industries. 12. IFCI has become a non-bank financial company. 13. IIBI is in the process of voluntary winding up. 14. Figures for 2015-16 are as on July 14, 2015. 15. 2024-25 data : As on September 1, 2024; except for WALRs, WADTDR and 1-year median MCLR (July 2023). 16. * : Data on deposit and lending rates relate to five major Public Sector Banks up to 2003-04. While for the subsequent years, they relate to five major banks. 17. # : Savings deposit rate from 2011-12 onwards relates to balance up to 1 lakh. Savings deposit rate was deregulated with effect from October 25, 2011. 18. $ : Data on Weighted Average Lending Rates (WALRs), weighted Average Domestic Term Deposit Rate (WADTDR) and 1-year median marginal cost of funds-based lending rate (MCLR) pertain to all scheduled commercial banks (excluding RRBs and SFBs). 19. Data on lending rates in column (7) relate to Benchmark Prime Lending Rate (BPLR) for the period 2004-05 to 2009-10; Base Rate for 2010-11 to 2015-16 and Marginal Cost of Funds Based Lending Rate (MCLR) (overnight) for 2016-17 onwards. BPLR system was replaced by the Base Rate System from July 1, 2010, which, in turn, was replaced by the MCLR System effective April 1, 2016.

The size of the US Payment Cards Market was valued at USD XX Million in 2023 and is projected to reach USD XXX Million by 2032, with an expected CAGR of 6.00">> 6.00% during the forecast period. U.S. payment cards refer to cards issued by financial institutions in the United States that enable users to conduct financial transactions, including purchases, bill payments, and money transfers. These cards come in various forms, such as credit cards, debit cards, and prepaid cards. Each type of card functions differently: credit cards allow users to borrow money up to a certain limit and pay it back with or without interest; debit cards enable direct access to funds from the user’s bank account; and prepaid cards require the user to load funds onto the card before using it for purchases. Credit cards are widely used in the U.S. and offer revolving credit, where users can carry a balance from month to month. They often come with benefits like rewards programs, travel perks, and fraud protection. However, they also come with potential drawbacks, such as high-interest rates if balances are not paid in full. Debit cards, linked directly to a checking or savings account, are used to withdraw money from ATMs or to make purchases, with the transaction amount deducted immediately from the account. Prepaid cards are similar to debit cards but require users to load money onto the card before spending it. Recent developments include: On June 2022, Global digital payments firm Visa and Safaricom, the operator of the M-Pesa mobile money product, have today launched a virtual card, enabling millions of M-Pesa users to make digital payments globally including the US region. The virtual card will enable 30 million M-Pesa users to make cashless payments at Visa's global network of merchants. Users can activate the virtual card through the M-Pesa mobile app or by USSD., On April 2022, American Express Partners with Billtrust to offer suppliers a solution to accounts receivable challenges. B2B accounts receivable automation and integrated payments leader, to enable suppliers to streamline acceptance of American Express virtual cards. With this integration, suppliers will have the ability to automate and accelerate virtual card payments from customers while receiving a real-time view of their outstanding invoices and current cash flow.. Key drivers for this market are: Usage of Credit Card give the bonus and reward points. Potential restraints include: Interest rates on Credit Card. Notable trends are: Increase in the Penetration of Internet in the USA.

Netherlands NL: Deposit Interest Rate data was reported at 2.737 % pa in 2012. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.607 % pa for 2011. Netherlands NL: Deposit Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 2.888 % pa from Dec 1994 (Median) to 2012, with 19 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.700 % pa in 1994 and a record low of 2.309 % pa in 2004. Netherlands NL: Deposit Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Netherlands – Table NL.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Deposit interest rate is the rate paid by commercial or similar banks for demand, time, or savings deposits. The terms and conditions attached to these rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files.; ;

The savings banks sector has developed negatively over the last five years. Since 2019, their turnover, which is made up of interest and commission income, has fallen by an average of 1% per year. The reason for the decline was the phase of low interest rates, which made it difficult for savings banks to generate increasing income in their traditional business. The most recent upturn is due to the European Central Bank's increase in the base rate to combat high inflation in Europe. At the same time, however, the tense global situation, demographic change and continued high inflation are having a negative impact on the industry. Turnover of €40.8 billion is expected for 2024, which corresponds to an increase of 0.8% compared to the previous year.The digitalisation of society is also fundamentally changing the sector. Branches are being closed and staff cut. The number of branches has fallen from over 12,000 in 2013 to around 7,300 in the current year. Companies are increasingly focussing on conducting their business online and using modern technologies. However, the investments associated with the integration of apps and online banking into business processes, as well as the high personnel costs in relation to turnover, have led to a reduction in profit margins in the low-interest phase. The pandemic-related increase in write-downs on non-performing loans and intensified price competition are also likely to have contributed to this. The sector is characterised above all by its strong focus on small and medium-sized enterprises. Savings banks account for a high percentage of loan financing for these companies, but banks from outside the sector, fintechs and other competitors are also pushing into this market. For the next five years, IBISWorld expects sales to increase slightly. The industry's turnover is expected to grow by an average of 0.5% per year during this period, meaning that it is likely to amount to 41.8 billion euros in 2029. How the industry reacts to change will be shown by how the savings banks and Landesbanken deal with new technologies and their use. At the same time, it can be assumed that increasing regulation and the tightening of rules will weaken the positive effects of the key interest rate hike. The number of institutions and branches is likely to continue to decline, as is the number of employees. However, this should have a positive impact on the profitability of the sector.

Bank deposit interest rate, percent in Argentina, June, 2025 The most recent value is 32.53 percent as of June 2025, a decline compared to the previous value of 33.51 percent. Historically, the average for Argentina from January 2010 to June 2025 is 32.24 percent. The minimum of 8.67 percent was recorded in January 2011, while the maximum of 129.57 percent was reached in November 2023. | TheGlobalEconomy.com

Bank deposit interest rate, percent in Uganda, April, 2025 The most recent value is 11.73 percent as of April 2025, an increase compared to the previous value of 11.51 percent. Historically, the average for Uganda from December 2001 to April 2025 is 10.32 percent. The minimum of 3.54 percent was recorded in April 2002, while the maximum of 23.85 percent was reached in December 2011. | TheGlobalEconomy.com