As of November 2024, various polls conducted in swing states following Joe Biden's withdrawal from his presidential campaign showed former President Donald Trump trailing behind Vice President Kamala Harris in a number of swing states. However, Trump held an advantage in Arizona, securing support from 48.7 percent of registered voters surveyed, compared to support for Harris sitting at 45.7 percent.

As of November 1, 2020, incumbent Republican President Donald Trump was polling at ** percent in Arizona in the race to become the next president of the United States. The 2020 presidential election is set to take place on November 3, 2020.

This survey focuses on the November 2002 Arizona Congressional District 1 election. Topics include how respondents get information about the election, most important issues facing the congressional district, knowledge of candidates, and propensity to vote for a certain party. Demographic data include, education, household income, ethnicity, race, political ideology, and voting history.

Context

The 2016 Statewide General Election results for Arizona.

Arizona's 15 counties are required by statute to publish tabulated General Election results by precinct. This file represents a standardized and aggregated version of all 15 files. Please note that while the file is mostly standardized, many of the attributes are relatable accross counties via a fuzzy match (the keyword "Congress" etc...).

Content

1. County: Abbreviation of Arizona's 15 counties

   • AP: Apache
   • CH: Cochise
   • CN: Coconino
   • GI: Gila
   • GM: Graham
   • GN: Greenlee
   • LP: La Paz
   • MC: Maricopa
   • MO: Mohave
   • NA: Navajo
   • PM: Pima
   • PN: Pinal
   • SC: Santa Cruz
   • YA: Yavapai
   • YU: Yuma

2. PrecinctID: Precinct identification number designated by the counties. County shorthand has been added.

3. PrecinctName: Precinct Name designated by the counties. This is directly passed from the tabulation files.

4. ContestID: Contest Identification number designated by the counties. This is directly passed from the tabulation files and may not be standardized across counties.

5. ContestTitle: Title of race as designated by counties. This is directly passed from the tabulation files and may not be standardized across counties.

6. CandidateID: Candidate identification number designated by the counties. This is directly passed form the tabulation files and may not be standardized across counties.

7. CandidateName: Name of Candidate as desingated by the counties. This is directly passed form the tabulation files and may not be standardized across counties.

8. TotalVotes: Vote Total aggregated from the attributes "PollVotes, EarlyVotes, Provisionals, LatePoll, LateEarly".

9. PollVotes: Total votes tabulated at a designated precinct location on election day.

10. EarlyVotes: Total votes tabulated by the counties during the 29 day early voting period.

11. Provisionals: Total votes tabulated at a designated precinct location that were deemed acceptable provisional ballots. 12: LateEarly: Total votes tabulated by the counties of early votes that were dropped off at designated polling locations rather than received in the mail. (Note: only a few counties separated this number from EarlyVote in their tabulation files).

12. Registered: The number of registered voters at the time of the election in each designated precinct.

13. Undervote: The number of ballots that did note cast the allowed number of votes for any given race. (Example: voters are allowed to "vote for 2" in the Arizona House of Representatives race, in this case these ballots were either left blank or only voted for 1)

14. ContestTotal: Total votes cast in a given contest.

15. CandidateParty: Party of candidate in a given contest.

    • REP: Republican
    • DEM: Democrat
    • NP: No Party
    • GRN: Green
    • LBT: Libertarian

16. TotalTurnout: Total turnout for a designated precinct.

17. EDTurnout: Total turnout for a designated precinct on election day.

18. EarlyTurnout: Total turnout for a designated precinct during the 29 day early voting period. (Note, this number will include early ballots dropped off at the designated polling location.)

Final Note: There are certain records in the file that are not part of any contest. They are normally designated by a contest ID that begins with a "999" These are records that the tabulators append to every file to provide background on each of the designated precincts.

Exit polls from the 2022 midterm election for the open U.S. Senate seat in Arizona indicated that young voters played a key role in electing Democratic candidate Mark Kelly for another term. ** percent of voters between the ages of 18 and 29 years old reported voting for Kelly. Older voters were more likely to vote for Republican candidate, Blake Masters.

Abstract (en): Election data for 50 states and the District of Columbia were collected through interviews conducted with voters as they left their polling places on election day, November 4, 2008. Part 1, National Data, contains data collected from a national sample. National sample respondents were asked a series of questions about their electoral choices, the issues surrounding the elections, and the factors that influenced their decisions. Questions focused on the direction of the country, national security, terrorism, the war in Iraq, the state and future of the nation's economy, gay marriage, and the George W. Bush presidency. Demographic variables of national respondents cover age, race, gender, Hispanic descent, sexual orientation, age of children in household, marital status, political party, political orientation, employment status, education, religion, sexual orientation, and family income. Parts 2-52 contain data collected from each state and District of Columbia surveys. Respondents were asked for their opinions of Republican presidential candidate Senator John McCain, Democratic presidential candidate Senator Barack Obama, and the United States Congress, as well as for their vote choices in the relevant gubernatorial, senatorial, and congressional elections. Those queried were also asked their opinions of the candidates' spouses, Cindy McCain and Michelle Obama. Demographic variables of individual state respondents cover age, race, gender, education, voter participation history, political party, political orientation, sexual orientation, and family income. Telephone interviews were the only type of interview conducted in Colorado, Oregon, and Washington. Telephone interviews were also used to poll absentee voters in Alaska, Arkansas, Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, Montana, New Mexico, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, and Texas. National: A sample of exit poll precincts was drawn from each of the 50 states and the District of Columbia. A subsample of these precincts was selected to form the national sample. The national survey was administered in a total of 300 sample exit poll precincts. Respondents in the national precincts were given one of four versions of the national questionnaire. The four versions were interleaved on pads that were handed out to respondents. Responses to the four versions are combined into one dataset. All versions have questions in common as well as questions unique to each version. State Data: As mentioned above, a sample of exit poll precincts was drawn in each state. A subsample of these precincts was selected to form the national sample. The remaining precincts in each state made up the state sample and were given questionnaires specific to that state. Because the national questionnaire has several items in common with the state questionnaire, national respondents are included in the state exit poll dataset for these common questions. To determine which questions are on the national questionnaire, simply crosstab each question by QTYPE (found in column 13 of the ascii dataset), indicating whether the respondent completed the state or national survey. If the corresponding item did not appear on that respondent's version of the questionnaire, it was coded as system missing in the SPSS file and will appear as a blank in the ascii dataset. Remember, as noted above, some questions on the national survey appear on multiple versions of the national and some do not. Note that in 2008 all respondents in California, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, and New York answered one version of the national questionnaires. The exit poll results are weighted to reflect the complexity of the sampling design. That is, the weighting takes into account the different probabilities of selecting a precinct and of selecting a voter within each precinct. For example, minority precincts that were selected at a higher rate receive a smaller weight than other precincts of the same size. An adjustment is made for voters who were missed or refused to be interviewed, which is based on their observed age, race, and gender. Respondents are also weighted based upon the size and distribution of the final tabulated vote within geographic regions of the state or of the nation. Voters casting a ballot in the 2008 United States general election. The samples were selected in two stages. First, a probability sample of voting precincts within each state was selected that represents the di...

Exit polls from the 2022 midterm election for the U.S. Senate seat in Arizona show that white voters without a college degree were more likely to vote for Republican candidate Blake Masters, with ** percent of such voters casting their vote for Masters. Democratic incumbent candidate Mark Kelly won re-election in the 2022 midterm.

Exit polls from the 2022 midterm election for the U.S. Senate seat in Arizona showed that voters who stated their most important issue to be immigration were more likely to vote for Republican candidate Blake Masters, with ** percent of such voters stating they voted for him in the election. Democratic incumbent candidate Mark Kelly won re-election in the 2022 midterm.

Exit polls from the 2022 midterm election for the U.S. Senate seat in Arizona show that voters in rural areas were more likely to vote for Republican candidate Blake Masters, with ** percent of rural voters casting their votes for him. In this election, Democratic incumbent candidate Mark Kelly won re-election.

Exit polls from the 2022 midterm election for the U.S. Senate seat in Arizona show that voters who believe that abortion should be legal were more likely to support the Democratic candidate, Mark Kelly, with ** percent of voters who believed that abortion should be legal in all cases voting for Kelly. Senator Kelly won re-election in the 2022 midterm.

The majority of polls in swing states Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin showed Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in a number of the seven states surveyed. According to a November survey, Harris had a slight lead in Nevada, securing support from 48 percent of registered voters in the state, compared to support for Trump standing at 47.7 percent.