Stock price volatility in Australia was reported at 21.7 in 2021, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. Australia - Stock price volatility - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on July of 2025.

Data consist of 5 minute transaction prices on 500 US stocks (components of the S&P500 index) and 168 Australian stocks. These are downloaded from the SIRCA database. Substantial cleaning is undertaken and the data are used to create a dataset of daily realized volatility estimates for each stock

Disclaimer

All information presented here is for display purpose only, and may not be complete nor accurate. This information does not constitute a financial advice, and should not be used to make any investment decisions or financial transactions. This author rejects any claims for liabilities resulting from the use, misuse, or abuse of this information. Use at your own risk.

Motivation

Due to time zone differences between Australia and most of the rest of the world, Australians have the advantage of knowing what happened at markets elsewhere in the world, before the Australian market (ASX) is open in the morning, Sydney time.

This prior knowledge provides an excellent opportunity for arbitrage. In the hands of a savvy day-trader, or a shrewd long-term investor, this information gives you the advantage of predicting the ASX, and achieve potentially significant financial gains.

Method

For the ten years period from 1/7/2010 to 30/6/2020, the daily closing prices for 41 global market indicators are collected from various reliable public-domain sources. We checked the data for error or omissions and normalised all tabulated records in a format that facilitates further analysis and visulaisation.

Those 41 market indicators are what we consider significant measures of various external factors that may affect the performance of the Australian Stock Market, as represented by the ASX200. Those indicators are:

• Nine other major stock market indices from the USA, Europe, and Asia.

• The exchange rate of the $AU against 10 world currencies that are most relevant to Australia's international trade.

• Official interest rates by the RBA and the US Feds, as indicators of affinity of foreign funds to Australia.

• Yield rates for governments-issued bonds by 10 countries from Western and Asian economies, as measures of relative availability of credit and cross-border investment. Bonds are grouped into "Short-term" (one year maturity) and "Long-term" (10 to 30 years maturity).

• Since Australia's economy is mainly an exporter of raw materials, we include prices for commodities that are most traded by Australia, as indicators for potential profitability for various relevant sectors of the ASX.

We feed relevant data to a machine learning model, which uses this data to extract heuristic parameters that are used to predict the ASX200 on daily basis, before market opens, and validates predictions at market close, with favourable results.

For more information, please visit the Tableau viz at: https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/yasser.ali.phd/viz/PredictingAustralianStockMarket/Story

Market volatility across 13 Australian sectors using the ARMA-GARCH model during the Covid-19 period, 2020–2021.

The Market Research and Statistical Services industry has performed poorly because of mixed demand across years for market research and related services. Industry revenue is anticipated to shrink at an annualised 1.3% over the five years through 2024-25, totalling $3.6 billion, with revenue falling by 1.5% in the current year. The overall revenue decrease can be attributed to mixed growth in prior years because of uncertainty and demand changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and ABS funding volatility. Industry revenue displays significant volatility from year to year, mainly because of fluctuations in ABS funding by the Federal Government. As the next census is set to occur in 2026, ABS revenue over the past two years has been constrained. Some companies that previously used industry businesses have been increasingly performing market research and statistical analysis in-house. Many external companies have improved their technology and data collection capabilities, which has made it more cost-effective to perform these activities internally. While the introduction of artificial intelligence has provided cost-cutting opportunities for market research businesses, it has also encouraged clients to bring industry services in-house, reducing demand. Profitability has also waned because of heightened price competition and wage costs increasing as a share of revenue. Ongoing growth in online media and big data presents both challenges and opportunities for market research businesses. Mounting demand for research and statistics relating to new media audience numbers and advertising effectiveness represents a potential opportunity. Even so, market research businesses will face challenges in developing effective measurement systems, and competition from information technology specialists that are developing similar systems will intensify. Despite these challenges, industry revenue is forecast to increase at an annualised 2.0% through 2029-30 to reach $3.9 billion.

Volatility changes between pre-breakpoint and post-breakpoint of 13 Australian sectors using the wavelet approach.

Financial asset investors have benefited from a generally strong domestic sharemarket performance and robust profit margins over the past few years. Typically, industry funds are invested in equities, and industry revenue depends on various sharemarket performances. The COVID-19 pandemic and ensuing inflationary pressures significantly disrupted both local and global equity markets, which limited industry performance. Yet, total assets have continued to accumulate over recent years, compounding returns for investors, assisted by previously low interest rates. Overall, industry revenue is expected to climb at an annualised 6.2% over the five years through 2024-25, to $176.3 billion. The low-interest rate environment that characterised the trading landscape until recently affected fixed-income assets' performance, which changed the mix of funds held in various industry investment vehicles. More recently, market volatility and cash rate hikes have led to investors increasingly moving to cash management trusts because of their perceived safety as investment instruments. Related elevated interest rates and negative business confidence are set to hurt returns for many investors in 2024-25, particularly investment portfolios geared for higher risk. Despite these pressures, investor incomes are set to swell by 1.7% in the current year off the back of an anticipated strong domestic sharemarket performance, bumped by strong business profit. A falling MSCI world index and negative consumer sentiment have the potential to continue softening investment performance over the coming years. Yet, inflationary pressures and interest rates are set to gradually ease as trading conditions improve. Projected global financial stability and a sluggish appreciation of the Australian dollar may set the stage for a resurgence in overseas investment in Australian markets, yet continued changes implemented by the FIRB may limit the willingness of overseas investors to spend domestically. The influence of superannuation funds over the industry may continue to rise, drawing funds from retail investors, yet they themselves are a large market. For this reason, continued increases to the Superannuation Guarantee Scheme are likely to boost assets at the disposal of pension funds. Overall, financial asset investor incomes are projected to continue growing at an annualised 3.2% through 2029-30, to total $206.6 billion.

According to a June 2021 survey on cryptocurrency investments in Australia, 49 percent of respondents reported that the leading challenge to investing in cryptocurrency is market volatility. Only ten percent of respondents reported that fear of losing everything was the biggest challenge.

The Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) was established in July 2006 after the Australian Stock Exchange merged with the Sydney Futures Exchange, making it one of the top 20 global exchange groups by market capitalization. ASX facilitates trading in leading stocks, ETFs, derivatives, fixed income, commodities, and energy, commanding over 80% of the market share in the Australian Cash Market, with the S&P/ASX 200 as its main index. We offer comprehensive real-time market information services for all instruments in the ASX Level 1 and Level 2 (full market depth) products, and also provide Level 1 data as a delayed service. You can access this data through various means tailored to your specific needs and workflows, whether for trading via electronic low latency datafeeds, using our desktop services equipped with advanced analytical tools, or through our end-of-day valuation and risk management products.

Australia Consumer Price Index (CPI): Market Goods & Services excl Volatile Items: Services data was reported at 198.100 1989-1990=100 in Jun 2012. This records an increase from the previous number of 197.800 1989-1990=100 for Mar 2012. Australia Consumer Price Index (CPI): Market Goods & Services excl Volatile Items: Services data is updated quarterly, averaging 132.100 1989-1990=100 from Dec 1986 (Median) to Jun 2012, with 103 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 198.100 1989-1990=100 in Jun 2012 and a record low of 77.800 1989-1990=100 in Dec 1986. Australia Consumer Price Index (CPI): Market Goods & Services excl Volatile Items: Services data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Australian Bureau of Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.I008: Consumer Price Index: 1989-90=100.

The Custody, Trustee and Stock Exchange Services has experienced dynamic shifts driven by globalisation, digital revolution and market volatility over the past few years. Although the number of stock market trades has climbed, investors and superannuation funds have gravitated towards international markets to diversify their portfolios over the past few years, slowing revenue growth for domestic stock exchanges and share registry services. Despite the trend, Guzman and Gomez's recent IPO, the largest on the ASX in three years - could signal a potential revival in domestic stock exchange interest. Competition within the industry has heightened over the past few years. The payment space has experienced fierce competition, but the growing digital payments and online shopping segments have propelled credit card usage. Despite the booming popularity of alternative payment methods like buy now pay later (BNPL), credit card providers have boosted their appeal through attractive loyalty and reward programs, spurring industry growth. The inherently volatile financial markets and consumer sentiment heavily influence services like stock exchanges share registries and credit card administration. Incidents like the pandemic have adversely impacted service providers' performance in the two years through 2020-21. However, despite market fluctuations, the industry's wide range of services has helped moderate revenue volatility. Therefore, revenue has risen at an annualised 0.7% to $13.0 billion over the five years through 2024-25, including a revenue uptick of 0.5% in the current year. The industry is on track to recover over the next few years. Consumer sentiment and business confidence are set to rise, encouraging more clients to seek out custody, trustee and stock exchange services. Anticipated growth of the All Ordinaries Index, the value of funds under management (FUM) and superannuation funds' assets under management (AUM) will fuel industry expansion. However, digitalisation in the financial services sector will introduce new entrants, creating a challenging environment for traditional service providers and placing downward pressure on profitability. Revenue is forecast to rise at an annualised 1.9% to $14.3 billion over the five years through 2029-39.

Iron ore miners have faced difficult trading conditions because of easing iron ore prices over the past few years, despite the nation maintaining its status as the world's largest iron ore supplier and benefiting from proximity to Asian markets. However, modest growth in production volumes has partly offset revenue declines. Industry revenue is expected to have sunk at an annualised 1.7% over the five years through 2024-25, to $131.5 billion. Easing iron ore prices, driven primarily by a slowdown in China's construction sector and soaring supply, are weighing on iron ore miners' revenue and export values. Despite an economic stimulus from the Chinese government aimed at its property sector, iron ore prices are poised to remain low throughout 2024-25, prompting an anticipated revenue slump of 18.0% over the year. Iron ore prices remained volatile in the first half of 2025, with sweeping US tariffs initially weakening market sentiment and pushing prices down. The following scaling back of these tariffs helped fuel a partial recovery in iron ore prices. The industry’s profitability has eroded over recent years – including an expected drop in 2024-25 – because of lower prices and soaring input costs. Australia's domestic iron ore production has grown from 911.1 million tonnes in 2019-20 to an estimated 968.7 million tonnes in 2024-25. Expansion plans and investments by prominent producers like BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue in projects like the South Flank, Gudai-Darri and Iron Bridge operations have fuelled this growth. Rising input expenses, attributable to inflation and labour shortages, along with weak iron ore prices, are forcing producers to undertake aggressive cost-slashing measures, prompting market leaders to undertake job cuts and maintain lean operations. Operating at a lower end of the cost curve will be crucial for Australian iron ore miners to ride out market volatility over the coming years. While Australia is on track to ramp up production to over 1.0 billion tonnes by 2026-27, iron ore prices are projected to fall over the five years through 2029-30 because of surging supply from producers in Australia and Brazil and new mines like the Simandou project. Iron ore miners' revenue is forecast to contract at an annualised 3.9% over the five years through 2029-30, to $107.8 billion. Major companies are set to continue dominating the iron ore mining sector due to several expansion projects. The industry focus will likely shift towards emerging opportunities in the green iron and steel market, spurred by initiatives like the $1.0 billion Green Iron Investment Fund.

Learn about the factors influencing Australian coking coal prices, including supply and demand dynamics, global economic conditions, and production costs. Discover how weather events, trade tensions, and the COVID-19 pandemic have impacted prices in recent years. Explore the future outlook for Australian coking coal and the factors that will continue to shape market volatility.

Learn about the factors that influence the price of Australian coking coal, such as global demand, supply disruptions, trade policies, and currency exchange rates. Understand how these factors contribute to price volatility and the importance of monitoring market conditions.

The size of the Water Treatment Chemicals Market in Australia was valued at USD 467.75 Million in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 581.95 Million by 2032, with an expected CAGR of 3.17% during the forecast period. Australia’s water treatment chemicals market is a vital sector responsible for ensuring the safety and quality of water resources used across different applications such as municipal, industrial, and residential purposes. Stringent government restrictions and water quality requirements are pushing up demand for efficient water treatment chemicals. The growth of industries such as mining, manufacturing, and oil and gas drives the demand for modern water treatment systems to manage wastewater and assure operational efficiency. Concurrently, the growing trend toward environmentally friendly and sustainable water treatment procedures, as well as investments in repairing outdated water infrastructure, create chances for deploying cutting-edge chemicals and technologies. Furthermore, the incorporation of smart technologies and IoT into water treatment systems improves monitoring and management capabilities, resulting in increased demand for advanced solutions. However, economic volatility and market conditions might affect the pricing and availability of these critical chemicals. Recent developments include: In June 2022, Kemira Oyj announced a new collaboration with a France-based company, Veolia, to launch a new technology named ViviMag. This technology can recover phosphorus and other valuable resources, such as iron, from sewage sludge. Phosphorus causes the overfertilization of the surface waters if not removed properly, causing a major environmental problem. This new technology will help Kemira OYJ strengthen its position in the water treatment sector., In April 2022, Veolia Group announced a partnership with Sydney Water to explore innovation opportunities for the development of a robust circular economy, which will help to deliver sustainable and resilient water services to the city.. Key drivers for this market are: Rising Groundwater and Surface Water Pollution, Growing Demand From Power and Industrial Applications; Increasing Government Intervention in Reliable Wastewater Management. Potential restraints include: Hazardous Nature of Hydrazine, Emerging Alternatives to Water Treatment Chemicals. Notable trends are: Municipal End-user Industry to Dominate the Market.

Australia Consumer Price Index (CPI): Market Goods & Services excl Volatile Items: Goods data was reported at 162.300 1989-1990=100 in Jun 2012. This records an increase from the previous number of 161.500 1989-1990=100 for Mar 2012. Australia Consumer Price Index (CPI): Market Goods & Services excl Volatile Items: Goods data is updated quarterly, averaging 126.100 1989-1990=100 from Dec 1986 (Median) to Jun 2012, with 103 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 162.400 1989-1990=100 in Sep 2011 and a record low of 82.100 1989-1990=100 in Dec 1986. Australia Consumer Price Index (CPI): Market Goods & Services excl Volatile Items: Goods data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Australian Bureau of Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.I008: Consumer Price Index: 1989-90=100.

The revenue of the data storage device market in Australia and Oceania amounted to $X in 2017, increasing by X% against the previous year. The data storage device consumption continues to indicate a prominent growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017, when market value increased by X% against the previous year.

Severe global market volatility over the past five years has meant superannuation funds' investment incomes have fluctuated significantly. The pandemic, inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions have caused funds’ incomes to swing dramatically. The pandemic, in particular, drove down superannuation funds' income in 2019-20; that's why superannuation funds’ revenue is expected to have surged at an annualised 114.6% over the five years through 2024-25, to $292.8 billion. Superannuation fund's total assets are a more accurate indicator of the industry's size, and assets are expected to have expanded at an annualised 8.7% over the same period, to $4.2 trillion. Continued incremental increases to the Superannuation Guarantee Scheme have boosted contributions to superannuation funds. As superannuation funds broaden their ESG options to stand out among competitors, regulatory authorities are stepping up to combat greenwashing. Market volatility, increased cash rates and rising bond yields have negatively impacted returns, especially in sectors like commercial real estate. However, a robust performance from tech and AI stocks is providing a counterbalance, highlighting the need for adaptable, market-responsive and proactive investment strategies. Still, the recent Deepseek selloff, coupled with swelling trade tensions sparked by the US's sweeping tariffs, have rattled investors' appetite for riskier assets in the current year, contributing to volatile market conditions and dampening investment returns. That's why funds' revenue is set to slump 11.4% in 2024-25. Total assets are set to rise by 5.5% in 2024-25 thanks to increases in the superannuation guarantee rate and workforce growth. The prevailing trend of fund consolidation and mergers is benefiting larger super funds, enhancing the industry's overall profitability as these mega funds have leveraged their scale to optimise returns. However, super funds, including AustralianSuper, were hit by a major cyberattack in early 2025, highlighting the importance of robust cybersecurity measures, like multi-factor authentication, to protect members’ savings. Rising regulatory pressures will ramp up compliance expenses for superannuation funds. They will need to navigate challenges like tackling greenwashing, managing governance of unlisted assets and adhering to climate-related financial disclosure requirements. The Delivering Better Financial Outcomes reform will expand superannuation funds’ role, necessitating digital transformation and strategic planning to maximise member engagement. Industry revenue is forecast to grow at an annualised 4.6% over the five years through 2029-30, to $366.5 billion. Industry assets are projected to expand at an annualised 4.0% over the same period to $5.1 trillion.

The Asia-Pacific asset management industry is experiencing robust growth, driven by factors such as increasing household savings, a burgeoning middle class, and supportive government policies promoting financial inclusion across the region. The industry's Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6% from 2019 to 2024 suggests a significant upward trajectory, projected to continue through 2033. This growth is fueled by the diversification of investment vehicles beyond traditional savings, with a rising demand for mutual funds, ETFs, and private equity. While the exact market size in 2025 is unavailable, extrapolating from the given CAGR and assuming a 2024 market size (for illustrative purposes only; no claim is made to specific accuracy) allows for a reasonable projection of the 2025 market value. The market is segmented by source of funds (pension funds, retail investors, institutional investors, etc.) and type of asset management firms (large financial institutions, mutual funds, private equity, etc.). This segmentation highlights the diverse players and investment strategies within the industry. Key regional contributors include China, Japan, India, and Australia, benefiting from their strong economic growth and expanding financial markets. The competitive landscape is characterized by a mix of both global giants and regional players. While considerable opportunities exist, challenges remain in areas like regulatory frameworks, market volatility, and the need for sophisticated technological infrastructure. Furthermore, the shift toward sustainable and responsible investing (SRI) is a prominent trend influencing the Asia-Pacific asset management landscape. Investors are increasingly demanding greater transparency and alignment with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. This requires asset managers to adapt their investment strategies and reporting practices to meet evolving investor preferences and regulatory pressures. Technological advancements such as fintech solutions are also reshaping the industry, impacting areas like trading, portfolio management, and client engagement. This transformation presents opportunities for firms that effectively integrate technology to improve efficiency and offer innovative products and services. However, increased competition and the need to manage cybersecurity risks represent ongoing challenges. The long-term outlook for the Asia-Pacific asset management industry remains positive, contingent upon consistent economic growth, regulatory stability, and the successful navigation of evolving market dynamics. Recent developments include: In March 2022, Nomura announced plans to launch a new ETF designed to track the performance of the Solactive Japan ESG Core Index., In October 2021, Nomura announced that it had priced a Green Bond offering for NTT Finance Corporation. The offering consists of three-year, five-year, and 10-year tranches valued at JPY 300 billion in total, representing one of the world's largest single issuances of green bonds by a company.. Notable trends are: Corporate Bonds in Malaysia Driving the Market.

The Asia Pacific asset management industry is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a 6% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is driven by several key factors. Firstly, the region's burgeoning middle class is fueling increased retail investor participation, particularly in countries like China, India, and Indonesia. Secondly, the growth of pension funds and insurance companies in the region necessitates the increased management of assets, driving demand for professional asset management services. Government initiatives promoting financial inclusion and economic development also contribute to this rise. Furthermore, the increasing adoption of technology, particularly fintech solutions, is streamlining investment processes and enhancing operational efficiency within the asset management sector. The industry's segmentation reveals a diverse landscape, with large financial institutions and mutual funds dominating, complemented by a significant presence of private equity and venture capital firms. This diversity is reflecting the varying needs of investors and the evolution of investment strategies within the region. However, challenges remain. Regulatory uncertainty and volatile market conditions, particularly geopolitical risks impacting global markets, present potential restraints on growth. Competition among established players and new entrants, combined with varying levels of financial literacy among investors in certain markets, may also influence the industry's trajectory. Despite these challenges, the long-term outlook for the Asia Pacific asset management industry remains positive. Continued economic growth, rising disposable incomes, and a supportive regulatory environment are expected to fuel further expansion, creating attractive opportunities for established and emerging players alike. The concentration of growth is expected to be strongest in the rapidly developing economies of Southeast Asia. This comprehensive report provides a detailed analysis of the Asia Pacific asset management industry, covering the period from 2019 to 2033. With a base year of 2025 and an estimated year of 2025, the report offers valuable insights into market trends, key players, and future growth projections. The study encompasses historical data (2019-2024) and forecasts (2025-2033), providing a complete picture of this dynamic sector. This report is invaluable for investors, asset managers, financial institutions, and anyone seeking to understand the intricacies of this multi-billion dollar market. High-search-volume keywords include: Asia Pacific asset management, asset management market size, pension funds Asia, institutional investors Asia, ETF Asia, private equity Asia, Asia Pacific wealth management, M&A asset management Asia. Recent developments include: In March 2022, Nomura announced plans to launch a new ETF designed to track the performance of the Solactive Japan ESG Core Index., In October 2021, Nomura announced that it had priced a Green Bond offering for NTT Finance Corporation. The offering consists of three-year, five-year, and 10-year tranches valued at JPY 300 billion in total, representing one of the world's largest single issuances of green bonds by a company.. Notable trends are: Corporate Bonds in Malaysia Driving the Market.