These population projections were prepared by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) for Geoscience Australia. The projections are not official ABS data and are owned by Geoscience Australia. These projections are for Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2s) and Local Government Areas (LGAs), and are projected out from a base population as at 30 June 2022, by age and sex. Projections are for 30 June 2023 to 2032, with results disaggregated by age and sex.

Method The cohort-component method was used for these projections. In this method, the base population is projected forward annually by calculating the effect of births, deaths and migration (the components) within each age-sex cohort according to the specified fertility, mortality and overseas and internal migration assumptions. The projected usual resident population by single year of age and sex was produced in four successive stages – national, state/territory, capital city/rest of state, and finally SA2s. Assumptions were made for each level and the resulting projected components and population are constrained to the geographic level above for each year.
These projections were derived from a combination of assumptions published in Population Projections, Australia, 2022 (base) to 2071 on 23 November 2023, and historical patterns observed within each state/territory.

Projections – capital city/rest of state regions The base population is 30 June 2022 Estimated Resident Population (ERP) as published in National, state and territory population, June 2022. For fertility, the total fertility rate (at the national level) is based on the medium assumption used in Population Projections, Australia, 2022 (base) to 2071, of 1.6 babies per woman being phased in from 2022 levels over five years to 2027, before remaining steady for the remainder of the projection span. Observed state/territory, and greater capital city level fertility differentials were applied to the national data so that established trends in the state and capital city/rest of state relativities were preserved. Mortality rates are based on the medium assumption used in Population Projections, Australia, 2022 (base) to 2071, and assume that mortality rates will continue to decline across Australia with state/territory differentials persisting. State/territory and capital city/rest of state differentials were used to ensure projected deaths are consistent with the historical trend. Annual net overseas migration (NOM) is based on the medium assumption used in Population Projections, Australia, 2022 (base) to 2071, with an assumed gain (at the national level) of 400,000 in 2022-23, increasing to 315,000 in 2023-24, then declining to 225,000 in 2026-27, after which NOM is assumed to remain constant. State and capital city/rest of state shares are based on a weighted average of NOM data from 2010 to 2019 at the state and territory level to account for the impact of COVID-19. For internal migration, net gains and losses from states and territories and capital city/rest of state regions are based on the medium assumption used in Population Projections, Australia, 2022 (base) to 2071, and assume that net interstate migration will trend towards long-term historic average flows.

Projections – Statistical Areas Level 2 The base population for each SA2 is the estimated resident population in each area by single year of age and sex, at 30 June 2022, as published in Regional population by age and sex, 2022 on 28 September 2023. The SA2-level fertility and mortality assumptions were derived by combining the medium scenario state/territory assumptions from Population Projections, Australia, 2022 (base) to 2071, with recent fertility and mortality trends in each SA2 based on annual births (by sex) and deaths (by age and sex) published in Regional Population, 2021-22 and Regional Population by Age and Sex, 2022. Assumed overseas and internal migration for each SA2 is based on SA2-specific annual overseas and internal arrivals and departures estimates published in Regional Population, 2021-22 and Regional Population by Age and Sex, 2022. The internal migration data was strengthened with SA2-specific data from the 2021 Census, based on the usual residence one year before Census night question. Assumptions were applied by SA2, age and sex. Assumptions were adjusted for some SA2s, to provide more plausible future population levels, and age and sex distribution changes, including areas where populations may not age over time, for example due to significant resident student and defence force populations. Most assumption adjustments were made via the internal migration component. For some SA2s with zero or a very small population base, but where significant population growth is expected, replacement migration age/sex profiles were applied. All SA2-level components and projected projections are constrained to the medium series of capital city/rest of state data in Population Projections, Australia, 2022 (base) to 2071.

Projections – Local Government Areas The base population for each LGA is the estimated resident population in each area by single year of age and sex, at 30 June 2022, as published in Regional population by age and sex, 2022 on 28 September 2023. Projections for 30 June 2023 to 2032 were created by converting from the SA2-level population projections to LGAs by age and sex. This was done using an age-specific population correspondence, where the data for each year of the projection span were converted based on 2021 population shares across SA2s. The LGA and SA2 projections are congruous in aggregation as well as in isolation. Unlike the projections prepared at SA2 level, no LGA-specific projection assumptions were used.

Nature of projections and considerations for usage The nature of the projection method and inherent fluctuations in population dynamics mean that care should be taken when using and interpreting the projection results. The projections are not forecasts, but rather illustrate future changes which would occur if the stated assumptions were to apply over the projection period. These projections do not attempt to allow for non-demographic factors such as major government policy decisions, economic factors, catastrophes, wars and pandemics, which may affect future demographic behaviour. To illustrate a range of possible outcomes, alternative projection series for national, state/territory and capital city/rest of state areas, using different combinations of fertility, mortality, overseas and internal migration assumptions, are prepared. Alternative series are published in Population Projections, Australia, 2022 (base) to 2071. Only one series of SA2-level projections was prepared for this product. Population projections can take account of planning and other decisions by governments known at the time the projections were derived, including sub-state projections published by each state and territory government. The ABS generally does not have access to the policies or decisions of commonwealth, state and local governments and businesses that assist in accurately forecasting small area populations. Migration, especially internal migration, accounts for the majority of projected population change for most SA2s. Volatile and unpredictable small area migration trends, especially in the short-term, can have a significant effect on longer-term projection results. Care therefore should be taken with SA2s with small total populations and very small age-sex cells, especially at older ages. While these projections are calculated at the single year of age level, small numbers, and fluctuations across individual ages in the base population and projection assumptions limit the reliability of SA2-level projections at single year of age level. These fluctuations reduce and reliability improves when the projection results are aggregated to broader age groups such as the five-year age bands in this product. For areas with small elderly populations, results aggregated to 65 and over are more reliable than for the individual age groups above 65. With the exception of areas with high planned population growth, SA2s with a base total population of less than 500 have generally been held constant for the projection period in this product as their populations are too small to be reliably projected at all, however their (small) age/sex distributions may change slightly. These SA2s are listed in the appendix. The base (2022) SA2 population estimates and post-2022 projections by age and sex include small artificial cells, including 1s and 2s. These are the result of a confidentialisation process and forced additivity, to control SA2 and capital city/rest of state age/sex totals, being applied to their original values. SA2s and LGAs in this product are based on the Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS) boundaries as at the 2021 Census (ASGS Edition 3). For further information, see Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS) Edition 3.

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Data and geography references Source data publication: Population Projections, Australia, 2022 (base)

This workbook contains projections of population ageing from 2016 to 2066 for Australia and the States and Territories. It includes both traditional and alternative measures of ageing, the latter being (1) the population with under 15 years of remaining life expectancy (RLE0.01).

This statistic presents the results of a survey on perceived percentage of population over 65 years old by 2050 in Australia as of October 2018. According to data published by Ipsos, respondents in Australia overestimated the proportion of their population who will be over ** in 2050. On average, the respondents thought that around ** out of every 100 people in Australia will be over 65 years old in 2050, when the actual share of elderly population, according to projections by the World Bank, will be around ** percent in Australia.

Australia Population: Working Age: Age 15-74 data was reported at 21,047,754.636 Person in 2027. This records an increase from the previous number of 20,766,246.147 Person for 2026. Australia Population: Working Age: Age 15-74 data is updated yearly, averaging 12,990,055.545 Person from Dec 1960 (Median) to 2027, with 68 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 21,047,754.636 Person in 2027 and a record low of 6,972,703.116 Person in 1960. Australia Population: Working Age: Age 15-74 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.OECD.EO: Labour Force: Forecast: OECD Member: Annual. POP1574 - Working-age population, age 15-74 Population data are based on data reported to the OECD Statistics Directorate by member countries via an annual national accounts questionnaire. For the projection period, series are extended using Eurostat projections (EUROPOP2023) for European countries, and United Nations (WPP2022) for other countries. The data is further adjusted by the OECD.

Australia Population: as % of Total: Female: Aged 65 and Above data was reported at 18.401 % in 2023. This records an increase from the previous number of 18.055 % for 2022. Australia Population: as % of Total: Female: Aged 65 and Above data is updated yearly, averaging 12.880 % from Dec 1960 (Median) to 2023, with 64 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18.401 % in 2023 and a record low of 9.726 % in 1971. Australia Population: as % of Total: Female: Aged 65 and Above data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.World Bank.WDI: Population and Urbanization Statistics. Female population 65 years of age or older as a percentage of the total female population. Population is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.;United Nations Population Division. World Population Prospects: 2024 Revision.;Weighted average;Relevance to gender indicator: Knowing how many girls, adolescents and women there are in a population helps a country in determining its provision of services.

BackgroundAdvances in HIV antiretroviral therapy (ART) has reduced mortality in people living with HIV (PLHIV), resulting in an ageing population of PLHIV. Knowledge of demographic details such as age, geographical location and sex, will aid in the planning of training and resource allocation to effectively care for the future complex health needs of PLHIV. MethodsAn agent-based, stochastic, geographical model was developed to determine the current and future demographic of PLHIV in Australia. Data and parameters were sourced from Australia's National HIV Registry and peer reviewed literature. Processes that were simulated include progression to AIDS, mortality and internal migration. FindingsThe model estimates the mean age of PLHIV in Australia is increasing at a rate of 0.49 years each year. The expected proportion of PLHIV in over 55 years is estimated to increase from 25.3% in 2010 to 44.2% in 2020. Median age is lower in inner-city areas of the capital cities than in rural areas. The areas with the highest prevalence of HIV will continue to be capital cities; however, other areas will have greater percentage growth from 2010 to 2020. ConclusionsThe age of the population of people living with HIV is expected to increase considerably in the future. As the population of PLHIV ages, specialist clinical training and resource provision in the aged care sector will also need to be addressed.

Age and sex distribution of Australia in 2050. Total population: 32,506,969.

Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population) in Australia was reported at 55.21 % in 2024, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. Australia - Age dependency ratio (% of working-age population) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on April of 2026.

To project the prevalence, causes, associated factors of vision-related disability and demand for orientation and mobility (O&M) services in Australia from 2020 to 2060. The age-specific prevalence and main causes of vision-related disability were estimated based on primary data of 74,862 participants in 2015 Survey of Disability, Ageing and Carers. Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify associated factors for the outcome variables including vision-related disability, cataract, macular degeneration and glaucoma. Future prevalence of vision-related disability and demand for O&M services were forecasted using the population projections by the Australian Bureau of Statistics through 2060. The main causes of vision-related disability are non-specific sight loss, cataracts, macular degeneration and glaucoma. Health-related associations for vision-related disability are older age, having a history of stroke, having diabetes, depression, heart disease and hearing impairment. The number of Australians with vision-related disability (283,650, 1.10%) and demand for O&M services (123,317, 0.48%) in 2020 will increase to 559,161 (1.38%) and 237,694 (0.59%) respectively in 2060. The number of people with vision-related disability and in need of O&M services in Australia will grow exponentially over the coming decades. General health promotion and specific strategies of early detection and timely treatments of the major eye diseases may ameliorate the trend in vision-related disability.

Age and sex distribution of Australia in 2024. Total population: 26,713,205.

Australia Medical X Ray Generator market valued at USD 15 million, driven by imaging tech advancements, chronic diseases, and ageing population. Growth fueled by AI innovations and early diagnosis demand.

Discover the booming Australian senior living market! This comprehensive analysis reveals a $6.03 billion market in 2025, projected to grow at 8.17% CAGR until 2033, driven by population aging and increasing demand for assisted living, independent living, and memory care. Explore key players, regional insights, and future trends. Recent developments include: August 2023: Aware Super has invested an undisclosed amount to acquire the remaining 30% it does not own in Oak Tree Retirement Villages. This senior housing platform owns 48 complexes along Australia's Eastern seaboard., February 2023: Lendlease 'Grove' extension will deliver 45 new two- and three-bedroom independent villas with internal garage access and private covered alfresco entertaining. The project will also include a separate 124-bed residential aged care facility delivered by Arcare Aged Care, offering a continuum of care in high demand in the Ngunnawal region.. Key drivers for this market are: 4., Aging Population4.; Increased Longevity. Potential restraints include: 4., Inadequate Staffing. Notable trends are: Increasing Senior Population and Life Expectancy driving the market.

The Australia Digital X-Ray Market size was valued to be USD 220 Million in the year 2024, and it is expected to reach USD 438.36 Million in 2032, at a CAGR of 9% over the forecast period of 2026 to 2032.

Rising Chronic Disease Burden & Aging Population: Australia's growing burden of chronic diseases and an aging population are significant drivers for the expansion of the digital X-ray market. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported that chronic conditions affect 47% of Australians, with musculoskeletal conditions requiring regular X-ray diagnostics affecting 1 in 3 Australians.

Government Healthcare Investment & Infrastructure Development: The Australian government has been consistently increasing its funding for healthcare services, recognizing the need for modern and efficient diagnostic tools to cater to the growing population and the rising demand for medical services.

Australia Whey Protein Market size was valued at USD 51.0 Billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 74.77 Billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 4.9% from 2024 to 2031.Australia Whey Protein Market DriversGrowing Fitness and Health Consciousness: A significant portion of the Australian population is health-conscious and actively engages in fitness activities. Whey protein is a popular choice among fitness enthusiasts and athletes for its muscle-building properties.Rising Demand for Sports Nutrition: The increasing popularity of sports and fitness activities, coupled with the growing awareness of the benefits of sports nutrition, is driving the demand for whey protein supplements.Aging Population: The aging population in Australia is seeking ways to maintain muscle mass and improve overall health. Whey protein can be beneficial for older adults to support their nutritional needs.Increasing Vegan and Vegetarian Population: While whey protein is derived from dairy, plant-based protein alternatives are gaining popularity among vegans and vegetarians. However, whey protein remains a preferred choice for many non-vegetarians.Strong Retail and E-commerce Channels: The well-developed retail and e-commerce infrastructure in Australia provides easy access to whey protein supplements, making them readily available to consumers.

Community associations and other interest groups have faced increasing financial and operational pressures. Fluctuating government funding has created uncertainty, limiting many organisations’ ability to deliver essential services. The privatisation of social services has shifted demand away from not-for-profits towards for-profit competitors, making some traditional community groups less relevant. Rising economic uncertainty has also curtailed household contributions, like donations and memberships, compounding revenue woes. Overall, revenue is expected to have fallen at an annualised 4.6% over the five years through 2024-25, to $9.2 billion. This trend includes an anticipated drop of 0.9% in 2024-25, driven by growing demand for assistance because of an ageing population and financial stress among households. Organisations have been increasingly adopting digital tools to improve service accessibility and expand their reach. While these innovations offer potential for growth, smaller groups face challenges in funding and maintaining these platforms. Partnerships with private organisations are also emerging as a strategy to enhance operational efficiency and competitiveness. Despite these efforts, the industry needs to work on keeping pace with rising demand and changing consumer expectations, highlighting the need for greater adaptability. Opportunities and challenges will mark the industry’s landscape over the coming years. Australia’s ageing population and rising household incomes are projected to drive demand for specialised services, including elder care and flexible community programs. Increased government prioritisation of social assistance programs will likely bring more funding to the industry, enabling organisations to expand their offerings. Media coverage of environmental and humanitarian issues is set to enhance awareness and attract new members, particularly for groups aligned with these causes. However, not-for-profits will need to adapt to growing scrutiny of administrative spending and evolving consumer expectations for value. Collaborations with for-profit organisations will become increasingly common as associations seek to enhance revenue streams and operational efficiencies. Technological advancements will be critical in driving accessibility and engagement, but organisations must address funding and resource challenges to sustain these initiatives. Overall, revenue is forecast to rise at an annualised 1.5% over the five years through 2029-30, to $9.9 billion.

The Asia-Pacific region shows significant variations in labor force participation rates (LFPR) among the population aged 15 to 64 years, with North Korea’s LFPR estimated at ** percent and Afghanistan’s at about ** percent in 2024. This stark contrast highlights the diverse economic and social landscapes across the region, influencing workforce engagement. Regional trends and forecasts APAC’s rapidly aging population is putting growing pressure on the labor market, with projections showing a declining labor force participation rate across the region between 2023 and 2050. East Asia, where demographic changes are most pronounced, is expected to see a significant decline in LFPR among those aged 15 to 54 years, while participation among those over 54 years is projected to rise notably during this period. In contrast, South Asia is the only sub-region anticipated to record a modest increase in participation rates for the 25-54 years age group, highlighting a regional divergence in labor force trends Youth engagement in the labor force The labor force participation rates among youth populations vary greatly across Asia-Pacific countries, reflecting diverse economic conditions, education systems, and social factors. For example, North Korea and Australia boast high youth labor force participation rates of more than ** percent for those aged 15 to 24 years, while South Korea's rate for the same age group is considerably lower at around ** percent. In Australia, strong labor market access for students and abundant part-time work opportunities could enable high youth engagement alongside education. Meanwhile, South Korea's strong societal focus on academic achievement and the pursuit of higher education qualifications often leads to prolonged periods of education, which delays young people's entry into the workforce. Moreover, many APAC countries have high NEET (not in education, employment, or training) rates, particularly those in South Asia, underscoring challenges such as skills mismatches and limited job opportunities.

Discover the booming Australian remote patient monitoring (RPM) market! This comprehensive analysis reveals key trends, growth projections (2025-2033), leading companies, and market segmentation. Learn about the opportunities and challenges in this rapidly expanding sector of telehealth. Recent developments include: In January 2022, MDLIVE launched patient health monitoring to drive health improvements for people living with chronic conditions. This digital-first program aims to improve health outcomes for people living with chronic health conditions like diabetes, heart disease, or high blood pressure., In January 2022, Omron Healthcare launched heart-focused remote patient monitoring. This launch would expand digital health services to consumers and monitor risks of heart disease and other ailments.. Key drivers for this market are: Rising Incidences of Chronic Diseases due to Lifestyle Changes, Growing Preference for Home and Remote Monitoring. Potential restraints include: Rising Incidences of Chronic Diseases due to Lifestyle Changes, Growing Preference for Home and Remote Monitoring. Notable trends are: Weight Management & Fitness Monitoring is Expected to Show a Significant Growth Rate During the Forecast Period.

Australia Animal Model Market was valued at USD 0.058 Billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 0.098 Billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6.9% from 2026 to 2032.Australia Animal Model Market Drivers And TrendsMedical Research Future Fund Investment - Australian government's $20 billion Medical Research Future Fund drives significant investment in preclinical research, creating sustained demand for specialized animal models in cancer, neurological, and rare disease research across universities and medical research institutes.Aging Population Healthcare Focus - Australia's rapidly aging population (17% over 65 by 2024) drives demand for age-related disease research models, particularly for dementia, cardiovascular diseases, and metabolic disorders, requiring specialized geriatric animal models and longitudinal studies.

Australia Population: Total: Aged 65 and Above data was reported at 4,821,999.000 Person in 2024. This records an increase from the previous number of 4,634,567.000 Person for 2023. Australia Population: Total: Aged 65 and Above data is updated yearly, averaging 1,994,928.000 Person from Dec 1960 (Median) to 2024, with 65 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4,821,999.000 Person in 2024 and a record low of 876,100.000 Person in 1960. Australia Population: Total: Aged 65 and Above data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.World Bank.WDI: Population and Urbanization Statistics. Total population 65 years of age or older. Population is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship.;World Population Prospects, United Nations (UN), publisher: UN Population Division; Staff estimates, World Bank (WB);Sum;

Australia long term care private insurance market valued at AUD 2.8 billion, driven by aging population, rising healthcare costs, and demand for financial protection in aged care.