Europe's average temperature has increased significantly when compared with the pre-industrial period, with the average temperature in 2014 2.22 degrees Celsius higher than average pre-industrial temperatures, the most of any year between 1850 and 2019.

This dataset provides monthly average values of the TG variable, representing mean air temperature across European regions. It spans multiple years, supporting analysis of seasonal and interannual temperature variability. The data are suitable for climate research, trend detection, modeling efforts, and understanding temperature-related environmental impacts across Europe. Structured for compatibility with other Copernicus climate datasets, it can be integrated with variables such as precipitation, cloud cover, and wind speed to examine broader climate patterns.

Due to climate change the Slovenian capital Ljubljana is expected to see its mean annual temperature increase by 3.5 degrees Celsius by 2050. This is the largest increase throughout the European Union, and will be comparable to current temperatures recorded in Virginia Beach, USA. Northern European cities such as London, Paris and Berlin will see temperatures rise to levels currently experienced in the Australian cities of Canberra and Melbourne.

Based on current monthly figures, on average, German climate has gotten a bit warmer. The average temperature for January 2025 was recorded at around 2 degrees Celsius, compared to 1.5 degrees a year before. In the broader context of climate change, average monthly temperatures are indicative of where the national climate is headed and whether attempts to control global warming are successful. Summer and winter Average summer temperature in Germany fluctuated in recent years, generally between 18 to 19 degrees Celsius. The season remains generally warm, and while there may not be as many hot and sunny days as in other parts of Europe, heat waves have occurred. In fact, 2023 saw 11.5 days with a temperature of at least 30 degrees, though this was a decrease compared to the year before. Meanwhile, average winter temperatures also fluctuated, but were higher in recent years, rising over four degrees on average in 2024. Figures remained in the above zero range since 2011. Numbers therefore suggest that German winters are becoming warmer, even if individual regions experiencing colder sub-zero snaps or even more snowfall may disagree. Rain, rain, go away Average monthly precipitation varied depending on the season, though sometimes figures from different times of the year were comparable. In 2024, the average monthly precipitation was highest in May and September, although rainfalls might increase in October and November with the beginning of the cold season. In the past, torrential rains have led to catastrophic flooding in Germany, with one of the most devastating being the flood of July 2021. Germany is not immune to the weather changing between two extremes, e.g. very warm spring months mostly without rain, when rain might be wished for, and then increased precipitation in other months where dry weather might be better, for example during planting and harvest seasons. Climate change remains on the agenda in all its far-reaching ways.

This dataset contains monthly averages of the TN variable, representing minimum daily air temperatures across European regions. It spans several decades, enabling analysis of seasonal trends, cold extremes, and long-term shifts in minimum temperatures. The data are essential for climate studies, risk assessments related to frost or cold events, and integration into broader climate models. Harmonized with other Copernicus datasets, it can be combined with temperature maxima, precipitation, and additional climate indicators to study environmental change and variability across Europe.

Hourly geographically aggregated weather data for Europe. This data package contains radiation and temperature data, at hourly resolution, for Europe, aggregated by Renewables.ninja from the NASA MERRA-2 reanalysis. It covers the European countries using a population-weighted mean across all MERRA-2 grid cells within the given country.

This dataset contains temperature exposure statistics for Europe (e.g. percentiles) derived from the daily 2 metre mean, minimum and maximum air temperature for the entire year, winter (DJF: December-January-February) and summer (JJA: June-July-August). These statistics were derived within the C3S European Health service and are available for different future time periods and using different climate change scenarios. Temperature percentiles are typically used in epidemiology and public health when defining health risk estimates and when looking at current and future health impacts, and they allow to identify a common threshold and comparison between different cities/areas. The temperature statistics are calculated, either for the season winter and summer or for the whole year, based on a bias-adjusted EURO-CORDEX dataset. The statistics are averaged for 30 years as a smoothed average from 1971 to 2100. This results in a timeseries covering the period from 1986 to 2085. Finally, the timeseries are averaged for the model ensemble and the standard deviation to this ensemble mean is provided.

Annual mean temperature data for the period 1950 to 2009 for Europe. Data is gridded at a cell size of 0.25 degrees. E-OBS daily data downloaded from http://eca.knmi.nl/download/ensembles/download.php#datafiles in NetCDF format. Data converted to Arc GRID and annual averages calculated for each year, using map algebra. Please see http://eca.knmi.nl/download/ensembles/download.php#datafiles for terms and conditions of use. Other. This dataset was first accessioned in the EDINA ShareGeo Open repository on 2011-01-14 and migrated to Edinburgh DataShare on 2017-02-21.

This statistic presents the perceived changes in annual global temperatures in the last 18 years, in selected European Countries in 2018. According to data published by Ipsos, the average guess among respondents in these countries was between 7 to 13 years, compared to the actual figure of **.

This table presents climate data from the Dutch weather station De Bilt (source: KNMI). The average winter and summer temperatures, which started in 1800, are the longest current series shown in the table. The series on the average year temperature and on hours of sunshine per year started in 1900. For the number of days below of above a certain temperature (ice days, summery days) the ranges started between 1940 and 1950. The complete set of climate data is available from 1980 onwards.

Data available from: 1800-2014.

Status of the figures: All data are definite.

Changes as of 19 April 2016: Not. This table has been discontinued.

When will new figures be published? Not applicable anymore.

Data on the weather and climate in The Netherlands can be found on the website of the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute KNMI

Overview: ERA5-Land is a reanalysis dataset providing a consistent view of the evolution of land variables over several decades at an enhanced resolution compared to ERA5. ERA5-Land has been produced by replaying the land component of the ECMWF ERA5 climate reanalysis. Reanalysis combines model data with observations from across the world into a globally complete and consistent dataset using the laws of physics. Reanalysis produces data that goes several decades back in time, providing an accurate description of the climate of the past.

Surface temperature: Temperature of the surface of the Earth. The skin temperature is the theoretical temperature that is required to satisfy the surface energy balance. It represents the temperature of the uppermost surface layer, which has no heat capacity and so can respond instantaneously to changes in surface fluxes.

Processing steps: The original hourly ERA5-Land data has been spatially enhanced from 0.1 degree to 30 arc seconds (approx. 1000 m) spatial resolution by image fusion with CHELSA data (V1.2) (https://chelsa-climate.org/). For each day we used the corresponding monthly long-term average of CHELSA. The aim was to use the fine spatial detail of CHELSA and at the same time preserve the general regional pattern and fine temporal detail of ERA5-Land. The steps included aggregation and enhancement, specifically: 1. spatially aggregate CHELSA to the resolution of ERA5-Land 2. calculate difference of ERA5-Land - aggregated CHELSA 3. interpolate differences with a Gaussian filter to 30 arc seconds 4. add the interpolated differences to CHELSA

The spatially enhanced daily ERA5-Land data has been aggregated on a weekly basis (starting from Saturday) for the time period 2016 - 2020. Data available is the weekly average of daily averages, the weekly minimum of daily minima and the weekly maximum of daily maxima of surface temperature.

File naming: Average of daily average: era5_land_ts_avg_weekly_YYYY_MM_DD.tif Max of daily max: era5_land_ts_max_weekly_YYYY_MM_DD.tif Min of daily min: era5_land_ts_min_weekly_YYYY_MM_DD.tif

The date in the file name determines the start day of the week (Saturday).

Pixel values: °C * 10 Example: Value 302 = 30.2 °C

The QML or SLD style files can be used for visualization of the temperature layers.

Coordinate reference system: ETRS89 / LAEA Europe (EPSG:3035) (EPSG:3035)

Spatial extent: north: 82N south: 18S west: -32W east: 61E

Spatial resolution: 1 km

Temporal resolution: weekly

Time period: 01/01/2016 - 12/31/2020

Format: GeoTIFF

Representation type: Grid

Software used: GRASS 8.0

Original ERA5-Land dataset license: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/api/v2/terms/static/licence-to-use-copernicus-products.pdf

CHELSA climatologies (V1.2): Data used: Karger D.N., Conrad, O., Böhner, J., Kawohl, T., Kreft, H., Soria-Auza, R.W., Zimmermann, N.E, Linder, H.P., Kessler, M. (2018): Data from: Climatologies at high resolution for the earth's land surface areas. Dryad digital repository. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.5061/dryad.kd1d4 Original peer-reviewed publication: Karger, D.N., Conrad, O., Böhner, J., Kawohl, T., Kreft, H., Soria-Auza, R.W., Zimmermann, N.E., Linder, P., Kessler, M. (2017): Climatologies at high resolution for the Earth land surface areas. Scientific Data. 4 170122. https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2017.122

Processed by: mundialis GmbH & Co. KG, Germany (https://www.mundialis.de/)

Contact: mundialis GmbH & Co. KG, info@mundialis.de

Acknowledgements: This study was partially funded by EU grant 874850 MOOD. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of the authors and don't necessarily reflect the views of the European Commission.

This dataset provides high-resolution gridded temperature and precipitation observations from a selection of sources. Additionally the dataset contains daily global average near-surface temperature anomalies. All fields are defined on either daily or monthly frequency. The datasets are regularly updated to incorporate recent observations. The included data sources are commonly known as GISTEMP, Berkeley Earth, CPC and CPC-CONUS, CHIRPS, IMERG, CMORPH, GPCC and CRU, where the abbreviations are explained below. These data have been constructed from high-quality analyses of meteorological station series and rain gauges around the world, and as such provide a reliable source for the analysis of weather extremes and climate trends. The regular update cycle makes these data suitable for a rapid study of recently occurred phenomena or events. The NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies temperature analysis dataset (GISTEMP-v4) combines station data of the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) with the Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST) to construct a global temperature change estimate. The Berkeley Earth Foundation dataset (BERKEARTH) merges temperature records from 16 archives into a single coherent dataset. The NOAA Climate Prediction Center datasets (CPC and CPC-CONUS) define a suite of unified precipitation products with consistent quantity and improved quality by combining all information sources available at CPC and by taking advantage of the optimal interpolation (OI) objective analysis technique. The Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station dataset (CHIRPS-v2) incorporates 0.05° resolution satellite imagery and in-situ station data to create gridded rainfall time series over the African continent, suitable for trend analysis and seasonal drought monitoring. The Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals dataset (IMERG) by NASA uses an algorithm to intercalibrate, merge, and interpolate “all'' satellite microwave precipitation estimates, together with microwave-calibrated infrared (IR) satellite estimates, precipitation gauge analyses, and potentially other precipitation estimators over the entire globe at fine time and space scales for the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) and its successor, Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) satellite-based precipitation products. The Climate Prediction Center morphing technique dataset (CMORPH) by NOAA has been created using precipitation estimates that have been derived from low orbiter satellite microwave observations exclusively. Then, geostationary IR data are used as a means to transport the microwave-derived precipitation features during periods when microwave data are not available at a location. The Global Precipitation Climatology Centre dataset (GPCC) is a centennial product of monthly global land-surface precipitation based on the ~80,000 stations world-wide that feature record durations of 10 years or longer. The data coverage per month varies from ~6,000 (before 1900) to more than 50,000 stations. The Climatic Research Unit dataset (CRU v4) features an improved interpolation process, which delivers full traceability back to station measurements. The station measurements of temperature and precipitation are public, as well as the gridded dataset and national averages for each country. Cross-validation was performed at a station level, and the results have been published as a guide to the accuracy of the interpolation. This catalogue entry complements the E-OBS record in many aspects, as it intends to provide high-resolution gridded meteorological observations at a global rather than continental scale. These data may be suitable as a baseline for model comparisons or extreme event analysis in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 dataset.

Past and future weather extremes across Europe

This repository contains the annual exceedance index data for past and future weather extremes across Europe on NUTS1 scale. The code and an accompanying paper analyzing the impact of this weather extremes on the European agricultural sector on subnational scale will be published during 2023. We use a percentile-based approach to assess the annual exceedance index of the four weather extremes heat waves, cold waves, fire-risk and droughts for the past (1981–2020) and future (2006–2100) [Zhang et al., 2005]. For the past, we used daily weather records on a grid level (around 11 km at the equator) from the ERA5-Land reanalysis dataset, and for future projections, we use modelled daily weather records from EURO-CORDEX [Christensen et al., 2020, Muñoz, 2019]. For past and future fire-risk we use precalculated fire weathernindex data from ERA5 and EURO-CORDEX, respectively [Giannakopoulos et al., 2020]. We used the model average of the following driving GCMs and RCMs for future projections: ICHECs Earth System Model (EC-Earth), MPI-Ms Earth System Model (MPI-ESM-LR), SMHIs Regional Climate Model (RCA4). The baseline period for the historical scenario is 1981–2010, and for future projections 1981–2005. Daily thresholds for heat waves, cold waves, and flash droughts are estimated from the 90th percentile of the daily minimum and maximum temperature, 10th percentile of the daily minimum and maximum temperature, and 30th percentile of the soil volumetric water content (0–28cm), respectively [**Sutanto** et al., 2020]. We use a five days centre data window for all three extreme events to estimate the thresholds from the previously listed baseline periods. The annual exceedance index for heat waves is calculated as the sum of days, at least for three consecutive days; the daily temperature values exceed the thresholds for June, July, and August. For cold waves, the annual exceedance index is the sum of days, at least for three consecutive days; the daily temperature values are below the thresholds for January, February, October, November, and December. In-base, exceedance is calculated using bootstrapping (1000x repetitions) for both extreme events. Heat and cold wave exceedance indices are rescaled to NUTS1 regions using a maximum resampling. We use sequent peak analysis to detect annual flash droughts, remove minor droughts, and pool interdependent droughts for the season from June to October [**Biggs** et al., 2004]. The annual exceedance index of droughts is rescaled to NUTS1 regions by using a mean resampling. Parameters for fire-risk are listed in the table below while.

Parameters of the analysis of the percentile-based extreme.

Type	Variable	Percentile	Window	Min duration	Rescaling	Months	Bootstrapping
Heat wave	tmin and tmax	90	5	3	max	6, 7, 8	yes
Cold wave	tmin and tmax	10	5	3	max	1, 2, 10, 11, 12	yes
Flash drought	swvl 0-28cm	30	5	5	mean	6, 7, 8, 9, 10	no
Fire risk	FWI	90	5	1	mean	3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9	yes

Xuebin Zhang, Gabriele Hegerl, Francis W. Zwiers, and Jesse Kenyon. Avoiding inhomogeneity in percentile-based indices of temperature extremes. Journal of Climate, 18 (11):1641–1651, 2005. ISSN 08948755. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3366.1.

Samuel Jonson Sutanto, Claudia Vitolo, Claudia Di Napoli, Mirko D’Andrea, and Henny A.J. Van Lanen. Heatwaves, droughts, and fires: Exploring compound and cascading dry hazards at the pan-European scale. Environment International, 134 (March 2019):105276, jan 2020. ISSN 01604120. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2019.105276.

J. Sabater Muñoz. ERA5-Land hourly data from 1981 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS), 2019.

O. B. Christensen, W. J. Gutowski, G. Nikulin, and S. Legutke. CORDEX Archive Design, 2020. URL https://is-enes-data.github.io/cordex_archive_specifications.pdf

Barry J. F. Biggs, Bente Clausen, Siegfried Demuth, Miriam Fendeková, Lars Gottschalk, Alan Gustard, Hege Hisdal, Matthew G. R. Holmes, Ian G. Jowett, Ladislav Kašpárek, Artur Kasprzyk, Elzbieta Kupczyk, Henny A.J. Van Lanen, Henrik Madsen, Terry J. Marsh, Bjarne Moeslund, Oldřich Novický, Elisabeth Peters, Wojciech Pokojski, Erik P. Querner, Gwyn Rees, Lars Roald, Kerstin Stahl, Lena M. Tallaksen, and Andrew R. Young. Hydrological Drought: Processes and Estimation Methods for Stream- flow and Groundwater. Elsevier, 1 edition, 2004. ISBN 0444517677.

Giannakopoulos, C., Karali, A., Cauchy, A. (2020): Fire danger indicators for Europe from 1970 to 2098 derived from climate projections, version 1.0, Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS), DOI: 10.24381/cds.ca755de7

Funding
Tobias Seydewitz acknowledges funding from the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research for the [BIOCLIMAPATHS](https://www.pik-potsdam.de/en/output/projects/all/647) project (grant agreement No 01LS1906A) under the Axis-ERANET call. The funders had no role in study design, data collection, analysis, decision to publish, or manuscript preparation.

In November 2023, the surface air temperature anomaly in Europe was 0.48°C, relative to the 1991-2020 average for that month. This was 1.26°C colder than November 2015, which was Europe's hottest November on record, with a temperature anomaly surpassing 1.74°C.

Overview: era5.copernicus: air temperature daily averages from 2000 to 2020 resampled with CHELSA to 1 km resolution Traceability (lineage): The data sources used to generate this dataset are ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present (Copernicus Climate Data Store) and CHELSA monthly climatologies. Scientific methodology: The methodology used for downscaling follows established procedures as used by e.g. Worldclim and CHELSA. Usability: The substantial improvement of the spatial resolution together with the high temporal resolution of one day further improve the usability of the original ERA5 Land time series product which is useful for all kind of land surface applications such as flood or drought forecasting. The temporal and spatial resolution of this dataset, the period covered in time, as well as the fixed grid used for the data distribution at any period enables decisions makers, businesses and individuals to access and use more accurate information on land states. Uncertainty quantification: The ERA5-Land dataset, as any other simulation, provides estimates which have some degree of uncertainty. Numerical models can only provide a more or less accurate representation of the real physical processes governing different components of the Earth System. In general, the uncertainty of model estimates grows as we go back in time, because the number of observations available to create a good quality atmospheric forcing is lower. ERA5-land parameter fields can currently be used in combination with the uncertainty of the equivalent ERA5 fields. Data validation approaches: Validation of the ERA5 Land ddataset against multiple in-situ datasets is presented in the reference paper (Muñoz-Sabater et al., 2021). Completeness: The dataset covers the entire Geo-harmonizer region as defined by the landmask raster dataset. However, some small islands might be missing if there are no data in the original ERA5 Land dataset. Consistency: ERA5-Land is a reanalysis dataset providing a consistent view of the evolution of land variables over several decades at an enhanced resolution compared to ERA5. ERA5-Land has been produced by replaying the land component of the ECMWF ERA5 climate reanalysis. Reanalysis combines model data with observations from across the world into a globally complete and consistent dataset using the laws of physics. Reanalysis produces data that goes several decades back in time, providing an accurate description of the climate of the past. Positional accuracy: 1 km spatial resolution Temporal accuracy: Daily maps for the years 2020-2020. Thematic accuracy: The raster values represent minimum, mean, and maximum daily air temperature 2m above ground in degrees Celsius x 10.

Overview: era5.copernicus: surface temperature daily averages from 2000 to 2020 resampled with CHELSA to 1 km resolution Traceability (lineage): The data sources used to generate this dataset are ERA5-Land hourly data from 1950 to present (Copernicus Climate Data Store) and CHELSA monthly climatologies. Scientific methodology: The methodology used for downscaling follows established procedures as used by e.g. Worldclim and CHELSA. Usability: The substantial improvement of the spatial resolution together with the high temporal resolution of one day further improve the usability of the original ERA5 Land time series product which is useful for all kind of land surface applications such as flood or drought forecasting. The temporal and spatial resolution of this dataset, the period covered in time, as well as the fixed grid used for the data distribution at any period enables decisions makers, businesses and individuals to access and use more accurate information on land states. Uncertainty quantification: The ERA5-Land dataset, as any other simulation, provides estimates which have some degree of uncertainty. Numerical models can only provide a more or less accurate representation of the real physical processes governing different components of the Earth System. In general, the uncertainty of model estimates grows as we go back in time, because the number of observations available to create a good quality atmospheric forcing is lower. ERA5-land parameter fields can currently be used in combination with the uncertainty of the equivalent ERA5 fields. Data validation approaches: Validation of the ERA5 Land ddataset against multiple in-situ datasets is presented in the reference paper (Muñoz-Sabater et al., 2021). Completeness: The dataset covers the entire Geo-harmonizer region as defined by the landmask raster dataset. However, some small islands might be missing if there are no data in the original ERA5 Land dataset. Consistency: ERA5-Land is a reanalysis dataset providing a consistent view of the evolution of land variables over several decades at an enhanced resolution compared to ERA5. ERA5-Land has been produced by replaying the land component of the ECMWF ERA5 climate reanalysis. Reanalysis combines model data with observations from across the world into a globally complete and consistent dataset using the laws of physics. Reanalysis produces data that goes several decades back in time, providing an accurate description of the climate of the past. Positional accuracy: 1 km spatial resolution Temporal accuracy: Daily maps for the years 2020-2020. Thematic accuracy: The raster values represent minimum, mean, and maximum daily surface temperature in degrees Celsius x 10.

ERA5-Land daily: Surface temperature, daily time series for Europe at 30 arc seconds (ca. 1000 meter) resolution (2000 - 2020)

Source data:ERA5-Land is a reanalysis dataset providing a consistent view of the evolution of land variables over several decades at an enhanced resolution compared to ERA5. ERA5-Land has been produced by replaying the land component of the ECMWF ERA5 climate reanalysis. Reanalysis combines model data with observations from across the world into a globally complete and consistent dataset using the laws of physics. Reanalysis produces data that goes several decades back in time, providing an accurate description of the climate of the past.

Surface temperature:Temperature of the surface of the Earth. The skin temperature is the theoretical temperature that is required to satisfy the surface energy balance. It represents the temperature of the uppermost surface layer, which has no heat capacity and so can respond instantaneously to changes in surface fluxes.

Processing steps:The original ERA5-Land dataset (period: 2000 - 2020) has been reprocessed to: - aggregate ERA5-Land hourly data to daily data (minimum, mean, maximum) - while increasing the resolution from the native ERA5-Land resolution of 0.1 degree (~ 9 km) to 30 arc-sec (~ 1 km) by image fusion with CHELSA data (V1.2) (https://chelsa-climate.org/). For each day we used the corresponding monthly long-term average of CHELSA. The aim was to use the fine spatial detail of CHELSA and at the same time preserve the general regional pattern and fine temporal detail of ERA5-Land.The steps included aggregation and enhancement, specifically: 1. spatially aggregate CHELSA to the resolution of ERA5-Land 2. calculate difference of ERA5-Land - aggregated CHELSA 3. interpolate differences with a Gaussian filter to 30 arc seconds 4. add the interpolated differences to CHELSA

Data available is the daily average, minimum and maximum of surface temperature.

File naming:Daily average: era5_land_daily_ts_YYYYMMDD_avg_30sec.tifDaily min: era5_land_daily_ts_YYYYMMDD_min_30sec.tifDaily max: era5_land_daily_ts_YYYYMMDD_max_30sec.tif

The date within the filename is Year, Month and Day of timestamp.

Pixel values:°C * 10 Example: Value 302 = 30.2 °C

Projection + EPSG code:Latitude-Longitude/WGS84 (EPSG: 4326)

Spatial extent:north: 82:00:30Nsouth: 18:00:00Nwest: 32:00:30Weast: 70:00:00E

Temporal extent:01.01.2000 - 31.12.2020NOTE: Due to file size, only 2020 data are available here. Data for other years are available on request.

Spatial resolution:30 arc seconds (approx. 1000 m)

Temporal resolution:daily

Format: GeoTIFF

Representation type: Grid

Software used:GDAL 3.2.2 and GRASS GIS 8.0.0 (r.resamp.stats -w; r.relief)

Original ERA5-Land dataset license:https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/api/v2/terms/static/licence-to-use-copernicus-products.pdf

CHELSA climatologies (V1.2): Data used: Karger D.N., Conrad, O., Böhner, J., Kawohl, T., Kreft, H., Soria-Auza, R.W., Zimmermann, N.E, Linder, H.P., Kessler, M. (2018): Data from: Climatologies at high resolution for the earth's land surface areas. Dryad digital repository. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.5061/dryad.kd1d4Original peer-reviewed publication: Karger, D.N., Conrad, O., Böhner, J., Kawohl, T., Kreft, H., Soria-Auza, R.W., Zimmermann, N.E., Linder, P., Kessler, M. (2017): Climatologies at high resolution for the Earth land surface areas. Scientific Data. 4 170122.

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Contact:mundialis GmbH & Co. KG, info@mundialis.de

Seasonal weather forecast to prevail in Cyprus, in the next three months, in which analyses and comparisons of the values of climate average temperature and rain with those expected over the forecast period are presented. The seasonal prognosis has been produced and published since 2010, especially for the region of South-Eastern Europe, by the Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia and is under the auspices of the World Meteorological Organisation. The whole effort is called Southeast Europe Conference for Seasonal Forecast (SEECOF). The model from which this seasonal forecast is produced is dynamic and has many similarities with short weather forecast models. This model also entails uncertainty (like any weather forecast product) that is why it may vary from the actual weather, which on average will prevail every month.

In August 2024, the surface air temperature anomaly in Europe was 1.57°C, relative to the 1991-2020 average for that month. This makes it the second-warmest August on record after August 2022, which recorded temperatures exceeding 1.7°C above the average.

ERA5 is the fifth generation ECMWF reanalysis for the global climate and weather for the past 8 decades. Data is available from 1940 onwards. ERA5 replaces the ERA-Interim reanalysis. Reanalysis combines model data with observations from across the world into a globally complete and consistent dataset using the laws of physics. This principle, called data assimilation, is based on the method used by numerical weather prediction centres, where every so many hours (12 hours at ECMWF) a previous forecast is combined with newly available observations in an optimal way to produce a new best estimate of the state of the atmosphere, called analysis, from which an updated, improved forecast is issued. Reanalysis works in the same way, but at reduced resolution to allow for the provision of a dataset spanning back several decades. Reanalysis does not have the constraint of issuing timely forecasts, so there is more time to collect observations, and when going further back in time, to allow for the ingestion of improved versions of the original observations, which all benefit the quality of the reanalysis product. This catalogue entry provides post-processed ERA5 hourly single-level data aggregated to daily time steps. In addition to the data selection options found on the hourly page, the following options can be selected for the daily statistic calculation:

The daily aggregation statistic (daily mean, daily max, daily min, daily sum*) The sub-daily frequency sampling of the original data (1 hour, 3 hours, 6 hours) The option to shift to any local time zone in UTC (no shift means the statistic is computed from UTC+00:00)

*The daily sum is only available for the accumulated variables (see ERA5 documentation for more details). Users should be aware that the daily aggregation is calculated during the retrieval process and is not part of a permanently archived dataset. For more details on how the daily statistics are calculated, including demonstrative code, please see the documentation. For more details on the hourly data used to calculate the daily statistics, please refer to the ERA5 hourly single-level data catalogue entry and the documentation found therein.