In 2022, house price growth in the UK slowed, after a period of decade-long increase. Nevertheless, in August 2024, prices reached a new peak, with the average home costing close to 290,000 British pounds. That figure refers to all property types, including detached, semi-detached, terraced houses, and flats and maisonettes. Compared to other European countries, the UK had some of the highest house prices. How have UK house prices increased over the last 10 years? Property prices have risen dramatically over the past decade. According to the UK house price index, the average house price has grown by over 50 percent since 2015. This price development has led to the gap between the cost of buying and renting a property to close. In 2023, buying a three-bedroom house in the UK was no longer more affordable than renting one. Consequently, Brits have become more likely to rent longer and push off making a house purchase until they have saved up enough for a down payment and achieved the financial stability required to make the step. What caused the decline in house prices in 2022? House prices are affected by multiple factors, such as mortgage rates, supply, and demand on the market. For nearly a decade, the UK experienced uninterrupted house price growth as a result of strong demand and a chronic undersupply. Homebuyers who purchased a property at the peak of the housing boom in July 2022 paid 14 percent more compared to what they would have paid a year before. Additionally, 2022 saw the most dramatic increase in mortgage rates in recent history. Between December 2021 and December 2022, the 10-year fixed mortgage rate doubled, adding further strain to prospective homebuyers. As a result, the market cooled, leading to a correction in pricing.

Average house prices are affected by several factors: Economic growth, unemployment, interest rates and mortgage availability can all affect average prices. A shortage of supply means that the need for housing and, therefore, competitive market created will push up house prices, whereas an excess of housing means prices fall to stimulate buyers. Location, location, location In December 2023, the average house price in England was more expensive than in any other country. This huge disparity in average house prices is in no small part down to the country's capital city, where the average asking price was more than double that of the UK’s average. Even in London, for those who can afford a mortgage, the savings made through buying over renting can be beneficial. House prices still set to grow In 2024, the number of housing transactions in the UK is set to fall to 1.1 million. With the expected decline in transactions, the average house price is also set to stagnate across the UK.

The UK housing market continued to show significant regional variations in 2024, with London maintaining its position as the most expensive city for homebuyers. The average house price in the capital stood at 519,579 British pounds in October, nearly double the national average of 292,059 British pounds. However, the market dynamics are shifting, with London experiencing only a modest 0.2 percent annual increase, while other cities like Newcastle upon Tyne and Belfast saw more substantial growth of 8.8 percent and 6.8 percent respectively. Affordability challenges and market slowdown Despite the continued price growth in many cities, the UK housing market is facing headwinds. The affordability of mortgage repayments has become the biggest barrier to property purchases, with the majority of the respondents in a recent survey citing it as their main challenge. Moreover, a rising share of Brits have reported affordability as a challenge since 2021, reflecting the impact of rising house prices and higher mortgage rates. The market slowdown is evident in the declining housing transaction volumes, which have plummeted since 2021. European context The stark price differences are mirrored in the broader European context. While London boasts some of the highest property prices among European cities, a comparison of the average transaction price for new homes in different European countries shows a different picture. In 2023, the highest prices were found in Austria, Germany, and France.

The UK regions that observed the highest house price growth as of June 2024 were North Ireland and North West, where the HPI measured over 160 index points. The house price index (HPI) is an easy way of illustrating trends in the house sales market. By using hedonic regression, the index models property price data for all dwellings and shows how much the price has changed since January 2015. An index value of 160 index points indicates a price increase of 60 percent since 2015.

Just as in many other countries, the housing market in the UK grew substantially during the coronavirus pandemic, fueled by robust demand and low borrowing costs. Nevertheless, high inflation and the increase in mortgage rates has led to house price growth slowing down. According to the forecast, 2024 is expected to see house prices decrease by three percent. Between 2024 and 2028, the average house price growth is projected at 2.7 percent. A contraction after a period of continuous growth In June 2022, the UK's house price index exceeded 150 index points, meaning that since 2015 which was the base year for the index, house prices had increased by 50 percent. In just two years, between 2020 and 2022, the index surged by 30 index points. As the market stood in December 2023, the average price for a home stood at approximately 284,691 British pounds. Rents are expected to continue to grow According to another forecast, the prime residential market is also expected to see rental prices grow in the next years. Growth is forecast to be stronger in 2024 and slow down in the period between 2025 and 2028. The rental market in London is expected to follow a similar trend, with Central London slightly outperforming Greater London.

Terraced houses were the most affordable type of housing in England and Wales in 2023. Buying a terraced house cost approximately 281,000 British pounds - almost half of the average price of a detached house. House prices have risen steadily since 1986, with growth accelerating between 2019 and 2022. In just 10 years, home prices have more than doubled. Overall, newly built housing was more affordable than existing housing in the UK in 2023.

The Nationwide average UK house price increased during the period under observation, reaching a value of over 265,000 British pounds as of the fourth quarter of 2022. The final quarter of 2022 saw the first quarterly decrease, after a three-year period of significant house price growth. The smallest house price for all houses in the UK during this period was found in the first quarter of 2011, when an average house price of approximately 162,400 British pounds was recorded.

House prices in the UK rose dramatically during the coronavirus pandemic, with growth slowing down in 2022 and turning negative in 2023. The year-on-year annual house price change peaked at 14 percent in July 2022. In June 2024, house prices increased by 2.7 percent. According to the Nationwide Building Society, the average house price exceeded 265,000 British pounds in 2022. Correction in housing prices: a European phenomenon The trend of a growing residential real estate market was not exclusive to the UK during the pandemic. Likewise, many European countries experienced falling prices in 2023. When comparing residential property RHPI (price index in real terms, e.g. corrected for inflation), countries such as Germany, France, Italy, and Spain also saw prices decline. Sweden, one of the countries with the fastest growing residential markets, saw one of the largest declines in prices. How has demand for UK housing changed since the outbreak of the coronavirus? The easing of the lockdown was followed by a dramatic increase in home sales. In November 2020, the number of mortgage approvals reached an all-time high of over 107,000. One of the reasons for the housing boom were the low mortgage rates, allowing home buyers to take out a loan with an interest rate as low as 2.5 percent. That changed as the Bank of England started to raise the base lending rate, resulting in higher borrowing costs and a decline in homebuyer sentiment.

In 2023, detached houses were the most expensive type of dwelling in the United Kingdom at an average price of 496,000 British pounds. Flats or maisonettes in converted houses, on the other hand, cost on average 260,000 British pounds, making them 714,000 British pounds less expensive than detached houses or 151,000 British pounds less than the average for all dwelling types. Prices also varied for new and existing housing, with existing properties fetching higher prices, on average.

After soaring for three years, house price in England declined in 2023. In London, the most expensive regional market, the average house price fell to 508,000 British pounds in December 2023, down from 529,000 British pounds a year ago. According to the UK regional house price index, the North West saw the highest price increase since 2015.

The price of existing dwellings in the UK increased significantly between 1990 and 2023. Existing housing reached a value of 331,000 British pounds in 2023. That was slightly lower than the previous year, when house prices peaked, but a substantial increase since 2019 when prices started to rise rapidly. Overall, flats or maisonettes in converted houses were the most affordable housing type in the UK in 2023.

The average house price in England started to increase in the first half of 2024, after falling by over three percent year-on-year in December 2023. In June 2024, the house price index amounted to 149.7 index points, suggesting an increase in house prices of 2.4 percent since the same month in 2023 and a roughly 50 percent rise since 2015 - the baseline year for the index. Among the different regions in the UK, West and East Midlands experienced the strongest growth.

The house price index (HPI) shows changes in the value of residential properties in England, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. With the HPI set at a base of 100 in January 2015, a value of over 100 would mark an increase in the average dwelling price. A value of under 100 points, on the other hand, would indicate that the average price has dropped. House price index in the UK The HPI fluctuated in 2023, after peaking in November 2022. In December 2023, the index stood at 149 index points, which was a slight decline from December 2022. This trend in the index, and therefore the value of UK residential properties, has also been observed by the Halifax house price index. Average house prices Average house prices are affected by several factors. Economic growth, unemployment, interest rates and mortgage availability can all drive them up or down. A shortage of supply means that the need for housing and the competitive market created will push house prices up. An excess of housing, on the other hand, means prices fall to stimulate buyers.

The simple average house price in the UK was higher for existing dwellings than for newly built ones in 2023. In that year, the average price for new housing amounted to 326,000 British pounds, while for existing housing, the price was 331,000 British pounds. Prices also varied for different types of property, with flats or maisonettes in converted houses being the most affordable.

The average house price for first-time homebuyers in the United Kingdom (UK) was 288,000 British pounds in 2023, down from 302,000 British pounds the year before. Most regions experienced a slight decline in 2023. The South East and London were the most expensive regions to buy a home, with the average house prices was 353,724 British pounds and, 492234 British pounds, respectively.

The average house price in the increased by 2.7 percent year-on-year in June 2024, according to the monthly house price index. The index is calculated using data on housing transactions and measures the development of house prices, with 2015 chosen as a base year when the index value was set to 100. In June 2024, the index reached 151 index points, meaning that house prices have grown by over 51 percent since 2015. The house price index is an important measure for the residential real estate market. It is used to show changes in the value of residential properties in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. This upwards trend in house price index, and therefore the value of residential properties, has also been observed by other measurers of house price index in the United Kingdom.

The house price index in London reached 129.9 index points in June 2024, which was an increase from a year ago, despite a mild correction. The house price index (HPI) is an easy way of illustrating trends in the house sales market and help simplify house purchase decisions. By using hedonic regression, the index models property price data for all dwellings and shows how much the price has changed since January 2015. How have regional house prices in the UK developed? House prices in other UK regions have risen even more than in London. In the North West, the house price index exceeded 160 index points, ranking it among the regions with the highest property appreciation. The UK house price index stood at 151 index points, suggesting an increase of 51 percent since 2015. Average house prices Location plays a huge role in the price of a home. Kensington and Chelsea and City of Westminster are undoubtedly the most expensive boroughs in London, with an average house price that can exceed one million British pounds. In comparison, a house in Barking and Dagenham cost approximately one third. Nevertheless, the housing market is the busiest in the boroughs with average house prices.

Inflation-adjusted house prices in the United Kingdom (UK), continued to decline in the second quarter of 2023 - a trend that started in the fourth quarter of 2022. The nominal house price grew by 1.77 percent in the second quarter of 2023, but when adjusted for inflation, there was a decline of 6.15 percent.

According to the forecast, the North East and Wales are the regions in the United Kingdom estimated to see the highest overall growth in house prices over the five-year period between 2024 and 2028. Just behind are North West, Yorkshire & the Humber, and Scotland, which are forecast to see house prices increase by 20.2 percent over the five-year period. In London, house prices are expected to rise by 13.9 percent.

The average mix-adjusted house price in London, England, peaked in August 2022, followed by a slight correction in 2023. In June 2024, the average house price amounted to about 523,134 British pounds, up from 519,795 British pounds a year ago. These recent fluctuations have also been observed by other measures, such as the house price index. The house price index is an important measure for the residential real estate market and is used to show changes in the value of residential properties.