The average mortgage payment in the large and mid-sized cities in Canada ranged between 1,300 Canadian dollars and 2,600 Canadian dollars. In the fourth quarter of the year, Vancouver topped the ranking, with homebuyers paying, on average, ***** Canadian dollars monthly. In Toronto, the average monthly scheduled mortgage payment was ***** Canadian dollars. Canada’s housing market House prices in Canada vary widely across the country. In 2023, the average sales price of detached single-family homes in Vancouver was nearly three times as expensive as the national average. Vancouver is undoubtedly considered the least affordable housing market: In 2023, the cost of buying a home with a **-year mortgage in Canada was approximately ** percent of the median household income, whereas in Vancouver, it was nearly *** percent. Development of house prices The development of house prices depends on multiple factors, such as availability on the market and demand. Since 2005, house prices in Canada have been continuously growing. According to the MSL composite house price index, 2021 measured the highest house price increase.

Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal are Canada's largest mortgage markets. With nearly 419 billion Canadian dollars in mortgages outstanding, Toronto accounted for close to 23 percent of the country's 1.8 trillion Canadian dollar mortgage market. Toronto was also the metropolitan area with the second-highest average loan size for new mortgages.

The average loan size of new mortgages in Canada increased in 2024, after a year of steady decline in 2023. In the third quarter of 2024, the average size of a mortgage amounted to ******* Canadian dollars, up from ******* in the second quarter of 2024. Mortgages varied in size in different metropolitan areas, with Toronto and Vancouver seeing the highest value of new mortgages.

This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (247 items: Carbonear; Newfoundland and Labrador; Corner Brook; Newfoundland and Labrador; Grand Falls-Windsor; Newfoundland and Labrador; Gander; Newfoundland and Labrador ...), Type of structure (4 items: Apartment structures of three units and over; Apartment structures of six units and over; Row and apartment structures of three units and over; Row structures of three units and over ...), Type of unit (4 items: Two bedroom units; Three bedroom units; One bedroom units; Bachelor units ...).

This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (11 items: Canada; Prince Edward Island; Nova Scotia; Newfoundland and Labrador ...), Housing estimates (3 items: Housing starts; Housing under construction; Housing completions ...), Type of unit (6 items: Total units; Semi-detached; Single-detached; Multiples ...).

Context

This is modified dataset combining MCI and Homicide

Sources

Unemployment rate: https://www.statista.com/statistics/578362/unemployment-rate-canada/

Police data: http://data.torontopolice.on.ca/pages/open-data

Population data and analysis: see percapita.ipynb Population of toronto: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Toronto

For 2017: https://www.google.com/publicdata

For 2018: https://www.toronto.ca/city-government/data-research-maps/toronto-at-a-glance/

Average Income: Canadian Mortgage and Housing Company, https://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/en/corp/about/cahoob/data/upload/Table-17_EN_Before-Tax_w.xlsx

Neighborhoods map data https://www.toronto.ca/city-government/data-research-maps/open-data/

The Canadian housing market, particularly in major urban centers, has experienced a prolonged period of rapid price appreciation, driven by factors such as low interest rates, strong population growth, and limited supply. According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), the national average house price rose by more than 50% between 2020 and 2022, with prices in some major cities, such as Toronto and Vancouver, increasing by even more. This rapid price growth has made it increasingly difficult for many Canadians to afford a home, especially in the country's most desirable markets. However, the Canadian housing market is starting to show signs of cooling in 2023, as rising interest rates and stricter mortgage lending rules from the government begin to take effect. The CMHC predicts that the national average house price will decline by 7.6% in 2023, with prices in some markets, such as Toronto and Vancouver, expected to fall by even more. This cooling is expected to continue in 2024, with the CMHC predicting a further decline in the national average house price of 3.2%. The long-term outlook for the Canadian housing market is more uncertain, but the CMHC expects that prices will continue to rise, albeit at a more moderate pace. The Canadian housing market is one of the most expensive in the world, with prices in major cities like Toronto and Vancouver soaring to record highs in recent years. This has led to a growing concern about affordability, as many Canadians are being priced out of the market. Key drivers for this market are: Increasing Adoption of Remote and Hybrid Work Model. Potential restraints include: Lack of Privacy. Notable trends are: Pandemic Accelerated Luxury Home Sales in Major Canadian Markets.

The City of Toronto monitors food affordability every year using the Ontario Nutritious Food Basket (ONFB) costing tool. Food prices, among other essential needs, have increased considerably in the last several years. People receiving social assistance and earning low wages often do not have enough money to cover the cost of basic expenses, including food. As such, ONFB data is best used to assess the cost of living in Toronto by analyzing food affordability in relation to income, alongside other local basic expenses. The dataset describes the affordability of food and other basic expenses relative to income for 13 household scenarios. Scenarios were selected to reflect household characteristics that increase the risk of being food insecure, including reliance on social assistance as the main source of income, single-parent households, and rental housing. A median income scenario has also been included as a comparator. Income, including federal and provincial tax benefits, and the cost of four basic living expenses - rent food, childcare, and transportation - are estimated for each scenario. Results show the estimated amount of money remaining at the end of the month for each household. Three versions of the scenarios were created to describe: Income scenarios with subsidies: Subsidies can substantially reduce a households’ monthly expenses. Local subsidies for rent (Rent-Geared-to-Income), childcare (Childcare Fee Subsidy), and transit (Fair Pass) are accounted for in this file. Income scenarios without subsidies + average market rent: In this file, rental costs are based on average market rent, as measured by the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). Income scenarios without subsidies + current market rent: Rental costs are based on current market rent (as of October 2023), as measured by the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB). All values are rounded to the nearest dollar.

The City of Toronto monitors food affordability every year using the Ontario Nutritious Food Basket (ONFB) costing tool. Food prices, among other essential needs, have increased considerably in the last several years. People receiving social assistance and earning low wages often do not have enough money to cover the cost of basic expenses, including food. As such, ONFB data is best used to assess the cost of living in Toronto by analyzing food affordability in relation to income, alongside other local basic expenses. The dataset describes the affordability of food and other basic expenses relative to income for 13 household scenarios. Scenarios were selected to reflect household characteristics that increase the risk of being food insecure, including reliance on social assistance as the main source of income, single-parent households, and rental housing. A median income scenario has also been included as a comparator. Income, including federal and provincial tax benefits, and the cost of four basic living expenses - rent food, childcare, and transportation - are estimated for each scenario. Results show the estimated amount of money remaining at the end of the month for each household. Three versions of the scenarios were created to describe: Income scenarios with subsidies: Subsidies can substantially reduce a households’ monthly expenses. Local subsidies for rent (Rent-Geared-to-Income), childcare (Childcare Fee Subsidy), and transit (Fair Pass) are accounted for in this file. Income scenarios without subsidies + average market rent: In this file, rental costs are based on average market rent, as measured by the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). Income scenarios without subsidies + current market rent: Rental costs are based on current market rent (as of October 2023), as measured by the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB).

Canada's inflation rate experienced significant fluctuations from 2018 to 2025. Inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022 before steadily declining to *** percent by December 2024. In early 2025, inflation began to increase again, rising to *** percent in February and dropping to *** percent in March. In April 2025, inflation decreased to *** percent. In response to rising inflation between 2020 and 2022, the Bank of Canada implemented aggressive interest rate hikes. The bank rate reached a maximum of **** percent in July 2023 and remained stable until June 2024. As inflationary pressures eased in the second half of 2024, the central bank reduced interest rates to *** percent in December 2024. In 2025, the bank rate witnessed further cuts, standing at * percent in March 2025 and **** percent in September 2025. This pattern reflected broader global economic trends, with most advanced and emerging economies experiencing similar inflationary challenges and monetary policy adjustments. Global context of inflation and interest rates The Canadian experience aligns with the broader international trend of central banks raising policy rates to combat inflation. Between 2021 and 2023, nearly all advanced and emerging economies increased their central bank rates. However, a shift occurred in the latter half of 2024, with many countries, including Canada, beginning to lower rates. This change suggests a new phase in the global economic cycle and monetary policy approach. Notably, among surveyed countries, Russia maintained the highest interest rate in early 2025, while Japan had the lowest rate. Comparison with the United States The United States experienced a similar trajectory in inflation and interest rates. U.S. inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022, slightly higher than Canada's peak. The Federal Reserve responded with a series of rate hikes, reaching **** percent in August 2023. This rate remained unchanged until September 2024, when the first cut since September 2021 was implemented. In contrast, Canada's bank rate peaked at **** percent and began decreasing earlier, with cuts in June and July 2024. These differences highlight the nuanced approaches of central banks in managing their respective economies amid global inflationary pressures.