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This study presents a reliable mathematical model to explain the spread of typhoid fever, covering stages of susceptibility, infection, carrying, and recovery, specifically in the Sheno town community. A detailed analysis is done to ensure the solutions are positive, stay within certain limits, and are stable for both situations where the disease is absent and where it is consistently present. The Routh-Hurwitz stability criterion has been used and applied for the purpose of stability analysis. Using the next-generation matrix, we determined the intrinsic potential for disease transmission. It showing that typhoid fever is spreading actively in Sheno town, with cases above a critical level. Our findings reveal the instability of the disease-free equilibrium point alongside the stability of the endemic equilibrium point. We identified two pivotal factors for transmission of the disease: the infectious rate, representing the speed of disease transmission, and the recruitment rate, indicating the rate at which new individuals enter the susceptible population. These parameters are indispensable for devising effective control measures. It is imperative to keep these parameters below specific thresholds to maintain a basic reproduction number favorable for disease control. Additionally, the study carefully examines how different factors affect the spread of typhoid fever, giving a detailed understanding of its dynamics. At the end, this study provides valuable insights and specific strategies for managing the disease in the Sheno town community.
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The total number of initial populations in each of the compartments of the model.
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Efficiency indices values w.r.t. the strategies O1 and O2.
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TwitterIn this paper, we present two different approaches to represent/predict the gas hydrate phase equilibria for the carbon dioxide, methane, or ethane + pure water system in the presence of various types of porous media with different pore sizes. The studied porous media include silica gel, mesoporous silica, and porous silica glass. First, a correlation is presented, which estimates the hydrate suppression temperature due to the pore effects from the ice point depression (IPD). In the second place, several mathematical models are proposed using the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) algorithm for the determination of the dissociation pressures of the corresponding systems. The results indicate that although the applied correlation based on the (IPD) leads to obtaining reliable results for the gas hydrate systems in the presence of porous silica glass media, the developed LSSVM models seem to be more general due to their predictive capability over all of the investigated systems.
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The prevalence of the varicella-zoster virus (VZV) and its correlation underscore its impact on a significant segment of the population. Notably contagious, VZV serves as a risk factor for the manifestation of HIV/AIDS, with its reactivation often signaling the onset of immunodeficiency. Recognizing the concurrent existence of these two diseases, this study focuses on the co-infection dynamics through a deterministic mathematical model. The population is categorized into seven exclusive groups, considering the complexities arising from the interplay of HIV and Zoster. We establish the non-negativity and boundedness of solutions, examine equilibrium points, calculate basic reproduction numbers via the next-generation matrix approach, and analyze the existence and local stabilities of equilibriums using the Routh-Hurwitz stability criteria. The numerical simulations reveal that the model converges to an endemic equilibrium point when the reproduction number exceeds unity. The primary objectives of this study are to comprehensively understand the transmission dynamics of HIV and Zoster in a co-infected population and to provide valuable insights for developing effective intervention strategies. The findings emphasize the importance of addressing these co-infections to mitigate their impact on public health.
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The description of the variables and parameters of the model.
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In this research, the ongoing COVID-19 disease by considering the vaccination strategies into mathematical models is discussed. A modified and comprehensive mathematical model that captures the complex relationships between various population compartments, including susceptible (Sα), exposed (Eα), infected (Uα), quarantined (Qα), vaccinated (Vα), and recovered (Rα) individuals. Using conformable derivatives, a system of equations that precisely captures the complex interconnections inside the COVID-19 transmission. The basic reproduction number (R0), which is an essential indicator of disease transmission, is the subject of investigation calculating using the next-generation matrix approach. We also compute the R0 sensitivity indices, which offer important information about the relative influence of various factors on the overall dynamics. Local stability and global stability of R0 have been proved at a disease-free equilibrium point. By designing the finite difference approach of the conformable fractional derivative using the Taylor series. The present methodology provides us highly accurate convergence of the obtained solution. Present research fills research addresses the understanding gap between conceptual frameworks and real-world implementations, demonstrating the vaccination therapy’s significant possibilities in the struggle against the COVID-19 pandemic.
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This study proposes and analyses a revised predator-prey model that accounts for a twofold Allee impact on the rate of prey population expansion. Employing the Caputo fractional-order derivative, we account for memory impact on the suggested model. We proceed to examine the significant mathematical aspects of the suggested model, including the uniqueness, non-negativity, boundedness, and existence of solutions to the noninteger order system. Additionally, all potential equilibrium points for the strong and weak Allee effect are examined under Matignon’s condition, along with the current state of conditions and local stability analysis. Analytical results are also provided for the necessary circumstances for the Hopf bifurcation initiated by the fractional derivative order to occur. We also demonstrated the global asymptotic stability for the positive equilibrium point in both the strong and weak Allee effect cases by selecting an appropriate Lyapunov function. This study’s innovation is its comparative investigation of the stability of the strong and weak Allee effects. To conclude, numerical simulations validate the theoretical findings and provide a means to investigate the system’s more dynamical behaviours.
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Comparison of numerical scheme accuracy across different time levels N for various values of ϕ.
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Multiscale model parameter values.
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Due to the COVID pandemic and lockdown, usage of social platforms increased for academic and non-academic purposes. As a result, students are at significant risk of developing social media addiction, so techniques to control social media addiction throughout society are required. There are several positive and negative ways in which social media affects the academic performance of a student. Most of the mathematical models exclude the past of an individual, which is critical for controlling social media consumption. Hence, this study offers a fractional-order mathematical model to analyze the impact of social media on academics. There are two equilibrium points for the proposed model: social web-free and endemic equilibrium. Based on an evaluation of the threshold value, the social web-free equilibrium point is globally asymptotically stable whenever the threshold value is less than one. Endemic equilibrium points exist when the threshold value is greater than 1. Additionally, numerical simulations have been performed to examine changes in population dynamics and validate analytical outcomes. In summary, the findings of this research reveal that social media addiction decreases as the order of the derivative decreases, demonstrating the high efficiency of a fractional-order model over an integer-order model.
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There are thousands of languages in the world, many of which are in danger of extinction due to language competition and evolution. Language is an aspect of culture, the rise, and fall of a language directly affects its corresponding culture. To preserve languages and prevent their mass extinction, it is crucial to develop a mathematical model of language coexistence. In this paper, we use a qualitative theory of ordinary differential equations to analyze the bilingual competition model, and obtain the trivial and non-trivial solutions of the bilingual competition model without sliding mode control, then analyze the stability of solutions and prove that solutions of the model have positive invariance. In addition, to maintain linguistic diversity and prevent mass extinction of languages, we propose a novel bilingual competition model with sliding control. The bilingual competition model is analyzed by proposing a sliding control policy to obtain a pseudo-equilibrium point. Meanwhile, numerical simulations clearly illustrate the effectiveness of the sliding mode control strategy. The results show that the likelihood of successful language coexistence can be increased by changing the status of languages and the value of monolingual-bilingual interaction, provides theoretical analysis for the development of policies to prevent language extinction.
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There are thousands of languages in the world, many of which are in danger of extinction due to language competition and evolution. Language is an aspect of culture, the rise, and fall of a language directly affects its corresponding culture. To preserve languages and prevent their mass extinction, it is crucial to develop a mathematical model of language coexistence. In this paper, we use a qualitative theory of ordinary differential equations to analyze the bilingual competition model, and obtain the trivial and non-trivial solutions of the bilingual competition model without sliding mode control, then analyze the stability of solutions and prove that solutions of the model have positive invariance. In addition, to maintain linguistic diversity and prevent mass extinction of languages, we propose a novel bilingual competition model with sliding control. The bilingual competition model is analyzed by proposing a sliding control policy to obtain a pseudo-equilibrium point. Meanwhile, numerical simulations clearly illustrate the effectiveness of the sliding mode control strategy. The results show that the likelihood of successful language coexistence can be increased by changing the status of languages and the value of monolingual-bilingual interaction, provides theoretical analysis for the development of policies to prevent language extinction.
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There are thousands of languages in the world, many of which are in danger of extinction due to language competition and evolution. Language is an aspect of culture, the rise, and fall of a language directly affects its corresponding culture. To preserve languages and prevent their mass extinction, it is crucial to develop a mathematical model of language coexistence. In this paper, we use a qualitative theory of ordinary differential equations to analyze the bilingual competition model, and obtain the trivial and non-trivial solutions of the bilingual competition model without sliding mode control, then analyze the stability of solutions and prove that solutions of the model have positive invariance. In addition, to maintain linguistic diversity and prevent mass extinction of languages, we propose a novel bilingual competition model with sliding control. The bilingual competition model is analyzed by proposing a sliding control policy to obtain a pseudo-equilibrium point. Meanwhile, numerical simulations clearly illustrate the effectiveness of the sliding mode control strategy. The results show that the likelihood of successful language coexistence can be increased by changing the status of languages and the value of monolingual-bilingual interaction, provides theoretical analysis for the development of policies to prevent language extinction.
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Sliding mode control language status and interaction values.
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Immune system parameter values.
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Malaria is a mosquito-borne disease spread by an infected vector (infected female Anopheles mosquito) or through transfusion of plasmodium-infected blood to susceptible individuals. The disease burden has resulted in high global mortality, particularly among children under the age of five. Many intervention responses have been implemented to control malaria disease transmission, including blood screening, Long-Lasting Insecticide Bed Nets (LLIN), treatment with an anti-malaria drug, spraying chemicals/pesticides on mosquito breeding sites, and indoor residual spray, among others. As a result, the SIR (Susceptible—Infected—Recovered) model was developed to study the impact of various malaria control and mitigation strategies. The associated basic reproduction number and stability theory is used to investigate the stability analysis of the model equilibrium points. By constructing an appropriate Lyapunov function, the global stability of the malaria-free equilibrium is investigated. By determining the direction of bifurcation, the implicit function theorem is used to investigate the stability of the model endemic equilibrium. The model is fitted to malaria data from Benue State, Nigeria, using R and MATLAB. Estimates of parameters were made. Following that, an optimal control model is developed and analyzed using Pontryaging's Maximum Principle. The malaria-free equilibrium point is locally and globally stable if the basic reproduction number (R0) and the blood transfusion reproduction number (Rα) are both less or equal to unity. The study of the sensitive parameters of the model revealed that the transmission rate of malaria from mosquito-to-human (βmh), transmission rate from humans-to-mosquito (βhm), blood transfusion reproduction number (Rα) and recruitment rate of mosquitoes (bm) are all sensitive parameters capable of increasing the basic reproduction number (R0) thereby increasing the risk in spreading malaria disease. The result of the optimal control shows that five possible controls are effective in reducing the transmission of malaria. The study recommended the combination of five controls, followed by the combination of four and three controls is effective in mitigating malaria transmission. The result of the optimal simulation also revealed that for communities or areas where resources are scarce, the combination of Long Lasting Insecticide Treated Bednets (u2), Treatment (u3), and Indoor insecticide spray (u5) is recommended. Numerical simulations are performed to validate the model's analytical results.
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Tuberculosis (TB) is a communicable, airborne infection caused by the bacillus Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) is the most common presentation, although infection can spread anywhere to cause extra-pulmonary tuberculosis (EPTB). In this paper, a novel fractional order mathematical model is designed for the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis. Uninfected vulnerable individuals are categorized into the following: susceptible with underline ailment and susceptible without underline ailment. The research seeks to qualitatively and quantitatively analyze the proposed model and suggests comprehensive intervention measures for the control of tuberculosis among individuals with underline ailment. Some of the major highlights from the numerical investigation points out that TB vaccination is key to reducing the spread of TB among individuals with underline ailment. Furthermore, efforts to step down the spread of TB through awareness campaigns could significantly reduce the burden of the disease among individuals with co-morbidity.
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In this manuscript, we present a novel mathematical model for understanding the dynamics of HIV/AIDS and analyzing optimal control strategies. To capture the disease dynamics, we propose a new Caputo-Fabrizio fractional-order mathematical model denoted as SEIEUPIATR, where the exposed class is subdivided into two categories: exposed-identified EI and exposed-unidentified EU individuals. Exposed-identified individuals become aware of the disease within three days, while exposed-unidentified individuals remain unaware for more than three days. Simultaneously, we introduce a treatment compartment with post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP), represented as P, designed for individuals of the exposed identified class. These individuals initiate treatment upon identification and continue for 28 days, resulting in full recovery from HIV. Additionally, we categorize infectious individuals into two groups: under-treatment individuals, denoted as T, and those with fully developed AIDS not receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) treatment, denoted as A. We establish that the proposed model has a unique, bounded, and positive solution, along with other fundamental characteristics. Disease-free and endemic equilibrium points and their associated properties (such as the reproduction number and stability analysis) are determined. Sensitivity analysis is performed to assess the impact of parameters on and hence on the disease dynamics. Finally, we formulate a fractional optimal control problem to examine strategies for minimizing HIV/AIDS infection while keeping costs at a minimum. We adopt the use of condoms and changes in sexual habits as optimal controls. The numerical results are presented and discussed through graphs.
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Understanding the dynamics of cancer cell growth, the interplay between tumor and immune cells, and the efficacy of chemotherapy are pivotal areas of focus in cancer research. In this regard, mathematical modeling can provide significant insights. This study re-examines a classical two-dimensional model of tumor-immune cell interactions where the tumor’s growth rate is assumed to adhere to von Bertalanffy’s model instead of the logistic model. We investigate the model both without chemotherapy and with treatment. The equilibrium points are identified, classified, and their stability analyzed. Our results reveal that the model can demonstrate a broad spectrum of behaviors, including bi-stability and multi-stability as well as regions of stable periodic behavior. We establish analytical conditions for the existence of Hopf points. Furthermore, we assess the impact of model parameters on the various behavior predicted by the model. This mathematical investigation can provide general guidance on treatment strategies.
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This study presents a reliable mathematical model to explain the spread of typhoid fever, covering stages of susceptibility, infection, carrying, and recovery, specifically in the Sheno town community. A detailed analysis is done to ensure the solutions are positive, stay within certain limits, and are stable for both situations where the disease is absent and where it is consistently present. The Routh-Hurwitz stability criterion has been used and applied for the purpose of stability analysis. Using the next-generation matrix, we determined the intrinsic potential for disease transmission. It showing that typhoid fever is spreading actively in Sheno town, with cases above a critical level. Our findings reveal the instability of the disease-free equilibrium point alongside the stability of the endemic equilibrium point. We identified two pivotal factors for transmission of the disease: the infectious rate, representing the speed of disease transmission, and the recruitment rate, indicating the rate at which new individuals enter the susceptible population. These parameters are indispensable for devising effective control measures. It is imperative to keep these parameters below specific thresholds to maintain a basic reproduction number favorable for disease control. Additionally, the study carefully examines how different factors affect the spread of typhoid fever, giving a detailed understanding of its dynamics. At the end, this study provides valuable insights and specific strategies for managing the disease in the Sheno town community.