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The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
Canada's inflation rate experienced significant fluctuations from 2018 to 2025. Inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022 before steadily declining to *** percent by December 2024. In early 2025, inflation began to increase again, rising to *** percent in February, and dropping to *** percent in March. In response to rising inflation between 2020 and 2022, the Bank of Canada implemented aggressive interest rate hikes. The bank rate reached a maximum of **** percent in July 2023 and remained stable until June 2024. As inflationary pressures eased in the second half of 2024, the central bank reduced interest rates to *** percent in December 2024. In 2025, the bank rate witnessed two cuts, standing at ***** percent in May 2025. This pattern reflected broader global economic trends, with most advanced and emerging economies experiencing similar inflationary challenges and monetary policy adjustments. Global context of inflation and interest rates The Canadian experience aligns with the broader international trend of central banks raising policy rates to combat inflation. Between 2021 and 2023, nearly all advanced and emerging economies increased their central bank rates. However, a shift occurred in the latter half of 2024, with many countries, including Canada, beginning to lower rates. This change suggests a new phase in the global economic cycle and monetary policy approach. Notably, among surveyed countries, Russia maintained the highest interest rate in early 2025, while Japan had the lowest rate. Comparison with the United States The United States experienced a similar trajectory in inflation and interest rates. U.S. inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022, slightly higher than Canada's peak. The Federal Reserve responded with a series of rate hikes, reaching **** percent in August 2023. This rate remained unchanged until September 2024, when the first cut since September 2021 was implemented. In contrast, Canada's bank rate peaked at **** percent and began decreasing earlier, with cuts in June and July 2024. These differences highlight the nuanced approaches of central banks in managing their respective economies amid global inflationary pressures.
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Key information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate
This table contains 38 series, with data starting from 1957 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 item: Canada), Rates (38 items: Bank rate; Chartered bank administered interest rates - prime business; Chartered bank - consumer loan rate; Forward premium or discount (-), United States dollars in Canada: 1 month; ...).
In May 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 20 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.1 percent in May 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 9.9 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.
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Deposit Interest Rate in Canada remained unchanged at 4.91 percent on Wednesday April 10. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Deposit Interest Rate in Canada.
This table contains 71 series, with data starting from 1934 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 items: Canada ...), Rates (71 items: Bank rate; last Tuesday or last Thursday; Bank rate; Chartered bank administered interest rates - prime business; Chartered bank - consumer loan rate ...).
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Bank Lending Rate in Canada remained unchanged at 4.95 percent in July. This dataset provides - Canada Prime Lending Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
Rates have been trending downward in Canada for the last five years. The ebbs and flows are caused by changes in Canada’s bond yields (driven by Canadians economic developments and international rate movements, particularly U.S. rate fluctuations) and the overnight rate (which is set by the Bank of Canada). As of August 2022, there has been a 225 bps increase in the prime rate, since beginning of year 2022, from 2.45% to 4.70% as of Aug 24th 2022. The following are the historical conventional mortgage rates offered by the 6 major chartered banks in Canada in the past 20 years.
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The high interest rate environment experienced over the five years to 2025, along with overall economic growth, has benefitted the Commercial Banking industry in Canada. Banks have done an exceptional job diversifying revenue streams, due to higher interest rates and increasing regulations. The industry primarily generates revenue through interest income sources, such as business loans and mortgages, but it also generates income through noninterest sources, which include fees on a variety of services and commissions. Industry revenue has been growing at a CAGR of 13.9% to $490.4 billion over the past five years, with an expected decrease of 0.3% in 2025 alone. In addition, profit, measured as earnings before interest and taxes, is anticipated to climb throughout 2025 due to the decreased provisions for credit losses (PCL). Industry revenue generated by interest income sources depends on demand for loans by consumers and the interest banks can charge on that capital it lends out. Therefore, high interest rates have enabled banks to increasingly charge for loans. However, the recent rate cuts in the latter part of the period have limited the price banks can charge for loans, hindering the interest income from these loans, although, with lower rates, commercial banks are anticipated to encounter growing loan volumes. Also, technological innovations have disrupted traditional banking features. The growing trends of online and mobile banking have increased customer engagement and loyalty, which has further aided the industry's expansion. Over the five years to 2030, projected interest rate declines and improvements in corporate profit are still anticipated to boost interest income from lending products. However, the remarkable debt levels of Canadian households make it increasingly likely that a period of deleveraging will begin over the next five years. Quicker growth rates in household debt and consumer spending are expected to increase interest income. In addition, improving macroeconomic conditions, such as unemployment and private investment, are expected to further boost revenue. Nonetheless, industry revenue is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 1.7% to $532.5 billion over the five years to 2030.
In 2025, mortgage interest rates in Canada decreased. The five-year insured fixed mortgage interest rate as of May 2025 stood at **** percent, making it the most affordable mortgage type. Meanwhile, the insured mortgage rate fixed for under one year was the highest, at **** percent.
This table contains 13 series, with data from 1949 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). Data are presented for the current month and previous four months. Users can select other time periods that are of interest to them.
The statistic shows the average inflation rate in Canada from 1987 to 2024, with projections up until 2030. The inflation rate is calculated using the price increase of a defined product basket. This product basket contains products and services, on which the average consumer spends money throughout the year. They include expenses for groceries, clothes, rent, power, telecommunications, recreational activities and raw materials (e.g. gas, oil), as well as federal fees and taxes. In 2022, the average inflation rate in Canada was approximately 6.8 percent compared to the previous year. For comparison, inflation in India amounted to 5.56 percent that same year. Inflation in Canada In general, the inflation rate in Canada follows a global trend of decreasing inflation rates since 2011, with the lowest slump expected to occur during 2015, but forecasts show an increase over the following few years. Additionally, Canada's inflation rate is in quite good shape compared to the rest of the world. While oil and gas prices have dropped in Canada much like they have around the world, food and housing prices in Canada have been increasing. This has helped to offset some of the impact of dropping oil and gas prices and the effect this has had on Canada´s inflation rate. The annual consumer price index of food and non-alcoholic beverages in Canada has been steadily increasing over the last decade. The same is true for housing and other price indexes for the country. In general there is some confidence that the inflation rate will not stay this low for long, it is expected to return to a comfortable 2 percent by 2017 if estimates are correct.
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The Canadian home lending market, valued at approximately $XX million in 2025, is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 5% through 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key factors. Firstly, a consistently growing population and increasing urbanization are driving demand for housing, particularly in major metropolitan areas. Secondly, favorable government policies aimed at supporting homeownership, while subject to change, have historically played a crucial role. Thirdly, the prevalence of low-interest rates (though subject to fluctuations) in recent years has made mortgages more accessible to a wider range of borrowers. Finally, the diverse range of lenders, including commercial banks, financial institutions, credit unions, and online lenders, fosters competition and innovation within the market, offering consumers more choice and potentially better rates. However, the market is not without its challenges. Rising interest rates, inflation, and potential economic downturns pose significant risks to the sustained growth trajectory. Furthermore, stricter lending regulations implemented to mitigate risks within the financial system could impact affordability and accessibility for some borrowers. Market segmentation reveals a preference for fixed-rate loans and a growing adoption of online lending platforms, alongside continued reliance on traditional brick-and-mortar institutions. Key players in the market, such as HSBC Bank Canada, Tangerine Direct Bank, and others, compete aggressively to capture market share through varied product offerings and service models. The market’s long-term prospects remain positive, albeit contingent on macroeconomic stability and regulatory shifts. Continued innovation and adaptation by lenders will be crucial in navigating the evolving landscape of the Canadian home lending market. This insightful report provides a deep dive into the dynamic Canadian home lending market, analyzing key trends, growth drivers, and challenges from 2019 to 2033. With a focus on the crucial year 2025 (base and estimated year), this comprehensive study offers invaluable insights for stakeholders across the industry. We leverage data from the historical period (2019-2024) to project the market's trajectory during the forecast period (2025-2033). Keywords: Canadian mortgage market, home equity loans Canada, mortgage rates Canada, online mortgage lenders Canada, Canadian real estate finance. Recent developments include: On March 15, 2022, First Ontario Credit Union announced its merger with Heritage savings & Credit union to offer the best in financial products and services., On February 09, 2022, Hello safe announced a new partnership with Hard bacon, a personal finance application used by more than 35,000 Canadians, this partnership is to leverage Hard bacon's portfolio of comparison tools.. Notable trends are: A Rise in Home Prices Boosting Home Equity Lending Market.
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New to VIC, EQB Inc (TSX: EQB) is a financial services company and digital bank servicing nearly 700,000 customers as of October 31, 2024, with $127bn of assets under management and administration, $47bn of on balance sheet loans, and $67bn of total loans under management (includes derecognized loans from securitization). EQB is Canada’s 7th largest bank, and is a high quality bank: It boasts a 10-year average PCL of 4bps, well below the Big 6/Domestically Systematically Important Banks (DSIB) average of 30bps. It also targets, and historically has achieved, leading ROEs (target at 15-17% adjusted), and has seen significantly faster growth than peers (10-year EPS CAGR 12% vs DSIB average of 6.5%). Lastly, it is very well capitalized, with a leading CET1 ratio of 14.3%.Is Apple a good investment?Apple Cost of EquityApple Cost of DebtHow to Invest in OpenAIHow to Invest in SpaceXHistorical TSR performance has been strong, indicating that the market acknowledges the above points: 10-year total return of 286% vs S&P/TSX Total Capped Financials Index at 166%. However, we believe that even under conservative growth assumptions, EQB remains ~40% undervalued, and is an attractive long term compounder. Our arguments touch primarily on the following points:Recent credit quality headwinds will prove temporary, and aggregate portfolio quality remains very robustDespite higher concentration relative to peers, EQB’s end-markets are attractive in the long-term and strong loan growth is sustainableRegulatory change awaiting OSFI approval for EQB to move from Standardized to Advanced Internal Rating-Based (AIRB) modelling will substantially increase CET1 ratios, further increasing excess capital available for distribution/deployment Business Overview:Plenty of banks (and digital banks with similar lower efficiency ratio benefits) have already been written about on VIC, so we will focus here instead on what makes EQB different:Mainly, EQB is concentrated. Whereas peers see diversification across several dimensions, including revenue source, funding, and loan portfolio, EQB tends to be concentrated across all of these areas. We will go deeper into why we believe this isn’t necessarily an issue from a long-term perspective given the end markets EQB is exposed to, but for now, the quick facts are:Revenue mix: EQB has only recently started pushing into expanding into non-interest revenue sources, acquiring Concentra Bank in 2022, which through its subsidiary Concentra Trust allows EQB to offer fiduciary/trustee services. EQB then acquired 75% of ACM Advisors Ltd. (ACM) in 2023, which provides wealth management services. While exposure to fee-based revenue is guided to continue to see strong growth with ACM performing above expectations, EQB’s non-interest revenue as a % of total revenue is only 16.3% as of FY2024, vs DSIB peers at ~50% average. Fees and other income is currently only 6.5%.Funding profile: Term deposits make up 80% of EQB’s funding sources, while demand deposits make up the remainder. Within term deposits, brokered term deposits comprise ~60% of deposit balance, while EQB’s digital bank subsidiary EQ Bank comprises ~20%. Within demand deposits, EQ Bank comprises ~65%. While higher exposure to term and brokered deposits raises funding costs, EQB maintains this funding profile to meet its core strategy of closer maturity matching to reduce interest rate and liquidity risk. This results in a one-year equity duration, and stable NIMs amidst changing interest rates. It is noteworthy that EQB has been moving away from higher-cost brokered deposits to lower cost deposits sourced from EQ Bank. In 2019, 93% of deposits were brokered vs 51% now, and just 4% were from EQ Bank vs 27% now. Economic Value of Shareholder’s Equity (EVE) sensitivity to a 100bps increase in interest rates is just -1.1%, and NI increases by just $333k. We see this as a benefit given current uncertainties surrounding Canadian macroeconomic conditions.Loan portfolio: Before touching shortly on why we believe EQB’s lending end markets are attractive in the long-term, we first note here that EQB is nonetheless highly concentrated in its lending strategy. EQB is primarily focused on residential lending: 62% of loans are residential (single-family) mortgages, 32% are commercial loans, and just 6% are personal loans (excluding single-family mo
Historical (real-time) releases of the measures of core inflation, with data from 1989 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). Data are presented for the current release and previous four releases. Users can select other releases that are of interest to them.
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The Canadian Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) industry has faced challenges in recent years. Despite these headwinds, a decline in interest rates spurred by the Bank of Canada has started to positively impact the industry. With reduced borrowing costs, REITs are getting an opportunity to alleviate their financial burdens by financing new acquisitions and refinancing existing debts more economically. As a result, REITs are expected to have a more favorable financial position. However, the easing of bond yields by these lower interest rates is merely compensating for the decreased revenue, making the REITs' dividend yield look more appealing to investors. Through the end of 2025, industry revenue has dipped at a CAGR of 4.4% to reach $9.8 billion, when revenue will climb 4.2%. The residential segment of the REIT market is flourishing as it aligns with population growth and continues to meet housing demands, making it an attractive investment option because of its stability and constant performance. Technology advancements in AI and Proptech are enhancing the REIT sector by providing valuable data sets and optimizing operational efficiency. This improved efficiency invariably leads to decreased operational costs and maximized property values, causing profit to climb. In turn, the enhanced transparency and real-time data access create an increased investor demand, attracting a broader range of investors and strengthening trust in the sector. The industry will return to growth through the end of 2030, with industry revenue climbing at a CAGR of 2.4% to reach $11.0 billion in 2030. Immigration and population growth are expected to continue to shape the Canadian REIT industry. The continued influx of immigrants will strengthen demand for housing and retail spaces, directly benefiting the residential REIT sector. In addition, surging demand for data centers driven by rising cloud adoption, AI workloads and big data will provide REITs with opportunities to diversify portfolios, capture higher yields and reduce exposure to more volatile sectors. However, challenges remain, particularly in the office segment, which is facing declining demand because of the adoption of remote and hybrid work models and may require strategies for repositioning or divesting obsolete assets.
Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in 2024, from less than **** percent in many European countries, to as high as ** percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increase in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2023, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.
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Oil price shocks harm real output and bank and industrial profit in most oil-importing countries, which has motivated us to investigate the impact of these shocks on the equity performance of banking industries. To fulfill the research objectives, we involve a sample of developed and emerging economies for comparison purposes. The objective of employing the Toda and Yamamoto (Journal of econometrics, 1995, 66 (1), 225–250) causality test is to explore the time-variant relationship between oil prices and banking indices to investigate how oil price shocks affect the performance of country-specific banking industries. In addition, an impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis are utilized to, respectively, examine the time-variant relationship between oil price shocks and macroeconomic factors and the performance of the banking sector. Results vary across different economies in our sample, but the magnitude of oil price impact is relatively significant in the US, the UK, Canada, Japan, Mexico, and Brazil. The findings indicate that oil price rises adversely affect equity bank indices in developed and emerging economics except for Mexico. Notably, our findings show that oil prices and interest rates jointly have significant power in explaining the banking equity variation and suggest that international bank portfolio investors should consider hedging oil price risk.
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Investment pouring into residential housing construction has benefited apartment and condominium construction activity in Canada in recent years. Immigration into Canada has spurred record population growth, fueling a deepening housing crisis. In major urban centres, demand for housing units has exceeded the supply for years, inciting investment in retrofits and multistory apartment dwellings. Apartment contractors have been vital in filling the gaps in housing, with a low-interest environment and chronically low vacancy rates enticing investors. The imbalance between housing supply and demand kept investors bullish on apartments through COVID-19 pandemic uncertainty, supporting growth. Still, the pandemic's disruption to global supply chains didn't spare contractors, with equipment and material costs reaching unprecedented highs. Particularly through 2021 and 2022, materials price and wage inflation pushed up contractors rates, contributing to industry revenue growth. While the year following saw slower building construction price inflation, high demand has kept the price level from falling. In all, industry-wide revenue has been rising at an expected CAGR of 4.2% over the past five years, totaling an estimated $62.3 billion in 2025, when revenue will rise an expected 2.6%. Beginning in 2022, the Bank of Canada steadily raised or maintained interest rates to combat inflation. Higher interest rates made developers more hesitant to invest in projects, driving up costs for builders and impeding profit. In 2024, however, the Bank of Canada began cutting interest rates, continuing the policy into 2025. Contractors will navigate a challenging landscape over the coming years. While interest rates will continue to fall, they will not reach pandemic lows. Labour shortages and elevated costs will also strain contractors' capacity. These challenges will face the broader construction sector, pushing federal and provincial governments to introduce infrastructure and workforce development programs. Over the next five years, apartment and condominium construction revenue is expected to expand at a CAGR of 1.9% to reach $68.4 billion in 2030.
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The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.