The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Canada's inflation rate experienced significant fluctuations from 2018 to 2025. Inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022 before steadily declining to *** percent by December 2024. In early 2025, inflation began to increase again, rising to *** percent in February, and dropping to *** percent in March. In response to rising inflation between 2020 and 2022, the Bank of Canada implemented aggressive interest rate hikes. The bank rate reached a maximum of **** percent in July 2023 and remained stable until June 2024. As inflationary pressures eased in the second half of 2024, the central bank reduced interest rates to *** percent in December 2024. In 2025, the bank rate witnessed two cuts, standing at ***** percent in June 2025. This pattern reflected broader global economic trends, with most advanced and emerging economies experiencing similar inflationary challenges and monetary policy adjustments. Global context of inflation and interest rates The Canadian experience aligns with the broader international trend of central banks raising policy rates to combat inflation. Between 2021 and 2023, nearly all advanced and emerging economies increased their central bank rates. However, a shift occurred in the latter half of 2024, with many countries, including Canada, beginning to lower rates. This change suggests a new phase in the global economic cycle and monetary policy approach. Notably, among surveyed countries, Russia maintained the highest interest rate in early 2025, while Japan had the lowest rate. Comparison with the United States The United States experienced a similar trajectory in inflation and interest rates. U.S. inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022, slightly higher than Canada's peak. The Federal Reserve responded with a series of rate hikes, reaching **** percent in August 2023. This rate remained unchanged until September 2024, when the first cut since September 2021 was implemented. In contrast, Canada's bank rate peaked at **** percent and began decreasing earlier, with cuts in June and July 2024. These differences highlight the nuanced approaches of central banks in managing their respective economies amid global inflationary pressures.

Key information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• Canada Government Benchmark Bonds Yield: Month End: 10 Years was reported at 2.90 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 3.07 % pa in the previous month.
• Canada Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1993 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 9.28 % pa in Jun 1994 and a record low of 0.46 % pa in Jul 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Bank of Canada.

Government Benchmark Bond are rates based on actual mid-market closing yields of selected Canada bond issues that mature approximately in the indicated term areas.


Related information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, Canada Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills Yield: 3 Months was reported at 2.82 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Target Rate) was set at 3.00 % pa in Feb 2025.
• Canada Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.33 (USD/CAD) in Jun 2023.

In June 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In the first half of 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 20 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at 0.1 percent in June 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 9.4 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

Bank Lending Rate in Canada remained unchanged at 4.95 percent in August. This dataset provides - Canada Prime Lending Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

In 2025, mortgage interest rates in Canada decreased. The five-year insured fixed mortgage interest rate as of May 2025 stood at **** percent, making it the most affordable mortgage type. Meanwhile, the insured mortgage rate fixed for under one year was the highest, at **** percent.

This table contains 39 series, with data for starting from 1991 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 item: Canada); Financial market statistics (39 items: Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 1-month (composite rates); Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 2-month (composite rates); Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 3-month (composite rates);Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 6-month (composite rates); ...).

Inflation Rate in Canada decreased to 1.70 percent in July from 1.90 percent in June of 2025. This dataset provides - Canada Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Key information about Canada Real Effective Exchange Rate

• Canada Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER: 2005=100: Month Avg: Canada) was 88.4 in Dec 2024, compared with the number of 90.0 in the previous month.
• Canada Real Effective Exchange Rate data is updated monthly and averaged 116.5 from Jan 1999 to Dec 2024.
• The data reached an all-time high of 116.5 in Oct 2007 and a record low of 80.5 in Nov 2001.

CEIC generates Real Effective Exchange Rate Index with base 2005=100. The Bank of Canada provides Real Effective Exchange Rate Index with base 1999=100. CPI is used as a deflator. An increase in REER indicates reduced competitiveness for the reporting economy.


Related information about Canada Real Effective Exchange Rate

• In the latest reports, Canada Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills Yield: 3 Months was reported at 2.9 % pa in Jan 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Target Rate) was set at 3.0 % pa in Jan 2025.
• Canada Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.3 (USD/CAD) in Jun 2023.

The high interest rate environment experienced over the five years to 2025, along with overall economic growth, has benefitted the Commercial Banking industry in Canada. Banks have done an exceptional job diversifying revenue streams, due to higher interest rates and despite increasing regulations. The industry primarily generates revenue through interest income sources, such as business loans and mortgages, but it also generates income through noninterest sources, which include fees on a variety of services and commissions. Industry revenue has been growing at a CAGR of 13.9% to $490.3 billion over the past five years, with an expected decrease of 0.3% in 2025 alone. In addition, profit, measured as earnings before interest and taxes, has climbed over the past five years and will comprise 31.1% of revenue in the current year. Industry revenue generated by interest income sources depends on demand for loans by consumers and the interest banks can charge on the capital they lend. Therefore, high interest rates have enabled banks to increasingly charge for loans. However, the recent rate cuts in the latter part of the period have limited the price banks can charge for loans, hindering the interest income from these loans, although, with lower rates, commercial banks are anticipated to encounter growing loan volumes. Also, technological innovations have disrupted traditional banking features. The growing trends of online and mobile banking have increased customer engagement and loyalty, which has further aided the industry's expansion. Over the five years to 2030, projected interest rate declines and improvements in corporate profit are still anticipated to boost interest income from lending products. However, the remarkable debt levels of Canadian households make it increasingly likely that a period of deleveraging will begin over the next five years. Quicker growth rates in household debt and consumer spending are expected to increase interest income. In addition, improving macroeconomic conditions, such as unemployment and private investment, are expected to further boost revenue. Nonetheless, industry revenue is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 1.0% to $516.5 billion over the five years to 2030.

Unemployment Rate in Canada remained unchanged at 6.90 percent in July. This dataset provides - Canada Unemployment Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The Heating and Air-Conditioning Contractors industry in Canada is highly reliant on construction activity across Canada, as most revenue is generated from heating, ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) installations in new residential and nonresidential buildings. Still, as a significant share of industry revenue is generated from maintaining, monitoring and repairing existing equipment, the industry is somewhat shielded from volatile performance in construction markets. In recent years, interest rate hikes (which followed historically low interest rates) have dampened residential construction activity. However, the Bank of Canada began to cut rates in 2024, and has continued the policy into 2025. A sustained period of rate cuts stand to benefit residential construction. Growing consumer spending has also supported the industry in recent years. Industry revenue is expected to have increased at a CAGR of 1.5% over the past five years to reach $16.7 billion in 2025, when revenue is set to grow 2.1% amid interest rate cuts. Industry profit has faced countervailing forces in recent years. New enterprises have entered the industry, materials costs went through a period of inflation and competition for labour has driven up wage costs, all putting downward pressure on profit. Still, average industry profit has grown slightly over the past five years as demand has remained strong and higher costs have been effectively passed along to customers. Alongside stronger demand from downstream markets, national standards for energy efficiency and a growing trend toward lowering energy use will encourage building owners to upgrade to more efficient systems. In addition, government energy-efficiency incentives will continue to benefit HVAC contractors. Hight electricity prices are also likely to motivate households to purchase or upgrade to more efficient HVAC systems to lower their electricity bills in the long term. Overall, industry revenue is forecast to climb at a CAGR of 2.2% to reach $18.6 billion in 2030.

Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in June 2025, from less than ******percent in many European countries to as high as ***percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increases in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2024, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.

Canadian waste collection service businesses have faced their share of ups and downs in recent years, largely influenced by shifting economic conditions. During the pandemic, a surge in residential waste was observed due to lockdowns and remote work, which led to increased generation of household waste, especially single-use plastics. Conversely, the nonresidential sector saw a decline in activity, with empty offices and reduced business operations causing a drop in demand for the industry’s services. As pandemic restrictions were lifted, increased consumer and corporate spending drove providers’ demand, though nonresidential construction was slow to rebound. In 2022, soaring inflation caused businesses and households to hold back on discretionary purchases, hindering waste generation and leading to a drop in revenue in that year. More recently, high interest rates, particularly since 2022, curbed residential construction and homeownership, severely constraining the residential segment. The Bank of Canada has reduced the cost of borrowing throughout 2024 and 2025, fostering solid revenue growth. Several key trends have also shaped the industry. The emphasis on recycling and waste diversion has grown, as provinces and municipalities pushed for reducing landfill contributions. Providers have adapted by expanding recycling capabilities, providing them with another valuable revenue stream. Market share concentration has expanded from 2020 to 2025, partially due to more mergers and acquisitions. This has enabled these companies to use economies of scale to reduce costs, raising profit. Overall, revenue for waste collection service businesses in Canada has inched upward at a CAGR of 1.5% over the past five years, reaching CA$7.9 billion in 2025. This includes a 2.0% rise in revenue in that year. Looking ahead, stable GDP growth and anticipated interest rate cuts bode well for the industry. Resurgence in both residential and nonresidential construction is expected to increase demand for waste collection services, bolstering revenue. Additionally, the growth in e-commerce presents a valuable opportunity, with increased packaging waste driving demand for efficient waste management solutions. However, potential challenges loom, including tariffs from the US which could impact economic growth and consumer spending. Overall, revenue for waste collection service providers in Canada is forecast to expand at a CAGR of 1.7% over the next five years, reaching CA$8.6 billion in 2030.

The health of the construction sector varies significantly based on factors such as macroeconomic conditions, interest rates, foreign demand and public investment, making construction machinery producers susceptible to considerable revenue volatility. During the early stages of the 2020 pandemic, demand for new equipment slowed sharply, primarily due to weaker nonresidential construction activity. The Bank of Canada responded by cutting interest rates to stimulate the economy, leading to a revenue boom in 2021. Although rates began to rise in 2022, the recovering construction sector sustained revenue and profit gains, although at a slower pace. As macroeconomic conditions improved, interest rates started to fall in 2024. Although lower rates typically support construction activity, an extended period of high rates limited revenue growth, resulting in relatively small changes in revenue in 2024 and 2025. Construction machinery producers have benefited from public sector infrastructure initiatives. Government investment in projects such as roads, bridges and energy and manufacturing facilities supports demand for construction companies, which rely heavily on machinery. Higher commodity prices have boosted machinery demand from the mining, agriculture and forestry sectors, driving machinery sales. Overall, these factors are set to cause revenue to strengthen at a CAGR of 8.3% to $3.9 billion by the end of 2025, including a 0.5% gain in that year. Canadian producers continue to face significant competition from the international market. The Canadian dollar’s recent depreciation has boosted the value of exports, supporting revenue gains. Despite this, imported equipment satisfies more than 80.0% of domestic demand, while exports generate over half of producers’ revenue, making the sector highly sensitive to global macroeconomics and construction trends. Strong import competition also limits manufacturers’ ability to pass on fluctuating input costs, as offering competitive pricing remains key. Despite these trends, a strong domestic market has reduced import penetration and made exports a smaller share of revenue. Demand for new construction equipment is expected to continue growing, though at a slower pace. Public investment in infrastructure will be a key driver for manufacturers as large-scale projects require significant machinery. Producers will also benefit from ongoing construction activity in the US market, driven by demand from the residential sector and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. While declining input prices will help producers remain competitive, significant price-based competition from foreign manufacturers, primarily from the United States, Japan and China, will limit profit gains. Producers will face some uncertainty over the coming years surrounding trade conditions. Revenue is set to grow at a CAGR of 1.1% to $4.2 billion through the end of 2030.

Key information about Canada Money Supply M2

• Canada Money Supply M2 was reported at 1,832.025 USD bn in Dec 2024
• This records a decrease from the previous number of 1,873.347 USD bn for Nov 2024
• Canada Money Supply M2 data is updated monthly, averaging 322.770 USD bn from Jan 1968 to Dec 2024, with 684 observations
• The data reached an all-time high of 1,915.151 USD bn in Sep 2024 and a record low of 23.469 USD bn in Jan 1968
• Canada Money Supply M2 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data
• The data is categorized under World Trend Plus’s Global Economic Monitor – Table: Money Supply M2: USD: Monthly: Seasonally Adjusted

CEIC converts monthly Money Supply M2 into USD. The Bank of Canada provides Money Supply M2 in local currency. The Federal Reserve Board period end market exchange rate is used for currency conversions.

Graph and download economic data for Real Residential Property Prices for Canada (QCAR628BIS) from Q1 1970 to Q1 2025 about Canada, residential, HPI, housing, real, price index, indexes, and price.

Homebuilders have endured considerable volatility. Immigration into Canada has translated into unprecedented population growth, driving a deepening housing crisis. New housing starts haven't kept up with the population growth, making homebuilders more critical than ever to meet housing needs. Home shortages and changes in buying behaviour supported homebuilders during the COVID-19 pandemic. Still, the pandemic's disruption to global supply chains didn't spare contractors, with equipment and material costs reaching unprecedented highs. Interest rate hikes in 2022 and 2023 slowed new relevant housing construction, spurring apartment building construction as consumers increasingly sought out renting. Also, the First Time Homebuyer Incentive, which seemed like a potential boon to homebuilders, largely lacked success and was repealed. Industry-wide revenue has been declining at a CAGR of 0.1% over the past five years – totaling an estimated $29.7 billion in 2025 – when revenue will climb an estimated 2.7%. The Bank of Canada raising rates in 2022 and 2023 led to a massive slowdown for homebuilders, even as the Canadian government tried to ramp up the number of housing units. Higher interest rates make developers cautious about new projects, drive up construction costs for builders and push potential home buyers out of the market. The Bank of Canada has decreased rates in 2024 and 2025 for the first time since 2022, potentially providing a boost to homebuilders. Labour shortages for home builders have hiked wage costs and hindered profit. Homebuilders will enjoy solid growth over the next five years. Interest rate cuts and low housing supply will spur downstream homebuying activity. Still, labour shortages and material costs will continue to strain contractors' capacity. Such challenges will be complex for the broader construction sector, allowing federal and provincial governments to introduce programs focusing on workforce development and tech adoption. Government initiatives like the First-Time Home Buyers’ Tax Credit, the First Home Savings Account (FHSA) and the Home Buyers Plan (HBP) will support homebuilding. Homebuilders' revenue is forecast to expand at a CAGR of 2.0% to $32.8 billion through the end of 2030.

The yield on Canada 10Y Bond Yield eased to 3.38% on August 29, 2025, marking a 0.05 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.11 points, though it remains 0.22 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on September of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMREALTIME) from Dec 1959 to Jul 2025 about recession indicators, academic data, and USA.