VITAL SIGNS INDICATOR Population (LU1)

FULL MEASURE NAME
Population estimates

LAST UPDATED
February 2023

DESCRIPTION
Population is a measurement of the number of residents that live in a given geographical area, be it a neighborhood, city, county or region.

DATA SOURCE
California Department of Finance: Population and Housing Estimates - http://www.dof.ca.gov/Forecasting/Demographics/Estimates/
Table E-6: County Population Estimates (1960-1970)
Table E-4: Population Estimates for Counties and State (1970-2021)
Table E-8: Historical Population and Housing Estimates (1990-2010)
Table E-5: Population and Housing Estimates (2010-2021)

Bay Area Jurisdiction Centroids (2020) - https://data.bayareametro.gov/Boundaries/Bay-Area-Jurisdiction-Centroids-2020-/56ar-t6bs
Computed using 2020 US Census TIGER boundaries

U.S. Census Bureau: Decennial Census Population Estimates - http://www.s4.brown.edu/us2010/index.htm- via Longitudinal Tract Database Spatial Structures in the Social Sciences, Brown University
1970-2020

U.S. Census Bureau: American Community Survey (5-year rolling average; tract) - https://data.census.gov/
2011-2021
Form B01003

Priority Development Areas (Plan Bay Area 2050) - https://opendata.mtc.ca.gov/datasets/MTC::priority-development-areas-plan-bay-area-2050/about

CONTACT INFORMATION
vitalsigns.info@bayareametro.gov

METHODOLOGY NOTES (across all datasets for this indicator)
All historical data reported for Census geographies (metropolitan areas, county, city and tract) use current legal boundaries and names. A Priority Development Area (PDA) is a locally-designated area with frequent transit service, where a jurisdiction has decided to concentrate most of its housing and jobs growth for development in the foreseeable future. PDA boundaries are current as of December 2022.

Population estimates for Bay Area counties and cities are from the California Department of Finance, which are as of January 1st of each year. Population estimates for non-Bay Area regions are from the U.S. Census Bureau. Decennial Census years reflect population as of April 1st of each year whereas population estimates for intercensal estimates are as of July 1st of each year. Population estimates for Bay Area tracts are from the decennial Census (1970-2020) and the American Community Survey (2011-2021 5-year rolling average). Estimates of population density for tracts use gross acres as the denominator.

Population estimates for Bay Area tracts and PDAs are from the decennial Census (1970-2020) and the American Community Survey (2011-2021 5-year rolling average). Population estimates for PDAs are allocated from tract-level Census population counts using an area ratio. For example, if a quarter of a Census tract lies with in a PDA, a quarter of its population will be allocated to that PDA. Estimates of population density for PDAs use gross acres as the denominator. Note that the population densities between PDAs reported in previous iterations of Vital Signs are mostly not comparable due to minor differences and an updated set of PDAs (previous iterations reported Plan Bay Area 2040 PDAs, whereas current iterations report Plan Bay Area 2050 PDAs).

The following is a list of cities and towns by geographical area:

Big Three: San Jose, San Francisco, Oakland

Bayside: Alameda, Albany, Atherton, Belmont, Belvedere, Berkeley, Brisbane, Burlingame, Campbell, Colma, Corte Madera, Cupertino, Daly City, East Palo Alto, El Cerrito, Emeryville, Fairfax, Foster City, Fremont, Hayward, Hercules, Hillsborough, Larkspur, Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Los Gatos, Menlo Park, Mill Valley, Millbrae, Milpitas, Monte Sereno, Mountain View, Newark, Pacifica, Palo Alto, Piedmont, Pinole, Portola Valley, Redwood City, Richmond, Ross, San Anselmo, San Bruno, San Carlos, San Leandro, San Mateo, San Pablo, San Rafael, Santa Clara, Saratoga, Sausalito, South San Francisco, Sunnyvale, Tiburon, Union City, Vallejo, Woodside

Inland, Delta and Coastal: American Canyon, Antioch, Benicia, Brentwood, Calistoga, Clayton, Cloverdale, Concord, Cotati, Danville, Dixon, Dublin, Fairfield, Gilroy, Half Moon Bay, Healdsburg, Lafayette, Livermore, Martinez, Moraga, Morgan Hill, Napa, Novato, Oakley, Orinda, Petaluma, Pittsburg, Pleasant Hill, Pleasanton, Rio Vista, Rohnert Park, San Ramon, Santa Rosa, Sebastopol, Sonoma, St. Helena, Suisun City, Vacaville, Walnut Creek, Windsor, Yountville

Unincorporated: all unincorporated towns

In 2023, the population of the San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley metropolitan area in the United States was about 4.57 million people. This is a slight decrease from the previous year, when the population was about 4.58 million people.

Table of population and demographic forecast numbers from Plan Bay Area 2040 for the San Francisco Bay Region. Population and demographic numbers are included for 2005, 2010, 2015, 2020, 2030, 2035, and 2040. There are no forecast numbers for 2025.The Plan Bay Area forecast numbers were generated by Transportation Analysis Zone (TAZ). The Population and Demographics forecast table will need to be joined to TAZ features in order to spatially visualize the data. The TAZ features are available for download here.2005-2040 data in this table:Total PopulationHousehold PopulationGroup Quarters Population0 - 4 Age Group5 - 19 Age Group20 - 44 Age Group44 - 64 Age Group65+ Age GroupShare of Total Population that is 62 and OverHigh School EnrollmentCollege Enrollment (full-time)College Enrollment (part-time)Other Plan Bay Area 2040 forecast tables:Employment (total employment, TAZ resident employment, retail employment, financial and professional services employment, health, educational, and recreational employment, manufacturing, wholesale, and transportation employment, agricultural and natural resources employment, and other employment)Households (number of households and household income quartile)Land Use and Transportation (area type, commercial or industrial acres, residential acres, number of single-family and multi-family dwelling units, time to get from automobile storage location to origin/destination, and hourly parking rates)

In 2022, the total population of the Guangdong - Hong Kong - Macao Greater Bay Area reached around 86.6 million. In terms of population, China's Greater Bay Area was larger than other major Bay Areas in the world. However, per capita GDP was only about half of that in the Tokyo Bay Area and only one seventh of that in the San Francisco Bay Area.

VITAL SIGNS INDICATOR Population (LU1)

FULL MEASURE NAME Population estimates

LAST UPDATED October 2019

DESCRIPTION Population is a measurement of the number of residents that live in a given geographical area, be it a neighborhood, city, county or region.

DATA SOURCES U.S Census Bureau: Decennial Census No link available (1960-1990) http://factfinder.census.gov (2000-2010)

California Department of Finance: Population and Housing Estimates Table E-6: County Population Estimates (1961-1969) Table E-4: Population Estimates for Counties and State (1971-1989) Table E-8: Historical Population and Housing Estimates (2001-2018) Table E-5: Population and Housing Estimates (2011-2019) http://www.dof.ca.gov/Forecasting/Demographics/Estimates/

U.S. Census Bureau: Decennial Census - via Longitudinal Tract Database Spatial Structures in the Social Sciences, Brown University Population Estimates (1970 - 2010) http://www.s4.brown.edu/us2010/index.htm

U.S. Census Bureau: American Community Survey 5-Year Population Estimates (2011-2017) http://factfinder.census.gov

U.S. Census Bureau: Intercensal Estimates Estimates of the Intercensal Population of Counties (1970-1979) Intercensal Estimates of the Resident Population (1980-1989) Population Estimates (1990-1999) Annual Estimates of the Population (2000-2009) Annual Estimates of the Population (2010-2017) No link available (1970-1989) http://www.census.gov/popest/data/metro/totals/1990s/tables/MA-99-03b.txt http://www.census.gov/popest/data/historical/2000s/vintage_2009/metro.html https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-total-metro-and-micro-statistical-areas.html

CONTACT INFORMATION vitalsigns.info@bayareametro.gov

METHODOLOGY NOTES (across all datasets for this indicator) All legal boundaries and names for Census geography (metropolitan statistical area, county, city, and tract) are as of January 1, 2010, released beginning November 30, 2010, by the U.S. Census Bureau. A Priority Development Area (PDA) is a locally-designated area with frequent transit service, where a jurisdiction has decided to concentrate most of its housing and jobs growth for development in the foreseeable future. PDA boundaries are current as of August 2019. For more information on PDA designation see http://gis.abag.ca.gov/website/PDAShowcase/.

Population estimates for Bay Area counties and cities are from the California Department of Finance, which are as of January 1st of each year. Population estimates for non-Bay Area regions are from the U.S. Census Bureau. Decennial Census years reflect population as of April 1st of each year whereas population estimates for intercensal estimates are as of July 1st of each year. Population estimates for Bay Area tracts are from the decennial Census (1970 -2010) and the American Community Survey (2008-2012 5-year rolling average; 2010-2014 5-year rolling average; 2013-2017 5-year rolling average). Estimates of population density for tracts use gross acres as the denominator.

Population estimates for Bay Area PDAs are from the decennial Census (1970 - 2010) and the American Community Survey (2006-2010 5 year rolling average; 2010-2014 5-year rolling average; 2013-2017 5-year rolling average). Population estimates for PDAs are derived from Census population counts at the tract level for 1970-1990 and at the block group level for 2000-2017. Population from either tracts or block groups are allocated to a PDA using an area ratio. For example, if a quarter of a Census block group lies with in a PDA, a quarter of its population will be allocated to that PDA. Tract-to-PDA and block group-to-PDA area ratios are calculated using gross acres. Estimates of population density for PDAs use gross acres as the denominator.

Annual population estimates for metropolitan areas outside the Bay Area are from the Census and are benchmarked to each decennial Census. The annual estimates in the 1990s were not updated to match the 2000 benchmark.

The following is a list of cities and towns by geographical area: Big Three: San Jose, San Francisco, Oakland Bayside: Alameda, Albany, Atherton, Belmont, Belvedere, Berkeley, Brisbane, Burlingame, Campbell, Colma, Corte Madera, Cupertino, Daly City, East Palo Alto, El Cerrito, Emeryville, Fairfax, Foster City, Fremont, Hayward, Hercules, Hillsborough, Larkspur, Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Los Gatos, Menlo Park, Mill Valley, Millbrae, Milpitas, Monte Sereno, Mountain View, Newark, Pacifica, Palo Alto, Piedmont, Pinole, Portola Valley, Redwood City, Richmond, Ross, San Anselmo, San Bruno, San Carlos, San Leandro, San Mateo, San Pablo, San Rafael, Santa Clara, Saratoga, Sausalito, South San Francisco, Sunnyvale, Tiburon, Union City, Vallejo, Woodside Inland, Delta and Coastal: American Canyon, Antioch, Benicia, Brentwood, Calistoga, Clayton, Cloverdale, Concord, Cotati, Danville, Dixon, Dublin, Fairfield, Gilroy, Half Moon Bay, Healdsburg, Lafayette, Livermore, Martinez, Moraga, Morgan Hill, Napa, Novato, Oakley, Orinda, Petaluma, Pittsburg, Pleasant Hill, Pleasanton, Rio Vista, Rohnert Park, San Ramon, Santa Rosa, Sebastopol, Sonoma, St. Helena, Suisun City, Vacaville, Walnut Creek, Windsor, Yountville Unincorporated: all unincorporated towns

In 2023, the GDP of the San Francisco Bay Area amounted to 681.89 billion U.S. dollars, an increase from the previous year. The overall quarterly GDP growth in the United States can be found here. The GDP of the San Francisco Bay Area The San Francisco Bay Area, commonly known as the Bay Area, is a metropolitan region that surrounds the San Francisco and San Pablo estuaries in Northern California. The region encompasses metropolitan areas such as San Francisco-Oakland (12th largest in the country), San Jose (31st largest in the country), along with smaller urban and rural areas. Overall, the Bay Area consists of nine counties, 101 cities, and 7,000 square miles. The nine counties are Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Solano, and Sonoma. There are approximately 4.62 million people living in the metro area as of 2022. Silicon Valley In the ten year period between 2001 and 2011, the Bay Area saw steady GDP growth. Starting in 2012, it began to skyrocket. This is thanks to an economic boom in the tech sector, and high value companies headquartered in Silicon Valley - also part of the Bay Area. Silicon Valley is known as the center of the global technology industry. Companies like Google, Facebook, eBay and Apple are headquartered there. Additionally, California ranked first on a list of U.S. states by GDP, with more than 3.59 trillion U.S. dollars in GDP in 2022.

This graph shows the GDP of the San Francisco Bay Area in 2022, by industry. In 2022, the GDP of the San Francisco metro area amounted to about 654.73 billion U.S. dollars. About 68.02 billion U.S. dollars were generated in the manufacturing industries. The overall quarterly GDP growth in the United States can be found here. The San Francisco Bay Area’s GDP The San Francisco Bay Area, commonly known as the Bay Area, is a metropolitan region that surrounds the San Francisco and San Pablo estuaries in Northern California. The region encompasses metropolitan areas such as San Francisco-Oakland (12th largest in the country), San Jose (31st largest in the country), along with smaller urban and rural areas. Overall, the Bay Area consists of nine counties, 101 cities, and 7,000 square miles. The nine counties are Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Solano, and Sonoma. The United States Census Bureau considers the Bay Area a Combined Statistical Area (CSA) with approximately 7.4 million people, including the nine counties bordering San Francisco Bay as well as Santa Cruz and San Benito Counties, making it the sixth largest CSA in the United States.

In the ten year period between 2001 and 2011, the Bay Area saw its GDP grow considerably. In 2001, GDP was 239 billion U.S. dollars. This value rose to 347 billion U.S. dollars by 2011. Additionally, California ranked first on a list of U.S. states by GDP, with two trillion U.S. dollars of GDP in 2012. Silicon Valley, located in the Bay Area, is in great part responsible for the Bay Area’s and California’s high GDPs, as it is known as the center of the global technology industry. Companies like Google, Facebook, eBay and Apple are headquartered there.

This raster dataset depicts the population denisty of the nine county San Francisco Bay Area Region, California produced with a Dasymetric Mapping Technique, which is used to depict quantitative areal data using boundaries that divide an area into zones of relative homogeneity with the purpose of better portraying the population distribution. The source data was then adjusted in order to get convert the units to persons per acre. This dataset is an accurate representation of population distribution within census boundaries and can be used in a number of ways, including as the Conservation Suitability layer for the Marxan inputs and the watershed integrity analysis.

In 2023, the total population of the Guangdong - Hong Kong - Macao Greater Bay Area in Greater China ranged at 86.88 million. The Guangdong - Hong Kong - Macao Greater Bay Area is the largest and most populated urban area in the world.

Draft dataset for Bay Area Census website prototype. Includes census 2000 population breakdown by age, sex and race.

Graph and download economic data for Resident Population in San Francisco County/city, CA (CASANF0POP) from 1970 to 2023 about San Francisco County/City, CA; San Francisco; residents; CA; population; and USA.

County boundaries for the San Francisco Bay Region, clipped to remove major coastal and bay water areas. Features were extracted from, and clipped using, California 2020 TIGER/Line shapefiles by the Metropolitan Transportation Commission. The 2020 TIGER/Line Shapefiles reflect available governmental unit boundaries of the counties and equivalent entities as of May 28, 2021.Counties and equivalent entities are primary legal divisions of states. In most states, these entities are termed “counties.” Each county or statistically equivalent entity is assigned a 3-character FIPS code that is unique within a state.

This polygon shapefile displays landmark features throughout the San Francisco Bay Area in California. "Landmark" is the general name given to a cartographic (or locational) landmark, a land-use area, and a key geographic location (KGL). A cartographic landmark is identified for use by an enumerator while working in the field. A land-use area is identified in order to minimize enumeration efforts in uninhabited areas or areas where human access is restricted. A key geographic location is identified in order to more accurately geocode and enumerate a place of work or residence. The predominant feature classes represented in this layer include airports or airfields, cemeteries, fraternities or sororities, state or local parks or forests, golf courses, lookout towers, educational and religious institutions. Other possible landmark features could include military installations, multi-household or transient quarters, custodial facilities, other types of transportation facilities or terminals, employment centers, open space and other special landmark designations for post offices, police stations and firehouses. The Census Bureau includes landmarks in the Census TIGER data base for locating special features and to help enumerators during field operations. The Census Bureau added landmark features on an as-needed-basis and made no attempt to ensure that all instances of a particular feature were included. The absence of a landmark does not mean that the living quarters, e.g., hospitals and group quarters associated with the landmark were excluded from the 1990 enumeration. A census feature class code (CFCC) is used to identify the most noticeable characteristic of a feature. The CFCC is applied only once to a chain or landmark with preference given to classifications that cover features that are visible to an observer and a part of the ground transportation network. Thus, a road that also is the boundary of a town would have a CFCC describing its road characteristics, not its boundary characteristics. The CFCC, as used in the TIGER/Line files, is a three-character code. The first character is a letter describing the feature class; the second character is a number describing the major category; and the third character is a number describing the minor category. Landmark (Feature Class D) is the general name given to a cartographic (or locational) landmark, a land-use area, and a key geographic location. This layer is part of the Bay Area Metropolitan Transportation Commission (MTC) GIS Maps and Data collection.

2020 Census block groups for the San Francisco Bay Region, clipped to remove major coastal and bay water areas. Features were extracted from California 2021 TIGER/Line shapefile by the Metropolitan Transportation Commission.Block groups are clusters of blocks within the same census tract. Each census tract contains at least one block group, and block groups are uniquely numbered within census tracts. Block groups have a valid code range of 0 through 9. Block groups have the same first digit of their 4-digit census block number from the same decennial census. For example, tabulation blocks numbered 3001, 3002, 3003,.., 3999 within census tract 1210.02 are also within Block Group 3 within that census tract. Block groups coded 0 are intended to only include water area, no land area, and they are generally in territorial seas, coastal water, and Great Lakes water areas.Block groups generally contain between 600 and 3,000 people. A block group usually covers a contiguous area but never crosses county or census tract boundaries. They may, however, cross the boundaries of other geographic entities like county subdivisions, places, urban areas, voting districts, congressional districts, and American Indian/Alaska Native/Native Hawaiian areas. The block group boundaries in this release are those that were delineated as part of the Census Bureau's Participant Statistical Areas Program (PSAP) for the 2020 Census.

This feature set contains household and population projections from Projections 2040 for the San Francisco Bay Region. This forecast represents household and population projections resulting from Plan Bay Area 2040. Numbers are provided by county. Household and population numbers are included for 2010 (two versions), 2015, 2020, 2025, 2030, 2035, and 2040. For 2010, two data points are provided:A tabulation (base year A) from the 2010 model simulation (base year A); and(Preferred) A tabulation (base year B) from the 2010 pre-run microdata, designed to approximate (but may still differ from) Census 2010 counts.Projection data is included for total households, group quarter population, household population, persons per household, and total population.This feature set was assembled using unclipped county features. For those who prefer Projections 2040 data using county features with ocean and bay waters clipped out, the data in this feature service can be joined to San Francisco Bay Region Counties (clipped).Other Projections 2040 feature sets:Households and population per jurisdiction (incorporated place and unincorporated county)Households and population per Census TractJobs and employment per countyJobs and employment per jurisdiction (incorporated place and unincorporated county)Jobs per Census TractFemale population, by age range, per countyFemale population, by age range, per jurisdiction (incorporated place and unincorporated county)Male population, by age range, per countyMale population, by age range, per jurisdiction (incorporated place and unincorporated county)Total population, by age range, per countyTotal population, by age range, per jurisdiction (incorporated place and unincorporated county)

Graph and download economic data for Estimate of Median Household Income for San Francisco County/City, CA (MHICA06075A052NCEN) from 1989 to 2023 about San Francisco County/City, CA; San Francisco; CA; households; median; income; and USA.

In 2022, Contra Costa, Santa Clara and Alameda were districts with the highest number of homes sold in San Francisco Bay Area. In Contra Costa, there were 9,242 single-family home sales and 2,561 condo sales completed.

Table of household forecast numbers from Plan Bay Area 2040 for the San Francisco Bay Region. Household numbers are included for 2005, 2010, 2015, 2020, 2030, 2035, and 2040. There are no forecast numbers for 2025.The Plan Bay Area forecast numbers were generated by Transportation Analysis Zone (TAZ). The Household forecast table will need to be joined to TAZ features in order to spatially visualize the data. The TAZ features are available for download here.2005-2040 data in this table:Total HouseholdsNumber of Households in Lowest Income QuartileNumber of Households in Second Lowest Income QuartileNumber of Households in Second highest Income QuartileNumber of Households in Highest Income QuartileOther Plan Bay Area 2040 forecast tables:Employment (total employment, TAZ resident employment, retail employment, financial and professional services employment, health, educational, and recreational employment, manufacturing, wholesale, and transportation employment, agricultural and natural resources employment, and other employment)Land Use and Transportation (area type, commercial or industrial acres, residential acres, number of single-family and multi-family dwelling units, time to get from automobile storage location to origin/destination, and hourly parking rates)Population and Demographics (total population, household and group quarter populations, population by age group, share of population that is 62+, high school enrollment, and college enrollment)

Financial overview and grant giving statistics of San Francisco Bay Area Interactive Group

This dataset is intended for researchers, students, and policy makers for reference and mapping purposes, and may be used for basic applications such as viewing, querying, and map output production, or to provide a basemap to support graphical overlays and analysis with other spatial data.