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TwitterWorldClim V1 Bioclim provides bioclimatic variables that are derived from the monthly temperature and rainfall in order to generate more biologically meaningful values. The bioclimatic variables represent annual trends (e.g., mean annual temperature, annual precipitation), seasonality (e.g., annual range in temperature and precipitation), and extreme or limiting environmental factors (e.g., …
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TwitterName and description of the bioclimatic variables used in this study. (XLSX)
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TwitterWorldClim V1 Bioclim fournit des variables bioclimatiques dérivées de la température et des précipitations mensuelles afin de générer des valeurs plus pertinentes sur le plan biologique. Les variables bioclimatiques représentent les tendances annuelles (par exemple, la température annuelle moyenne, les précipitations annuelles), la saisonnalité (par exemple, la plage annuelle de température et de précipitations) et les facteurs environnementaux extrêmes ou limitants (par exemple, la température du mois le plus froid et le plus chaud, et les précipitations des trimestres les plus humides et les plus secs). Le schéma des bandes est celui d'ANUCLIM, sauf que pour la saisonnalité de la température, l'écart-type a été utilisé, car un coefficient de variation n'a pas de sens avec des températures comprises entre -1 et 1. La version 1 de WorldClim a été développée par Robert J. Hijmans, Susan Cameron et Juan Parra, au Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, en collaboration avec Peter Jones et Andrew Jarvis (CIAT), et avec Karen Richardson (Rainforest CRC).
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A suite of 9s resolution BIOCLIM climate surfaces for the Australian continent. This collection represents a 30 year average centred on 1990 for the standard set of 35 BIOCLIM variables.
Data are provided as zipped ESRI float grids: Binary float grids (.flt) with associated ESRI header files (.hdr) and projection files (*.prj). After extracting from the zip archive, these files can be imported into most GIS software packages, and can be used as other binary file formats by substituting the appropriate header file.
Additionally a short methods summary is provided in the file 9sClimateMethodsSummary.pdf for further information, including a nomenclature for files.
Lineage: BIOLCIM climate surfaces for the present were calculated in the ANUCLIM 6.1 (Xu and Hutchinson, 2011) 30 year average climate surfaces for Australia (1976-2005), with elevational lapse rate correction applied over the 9s GEODATA digital elevation model (Hutchinson et al , 2008).
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This dataset contains BIOCLIM variables (plus huss, sfcwind, rsds) which have been prepared and calculated from the original ISIMIP3b bias-adjusted climate forcing data from 5 GCM models (obtained on 2023-08-07).
For more information on the original data and its properties, please see the ISIMIP3b modelling protocol and here specifically the climate forcing section https://protocol.isimip.org/#/ISIMIP3b/31-forcing-data and Frieler et al. (2024).
The original climate forcing data (global extent, daily temporal grain) were cropped to the European extent and spatial-temporally aggregated. Here 10 year (decadal) steps were chosen as target climatology.
For each time slot (e.g. 10 years) and scenario (historical or ssps) the following 22 variables were calculated:
bioclim01 = Annual Mean Temperature
bioclim02 = Mean Diurnal Range (Mean of monthly (max temp - min temp))
bioclim03 = Isothermality (BIO2/BIO7) (×100)
bioclim04 = Temperature Seasonality (standard deviation ×100)
bioclim05 = Max Temperature of Warmest Month
bioclim06 = Min Temperature of Coldest Month
bioclim07 = Temperature Annual Range (BIO5-BIO6)
bioclim08 = Mean Temperature of Wettest Quarter
bioclim09 = Mean Temperature of Driest Quarter
bioclim10 = Mean Temperature of Warmest Quarter
bioclim11 = Mean Temperature of Coldest Quarter
bioclim12 = Annual Precipitation
bioclim13 = Precipitation of Wettest Month
bioclim14 = Precipitation of Driest Month
bioclim15 = Precipitation Seasonality (Coefficient of Variation)
bioclim16 = Precipitation of Wettest Quarter
bioclim17 = Precipitation of Driest Quarter
bioclim18 = Precipitation of Warmest Quarter
bioclim19 = Precipitation of Coldest Quarter
huss = Average (arithmetric mean) specific humidity
rsds = Average (arithmetric mean) Surface downwelling shortwave radiation
sfcwind = Average near-surface wind speed (arithmetric mean)
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Data properties:
| Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) | SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5 |
| General circulation models (GCMs) | GFDL-ESM4, IPSL-CM6A-LR, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MRI-ESM2-0, UKESM1-0-LL |
| Spatial grain | 0.5 degree (~50km²) |
| Geographic projection | WGS 84 |
| Temporal grain | 10 year steps |
| Spatial extent | Continental Europe including Turkey (see screenshot) |
| Temporal extent | 1850 to 2010 (Historical), 2010 - 2100 (Future) |
| Number of variables | 22 |
All files are provided in netCDF (nc) format. The preprocessed datasets are provided as it and the author takes no responsibility for errors or misuse.
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Bioclim variables.
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TwitterThe variables in bold were used in the final models of Bactrocera zonata’ climatic suitability after eliminating the highly correlated ones.
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TwitterRetirement Notice: This beta item will be retired in December 2026. A new version of this item is available for your use. Esri recommends updating your maps and apps to use the new version. This layer represents CMIP6 future projections of total precipitation during the three coldest months of the year. This layer can be used to compare with recent climate histories to better understand the potential impacts of future climate change.WorldClim produced this projection as part of a series of 19 bioclimate variables identified by the USGS and provides this description:"Bioclimatic variables are derived from the monthly temperature and rainfall values in order to generate more biologically meaningful variables. These are often used in species distribution modeling and related ecological modeling techniques. The bioclimatic variables represent annual trends (e.g., mean annual temperature, annual precipitation) seasonality (e.g., annual range in temperature and precipitation) and extreme or limiting environmental factors (e.g., temperature of the coldest and warmest month, and precipitation of the wet and dry quarters). A quarter is a period of three months (1/4 of the year)."Time Extent: averages from 2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-2080, 2081-2100Units: mmCell Size: 2.5 minutes (~5 km)Source Type: StretchedPixel Type: 32 Bit FloatData Projection: GCS WGS84Mosaic Projection: GCS WGS84Extent: GlobalSource: WorldClim CMIP6 Bioclimate Climate ScenariosThe CMIP6 climate experiments use Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) to model future climate scenarios. Each SSP pairs a human/community behavior component with the traditional RCP greenhouse gas forcing from the previous CMIP5. Three SSPs were chosen by Esri to be included in the service based on user requests: SSP2 4.5, SSP3 7.0 and SSP5 8.5.SSPScenarioEstimated warming(2041–2060)Estimated warming(2081–2100)Very likely range in °C(2081–2100)SSP2-4.5intermediate GHG emissions:CO2 emissions around current levels until 2050, then falling but not reaching net zero by 21002.0 °C2.7 °C2.1 – 3.5SSP3-7.0high GHG emissions:CO2 emissions double by 21002.1 °C3.6 °C2.8 – 4.6SSP5-8.5very high GHG emissions:CO2 emissions triple by 20752.4 °C4.4 °C3.3 – 5.7While the 8.5 scenario is no longer generally considered likely, SSP3 7.0 has been included and is considered the high end of possibilities. SSP5 8.5 has been retained since many organizations report to this threshold. The warming associated with SSP2 4.5 is equivalent to the global targets set at the 2021 United Nations COP26 meetings in Glasgow. Processing the Climate DataWorldClim provides 20-year averaged outputs for the various SSPs from 24 global climate models. A selection of 13 models were averaged for each variable and time based on Mahony et al 2022. These models included ACCESS-ESM1-5, BCC-CSM2-MR, CanESM5, CNRM-ESM2-1, EC-Earth3-Veg, GFDL-ESM4, GISS-E2-1-G, INM-CM5-0, IPSL-CM6A-LR, MIROC6, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MRI-ESM2-0, UKESM1-0-LL. GFDL-ESM4 was not available for SSP2 4.5 or SSP5 8.5. Accessing the Multidimensional InformationThe time and SSP scenario are built into the layer using a multidimensional raster. Enable the time slider to move across the 20-year average periods. In ArcGIS Online and Pro, use the Multidimensional Filter to select the SSP (SSP2 4.5 is the default). What can you do with this layer?These multidimensional imagery tiles support analysis using ArcGIS Online or Pro. Use the Bioclimate Baseline layer to see the difference in pixels and calculate change from the historic period into the future. Use the Multidimensional tab in ArcGIS Pro to access a variety of useful tools. Each layer or variable can be styled using the Image Display options. Known Quality IssuesEach model is downscaled from ~100km resolution to ~5km resolution by WorldClim. Some artifacts are inevitable, especially at a global scale. Some variables have distinct transitions, especially in Greenland. Also, SSP2 4.5 has missing data for several variables in Antarctica.Related LayersBioclimate 1 Annual Mean TemperatureBioclimate 2 Mean Diurnal Range Bioclimate 3 Isothermality Bioclimate 4 Temperature Seasonality Bioclimate 5 Max Temperature of Warmest MonthBioclimate 6 Min Temperature Of Coldest MonthBioclimate 7 Temperature Annual Range Bioclimate 8 Mean Temperature Of Wettest QuarterBioclimate 9 Mean Temperature Of Driest QuarterBioclimate 10 Mean Temperature Of Warmest QuarterBioclimate 11 Mean Temperature Of Coldest QuarterBioclimate 12 Annual PrecipitationBioclimate 13 Precipitation Of Wettest MonthBioclimate 14 Precipitation Of Driest MonthBioclimate 15 Precipitation Seasonality Bioclimate 16 Precipitation Of Wettest QuarterBioclimate 17 Precipitation Of Driest QuarterBioclimate 18 Precipitation Of Warmest QuarterBioclimate 19 Precipitation Of Coldest QuarterBioclimate Baseline 1970-2000
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This dataset contains mean Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) values from 1982 to 2018 and their future predictions based on CHELSA bioclimatic variables, specifically for the region of Türkiye. The data is provided in .asc format and includes both historical and projected NDVI values under different climate scenarios.
Contents:
Historical NDVI Data (1982-2018): Mean NDVI values derived from remote sensing data.
Future NDVI Predictions: NDVI projections for the periods 2011-2040, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100 under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs): SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5.
Methodology:
Model Training:
A Random Forest Regressor was used to model the relationship between NDVI and the selected bioclim variables.
The model achieved an R² of 0.9341, Mean Absolute Error of 0.0275, and Root Mean Squared Error of 0.0499.
Future Predictions:
Future NDVI values were predicted using the trained model and future CHELSA bioclim projections.
Predictions were made for three future periods (2011-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100) under three SSPs (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5).
Data Specifications:
Extent: Covers the geographical area of Türkiye and adjacents.
Sources:
NDVI Data:
Ma, Z., Dong, C., Lin, K., Yan, Y., Luo, J., Jiang, D., & Chen, X. (2022). A Global 250-m Downscaled NDVI Product from 1982 to 2018. Remote Sensing, 14(15), 3639.
CHELSA Bioclim Data:
Karger, D.N., Conrad, O., Böhner, J., Kawohl, T., Kreft, H., Soria-Auza, R.W., Zimmermann, N.E., Linder, P., Kessler, M. (2017). Climatologies at high resolution for the Earth land surface areas. Scientific Data. 4 170122. https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2017.122
Karger, D.N., Conrad, O., Böhner, J., Kawohl, T., Kreft, H., Soria-Auza, R.W., Zimmermann, N.E., Linder, H.P., Kessler, M. Data from: Climatologies at high resolution for the earth’s land surface areas. Dryad Digital Repository. http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.5061/dryad.kd1d4
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Nineteen bioclimatic variables derived from the WorldClim database.
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TwitterRetirement Notice: This beta item will be retired in December 2026. A new version of this item is available for your use. Esri recommends updating your maps and apps to use the new version.This layer represents CMIP6 future projections of temperature variation over an entire year. This layer can be used to compare with recent climate histories to better understand the potential impacts of future climate change.WorldClim produced this projection as part of a series of 19 bioclimate variables identified by the USGS and provides this description:"Bioclimatic variables are derived from the monthly temperature and rainfall values in order to generate more biologically meaningful variables. These are often used in species distribution modeling and related ecological modeling techniques. The bioclimatic variables represent annual trends (e.g., mean annual temperature, annual precipitation) seasonality (e.g., annual range in temperature and precipitation) and extreme or limiting environmental factors (e.g., temperature of the coldest and warmest month, and precipitation of the wet and dry quarters). A quarter is a period of three months (1/4 of the year)."Time Extent: averages from 2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-2080, 2081-2100Units: deg CCell Size: 2.5 minutes (~5 km)Source Type: StretchedPixel Type: 32 Bit FloatData Projection: GCS WGS84Mosaic Projection: GCS WGS84Extent: GlobalSource: WorldClim CMIP6 Bioclimate Climate ScenariosThe CMIP6 climate experiments use Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) to model future climate scenarios. Each SSP pairs a human/community behavior component with the traditional RCP greenhouse gas forcing from the previous CMIP5. Three SSPs were chosen by Esri to be included in the service based on user requests: SSP2 4.5, SSP3 7.0 and SSP5 8.5.SSPScenarioEstimated warming(2041–2060)Estimated warming(2081–2100)Very likely range in °C(2081–2100)SSP2-4.5intermediate GHG emissions:CO2 emissions around current levels until 2050, then falling but not reaching net zero by 21002.0 °C2.7 °C2.1 – 3.5SSP3-7.0high GHG emissions:CO2 emissions double by 21002.1 °C3.6 °C2.8 – 4.6SSP5-8.5very high GHG emissions:CO2 emissions triple by 20752.4 °C4.4 °C3.3 – 5.7While the 8.5 scenario is no longer generally considered likely, SSP3 7.0 has been included and is considered the high end of possibilities. SSP5 8.5 has been retained since many organizations report to this threshold. The warming associated with SSP2 4.5 is equivalent to the global targets set at the 2021 United Nations COP26 meetings in Glasgow. Processing the Climate DataWorldClim provides 20-year averaged outputs for the various SSPs from 24 global climate models. A selection of 13 models were averaged for each variable and time based on Mahony et al 2022. These models included ACCESS-ESM1-5, BCC-CSM2-MR, CanESM5, CNRM-ESM2-1, EC-Earth3-Veg, GFDL-ESM4, GISS-E2-1-G, INM-CM5-0, IPSL-CM6A-LR, MIROC6, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MRI-ESM2-0, UKESM1-0-LL. GFDL-ESM4 was not available for SSP2 4.5 or SSP5 8.5. Accessing the Multidimensional InformationThe time and SSP scenario are built into the layer using a multidimensional raster. Enable the time slider to move across the 20-year average periods. In ArcGIS Online and Pro, use the Multidimensional Filter to select the SSP (SSP2 4.5 is the default). What can you do with this layer?These multidimensional imagery tiles support analysis using ArcGIS Online or Pro. Use the Bioclimate Baseline layer to see the difference in pixels and calculate change from the historic period into the future. Use the Multidimensional tab in ArcGIS Pro to access a variety of useful tools. Each layer or variable can be styled using the Image Display options. Known Quality IssuesEach model is downscaled from ~100km resolution to ~5km resolution by WorldClim. Some artifacts are inevitable, especially at a global scale. Some variables have distinct transitions, especially in Greenland. Also, SSP2 4.5 has missing data for several variables in Antarctica.Related LayersBioclimate 1 Annual Mean TemperatureBioclimate 2 Mean Diurnal RangeBioclimate 3 IsothermalityBioclimate 4 Temperature SeasonalityBioclimate 5 Max Temperature of Warmest MonthBioclimate 6 Min Temperature Of Coldest MonthBioclimate 7 Temperature Annual RangeBioclimate 8 Mean Temperature Of Wettest QuarterBioclimate 9 Mean Temperature Of Driest QuarterBioclimate 10 Mean Temperature Of Warmest QuarterBioclimate 11 Mean Temperature Of Coldest QuarterBioclimate 12 Annual PrecipitationBioclimate 13 Precipitation Of Wettest MonthBioclimate 14 Precipitation Of Driest MonthBioclimate 15 Precipitation SeasonalityBioclimate 16 Precipitation Of Wettest QuarterBioclimate 17 Precipitation Of Driest QuarterBioclimate 18 Precipitation Of Warmest QuarterBioclimate 19 Precipitation Of Coldest QuarterBioclimate Baseline 1970-2000
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Annual WorldClim climate variables (https://www.worldclim.org/data/bioclim.html) with interest over mountain regions.
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TwitterTotal Annual precipitation was derived from the WorldClim bio-climatic variable: BIO12. Bio-climatic variables are derived from the monthly temperature and rainfall values in order to generate meaningful variables. These are often used in ecological niche modelling (e.g., BIOCLIM, GARP). The bio-climatic variables represent annual trends (e.g., mean annual temperature, annual precipitation) seasonality (e.g., annual range in temperature and precipitation) and extreme or limiting environment factors (e.g., temperature of the coldest and warmest month, and precipitation of the wet and dry quarters). A quarter is a period of the three months (1/4 of the year).The WorldClim is a set of global climate layers (climate grids). The data can be used for mapping and spatial modeling in a GIS or with other computer programs.Further Information:Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areasDownload data at: WorldClim - Global Climate Data
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TreeGOER (Tree Globally Observed Environmental Ranges) is a database that documents the environmental ranges (minimum, maximum, median, mean and 5%, 25%, 75% and 95% quantiles) for 48,129 tree species and for 51 environmental variables, including 38 bioclimatic variables, 8 soil variables and 3 topographic variables. These ranges were calculated after cleaning occurrence records and standardizing species names with the WorldFlora R package to World Flora Online or the World Checklist of Vascular Plants for a global GBIF occurrence download of 44,267,164 occurrences (GBIF.org 2021 GBIF Occurrence Download https://doi.org/10.15468/dl.77gcvq). The 5% and 95% quantiles were calculated separately for two methods of outlier detection and for the full data set. The process of compilation of TreeGOER with 30 arc-seconds global grid layers, two examples of BIOCLIM applications that investigated the effects of climate change on global tree diversity patterns and R scripts to repeat these analyses have been described by Kindt, R. (2023). TreeGOER: A database with globally observed environmental ranges for 48,129 tree species. Global Change Biology, 00, 1–16. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.16914.
TreeGOER can be used in combination with the CitiesGOER database (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8175429) that documents the conditions for the same environmental variables (except elevation) for 52,602 cities with a human population ≥ 5000. TreeGOER could also be used with the TreeGOER Global Zones atlas that can be obtained from https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8252756. This high resolution atlas includes sheets with global zones for the Climatic Moisture Index (CMI) and the number of months with average temperature > 10 degrees C (Tmo10); these are zones for which presence of the 48,129 species was documented by TreeGOER.
Changes between different versions of the databases are documented in a specific sheet in the metadata file.
The development of TreeGOER was supported by the Darwin Initiative to project DAREX001 of Developing a Global Biodiversity Standard certification for tree-planting and restoration, by Norway’s International Climate and Forest Initiative through the Royal Norwegian Embassy in Ethiopia to the Provision of Adequate Tree Seed Portfolio project in Ethiopia, and by the Green Climate Fund through the IUCN-led Transforming the Eastern Province of Rwanda through Adaptation project. When using TreeGOER in your work, cite the publication (Kindt 2023) as well as this repository using the DOI (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7922927).
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CitiesGOER is a database that provides environmental data for 52,602 cities and 48 environmental variables, including 38 bioclimatic variables, 8 soil variables and 2 topographic variables. Data were extracted from the same 30 arc-seconds global grid layers that were prepared when making the TreeGOER (Tree Globally Observed Environmental Ranges) database that is available from https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7922927. Details on the preparations of these layers are provided by Kindt, R. (2023). TreeGOER: A database with globally observed environmental ranges for 48,129 tree species. Global Change Biology, 00, 1–16. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.16914. CitiesGOER was designed to be used together with TreeGOER and possibly also with the GlobalUsefulNativeTrees database (Kindt et al. 2023) to allow users to filter suitable tree species based on environmental conditions of the planting site.
The identities and coordinates of cities were sourced from a data set with information for cities with a population size larger than 1000 that was created by Opendatasoft and made available from https://public.opendatasoft.com/explore/dataset/geonames-all-cities-with-a-population-1000/table/?disjunctive.cou_name_en&sort=name. The data was downloaded on 22-JULY-2023 and afterwards filtered for cities with a population of 5000 or above. Cities where information on the country was missing were removed. The coordinates of cities were used to extract the environmental data via the terra package (Hijmans et al. 2022, version 1.6-47) in the R 4.2.1 environment.
Update 2023.08 provided median values from 23 Global Climate Models (GCMs) for Shared Socio-Economic Pathway (SSP) 1-2.6 and from 18 GCMs for SSP 3-7.0, both for the 2050s (2041-2060). Similar methods were used to calculate these median values as in the case studies for the TreeGOER manuscript (calculations were partially done via the BiodiversityR::ensemble.envirem.run function and with downscaled bioclimatic and monthly climate 2.5 arc-minutes future grid layers available from WorldClim 2.1).
The locations of the 52,602 cities are mapped in one of the series available from the TreeGOER Global Zones atlas that can be obtained from https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8252756.
When using CitiesGOER in your work, cite this depository and the following:
The development of CitiesGOER was supported by the Darwin Initiative to project DAREX001 of Developing a Global Biodiversity Standard certification for tree-planting and restoration, by Norway’s International Climate and Forest Initiative through the Royal Norwegian Embassy in Ethiopia to the Provision of Adequate Tree Seed Portfolio project in Ethiopia, and by the Green Climate Fund through the IUCN-led Transforming the Eastern Province of Rwanda through Adaptation project.
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TwitterWorldClim 2.1 provides downscaled estimates of climate variables as monthly means over the period of 1970-2000 based on interpolated station measurements. Here we provide analytical image services of precipitation for each month along with an annual mean. Each time step is accessible from a processing template.Time Extent: Monthly/Annual 1970-2000Units: mm/monthCell Size: 2.5 minutes (~5 km)Source Type: StretchedPixel Type: 16 Bit IntegerData Projection: GCS WGS84Mosaic Projection: GCS WGS84Extent: GlobalSource: WorldClim v2.1Using Processing Templates to Access TimeThere are 13 processing templates applied to this service, each providing access to the 12 monthly and 1 annual mean precipitation layers. To apply these in ArcGIS Online, select the Image Display options on the layer. Then pull down the list of variables from the Renderer options. Click Apply and Close. In ArcGIS Pro, go into the Layer Properties. Select Processing Templates from the left-hand menu. From the Processing Template pull down menu, select the version to display.What can you do with this layer?This layer may be added to maps to visualize and quickly interrogate each pixel value. The pop-up provides a graph of the time series along with the calculated annual mean value.This layer can be used in analysis. For example, the layer may be added to ArcGIS Pro and an area count of precipitation may be produced for a feature dataset using the zonal statistics tool. Statistics may be compared with the statistics from month to month to show seasonal patterns.To calculate precipitation by land area, or any other analysis, be sure to use an equal area projection, such as Albers or Equal Earth.Source Data: The datasets behind this layer were extracted from GeoTIF files produced by WorldClim at 2.5 minutes resolution. The mean of the 12 GeoTIFs was calculated (annual), and the 13 rasters were converted to Cloud Optimized GeoTIFF format and added to a mosaic dataset.Citation: Fick, S.E. and R.J. Hijmans, 2017. WorldClim 2: new 1km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 37 (12): 4302-4315.
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ClimateAnalyzer is a set of script written in R to delimit areas based on bioclimatic variables.
The scripts have been developed to delimit tropical alpine areas based on bioclimatic variables from CHELSA (https://chelsa-climate.org/downloads/). The work has been presented in Kandziora et al (under review) "The ghost of past climate acting on present-day plant diversity: lessons from a climate-based delimitation of the tropical alpine ecosystem".
The uploaded GIS shapefiles and figures are based on a delimitation based on the mean temperature of the coldest and warmest quarter (bioclim 10 and bioclim 11) of -3 to +10 °C, plus a restriction to the tropics based on bioclim 3, the ratio of diurnal variation to annual variation in temperatures, ranging from 50 to 300 °C/10.
The delimitation was done for current climatic conditions as well as two reconstructions of the climate du...
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TwitterRetirement Notice: This beta item will be retired in December 2026. A new version of this item is available for your use. Esri recommends updating your maps and apps to use the new version.This layer represents CMIP6 future projections of maximum temperature during the warmest month of the year. This layer can be used to compare with recent climate histories to better understand the potential impacts of future climate change.WorldClim produced this projection as part of a series of 19 bioclimate variables identified by the USGS and provides this description:"Bioclimatic variables are derived from the monthly temperature and rainfall values in order to generate more biologically meaningful variables. These are often used in species distribution modeling and related ecological modeling techniques. The bioclimatic variables represent annual trends (e.g., mean annual temperature, annual precipitation) seasonality (e.g., annual range in temperature and precipitation) and extreme or limiting environmental factors (e.g., temperature of the coldest and warmest month, and precipitation of the wet and dry quarters). A quarter is a period of three months (1/4 of the year)."Time Extent: averages from 2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-2080, 2081-2100Units: deg CCell Size: 2.5 minutes (~5 km)Source Type: StretchedPixel Type: 32 Bit FloatData Projection: GCS WGS84Mosaic Projection: GCS WGS84Extent: GlobalSource: WorldClim CMIP6 Bioclimate Climate ScenariosThe CMIP6 climate experiments use Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) to model future climate scenarios. Each SSP pairs a human/community behavior component with the traditional RCP greenhouse gas forcing from the previous CMIP5. Three SSPs were chosen by Esri to be included in the service based on user requests: SSP2 4.5, SSP3 7.0 and SSP5 8.5.SSPScenarioEstimated warming(2041–2060)Estimated warming(2081–2100)Very likely range in °C(2081–2100)SSP2-4.5intermediate GHG emissions:CO2 emissions around current levels until 2050, then falling but not reaching net zero by 21002.0 °C2.7 °C2.1 – 3.5SSP3-7.0high GHG emissions:CO2 emissions double by 21002.1 °C3.6 °C2.8 – 4.6SSP5-8.5very high GHG emissions:CO2 emissions triple by 20752.4 °C4.4 °C3.3 – 5.7While the 8.5 scenario is no longer generally considered likely, SSP3 7.0 has been included and is considered the high end of possibilities. SSP5 8.5 has been retained since many organizations report to this threshold. The warming associated with SSP2 4.5 is equivalent to the global targets set at the 2021 United Nations COP26 meetings in Glasgow. Processing the Climate DataWorldClim provides 20-year averaged outputs for the various SSPs from 24 global climate models. A selection of 13 models were averaged for each variable and time based on Mahony et al 2022. These models included ACCESS-ESM1-5, BCC-CSM2-MR, CanESM5, CNRM-ESM2-1, EC-Earth3-Veg, GFDL-ESM4, GISS-E2-1-G, INM-CM5-0, IPSL-CM6A-LR, MIROC6, MPI-ESM1-2-HR, MRI-ESM2-0, UKESM1-0-LL. GFDL-ESM4 was not available for SSP2 4.5 or SSP5 8.5. Accessing the Multidimensional InformationThe time and SSP scenario are built into the layer using a multidimensional raster. Enable the time slider to move across the 20-year average periods. In ArcGIS Online and Pro, use the Multidimensional Filter to select the SSP (SSP2 4.5 is the default). What can you do with this layer?These multidimensional imagery tiles support analysis using ArcGIS Online or Pro. Use the Bioclimate Baseline layer to see the difference in pixels and calculate change from the historic period into the future. Use the Multidimensional tab in ArcGIS Pro to access a variety of useful tools. Each layer or variable can be styled using the Image Display options. Known Quality IssuesEach model is downscaled from ~100km resolution to ~5km resolution by WorldClim. Some artifacts are inevitable, especially at a global scale. Some variables have distinct transitions, especially in Greenland. Also, SSP2 4.5 has missing data for several variables in Antarctica.Related LayersBioclimate 1 Annual Mean TemperatureBioclimate 2 Mean Diurnal RangeBioclimate 3 IsothermalityBioclimate 4 Temperature SeasonalityBioclimate 5 Max Temperature of Warmest MonthBioclimate 6 Min Temperature Of Coldest MonthBioclimate 7 Temperature Annual RangeBioclimate 8 Mean Temperature Of Wettest QuarterBioclimate 9 Mean Temperature Of Driest QuarterBioclimate 10 Mean Temperature Of Warmest QuarterBioclimate 11 Mean Temperature Of Coldest QuarterBioclimate 12 Annual PrecipitationBioclimate 13 Precipitation Of Wettest MonthBioclimate 14 Precipitation Of Driest MonthBioclimate 15 Precipitation SeasonalityBioclimate 16 Precipitation Of Wettest QuarterBioclimate 17 Precipitation Of Driest QuarterBioclimate 18 Precipitation Of Warmest QuarterBioclimate 19 Precipitation Of Coldest QuarterBioclimate Baseline 1970-2000
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TwitterAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
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Coding of bioclimatic variables according to WorldClim at http://www.worldclim.org/bioclim.
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TwitterAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
Bold font indicates variables considered in initial model run;†superscript indicates the two variables included in final model.
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TwitterWorldClim V1 Bioclim provides bioclimatic variables that are derived from the monthly temperature and rainfall in order to generate more biologically meaningful values. The bioclimatic variables represent annual trends (e.g., mean annual temperature, annual precipitation), seasonality (e.g., annual range in temperature and precipitation), and extreme or limiting environmental factors (e.g., …