The average market yield on the United States Treasury's 10-year bond was **** percent during the second quarter of 2024. This rate was adjusted to reflect a constant maturity and also indexed to inflation, giving an idea of real returns for longer-term investments. The recent expected return was highest at the end of the end of the last quarter of 2024, and lowest in the second half of 2021, when it was negative.

Graph and download economic data for Treasury Long-Term Average (Over 10 Years), Inflation-Indexed (DLTIIT) from 2000-01-03 to 2025-08-14 about TIPS, long-term, Treasury, yield, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for 20-Year 2-1/2% Treasury Inflation-Indexed Bond, Due 1/15/2029 (DTP20J29) from 2010-01-04 to 2025-08-15 about 20-year, TIPS, bonds, Treasury, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

The United States Treasury's 10-year bond earned an average return of **** percent in 2023. This rate was adjusted to reflect a constant maturity and also indexed to inflation, giving an idea of real returns for longer-term investments. This expected return averaged around *** percent before the financial crisis but was negative in 2011, 2012, 2020, and 2021.

As of July 18, 2025, the major economy with the highest yield on 10-year government bonds was Turkey, with a yield of ** percent. This is due to the risks investors take when investing in Turkey, notably due to high inflation rates potentially eradicating any profits made when using a foreign currency to investing in securities denominated in Turkish lira. Of the major developed economies, United Kingdom had one the highest yield on 10-year government bonds at this time with **** percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at **** percent. How does inflation influence the yields of government bonds? Inflation reduces purchasing power over time. Due to this, investors seek higher returns to offset the anticipated decrease in purchasing power resulting from rapid price rises. In countries with high inflation, government bond yields often incorporate investor expectations and risk premiums, resulting in comparatively higher rates offered by these bonds. Why are government bond rates significant? Government bond rates are an important indicator of financial markets, serving as a benchmark for borrowing costs, interest rates, and investor sentiment. They affect the cost of government borrowing, influence the price of various financial instruments, and serve as a reflection of expectations regarding inflation and economic growth. For instance, in financial analysis and investing, people often use the 10-year U.S. government bond rates as a proxy for the longer-term risk-free rate.

Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data was reported at 2.160 % in Mar 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.320 % for Dec 2024. Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.620 % from Dec 1985 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 157 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.370 % in Mar 1989 and a record low of 0.660 % in Mar 2020. Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.I067: Breakeven Inflation Rate. The Breakeven 10 Year Inflation Rate is measured by the Reserve Bank of Australia using Commonwealth government securities. For data since 1996, the RBA uses interpolation and projection of the yield curve to estimate both nominal and inflation-indexed bond yields with an exact 10-year maturity. Prior to 1996, these adjustments are not made and the nominal and inflation-indexed bond yields used to derive the series may not reflect ideal 10-year maturities. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

At the end of 2024, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond was **** percent. Despite the increase in recent years, the highest yields could be observed in the early 1990s. What affects bond prices? The factors that play a big role in valuation and interest in government bonds are interest rate and inflation. If inflation is expected to be high, investors will demand a higher return on bonds. Country credit ratings indicate how stable the economy is and thus also influence the government bond prices. Risk and bonds Finally, when investors are worried about the bond issuer’s ability to pay at the end of the term, they demand a higher interest rate. For the U.S. Treasury, the vast majority of investors consider the investment to be perfectly safe. Ten-year government bonds from other countries show that countries seen as more risky have a higher bond return. On the other hand, countries in which investors do not expect economic growth have a lower yield.

The yield on 10 Year TIPS Yield rose to 1.94% on August 15, 2025, marking a 0.04 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.07 points, though it remains 0.14 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 10 Year TIPS Yield.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis, Inflation-Indexed (WFII30) from 2010-02-26 to 2025-08-08 about TIPS, 30-year, maturity, Treasury, securities, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

Ten-Year TIPS Yields versus Real Yields is a part of the Inflation Expectations indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

United States TIPS Yield: Inflation Indexed: Long Term Average: >10 Years data was reported at 1.190 % pa in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.990 % pa for Sep 2018. United States TIPS Yield: Inflation Indexed: Long Term Average: >10 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 1.620 % pa from Jan 2003 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 190 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.090 % pa in Nov 2008 and a record low of -0.120 % pa in Dec 2012. United States TIPS Yield: Inflation Indexed: Long Term Average: >10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M008: Treasury Securities Yields.

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 4.33% on August 18, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.05 points, though it remains 0.46 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

The inflation rate in the United States declined significantly between June 2022 and June 2025, despite rising inflationary pressures towards the end of 2024. The peak inflation rate was recorded in June 2022, at *** percent. In August 2023, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hit its highest level during the observed period, at **** percent, and remained unchanged until September 2024, when the Federal Reserve implemented its first rate cut since September 2021. By January 2025, the rate dropped to **** percent, signalling a shift in monetary policy. What is the Federal Reserve interest rate? The Federal Reserve interest rate, or the federal funds rate, is the rate at which banks and credit unions lend to and borrow from each other. It is one of the Federal Reserve's key tools for maintaining strong employment rates, stable prices, and reasonable interest rates. The rate is determined by the Federal Reserve and adjusted eight times a year, though it can be changed through emergency meetings during times of crisis. The Fed doesn't directly control the interest rate but sets a target rate. It then uses open market operations to influence rates toward this target. Ways of measuring inflation Inflation is typically measured using several methods, with the most common being the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI tracks the price of a fixed basket of goods and services over time, providing a measure of the price changes consumers face. At the end of 2023, the CPI in the United States was ****** percent, up from ****** a year earlier. A more business-focused measure is the producer price index (PPI), which represents the costs of firms.

In June 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In the first half of 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 20 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at 0.1 percent in June 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 9.4 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 20-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis, Inflation-Indexed (DFII20) from 2004-07-27 to 2025-08-14 about 20-year, TIPS, maturity, Treasury, securities, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

The yield on Germany 10Y Bond Yield rose to 2.78% on August 15, 2025, marking a 0.07 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.09 points and is 0.52 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Germany 10-Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: Indexed data was reported at 2.232 % pa in Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.214 % pa for Mar 2025. Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: Indexed data is updated monthly, averaging 2.829 % pa from Jul 1985 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 478 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 5.830 % pa in Jan 1987 and a record low of -0.809 % pa in Aug 2021. Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: Indexed data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M007: Government Bond Yield. This series is an inflation-indexed bond yield with a maturity of 10 years.

In 2024, the average yearly yield of UK 10-year government bonds was **** percent. The UK 10-year gilt has shown a significant downward trend from 1990 to 2024. Starting at nearly ** percent in 1990, yields steadily declined, with slight fluctuations, reaching a low of **** percent in 2020. After 2020, yields began to rise again, reflecting recent increases in interest rates and inflation expectations. This long-term decline indicates decreasing inflation and interest rates in Australia over the past decades, with recent economic conditions prompting a reversal in bond yields.

About the Dataset

The breakeven inflation rate represents a measure of expected inflation derived from 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Securities (BC_10YEAR) and 10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Securities (TC_10YEAR). The latest value implies what market participants expect inflation to be in the next 10 years, on average. Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department.

United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Inflation-Indexed was 1.96% in July of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Inflation-Indexed reached a record high of 3.15 in November of 2008 and a record low of -1.19 in August of 2021. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Inflation-Indexed - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on August of 2025.