The average market yield on the United States Treasury's 10-year bond was 2.13 percent during the second quarter of 2024. This rate was adjusted to reflect a constant maturity and also indexed to inflation, giving an idea of real returns for longer-term investments. The recent expected return was highest at the end of the end of the last quarter of 2024, and lowest in the second half of 2021, when it was negative.

Graph and download economic data for Treasury Long-Term Average (Over 10 Years), Inflation-Indexed (DLTIIT) from 2000-01-03 to 2025-03-24 about TIPS, long-term, Treasury, yield, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 3-Month Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS3MO) from 1981-09-01 to 2025-03-25 about bills, 3-month, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for 20-Year 2-1/2% Treasury Inflation-Indexed Bond, Due 1/15/2029 (DTP20J29) from 2010-01-04 to 2025-03-25 about 20-year, TIPS, bonds, Treasury, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

As of December 30, 2024, the major economy with the highest yield on 10-year government bonds was Turkey, with a yield of 27.38 percent. This is due to the risks investors take when investing in Turkey, notably due to high inflation rates potentially eradicating any profits made when using a foreign currency to investing in securities denominated in Turkish lira. Of the major developed economies, United States had one the highest yield on 10-year government bonds at this time with 4.59 percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at 0.27 percent. How does inflation influence the yields of government bonds? Inflation reduces purchasing power over time. Due to this, investors seek higher returns to offset the anticipated decrease in purchasing power resulting from rapid price rises. In countries with high inflation, government bond yields often incorporate investor expectations and risk premiums, resulting in comparatively higher rates offered by these bonds. Why are government bond rates significant? Government bond rates are an important indicator of financial markets, serving as a benchmark for borrowing costs, interest rates, and investor sentiment. They affect the cost of government borrowing, influence the price of various financial instruments, and serve as a reflection of expectations regarding inflation and economic growth. For instance, in financial analysis and investing, people often use the 10-year U.S. government bond rates as a proxy for the longer-term risk-free rate.

The United States Treasury's 10-year bond earned an average return of 1.68 percent in 2023. This rate was adjusted to reflect a constant maturity and also indexed to inflation, giving an idea of real returns for longer-term investments. This expected return averaged around two percent before the financial crisis but was negative in 2011, 2012, 2020, and 2021.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 20-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS20) from 1962-01-02 to 2025-03-24 about 20-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The inflation rate in the United States declined significantly between June 2022 and January 2025, despite rising inflationary pressures towards the end of 2024. The peak inflation rate was recorded in June 2022, at 9.1 percent. In August 2023, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hit its highest level during the observed period, at 5.33 percent, and remained unchanged until September 2024, when the Federal Reserve implemented its first rate cut since September 2021. By January 2025, the rate dropped to 4.33 percent, signalling a shift in monetary policy. What is the Federal Reserve interest rate? The Federal Reserve interest rate, or the federal funds rate, is the rate at which banks and credit unions lend to and borrow from each other. It is one of the Federal Reserve's key tools for maintaining strong employment rates, stable prices, and reasonable interest rates. The rate is determined by the Federal Reserve and adjusted eight times a year, though it can be changed through emergency meetings during times of crisis. The Fed doesn't directly control the interest rate but sets a target rate. It then uses open market operations to influence rates toward this target. Ways of measuring inflation Inflation is typically measured using several methods, with the most common being the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI tracks the price of a fixed basket of goods and services over time, providing a measure of the price changes consumers face. At the end of 2023, the CPI in the United States was 158.11 percent, up from 153.12 a year earlier. A more business-focused measure is the producer price index (PPI), which represents the costs of firms.

10 Year TIPS Yield was 1.98 percent on Wednesday March 26, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 10 Year TIPS Yield.

At the end of 2023, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond was 3.96 percent. The highest yields could be observed in the early 1990s. What affects bond prices? The factors that play a big role in valuation and interest in government bonds are interest rate and inflation. If inflation is expected to be high, investors will demand a higher return on bonds. Country credit ratings indicate how stable the economy is and thus also influence the government bond prices. Risk and bonds Finally, when investors are worried about the bond issuer’s ability to pay at the end of the term, they demand a higher interest rate. For the U.S. Treasury, the vast majority of investors consider the investment to be perfectly safe. Ten-year government bonds from other countries show that countries seen as more risky have a higher bond return. On the other hand, countries in which investors do not expect economic growth have a lower yield.

Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: Indexed data was reported at 2.104 % pa in Feb 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.142 % pa for Jan 2025. Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: Indexed data is updated monthly, averaging 2.840 % pa from Jul 1985 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 476 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 5.830 % pa in Jan 1987 and a record low of -0.809 % pa in Aug 2021. Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: Indexed data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M007: Government Bond Yield. This series is an inflation-indexed bond yield with a maturity of 10 years.

US 10 Year Note Bond Yield was 4.34 percent on Wednesday March 26, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

The average yearly yield of Australian 10-year government bonds has shown a significant downward trend from 1990 to 2020. Starting above 12 percent in 1990, yields steadily declined, with slight fluctuations, reaching a low of 0.92 percent in 2020. After 2020, yields began to rise again, reflecting recent increases in interest rates and inflation expectations.

In 2023, long-term government bonds yields increased to 3.08 percent, after years of low returns. This increase was due to the ECB's interest rates hikes implemented to lower inflation in EU member countries.

United States TIPS Yield: Constant Maturity: Inflation Indexed: MA: 7 Years data was reported at 1.110 % pa in Nov 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.030 % pa for Oct 2018. United States TIPS Yield: Constant Maturity: Inflation Indexed: MA: 7 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 0.760 % pa from Jan 2003 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 191 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.840 % pa in Nov 2008 and a record low of -1.180 % pa in Oct 2012. United States TIPS Yield: Constant Maturity: Inflation Indexed: MA: 7 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M008: Treasury Securities Yields.

United States TIPS Yield: Constant Maturity: Inflation Indexed: MA: 10 Years data was reported at 1.110 % pa in Nov 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.040 % pa for Oct 2018. United States TIPS Yield: Constant Maturity: Inflation Indexed: MA: 10 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 1.040 % pa from Jan 2003 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 191 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.890 % pa in Nov 2008 and a record low of -0.770 % pa in Nov 2012. United States TIPS Yield: Constant Maturity: Inflation Indexed: MA: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M008: Treasury Securities Yields.

Canada 10Y Bond Yield was 3.16 percent on Wednesday March 26, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

The average yearly yield of Italian 10-year government bonds has shown a significant downward trend from 1992 to 2023. Starting at over 13 percent in 1992, yields steadily declined, with slight fluctuations, reaching a low of 0.81 percent in 2021. After 2021, yields began to rise again, reflecting recent increases in interest rates and inflation expectations. This long-term decline indicates decreasing inflation and interest rates in Australia over the past decades, with recent economic conditions prompting a reversal in bond yields.

United States TIPS Yield: Inflation Indexed: Long Term Average: >10 Years data was reported at 1.190 % pa in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.990 % pa for Sep 2018. United States TIPS Yield: Inflation Indexed: Long Term Average: >10 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 1.620 % pa from Jan 2003 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 190 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.090 % pa in Nov 2008 and a record low of -0.120 % pa in Dec 2012. United States TIPS Yield: Inflation Indexed: Long Term Average: >10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M008: Treasury Securities Yields.

United States TIPS Yield: Constant Maturity: Inflation Indexed: MA: 5 Years data was reported at 1.100 % pa in Nov 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.010 % pa for Oct 2018. United States TIPS Yield: Constant Maturity: Inflation Indexed: MA: 5 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 0.450 % pa from Jan 2003 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 191 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.690 % pa in Nov 2008 and a record low of -1.470 % pa in Oct 2012. United States TIPS Yield: Constant Maturity: Inflation Indexed: MA: 5 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M008: Treasury Securities Yields.