86 datasets found
  1. Treasury yield curve in the U.S. 2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 22, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Statista (2025). Treasury yield curve in the U.S. 2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1058454/yield-curve-usa/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jul 22, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Apr 16, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    As of July 22, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.38 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.88 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

  2. T

    US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • it.tradingeconomics.com
    • +14more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jul 15, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/government-bond-yield
    Explore at:
    json, xml, excel, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 15, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 1, 1912 - Aug 18, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 4.33% on August 18, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.05 points, though it remains 0.46 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

  3. 10-year government bond yield in the U.S. 1990-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 25, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Statista (2025). 10-year government bond yield in the U.S. 1990-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/698047/yield-on-10y-us-treasury-bond/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 25, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    At the end of 2024, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond was **** percent. Despite the increase in recent years, the highest yields could be observed in the early 1990s. What affects bond prices? The factors that play a big role in valuation and interest in government bonds are interest rate and inflation. If inflation is expected to be high, investors will demand a higher return on bonds. Country credit ratings indicate how stable the economy is and thus also influence the government bond prices. Risk and bonds Finally, when investors are worried about the bond issuer’s ability to pay at the end of the term, they demand a higher interest rate. For the U.S. Treasury, the vast majority of investors consider the investment to be perfectly safe. Ten-year government bonds from other countries show that countries seen as more risky have a higher bond return. On the other hand, countries in which investors do not expect economic growth have a lower yield.

  4. T

    US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Oct 11, 2014
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    TRADING ECONOMICS (2014). US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/2-year-note-yield
    Explore at:
    csv, excel, json, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 11, 2014
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 1, 1976 - Aug 18, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 2 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 3.75% on August 18, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.13 points and is 0.32 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

  5. T

    India 10-Year Government Bond Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • de.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    TRADING ECONOMICS, India 10-Year Government Bond Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/india/government-bond-yield
    Explore at:
    json, xml, excel, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Apr 28, 1994 - Aug 14, 2025
    Area covered
    India
    Description

    The yield on India 10Y Bond Yield eased to 6.43% on August 14, 2025, marking a 0.03 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points, though it remains 0.43 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. India 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

  6. Ten year treasury bond rates in the U.S. 2013-2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 21, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Statista (2025). Ten year treasury bond rates in the U.S. 2013-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/247556/monthly-development-of-ten-year-treasury-security-yield-rates-in-the-us/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jul 21, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    May 2013 - Jun 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    After to as low as low as **** percent in July 2020, in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, the yield on 10-year U.S treasury bonds increased considerably. As of June 2025, it reached **** percent.

  7. F

    Moody's Seasoned Baa Corporate Bond Yield

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Aug 1, 2025
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    (2025). Moody's Seasoned Baa Corporate Bond Yield [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAA
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 1, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Moody's Seasoned Baa Corporate Bond Yield (BAA) from Jan 1919 to Jul 2025 about Baa, bonds, corporate, yield, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

  8. F

    Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Aug 1, 2025
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    (2025). Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/AAA
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 1, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Description

    View the average monthly yields of prime, investment-grade bonds with maturities over 20 years, which can indicate interest rates.

  9. Yearly yield on ten-year government bonds in Belgium 1995-2023

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 11, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Statista (2025). Yearly yield on ten-year government bonds in Belgium 1995-2023 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/754221/yearly-yield-on-ten-year-government-bonds-in-belgium/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jul 11, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Belgium
    Description

    Ten-year government bonds in Belgium had a yield of *** percent in 2023, compared to **** percent in 2022. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

  10. F

    Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity,...

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Aug 15, 2025
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    (2025). Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS30
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 15, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS30) from 1977-02-15 to 2025-08-14 about 30-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

  11. I

    Indonesia Short Term Government Bond Yield

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Jun 15, 2023
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    CEICdata.com (2023). Indonesia Short Term Government Bond Yield [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/indonesia/short-term-government-bond-yield
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 15, 2023
    Dataset provided by
    CEICdata.com
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 1, 2022 - May 1, 2023
    Area covered
    Indonesia
    Variables measured
    Securities Yield
    Description

    Key information about Indonesia Short Term Government Bond Yield

    • Indonesia Short Term Government Bond Yield: Month End: Indonesia: 1 Year was reported at 5.68 % pa in May 2023, compared with 5.94 % pa in the previous month.
    • Indonesia Short Term Government Bond Yield data is updated monthly, available from Oct 2008 to May 2023.
    • The data reached an all-time high of 13.32 % pa in Oct 2008 and a record low of 3.18 % pa in Feb 2022.
    • Short Term Government Bond Yield is reported by CEIC Data.

    CEIC calculates monthly Short Term Government Bond Yield from daily Short Term Government Bond Yield based on the last business day of the month. PT Penilai Harga Efek Indonesia provides Short Term Government Bond Yield.

  12. T

    Germany 10-Year Bond Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • ar.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jul 15, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Germany 10-Year Bond Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/germany/government-bond-yield
    Explore at:
    csv, xml, json, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 15, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    May 30, 1983 - Aug 15, 2025
    Area covered
    Germany
    Description

    The yield on Germany 10Y Bond Yield rose to 2.78% on August 15, 2025, marking a 0.07 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.09 points and is 0.52 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Germany 10-Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

  13. F

    Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including...

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Aug 15, 2025
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    (2025). Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for Germany [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IRLTLT01DEM156N
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 15, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for Germany (IRLTLT01DEM156N) from May 1956 to Jul 2025 about long-term, Germany, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, and rate.

  14. F

    Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 20-Year Constant Maturity,...

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Aug 15, 2025
    + more versions
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    (2025). Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 20-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS20
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 15, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 20-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS20) from 1962-01-02 to 2025-08-14 about 20-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

  15. P

    Pakistan Short Term Government Bond Yield

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Feb 15, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    CEICdata.com (2025). Pakistan Short Term Government Bond Yield [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/pakistan/short-term-government-bond-yield
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Feb 15, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    CEICdata.com
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jul 9, 2023 - Jul 20, 2023
    Area covered
    Pakistan
    Description

    Key information about Pakistan Short Term Government Bond Yield

    • Pakistan Short Term Government Bond Yield: Daily: Pakistan: 3 Years was reported at 12.00 % pa in Jul 2023, compared with 12.00 % pa in the previous day.
    • Pakistan Short Term Government Bond Yield data is updated daily, available from Mar 2015 to Jul 2023.
    • The data reached an all-time high of 12.00 % pa in Jul 2023 and a record low of 7.00 % pa in Aug 2022.
    • Short Term Government Bond Yield is reported by CEIC Data.

    The State Bank of Pakistan provides the daily Short Term Government Bond Yield.

  16. Worldwide 10-year government bond yield by country 2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 18, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Statista (2025). Worldwide 10-year government bond yield by country 2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1211855/ten-year-government-bond-yield-country/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jul 18, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Jul 18, 2025
    Area covered
    Worldwide
    Description

    As of July 18, 2025, the major economy with the highest yield on 10-year government bonds was Turkey, with a yield of ** percent. This is due to the risks investors take when investing in Turkey, notably due to high inflation rates potentially eradicating any profits made when using a foreign currency to investing in securities denominated in Turkish lira. Of the major developed economies, United Kingdom had one the highest yield on 10-year government bonds at this time with **** percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at **** percent. How does inflation influence the yields of government bonds? Inflation reduces purchasing power over time. Due to this, investors seek higher returns to offset the anticipated decrease in purchasing power resulting from rapid price rises. In countries with high inflation, government bond yields often incorporate investor expectations and risk premiums, resulting in comparatively higher rates offered by these bonds. Why are government bond rates significant? Government bond rates are an important indicator of financial markets, serving as a benchmark for borrowing costs, interest rates, and investor sentiment. They affect the cost of government borrowing, influence the price of various financial instruments, and serve as a reflection of expectations regarding inflation and economic growth. For instance, in financial analysis and investing, people often use the 10-year U.S. government bond rates as a proxy for the longer-term risk-free rate.

  17. Average monthly yield from UK government bonds 2013-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 10, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Statista (2025). Average monthly yield from UK government bonds 2013-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1117437/monthly-average-yield-from-british-government-securities-by-nominal-par-yield/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jul 10, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Jan 2013 - Nov 2024
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The monthly average yield on ****, ***, and twenty-year nominal zero coupon British Government securities in the United Kingdom (UK) have all seen a continued decrease from December 2019 to July 2020. January 2021 saw a slight increase, progressing to October 2022 when yields reached a new high. At the end of December 2024, the monthly average yield of 20-year British Government Securities stood at **** percent.

  18. Monthly yield on ten-year government bonds in the Netherlands 2000-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 9, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Statista (2025). Monthly yield on ten-year government bonds in the Netherlands 2000-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/604283/yield-on-ten-year-government-bonds-in-the-netherlands/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jul 9, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Netherlands
    Description

    Due to financial unrest caused by the coronavirus outbreak in March 2020, the yield of ******** governments in the Netherlands dropped significantly. During the last quarter 2021, the yield on ******* government bonds was on average ***** percent. The beginning of 2022 saw the start of a positive yield with the rate resting at an average of **** percent as of the second quarter of 2024. A ******** government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in *** years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ******** government bond, the better the economic outlook.

  19. T

    United States 20 Year bond Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Aug 25, 2021
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    TRADING ECONOMICS (2021). United States 20 Year bond Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/20-year-bond-yield
    Explore at:
    json, xml, excel, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 25, 2021
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 4, 2012 - Aug 18, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 20 Year Bond Yield eased to 4.89% on August 18, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.13 points, though it remains 0.64 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for US 20Y.

  20. Treasury yield rates in the U.S. 2010-2024, by maturity

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 25, 2025
    Share
    FacebookFacebook
    TwitterTwitter
    Email
    Click to copy link
    Link copied
    Close
    Cite
    Statista (2025). Treasury yield rates in the U.S. 2010-2024, by maturity [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1059669/yield-curve-usa/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 25, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    At the end of 2024, the yield for a 30-year U.S. Treasury bond was **** percent, slightly higher than the yields for bonds with short-term maturities. Bonds of longer maturities generally have higher yields as a reward for the uncertainty about the condition of financial markets in the future.

Share
FacebookFacebook
TwitterTwitter
Email
Click to copy link
Link copied
Close
Cite
Statista (2025). Treasury yield curve in the U.S. 2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1058454/yield-curve-usa/
Organization logo

Treasury yield curve in the U.S. 2025

Explore at:
8 scholarly articles cite this dataset (View in Google Scholar)
Dataset updated
Jul 22, 2025
Dataset authored and provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Time period covered
Apr 16, 2025
Area covered
United States
Description

As of July 22, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.38 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.88 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

Search
Clear search
Close search
Google apps
Main menu