This data package includes the underlying data files to replicate the data, tables, and charts presented in Why Trump’s tariff proposals would harm working Americans, PIIE Policy Brief 24-1.

If you use the data, please cite as: Clausing, Kimberly, and Mary E. Lovely. 2024. Why Trump’s tariff proposals would harm working Americans. PIIE Policy Brief 24-1. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

Graph and download economic data for Inflation, consumer prices for the United States (FPCPITOTLZGUSA) from 1960 to 2023 about consumer, CPI, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

This data package includes the underlying data to replicate the charts and calculations presented in The International Economic Implications of a Second Trump Presidency, PIIE Working Paper 24-20.

If you use the data, please cite as:

McKibbin, Warwick, Megan Hogan, and Marcus Noland. 2024. The International Economic Implications of a Second Trump Presidency. PIIE Working Paper 24-20. Washington: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

Abstract

Food price inflation is an important metric to inform economic policy but traditional sources of consumer prices are often produced with delay during crises and only at an aggregate level. This may poorly reflect the actual price trends in rural or poverty-stricken areas, where large populations reside in fragile situations. This data set includes food price estimates and is intended to help gain insight in price developments beyond what can be formally measured by traditional methods. The estimates are generated using a machine-learning approach that imputes ongoing subnational price surveys, often with accuracy similar to direct measurement of prices. The data set provides new opportunities to investigate local price dynamics in areas where populations are sensitive to localized price shocks and where traditional data are not available.

        A dataset of monthly food price inflation estimates (aggregated for all food products available in the data) is also available for all countries covered by this modeling exercise.

Geographic coverage notes

The data cover the following sub-national areas: Badakhshan, Badghis, Baghlan, Balkh, Bamyan, Daykundi, Farah, Faryab, Paktya, Ghazni, Ghor, Hilmand, Hirat, Nangarhar, Jawzjan, Kabul, Kandahar, Kapisa, Khost, Kunar, Kunduz, Laghman, Logar, Wardak, Nimroz, Nuristan, Paktika, Panjsher, Parwan, Samangan, Sar-e-pul, Takhar, Uruzgan, Zabul, Market Average, Lori, Ararat, Aragatsotn, Tavush, Gegharkunik, Shirak, Kotayk, Syunik, Armavir, Vayotz Dzor, Yerevan, Kayanza, Ruyigi, Bubanza, Karuzi, Bujumbura Mairie, Muramvya, Gitega, Rumonge, Bururi, Kirundo, Cankuzo, Cibitoke, Muyinga, Rutana, Bujumbura Rural, Makamba, Ngozi, Mwaro, SAHEL, CASCADES, SUD-OUEST, EST, BOUCLE DU MOUHOUN, CENTRE-NORD, PLATEAU-CENTRAL, HAUTS-BASSINS, CENTRE, NORD, CENTRE-SUD, CENTRE-OUEST, CENTRE-EST, Khulna, Chittagong, Barisal, Rajshahi, Dhaka, Rangpur, Sylhet, Mymensingh, Ouaka, Mbomou, Bangui, Nana-Mambéré, Ouham, Sangha-Mbaéré, Ombella M'Poko, Mambéré-Kadéï, Vakaga, Ouham Pendé, Lobaye, Haute-Kotto, Kémo, Nana-Gribizi, Bamingui-Bangoran, Haut-Mbomou, Nord, Extrême-Nord, Ouest, Nord-Ouest, Adamaoua, Sud-Ouest, Est, Littoral, Centre, Haut-Uele, Nord-Kivu, Ituri, Tshopo, Kwilu, Kasai, Sud-Kivu, Kongo-Central, Nord-Ubangi, Sud-Ubangi, Kasai-Central, Bas-Uele, Tanganyika, Lualaba, Kasai-Oriental, Kwango, Haut-Lomami, Haut-Katanga, Maniema, Kinshasa, Equateur, Lomami, Likouala, Brazzaville, Point-Noire, Pool, Bouenza, Cuvette, Lekoumou, Nzerekore, Boke, Kindia, Kankan, Faranah, Mamou, Labe, Kanifing Municipal Council, Central River, Upper River, West Coast, North Bank, Lower River, Bafata, Tombali, Cacheu, Sector Autonomo De Bissau, Biombo, Oio, Gabu, Bolama, Quinara, North, South, Artibonite, South-East, Grande'Anse, North-East, West, North-West, SULAWESI UTARA, SUMATERA UTARA, KALIMANTAN UTARA, JAWA BARAT, NUSA TENGGARA BARAT, NUSA TENGGARA TIMUR, SULAWESI SELATAN, JAMBI, JAWA TIMUR, KALIMANTAN SELATAN, BALI, BANTEN, JAWA TENGAH, RIAU, SUMATERA BARAT, KEPULAUAN RIAU, PAPUA, SULAWESI BARAT, BENGKULU, MALUKU UTARA, DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTA, KALIMANTAN BARAT, KALIMANTAN TENGAH, PAPUA BARAT, SUMATERA SELATAN, MALUKU, KEPULAUAN BANGKA BELITUNG, ACEH, DKI JAKARTA, SULAWESI TENGGARA, KALIMANTAN TIMUR, LAMPUNG, GORONTALO, SULAWESI TENGAH, Anbar, Babil, Baghdad, Basrah, Diyala, Dahuk, Erbil, Ninewa, Kerbala, Kirkuk, Missan, Muthanna, Najaf, Qadissiya, Salah al-Din, Sulaymaniyah, Thi-Qar, Wassit, Coast, North Eastern, Nairobi, Rift Valley, , Eastern, Central, Nyanza, Attapeu, Bokeo, Bolikhamxai, Champasack, Houaphan, Khammouan, Louangphabang, Louangnamtha, Oudomxai, Phongsaly, Salavan, Savannakhet, Sekong, Vientiane Capital, Vientiane, Xaignabouly, Xiengkhouang, Akkar, Mount Lebanon, Baalbek-El Hermel, Beirut, Bekaa, El Nabatieh, Nimba, Grand Kru, Grand Cape Mount, Gbarpolu, Grand Bassa, Rivercess, Montserrado, River Gee, Lofa, Bong, Sinoe, Maryland, Margibi, Grand Gedeh, Bomi, East, North Central, Uva, Western, Sabaragamuwa, Southern, Northern, North Western, Kidal, Gao, Tombouctou, Bamako, Kayes, Koulikoro, Mopti, Segou, Sikasso, Yangon, Rakhine, Shan (North), Kayin, Kachin, Shan (South), Mon, Tanintharyi, Mandalay, Kayah, Shan (East), Chin, Magway, Sagaing, Zambezia, Cabo_Delgado, Tete, Manica, Sofala, Maputo, Gaza, Niassa, Inhambane, Maputo City, Nampula, Hodh Ech Chargi, Hodh El Gharbi, Brakna, Adrar, Assaba, Guidimakha, Gorgol, Trarza, Tagant, Dakhlet-Nouadhibou, Nouakchott, Tiris-Zemmour, Central Region, Southern Region, Northern Region, Tillaberi, Tahoua, Agadez, Zinder, Dosso, Niamey, Maradi, Diffa, Abia, Borno, Yobe, Katsina, Kano, Kaduna, Gombe, Jigawa, Kebbi, Oyo, Zamfara, Lagos, Adamawa, Cordillera Administrative region, Region XIII, Region VI, Region V, Region III, Autonomous region in Muslim Mindanao, Region IV-A, Region VIII, Region VII, Region X, Region II, Region IV-B, Region XII, Region XI, Region I, National Capital region, Region IX, North Darfur, Blue Nile, Nile, Eastern Darfur, West Kordofan, Gedaref, West Darfur, North Kordofan, South Kordofan, Kassala, Khartoum, White Nile, South Darfur, Red Sea, Sennar, Al Gezira, Central Darfur, Tambacounda, Diourbel, Ziguinchor, Kaffrine, Dakar, Saint Louis, Fatick, Kolda, Louga, Kaolack, Kedougou, Matam, Thies, Sedhiou, Shabelle Hoose, Juba Hoose, Bay, Banadir, Shabelle Dhexe, Gedo, Hiraan, Woqooyi Galbeed, Awdal, Bari, Juba Dhexe, Togdheer, Nugaal, Galgaduud, Bakool, Sanaag, Mudug, Sool, Warrap, Jonglei, Unity, Northern Bahr el Ghazal, Upper Nile, Central Equatoria, Western Bahr el Ghazal, Eastern Equatoria, Western Equatoria, Lakes, Aleppo, Dar'a, Quneitra, Homs, Deir-ez-Zor, Damascus, Ar-Raqqa, Al-Hasakeh, Hama, As-Sweida, Rural Damascus, Tartous, Idleb, Lattakia, Ouaddai, Salamat, Wadi Fira, Sila, Ennedi Est, Batha, Tibesti, Logone Oriental, Logone Occidental, Guera, Hadjer Lamis, Lac, Mayo Kebbi Est, Chari Baguirmi, Ennedi Ouest, Borkou, Tandjile, Mandoul, Moyen Chari, Mayo Kebbi Ouest, Kanem, Barh El Gazal, Ndjaména, Al Dhale'e, Aden, Al Bayda, Al Maharah, Lahj, Al Jawf, Raymah, Al Hudaydah, Hajjah, Amran, Shabwah, Dhamar, Ibb, Sana'a, Al Mahwit, Marib, Hadramaut, Sa'ada, Amanat Al Asimah, Socotra, Taizz, Abyan

Abstract

Energy price inflation is an important metric to inform economic policy but traditional sources of consumer prices are often produced with delay during crises and only at an aggregate level. This may poorly reflect the actual price trends in rural or poverty-stricken areas, where large populations reside in fragile situations. This data set includes energy price estimates and is intended to help gain insight in price developments beyond what can be formally measured by traditional methods. The estimates are generated using a machine-learning approach that imputes ongoing subnational price surveys, often with accuracy similar to direct measurement of prices. The data set provides new opportunities to investigate local price dynamics in areas where populations are sensitive to localized price shocks and where traditional data are not available.

Geographic coverage notes

The data cover the following sub-national areas: Attapeu, Bokeo, Bolikhamxai, Champasack, Houaphan, Khammouan, Louangphabang, Louangnamtha, Oudomxai, Phongsaly, Salavan, Savannakhet, Sekong, Vientiane Capital, Vientiane, Xaignabouly, Xiengkhouang, Market Average

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

S&P 500: A Bull or a Bear?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Monthly import country-by-commodity data on the UK's trade in goods, including trade by all countries and selected commodities, non-seasonally adjusted.

Lumber increased 124.05 USD/1000 board feet or 22.55% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Lumber - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.