More than ************* mortgage loans are projected to be affected by the increasing mortgage interest rates in Canada by 2025. About *********** of these mortgages are projected to be up for renewal in 2024. These loans were taken out at a time when interest rates were much lower, meaning that homeowners will be affected by a notable increase in their monthly payments.

In 2025, mortgage interest rates in Canada decreased. The five-year insured fixed mortgage interest rate as of May 2025 stood at **** percent, making it the most affordable mortgage type. Meanwhile, the insured mortgage rate fixed for under one year was the highest, at **** percent.

Rates have been trending downward in Canada for the last five years. The ebbs and flows are caused by changes in Canada’s bond yields (driven by Canadians economic developments and international rate movements, particularly U.S. rate fluctuations) and the overnight rate (which is set by the Bank of Canada). As of August 2022, there has been a 225 bps increase in the prime rate, since beginning of year 2022, from 2.45% to 4.70% as of Aug 24th 2022. The following are the historical conventional mortgage rates offered by the 6 major chartered banks in Canada in the past 20 years.

Evaluate Canada’s best mortgage rates in one place. RATESDOTCA’s Rate Matrix lets you compare pricing for all key mortgage types and terms. Rates are based on an average mortgage of $300,000

This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 items: Canada ...).

The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in 2024, from less than **** percent in many European countries, to as high as ** percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increase in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2023, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.

Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data was reported at 6.490 % pa in 07 May 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 6.490 % pa for 30 Apr 2025. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data is updated weekly, averaging 5.700 % pa from Jan 2000 (Median) to 07 May 2025, with 1323 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.750 % pa in 31 May 2000 and a record low of 4.640 % pa in 12 Jul 2017. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.M005: Conventional Mortgage Rate. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

This table contains 102 series, with data starting from 2013, and some select series starting from 2016. This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 item: Canada), Components (51 items: Total, funds advanced, residential mortgages, insured; Variable rate, insured; Fixed rate, insured, less than 1 year; Fixed rate, insured, from 1 to less than 3 years; ...), and Unit of measure (2 items: Dollars; Interest rate). For additional clarification on the component dimension, please visit the OSFI website for the Report on New and Existing Lending.

The Canadian home lending market, valued at approximately $X million in 2025 (assuming a reasonable market size based on available data and comparable markets), is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 5.00% through 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Increasing homeownership aspirations among Canadians, particularly among millennials and Gen Z, are significantly contributing to market demand. Favorable government policies aimed at supporting affordable housing, though potentially fluctuating, also play a vital role. Furthermore, the rise of innovative financial technologies and the increasing accessibility of online lending platforms are streamlining the borrowing process and broadening market reach. Competition is intense among a diverse range of lenders, including commercial banks (like Bank of Montreal and National Bank of Canada), financial institutions, credit unions (such as PenFinancial and First Ontario), and specialized mortgage providers (like True North Mortgage and IntelliMortgage). This competitive landscape fosters innovation and drives down costs for borrowers. However, the market faces challenges. Rising interest rates represent a significant restraint, impacting affordability and potentially slowing growth. Stringent lending regulations, designed to mitigate risk, can also restrict lending volume to some extent. Furthermore, economic uncertainties and fluctuations in housing prices can influence market sentiment and borrower confidence. Market segmentation shows considerable diversity, with fixed-rate loans maintaining a significant share, alongside growing demand for home equity lines of credit. The rise of online lending is transforming the sector, though offline channels remain important, particularly for complex mortgages or those requiring personalized guidance. The forecast period (2025-2033) presents both opportunities and risks for lenders, requiring strategic adaptation to prevailing economic and regulatory conditions. The continued growth of the market depends upon careful balance between affordable housing options and sustainable financial practices. Recent developments include: On March 15, 2022, First Ontario Credit Union announced its merger with Heritage savings & Credit union to offer the best in financial products and services., On February 09, 2022, Hello safe announced a new partnership with Hard bacon, a personal finance application used by more than 35,000 Canadians, this partnership is to leverage Hard bacon's portfolio of comparison tools.. Notable trends are: A Rise in Home Prices Boosting Home Equity Lending Market.

FocusEconomics' economic data is provided by official state statistical reporting agencies as well as our global network of leading banks, think tanks and consultancies. Our datasets provide not only historical data, but also Consensus Forecasts and individual forecasts from the aformentioned global network of economic analysts. This includes the latest forecasts as well as historical forecasts going back to 2010. Our global network consists of over 1000 world-renowned economic analysts from which we calculate our Consensus Forecasts. In this specific dataset you will find economic data for Canada Interest Rate.

Key information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• Canada Government Benchmark Bonds Yield: Month End: 10 Years was reported at 2.90 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 3.07 % pa in the previous month.
• Canada Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1993 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 9.28 % pa in Jun 1994 and a record low of 0.46 % pa in Jul 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Bank of Canada.

• In the latest reports, Canada Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills Yield: 3 Months was reported at 2.82 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Target Rate) was set at 3.00 % pa in Feb 2025.
• Canada Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.33 (USD/CAD) in Jun 2023.

This table contains 38 series, with data starting from 1957 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 item: Canada), Rates (38 items: Bank rate; Chartered bank administered interest rates - prime business; Chartered bank - consumer loan rate; Forward premium or discount (-), United States dollars in Canada: 1 month; ...).

In May 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 20 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.1 percent in May 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 9.9 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

The Canadian Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) industry has faced challenges in recent years. Despite these headwinds, a decline in interest rates spurred by the Bank of Canada has started to positively impact the industry. With reduced borrowing costs, REITs are getting an opportunity to alleviate their financial burdens by financing new acquisitions and refinancing existing debts more economically. As a result, REITs are expected to have a more favorable financial position. However, the easing of bond yields by these lower interest rates is merely compensating for the decreased revenue, making the REITs' dividend yield look more appealing to investors. Through the end of 2025, industry revenue has dipped at a CAGR of 4.4% to reach $9.8 billion, when revenue will climb 4.2%. The residential segment of the REIT market is flourishing as it aligns with population growth and continues to meet housing demands, making it an attractive investment option because of its stability and constant performance. Technology advancements in AI and Proptech are enhancing the REIT sector by providing valuable data sets and optimizing operational efficiency. This improved efficiency invariably leads to decreased operational costs and maximized property values, causing profit to climb. In turn, the enhanced transparency and real-time data access create an increased investor demand, attracting a broader range of investors and strengthening trust in the sector. The industry will return to growth through the end of 2030, with industry revenue climbing at a CAGR of 2.4% to reach $11.0 billion in 2030. Immigration and population growth are expected to continue to shape the Canadian REIT industry. The continued influx of immigrants will strengthen demand for housing and retail spaces, directly benefiting the residential REIT sector. In addition, surging demand for data centers driven by rising cloud adoption, AI workloads and big data will provide REITs with opportunities to diversify portfolios, capture higher yields and reduce exposure to more volatile sectors. However, challenges remain, particularly in the office segment, which is facing declining demand because of the adoption of remote and hybrid work models and may require strategies for repositioning or divesting obsolete assets.

The average resale house price in Canada was forecast to reach nearly ******* Canadian dollars in 2026, according to a January forecast. In 2024, house prices increased after falling for the first time since 2019. One of the reasons for the price correction was the notable drop in transaction activity. Housing transactions picked up in 2024 and are expected to continue to grow until 2026. British Columbia, which is the most expensive province for housing, is projected to see the average house price reach *** million Canadian dollars in 2026. Affordability in Vancouver Vancouver is the most populous city in British Columbia and is also infamously expensive for housing. In 2023, the city topped the ranking for least affordable housing market in Canada, with the average homeownership cost outweighing the average household income. There are a multitude of reasons for this, but most residents believe that foreigners investing in the market cause the high housing prices. Victoria housing market The capital of British Columbia is Victoria, where housing prices are also very high. The price of a single family home in Victoria's most expensive suburb, Oak Bay was *** million Canadian dollars in 2024.

This table contains 39 series, with data for starting from 1991 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 item: Canada); Financial market statistics (39 items: Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 1-month (composite rates); Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 2-month (composite rates); Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 3-month (composite rates);Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 6-month (composite rates); ...).

Canada's inflation rate experienced significant fluctuations from 2018 to 2025. Inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022 before steadily declining to *** percent by December 2024. In early 2025, inflation began to increase again, rising to *** percent in February, and dropping to *** percent in March. In response to rising inflation between 2020 and 2022, the Bank of Canada implemented aggressive interest rate hikes. The bank rate reached a maximum of **** percent in July 2023 and remained stable until June 2024. As inflationary pressures eased in the second half of 2024, the central bank reduced interest rates to *** percent in December 2024. In 2025, the bank rate witnessed two cuts, standing at ***** percent in May 2025. This pattern reflected broader global economic trends, with most advanced and emerging economies experiencing similar inflationary challenges and monetary policy adjustments. Global context of inflation and interest rates The Canadian experience aligns with the broader international trend of central banks raising policy rates to combat inflation. Between 2021 and 2023, nearly all advanced and emerging economies increased their central bank rates. However, a shift occurred in the latter half of 2024, with many countries, including Canada, beginning to lower rates. This change suggests a new phase in the global economic cycle and monetary policy approach. Notably, among surveyed countries, Russia maintained the highest interest rate in early 2025, while Japan had the lowest rate. Comparison with the United States The United States experienced a similar trajectory in inflation and interest rates. U.S. inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022, slightly higher than Canada's peak. The Federal Reserve responded with a series of rate hikes, reaching **** percent in August 2023. This rate remained unchanged until September 2024, when the first cut since September 2021 was implemented. In contrast, Canada's bank rate peaked at **** percent and began decreasing earlier, with cuts in June and July 2024. These differences highlight the nuanced approaches of central banks in managing their respective economies amid global inflationary pressures.

Real estate appraisal in Canada has thrived because of a strong housing market and economic growth. Low interest rates amid the pandemic bolstered the residential market and paved the way for a multitude of new housing projects. It also caused many potential home buyers to make the jump since mortgage rates were at historical lows. Even so, this growth did not last long as inflationary concerns constrained the need for appraisals following the pandemic, causing a 4.6% decline in 2023. Overall, real estate appraisal is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.3% to $928.4 million over the five years to 2023, where profit will reach 22.8%.While the residential sector slumped significantly post-pandemic, a revitalized commercial construction sector prevented revenue from completely sinking. Commercial appraisals fell drastically amid the pandemic as health and safety regulations forced businesses to close temporarily, halting business activity. Consumer sentiment grew as the economy eventually opened and corporate profit rebounded amid falling uncertainty. Businesses resumed merger and acquisition activity and property expansion, which requires appraisal services to complete the transaction.Through 2028, the commercial real estate market is set to grow as businesses expand their operations. The residential housing market is expected to bounce back as interest rates are set to come down following more minor inflation bumps. Appraisal companies will continue to leverage new technologies to expand the scope of their services, become more competitive and offer more precise valuations for all types of clients. Real estate appraisal revenue is expected to increase at a CAGR of 1.9% to $1.0 billion.

Following the drastic increase directly after the COVID-19 pandemic, the delinquency rate started to gradually decline, falling below *** percent in the second quarter of 2023. In the second half of 2023, the delinquency rate picked up, but remained stable throughout 2024. In the first quarter of 2025, **** percent of mortgage loans were delinquent. That was significantly lower than the **** percent during the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 or the peak of *** percent during the subprime mortgage crisis of 2007-2010. What does the mortgage delinquency rate tell us? The mortgage delinquency rate is the share of the total number of mortgaged home loans in the U.S. where payment is overdue by 30 days or more. Many borrowers eventually manage to service their loan, though, as indicated by the markedly lower foreclosure rates. Total home mortgage debt in the U.S. stood at almost ** trillion U.S. dollars in 2024. Not all mortgage loans are made equal ‘Subprime’ loans, being targeted at high-risk borrowers and generally coupled with higher interest rates to compensate for the risk. These loans have far higher delinquency rates than conventional loans. Defaulting on such loans was one of the triggers for the 2007-2010 financial crisis, with subprime delinquency rates reaching almost ** percent around this time. These higher delinquency rates translate into higher foreclosure rates, which peaked at just under ** percent of all subprime mortgages in 2011.