More than ************* mortgage loans are projected to be affected by the increasing mortgage interest rates in Canada by 2025. About *********** of these mortgages are projected to be up for renewal in 2024. These loans were taken out at a time when interest rates were much lower, meaning that homeowners will be affected by a notable increase in their monthly payments.

The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.25 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data was reported at 6.490 % pa in 07 May 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 6.490 % pa for 30 Apr 2025. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data is updated weekly, averaging 5.700 % pa from Jan 2000 (Median) to 07 May 2025, with 1323 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.750 % pa in 31 May 2000 and a record low of 4.640 % pa in 12 Jul 2017. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.M005: Conventional Mortgage Rate. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Evaluate Canada’s best mortgage rates in one place. RATESDOTCA’s Rate Matrix lets you compare pricing for all key mortgage types and terms. Rates are based on an average mortgage of $300,000

Rates have been trending downward in Canada for the last five years. The ebbs and flows are caused by changes in Canada’s bond yields (driven by Canadians economic developments and international rate movements, particularly U.S. rate fluctuations) and the overnight rate (which is set by the Bank of Canada). As of August 2022, there has been a 225 bps increase in the prime rate, since beginning of year 2022, from 2.45% to 4.70% as of Aug 24th 2022. The following are the historical conventional mortgage rates offered by the 6 major chartered banks in Canada in the past 20 years.

Key information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• Canada Government Benchmark Bonds Yield: Month End: 10 Years was reported at 3.12 % pa in Oct 2025, compared with 3.17 % pa in the previous month.
• Canada Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1993 to Oct 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 9.28 % pa in Jun 1994 and a record low of 0.46 % pa in Jul 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Bank of Canada.

• In the latest reports, Canada Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills Yield: 3 Months was reported at 2.21 % pa in Oct 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Target Rate) was set at 2.25 % pa in Oct 2025.
• Canada Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.40 (USD/CAD) in Oct 2025.

Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in June 2025, from less than ******percent in many European countries to as high as ***percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increases in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2024, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.

Discover the booming Canadian home lending market! Explore key trends, growth projections (CAGR > 5%), leading lenders (HSBC, Tangerine, BMO), and market segmentation insights for 2025-2033. Analyze the impact of interest rates, regulations, and economic factors on this dynamic sector. Recent developments include: On March 15, 2022, First Ontario Credit Union announced its merger with Heritage savings & Credit union to offer the best in financial products and services., On February 09, 2022, Hello safe announced a new partnership with Hard bacon, a personal finance application used by more than 35,000 Canadians, this partnership is to leverage Hard bacon's portfolio of comparison tools.. Notable trends are: A Rise in Home Prices Boosting Home Equity Lending Market.

Bank Lending Rate in Canada decreased to 4.45 percent in November from 4.70 percent in October of 2025. This dataset provides - Canada Prime Lending Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

View weekly updates and historical trends for Canada 1 Year Conventional Mortgage Rate. Source: Bank of Canada. Track economic data with YCharts analytics.

Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): All Items excl Mortgage Interest Cost data was reported at 163.200 2002=100 in Mar 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 162.600 2002=100 for Feb 2025. Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): All Items excl Mortgage Interest Cost data is updated monthly, averaging 106.000 2002=100 from Dec 1984 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 484 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 163.200 2002=100 in Mar 2025 and a record low of 60.200 2002=100 in Dec 1984. Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): All Items excl Mortgage Interest Cost data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Statistics Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.I009: Core Inflation Index.

Canada's inflation rate experienced significant fluctuations from 2018 to 2025. Inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022 before steadily declining to *** percent by December 2024. In early 2025, inflation began to increase again, rising to *** percent in February and dropping to *** percent in March. In April 2025, inflation decreased to *** percent. In response to rising inflation between 2020 and 2022, the Bank of Canada implemented aggressive interest rate hikes. The bank rate reached a maximum of **** percent in July 2023 and remained stable until June 2024. As inflationary pressures eased in the second half of 2024, the central bank reduced interest rates to *** percent in December 2024. In 2025, the bank rate witnessed further cuts, standing at * percent in March 2025 and **** percent in September 2025. This pattern reflected broader global economic trends, with most advanced and emerging economies experiencing similar inflationary challenges and monetary policy adjustments. Global context of inflation and interest rates The Canadian experience aligns with the broader international trend of central banks raising policy rates to combat inflation. Between 2021 and 2023, nearly all advanced and emerging economies increased their central bank rates. However, a shift occurred in the latter half of 2024, with many countries, including Canada, beginning to lower rates. This change suggests a new phase in the global economic cycle and monetary policy approach. Notably, among surveyed countries, Russia maintained the highest interest rate in early 2025, while Japan had the lowest rate. Comparison with the United States The United States experienced a similar trajectory in inflation and interest rates. U.S. inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022, slightly higher than Canada's peak. The Federal Reserve responded with a series of rate hikes, reaching **** percent in August 2023. This rate remained unchanged until September 2024, when the first cut since September 2021 was implemented. In contrast, Canada's bank rate peaked at **** percent and began decreasing earlier, with cuts in June and July 2024. These differences highlight the nuanced approaches of central banks in managing their respective economies amid global inflationary pressures.

The Canadian housing market, particularly in major urban centers, has experienced a prolonged period of rapid price appreciation, driven by factors such as low interest rates, strong population growth, and limited supply. According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), the national average house price rose by more than 50% between 2020 and 2022, with prices in some major cities, such as Toronto and Vancouver, increasing by even more. This rapid price growth has made it increasingly difficult for many Canadians to afford a home, especially in the country's most desirable markets. However, the Canadian housing market is starting to show signs of cooling in 2023, as rising interest rates and stricter mortgage lending rules from the government begin to take effect. The CMHC predicts that the national average house price will decline by 7.6% in 2023, with prices in some markets, such as Toronto and Vancouver, expected to fall by even more. This cooling is expected to continue in 2024, with the CMHC predicting a further decline in the national average house price of 3.2%. The long-term outlook for the Canadian housing market is more uncertain, but the CMHC expects that prices will continue to rise, albeit at a more moderate pace. The Canadian housing market is one of the most expensive in the world, with prices in major cities like Toronto and Vancouver soaring to record highs in recent years. This has led to a growing concern about affordability, as many Canadians are being priced out of the market. Key drivers for this market are: Increasing Adoption of Remote and Hybrid Work Model. Potential restraints include: Lack of Privacy. Notable trends are: Pandemic Accelerated Luxury Home Sales in Major Canadian Markets.

Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): Shelter: OA: Mortgage Interest Cost data was reported at 181.400 2002=100 in Mar 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 181.100 2002=100 for Feb 2025. Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): Shelter: OA: Mortgage Interest Cost data is updated monthly, averaging 87.300 2002=100 from Jan 1949 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 915 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 181.400 2002=100 in Mar 2025 and a record low of 9.900 2002=100 in May 1951. Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI): Shelter: OA: Mortgage Interest Cost data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Statistics Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.I002: Consumer Price Index: 2002=100.

The US home loan market, a cornerstone of the American economy, is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Low interest rates, particularly in the early part of the forecast period, have historically stimulated borrowing, making homeownership more accessible. A growing population, coupled with increasing urbanization and a persistent demand for housing in key metropolitan areas, further fuels this market's expansion. Government initiatives aimed at supporting homeownership, such as tax incentives and affordable housing programs, also play a significant role. The market is segmented by loan type (purchase, refinance, improvement), source (banks, HFCs), interest rate (fixed, floating), and loan tenure. While refinancing activity might fluctuate based on prevailing interest rates, the underlying demand for home purchases remains strong, particularly in regions with robust job markets and population growth. Competition among lenders, including major players like Rocket Mortgage, LoanDepot, and Wells Fargo, alongside regional and smaller banks, is fierce, resulting in innovative loan products and competitive pricing. However, the market is not without its challenges. Rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes pose a significant risk, potentially dampening demand and increasing borrowing costs. Stringent lending regulations and increased scrutiny of creditworthiness could restrict access to loans for some borrowers. Furthermore, fluctuations in the housing market itself, including supply chain disruptions impacting construction and material costs, can influence the overall growth trajectory. Despite these headwinds, the long-term outlook for the US home loan market remains positive, driven by the fundamental need for housing and ongoing economic expansion in select regions. The diverse segmentation of the market allows for a nuanced understanding of the specific growth drivers and challenges within each segment. For instance, the home improvement loan segment is expected to see strong growth driven by homeowners' increasing desire to upgrade their existing properties. Recent developments include: June 2023: Bank of America Corp has been adding consumer branches in four new U.S. states, it said on Tuesday, bringing its national footprint closer to rival JPMorgan Chase & Co. Bank of America will likely open new financial centers in Nebraska, Wisconsin, Alabama, and Louisiana as part of a four-year expansion across nine markets, including Louisville, Milwaukee, and New Orleans., July 2022: Rocket Mortgage entered the Canadian Market with the acquisition. The company expanded from offering home loans in Ontario at launch to now providing mortgages in every province, primarily from its headquarters in downtown Windsor. The Edison Financial team grew along with the company, starting with just four team members in early 2020 to more than 140 at present.. Key drivers for this market are: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Potential restraints include: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Notable trends are: Growth in Nonbank Lenders is Expected to Drive the Market.

In September 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In September 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 17 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.3 percent in September 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 8 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

The North American mortgage/loan broker market, encompassing the United States and Canada, exhibits robust growth potential. Driven by factors such as increasing homeownership aspirations, fluctuating interest rates stimulating refinancing activity, and the rising complexity of mortgage products requiring expert guidance, the market is projected to maintain a healthy Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.00% from 2025 to 2033. This growth is further fueled by the expanding segments within the market. The enterprise segment, particularly the medium and large-sized businesses, demonstrates strong demand for efficient loan processing solutions offered by brokers. Within applications, home loans continue to be a major driver, followed by growing demand for commercial and industrial loans, reflecting an active construction and business investment landscape. The increasing number of individuals and businesses seeking financial assistance contributes to market expansion, with geographical variations existing between the United States and Canada, reflective of their distinct economic climates and real estate markets. The presence of established players like PennyMac, Home Point, and JP Morgan Chase, alongside numerous regional and independent brokers, indicates a competitive yet dynamic market landscape. However, the market faces certain restraints. Economic downturns, stricter lending regulations, and technological disruptions impacting traditional broker models pose challenges to sustained growth. Nevertheless, the adaptation of innovative technologies, such as online platforms and AI-powered tools, by brokers is expected to mitigate these challenges. The segment comprising loans to governments, while presently smaller, presents a potential avenue for expansion, especially considering infrastructure development projects and government initiatives. Effective segmentation strategies, focusing on specific customer needs and leveraging advanced technologies, are crucial for brokers to gain a competitive edge and capitalize on market opportunities in the years to come. The overall outlook remains positive, with significant growth prospects for well-positioned players in the coming decade. Recent developments include: In November 2022, To expand the use of eNotes across 250 locations in 49 states, Primary Residential Mortgage Inc. (PRMI) employed the eVault and digital closing platform from Snapdocs., In August 2022, Due to the slowdown in home sales caused by rising interest rates, the two biggest mortgage lenders in the US are increasing pressure on their smaller rivals by providing discounts and other incentives. The two biggest mortgage originators in the US, Rocket Mortgage and United Wholesale Mortgage, respectively, are pursuing aggressive strategies at a time when many lenders are leaving the market or going out of business.. Notable trends are: Increase in Digitization in Lending and Blockchain Technology is driving the market.

The North America mortgage/loan broker market exhibits robust growth potential, projected to reach a substantial market size. While the exact 2025 market size ("XX") isn't specified, considering a typical CAGR of 5.00% and industry trends, a reasonable estimate for the 2025 market value could be placed between $150 billion and $200 billion (in USD). This significant value reflects the increasing complexity of the mortgage market, driving demand for expert brokerage services. The market's expansion is fueled by several key drivers, including rising home prices, low interest rates (historically), increasing consumer demand for personalized financial advice, and the expanding adoption of digital mortgage platforms. Emerging trends such as fintech integration, AI-powered lending solutions, and a heightened focus on customer experience are further shaping the competitive landscape. However, regulatory changes and economic uncertainties present potential restraints, impacting the overall market growth. The market is segmented by various factors such as loan type (conventional, FHA, VA), loan size, and borrower demographics. Key players like PennyMac, Home Point, Caliber Home Loans, Fairway Independent Corporation, JP Morgan Chase, Royal Bank of Canada, Flagstar Bank, PNC Bank, Ally, and New American Funding (among others) are actively competing in this dynamic market, employing various strategies to attract and retain clients. The forecast period (2025-2033) presents opportunities for significant expansion driven by consistent technological advancements and a growing preference for expert guidance in navigating the mortgage process. The projected 5.00% CAGR from 2025 to 2033 indicates a steady and sustained growth trajectory for the North American mortgage/loan broker market. This growth is expected to be driven by an increasingly complex regulatory environment and the need for personalized financial advice for both first-time homebuyers and experienced investors. Furthermore, an aging population, coupled with the desire for homeownership, is expected to fuel demand for mortgage brokerage services. Companies are continuously adapting their business models to incorporate technological advancements and optimize customer experience, leading to increased efficiency and market penetration. Competition is intense, with established players and new entrants vying for market share. Strategies focused on providing personalized service, leveraging technology, and building strong client relationships will be crucial for achieving success in this competitive landscape. Notable trends are: Increase in Digitization in Lending and Blockchain Technology is driving the market.

Discover the booming global mortgage/loan broker market! This comprehensive analysis reveals a 15% CAGR through 2033, driven by rising demand, technological advancements, and key players like Bank of America and Royal Bank of Canada. Explore regional market shares, key trends, and future projections. Recent developments include: In November 2022, Following the acquisition of Exane by the largest lender in the eurozone last year, BNP Paribas is extending its operation in the United States., In August 2022, For first-time homebuyers, Bank of America introduced a new mortgage option that includes a bank-provided down payment and no closing expenses. In specific Black/African American and/or Hispanic-Latino areas in Charlotte, Dallas, Detroit, Los Angeles, and Miami, the Community Affordable Loan Solution is offered in designated markets. In order to help qualified individuals and families buy a home, the Community Affordable Loan SolutionTM was created.. Notable trends are: Digitization is changing the future of Mortgage.

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Real Estate Market Size 2025-2029

The real estate market size is valued to increase USD 1258.6 billion, at a CAGR of 5.6% from 2024 to 2029. Growing aggregate private investment will drive the real estate market.

Major Market Trends & Insights

APAC dominated the market and accounted for a 64% growth during the forecast period.
By Type - Residential segment was valued at USD 1440.30 billion in 2023
By Business Segment - Rental segment accounted for the largest market revenue share in 2023

Market Size & Forecast

Market Opportunities: USD 48.03 billion
Market Future Opportunities: USD 1258.60 billion
CAGR from 2024 to 2029 : 5.6%

Market Summary

In the dynamic realm of global real estate, private investment continues to surge, reaching an impressive USD 2.6 trillion in 2020. This significant influx of capital underscores the sector's enduring appeal to investors, driven by factors such as stable returns, inflation hedging, and the ongoing demand for shelter and commercial real estate space. Simultaneously, marketing initiatives have gained momentum, with digital platforms and virtual tours becoming increasingly popular.
However, regulatory uncertainty looms, posing challenges for market participants. Amidst this complex landscape, real estate remains a vital component of the global economy, continually evolving to meet the shifting needs of businesses and individuals alike.

What will be the Size of the Real Estate Market during the forecast period?

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How is the Real Estate Market Segmented ?

The real estate industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Type

  Residential
  Commercial
  Industrial


Business Segment

  Rental
  Sales


Manufacturing Type

  New construction
  Renovation and redevelopment
  Land development


Geography

  North America

    US
    Canada


  Europe

    Germany
    UK


  APAC

    Australia
    China
    India
    Japan
    South Korea


  South America

    Brazil


  Rest of World (ROW)

By Type Insights

The residential segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Amidst the dynamic real estate landscape, the residential sector encompasses the buying and selling of various dwelling types, including single-family homes, apartments, townhouses, and more. This segment experiences continuous growth, fueled by increasing millennial homeownership rates and urbanization trends. Notably, the APAC region, specifically China, dominates the market share, driven by escalating homeownership numbers. Concurrently, the Indian real estate sector thrives due to the demand for affordable housing, with initiatives like Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY) spurring the development of affordable housing projects. In this evolving market, various aspects such as environmental impact studies, capital appreciation potential, title insurance coverage, building lifecycle costs, mortgage interest rates, and structural engineering analysis play crucial roles.

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The Residential segment was valued at USD 1440.30 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Property tax appeals, property insurance premiums, property tax assessments, property marketing strategies, building material pricing, property management software, land surveying techniques, zoning regulations compliance, architectural design features, building code compliance, multifamily property management, rental yield calculations, construction cost estimation, energy efficiency ratings, green building certifications, tenant screening processes, investment property returns, property development plans, geotechnical site investigations, sustainable building practices, due diligence procedures, HVAC system efficiency, property renovation costs, market value appraisals, building permit acquisition, and property valuation models significantly impact the sector's progression. As of 2021, the market is projected to reach a value of USD 33.3 trillion, underscoring its substantial influence on the global economy.

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Regional Analysis

APAC is estimated to contribute 64% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period. Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

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The APAC region held the largest share of the market in 2024, driven by factors such as rapid urbanization and increasing spending capacity. This trend is expected to continue during the forecast period. The overall health of the economy signi