More than three million mortgage loans are projected to be affected by the increasing mortgage interest rates in Canada by 2025. About one million of these mortgages are projected to be up for renewal in 2024. These loans were taken out at a time when interest rates were much lower, meaning that homeowners will be affected by a notable increase in their monthly payments.

Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data was reported at 6.490 % pa in 05 Mar 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 6.490 % pa for 26 Feb 2025. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data is updated weekly, averaging 5.700 % pa from Jan 2000 (Median) to 05 Mar 2025, with 1314 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.750 % pa in 31 May 2000 and a record low of 4.640 % pa in 12 Jul 2017. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.M005: Conventional Mortgage Rate. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Forecast: Bank Lending Interest Rate in Canada 2022 - 2026 Discover more data with ReportLinker!

The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Key information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• Canada Government Benchmark Bonds Yield: Month End: 10 Years was reported at 2.90 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 3.07 % pa in the previous month.
• Canada Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1993 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 9.28 % pa in Jun 1994 and a record low of 0.46 % pa in Jul 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Bank of Canada.

• In the latest reports, Canada Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills Yield: 3 Months was reported at 2.82 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Target Rate) was set at 3.00 % pa in Feb 2025.
• Canada Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.33 (USD/CAD) in Jun 2023.

Mortgage interest rates worldwide varied greatly in 2024, from less than four percent in many European countries, to as high as 44 percent in Turkey. The average mortgage rate in a country depends on the central bank's base lending rate and macroeconomic indicators such as inflation and forecast economic growth. Since 2022, inflationary pressures have led to rapid increase in mortgage interest rates. Which are the leading mortgage markets? An easy way to estimate the importance of the mortgage sector in each country is by comparing household debt depth, or the ratio of the debt held by households compared to the county's GDP. In 2023, Switzerland, Australia, and Canada had some of the highest household debt to GDP ratios worldwide. While this indicator shows the size of the sector relative to the country’s economy, the value of mortgages outstanding allows to compare the market size in different countries. In Europe, for instance, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France were the largest mortgage markets by outstanding mortgage lending. Mortgage lending trends in the U.S. In the United States, new mortgage lending soared in 2021. This was largely due to the growth of new refinance loans that allow homeowners to renegotiate their mortgage terms and replace their existing loan with a more favorable one. Following the rise in interest rates, the mortgage market cooled, and refinance loans declined.

Canada Conventional Mortgage: 1 Year: Weekly data was reported at 6.990 % pa in 19 Mar 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 6.990 % pa for 12 Mar 2025. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 1 Year: Weekly data is updated weekly, averaging 3.750 % pa from Jan 2000 (Median) to 19 Mar 2025, with 1316 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.300 % pa in 31 May 2000 and a record low of 2.790 % pa in 16 Mar 2022. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 1 Year: Weekly data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.M005: Conventional Mortgage Rate.

This dataset provides values for 30 YEAR MORTGAGE RATE reported in several countries. The data includes current values, previous releases, historical highs and record lows, release frequency, reported unit and currency.

Canada's inflation rate experienced significant fluctuations from 2018 to 2025. Inflation peaked at 8.1 percent in June 2022 before steadily declining to 1.9 percent by January 2025. In response to rising inflation between 2020 and 2022, the Bank of Canada implemented aggressive interest rate hikes. The bank rate reached a maximum of 5.25 percent in July 2023 and remained stable until June 2024. As inflationary pressures eased in the second half of 2024, the central bank reduced interest rates to 3.5 percent in December 2024. This pattern reflected broader global economic trends, with most advanced and emerging economies experiencing similar inflationary challenges and monetary policy adjustments. Global context of inflation and interest rates The Canadian experience aligns with the broader international trend of central banks raising policy rates to combat inflation. Between 2021 and 2023, nearly all advanced and emerging economies increased their central bank rates. However, a shift occurred in the latter half of 2024, with many countries, including Canada, beginning to lower rates. This change suggests a new phase in the global economic cycle and monetary policy approach. Notably, among surveyed countries, Russia maintained the highest interest rate in early 2025, while Japan had the lowest rate. Comparison with the United States The United States experienced a similar trajectory in inflation and interest rates. U.S. inflation peaked at 9.1 percent in June 2022, slightly higher than Canada's peak. The Federal Reserve responded with a series of rate hikes, reaching 5.33 percent in August 2023. This rate remained unchanged until September 2024, when the first cut since September 2021 was implemented. In contrast, Canada's bank rate peaked at 5.25 percent and began decreasing earlier, with cuts in June and July 2024. These differences highlight the nuanced approaches of central banks in managing their respective economies amid global inflationary pressures.

This dataset provides values for MORTGAGE RATE reported in several countries. The data includes current values, previous releases, historical highs and record lows, release frequency, reported unit and currency.

Forecast: Risk Premium on Lending (Lending Rate Minus Risk Free Bond Rate) in Canada 2022 - 2026 Discover more data with ReportLinker!

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Home Equity Lending Market Size 2025-2029

The home equity lending market size is forecast to increase by USD 48.16 billion at a CAGR of 4.7% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth due to several key trends. One major factor driving market expansion is the massive increase in home prices, which has resulted in homeowners having more equity in their properties. Another trend is the rise in residential property values, leading to an increase in the number of homeowners with sufficient equity to access loans or lines of credit, with property management and digital lending playing a significant role in facilitating these transactions.
However, the lengthy procedures involved in securing these loans can present challenges for both lenders and borrowers. Despite this, the benefits of lending, such as lower interest rates compared to other types of debt, make it an attractive option for many consumers looking to finance home improvements, debt consolidation, or other major expenses. Overall, the market is poised for continued growth in the coming years.

What will be the Size of the Home Equity Lending Market During the Forecast Period?

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The market in the United States has experienced significant growth, driven by the increasing collateral value of residential real estate and the resulting equity available to borrowers. Monetary authorities' efforts to keep inflation in check and stable housing prices have contributed to this trend. Homeowners have utilized loans and lines of credit to fund various expenses, including home improvements, tax deductions, and debt consolidation.



The interest rate on these loans often remains competitive with other forms of borrowing, making them an attractive option for many. Banks and credit unions are the primary providers of these loans, offering borrowers the ability to access a lump sum amount or a revolving line of credit secured against their residence and property. Regulatory restrictions on high-interest debt and outstanding mortgages may impact the market's growth, but the demand for loans is expected to remain strong as homeowners continue to seek ways to access the value of their homes.

How is this Home Equity Lending Industry segmented and which is the largest segment?

The home equity lending industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Source

  Mortgage and credit union
  Commercial banks
  Others


Distribution Channel

  Offline
  Online


Geography

  North America

    Canada
    US


  Europe

    Germany
    UK
    France


  APAC

    China
    Japan
    South Korea


  South America



  Middle East and Africa

By Source Insights

The mortgage and credit union segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Home equity lending is a financing solution for homeowners looking to access the value of their property. Mortgage and credit unions serve as trusted providers in this market, offering various financial services including loans and lines of credit. These institutions not only offer consumer loans but also manage deposits, handle checking and savings accounts, disburse credit and debit cards, and grant house loans. Credit unions, in particular, provide personalized services with live representatives, ensuring a human touch in understanding complex financial matters.

Homeowners can secure competitive rates on loans through credit unions, making them a preferred choice over other lenders. With a strong focus on consumer protection and affordability, mortgage and credit unions are an excellent option for homeowners seeking to tap into their for renovation projects or other financial needs.

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The mortgage and credit union segment was valued at USD 82.39 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

North America is estimated to contribute 47% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.

Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

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The market in North America experienced notable growth in 2024, driven by the increase in home values and fewer regulations. Homeowners in Canada have been utilizing their properties as collateral for loans, with residential mortgages accounting for 74% of household debt and lines of credit for 16%. The balance of Lines of Credit (HELOC) rose by 1% to USD 128 billion in February 2022.

The average house price in Nova Scotia in 2024 stood at approximately 447,800 Canadian dollars. In the next year, house prices are forecast to further increase by about five percent. Compared to other provinces, Nova Scotia ranked below the national average in terms of house prices. However, the average price of a house in Nova Scotia was twice lower than in Ontario or British Columbia. Exploding population growth in recent yearsNova Scotia is the second-smallest province after Prince Edward Island, and had a population of just under one million in 2018. The population of this province was relatively steady between 2000 and 2015, but has taken off since then. This sudden growth may be a factor in the increasing house prices, as demand also increases due to the greater number of residents looking for homes. The future of housing affordability in Nova ScotiaHalifax, the provincial capital, had an affordable housing market as of 2018, with mortgage payments only constituting about 30 percent of average household incomes. The number of housing starts in the region has increased in the past few years, which also suggests an increase in demand. Only time will tell whether this will ensure a sufficient supply of homes for the region in response to its growing population.

The US home loan market, a significant component of the broader mortgage industry, is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Firstly, a consistently low unemployment rate and rising disposable incomes are empowering more Americans to pursue homeownership. Secondly, historically low interest rates (though potentially fluctuating) throughout much of the forecast period are making mortgages more accessible and affordable. Thirdly, government initiatives aimed at boosting housing affordability, such as tax incentives and relaxed lending criteria (though subject to potential policy changes), contribute significantly to the market's expansion. Furthermore, the increasing preference for larger homes, particularly among millennials and Gen Z, further fuels demand. The market is segmented across various loan types (home purchase, refinance, home improvement), sources (banks, housing finance companies), interest rates (fixed, floating), and loan tenures. While fluctuating interest rates and economic uncertainties represent potential restraints, the long-term outlook for the US home loan market remains positive, driven by sustained demand and ongoing innovation within the financial technology sector. The competitive landscape is intensely dynamic, with major players like Rocket Mortgage, LoanDepot, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America dominating the market. However, smaller, regional lenders and online mortgage providers are also carving a niche for themselves by offering tailored services and competitive pricing. Market segmentation also presents opportunities for specialized lenders to focus on specific demographic groups or loan types, leveraging technology and data analytics to refine their offerings. The regional distribution of the market mirrors the US population density, with the Northeast, West Coast, and Southern regions demonstrating the highest activity. However, the market is becoming increasingly decentralized, with rising homeownership rates across previously less active areas. Overall, the US home loan market presents a compelling investment opportunity characterized by substantial growth potential, albeit with inherent risks tied to macroeconomic volatility and regulatory changes. Recent developments include: June 2023: Bank of America Corp has been adding consumer branches in four new U.S. states, it said on Tuesday, bringing its national footprint closer to rival JPMorgan Chase & Co. Bank of America will likely open new financial centers in Nebraska, Wisconsin, Alabama, and Louisiana as part of a four-year expansion across nine markets, including Louisville, Milwaukee, and New Orleans., July 2022: Rocket Mortgage entered the Canadian Market with the acquisition. The company expanded from offering home loans in Ontario at launch to now providing mortgages in every province, primarily from its headquarters in downtown Windsor. The Edison Financial team grew along with the company, starting with just four team members in early 2020 to more than 140 at present.. Key drivers for this market are: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Potential restraints include: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Notable trends are: Growth in Nonbank Lenders is Expected to Drive the Market.

In January 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 21 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at 0.5 percent in January 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 9.9 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (13 items: Canada; Atlantic provinces; Newfoundland and Labrador; Prince Edward Island ...).

The high interest rate environment experienced over the five years to 2025, along with overall economic growth, has benefitted the Commercial Banking industry in Canada. Banks have done an exceptional job diversifying revenue streams, due to higher interest rates and increasing regulations. The industry primarily generates revenue through interest income sources, such as business loans and mortgages, but it also generates income through noninterest sources, which include fees on a variety of services and commissions. Industry revenue has been growing at a CAGR of 13.9% to $490.4 billion over the past five years, with an expected decrease of 0.3% in 2025 alone. In addition, profit, measured as earnings before interest and taxes, is anticipated to climb throughout 2025 due to the decreased provisions for credit losses (PCL). Industry revenue generated by interest income sources depends on demand for loans by consumers and the interest banks can charge on that capital it lends out. Therefore, high interest rates have enabled banks to increasingly charge for loans. However, the recent rate cuts in the latter part of the period have limited the price banks can charge for loans, hindering the interest income from these loans, although, with lower rates, commercial banks are anticipated to encounter growing loan volumes. Also, technological innovations have disrupted traditional banking features. The growing trends of online and mobile banking have increased customer engagement and loyalty, which has further aided the industry's expansion. Over the five years to 2030, projected interest rate declines and improvements in corporate profit are still anticipated to boost interest income from lending products. However, the remarkable debt levels of Canadian households make it increasingly likely that a period of deleveraging will begin over the next five years. Quicker growth rates in household debt and consumer spending are expected to increase interest income. In addition, improving macroeconomic conditions, such as unemployment and private investment, are expected to further boost revenue. Nonetheless, industry revenue is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 1.7% to $532.5 billion over the five years to 2030.

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Digital Lending Market Size 2024-2028

The digital lending market size is forecast to increase by USD 34.56 billion at a CAGR of 26.63% between 2023 and 2028.

The market is experiencing significant growth due to the adoption of advanced technologies and cloud-based solutions. The use of artificial intelligence, machine learning, and blockchain technology In the lending process enhances efficiency, reduces processing time, and improves accuracy. Additionally, the rise In the adoption of cloud-based digital lending servicing software offerings enables lenders to offer flexible and convenient loan options to borrowers.
However, the market faces challenges related to compliance and regulatory requirements. Lenders must adhere to stringent regulations and ensure data security and privacy, which can be complex and costly to implement. These factors are shaping the digital lending landscape and driving innovation In the industry.

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The market encompasses the provision of loans and credit facilities through electronic channels, including digital platforms, mobile devices, and online banking. This market has experienced significant growth due to the increasing adoption of technology in financial services. Financial institutions leverage technology, such as data analytics, artificial intelligence, and machine learning, to assess creditworthiness and streamline loan applications and disbursement processes. Digital lending caters to various loan types, including personal, business, and student loans. The convenience and accessibility offered by digital lending have led to a surge in loan applications, with smartphones and mobile devices playing a pivotal role in mobile payments and mobile banking.
However, cybersecurity remains a critical concern, with potential risks from cyberattacks and data breaches threatening the security of personal information. Regulations continue to evolve in response to these challenges, while digitalization and improved customer experience are key drivers of market growth. Despite these opportunities, interest rates and the potential for data breaches or cyberattacks remain significant challenges.

How is this Digital Lending Industry segmented and which is the largest segment?

The digital lending industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD million' for the period 2024-2028, as well as historical data from 2018-2022 for the following segments.

Component

  Solution
  Service


Deployment

  On-premises
  Cloud


End-User

  Banks
  Credit Unions
  NBFCs


Geography

  North America

    Canada
    US


  APAC

    China
    India
    Japan


  Europe

    Germany
    France
    Spain


  South America



  Middle East and Africa

By Component Insights

The solution segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

The market experienced significant growth in 2023, with the solution segment leading the way due to the adoption of advanced technologies. Digital lenders, including Fiserv, Intercontinental Exchange Inc., and Fidelity National Information Services, provide faster and more convenient loan processing, catering to borrowers' increasing demand for quick access to funds. The market's expansion is further driven by the influx of fintech startups and traditional financial institutions entering the digital lending space. Innovative solutions, such as personal and business loans, student loans, and mobile payments, are meeting the evolving requirements of borrowers and lenders.

Technology advancements, including data analytics, artificial intelligence, machine learning, blockchain, and cybersecurity, are enhancing the digital lending experience. Despite challenges such as cyberattacks, data breaches, and regulatory requirements, the market continues to grow, with increasing usage of smartphones, mobile devices, and online banking driving the demand for digital lending services.

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The Solution segment was valued at USD 4.53 billion billion in 2018 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

North America is estimated to contribute 46% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.

Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

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The market in North America is experiencing significant growth due to the region's technological advancements and the increasing adoption of digital solutions by financial institutions. The use of technologies such as artificial

Snapshot img

Unsecured Business Loans Market Size 2025-2029

The unsecured business loans market size is forecast to increase by USD 4,023.4 billion at a CAGR of 11.3% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth due to the increasing number of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) seeking financing solutions. These businesses often lack the collateral required for secured loans, making unsecured loans an attractive option. Strategic partnerships between market participants are also driving market growth, as they enable lenders to expand their reach and offer more competitive pricing. However, the market faces challenges related to compliance and regulatory requirements, which can make it difficult for lenders to navigate the complex regulatory landscape. Ensuring adherence to these regulations is crucial to maintain trust and transparency in the market. However, there are concerns regarding consumer preferences, potential predatory lending practices, and the impact of automation and data analytics on underwriting and credit scoring algorithms. Overall, the market is poised for continued growth, with SME financing needs and strategic partnerships fueling expansion, while regulatory compliance remains a key challenge.

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Unsecured business loans have become an essential financing option for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) and Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) seeking working capital to fuel their growth. Unlike secured loans that require collateral, unsecured business loans are based on the borrower's creditworthiness, credit score, income, and business financials. The risk associated with unsecured business loans is generally higher than secured loans due to the absence of collateral. Lenders assess the borrower's ability to repay the loan based on their credit history, income, and business financials. First-time borrowers may face additional scrutiny during the loan application process. Regulatory issues play a crucial role in the market.
Furthermore, governments and regulatory bodies worldwide are implementing stricter regulations to protect consumers and ensure fair lending practices. digital lending platforms have emerged as a popular alternative to traditional lending institutions, offering convenience, flexibility, and faster loan processing times. Consumer preferences have shifted towards unsecured loans due to the convenience and flexibility they offer. While secured loans require collateral, unsecured loans do not, making them an attractive option for businesses that do not have assets to pledge as collateral. Interest rates for unsecured business loans are typically higher than secured loans due to the increased risk. Credit cards offer an alternative form of unsecured financing for businesses.

How is this market segmented and which is the largest segment?

The market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

End-user

  SMEs
  Large enterprises


Type

  Short term loan
  Medium term loan
  Long term loan


Geography

  North America

    Canada
    Mexico
    US


  Europe

    Germany
    UK
    France


  APAC

    China
    India
    Japan


  South America

    Brazil


  Middle East and Africa

By End-user Insights

The SMEs segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Unsecured business loans have become an essential financing solution for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) seeking funds without collateral. The adoption of these loans has increased due to the limitations of traditional banking options. Unsecured business loans offer flexibility, quick access to funds, and alleviate the need for collateral. SMEs can utilize these loans for various purposes such as working capital, new projects, and expansion plans. Online enterprises and new firms particularly benefit from unsecured business loans due to their convenience and speed. Loan servicing companies facilitate the process, ensuring a seamless experience for borrowers. The length of these loans varies, with EMIs (Equated Monthly Installments) allowing for manageable repayment plans based on cash flow. Unsecured business loans are a valuable financial tool for SMEs, providing a viable alternative to traditional banking options.

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The SMEs segment was valued at USD 3,168.7 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

North America is estimated to contribute 37% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.

Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained

Housing Starts in Canada decreased to 229.03 Thousand units in February from 239.32 Thousand units in January of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Canada Housing Starts - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.