EU Carbon Permits decreased 2.17 EUR or 2.97% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for EU Carbon Permits.

As of April 2024, the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) carbon price was above 60 U.S. dollars per metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (USD/tCO₂e). The EU ETS launched in 2005 as a cost-effective way of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and was the world's first major international carbon market. The UK was formerly part of the EU ETS, but replaced this with its own system after withdrawing from the EU. As of April 2024, the price of carbon on the UK ETS was 45 USD/tCO₂e.

Prices for EU Carbon Permits - Harga Saham including live quotes, historical charts and news. EU Carbon Permits - Harga Saham was last updated by Trading Economics this March 16 of 2025.

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Carbon Credit Market Size 2025-2029

The carbon credit market size is forecast to increase by USD 1,966.3 billion at a CAGR of 32.1% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth due to rising emissions in the Earth's atmosphere, which necessitates the need for businesses and individuals to offset their carbon footprint. Booming investment and partnership deals in this market are driving its expansion, with various organizations recognizing the importance of reducing their carbon emissions and contributing to environmental sustainability. However, the fluctuating prices of carbon credits pose a challenge for market participants, as they can impact the profitability of carbon offsetting projects.
To stay competitive, market players must closely monitor carbon credit prices and adapt their strategies accordingly. In summary, the market is witnessing increasing demand due to growing environmental concerns and regulatory requirements, but its growth is influenced by the volatility of carbon credit prices.

What will the Carbon Credit Market Size during the forecast period?

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The market has gained significant traction in recent years as businesses and individuals seek to offset their carbon emissions and contribute to the global decarbonization effort. This market facilitates the buying and selling of carbon credits, which represent the right to emit a specific amount of greenhouse gases. The voluntary carbon market plays a crucial role in this context, enabling organizations to offset their carbon footprint beyond regulatory requirements. Net-zero greenhouse-gas emissions have become a key business objective, driving demand for carbon credits from various sources. Forestry projects are a significant contributor to the market. These projects involve the protection, restoration, or reforestation of forests, which act as carbon sinks, absorbing and storing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.
Carbon emission reduction projects, such as renewable energy and energy efficiency initiatives, also contribute to the market. Carbon storage projects, including those focused on geological storage, are another essential component. The market's dynamics are influenced by various factors, including regulatory policies, market prices, and technological advancements. As the world moves towards a low-carbon economy, the demand for carbon credits is expected to continue growing, making it an attractive investment opportunity for businesses and individuals alike.

How is this market segmented and which is the largest segment?

The market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

End-user

  Power
  Energy
  Transportation
  Industrial
  Others


Type

  Compliance
  Voluntary


Geography

  Europe

    Germany
    UK
    France
    Italy


  Asia

    China


  North America



  Rest of World (ROW)

By End-user Insights

The power segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Carbon credits represent financial instruments that enable organizations to invest in emission reduction projects, contributing to the global effort to transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources. These initiatives, which focus on conservation, biodiversity, and livelihoods, provide a means to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the effects of climate change.

Additionally, the energy sector, specifically power generation, can benefit significantly from this shift, as renewable energy sources offer a sustainable and non-depleting alternative to coal and natural gas. To achieve the international goal of limiting global temperature rise to 2°C or 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions is crucial. Carbon credits facilitate this transition by incentivizing investment in renewable energy projects and reducing the overall carbon footprint.

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The power segment was valued at USD 61.30 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

Europe is estimated to contribute 84% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.

Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

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The European Union (EU) held a significant share of The market in 2023, with countries like the UK and Germany being major buyers. To achieve climate neutrality by 2050, the EU established the International Emissions Trading System (ETS) in 2005, which sets the cost of CO2 emissions

The cost of UK ETS carbon permits (UKAs) was around 100 GBP in February 2023, but prices have fallen considerably since then. Prices on January 16, 2025 were just 32.57 GBP, down 11 percent from the same date the previous year. Formerly part of the EU ETS, the UK launched its own cap-and-trade system in 2021 following Brexit. Why has the UK’s carbon price fallen? Several factors have contributed to falling UK carbon prices, including mild winter weather and reduced power demand, as well as a surplus of carbon allowances on the market. While prices have recovered marginally from the record lows, they remain markedly below carbon prices on the EU ETS. The low cost of UK carbon permits has raised concerns that it could deter investment in renewable energy. Future of UK ETS The UK ETS covers emissions from domestic aviation and the industry and power sectors, amounting to some 30 percent of the country’s annual GHG emissions. There are plans to expand the system over the coming years to cover CO₂ venting by the upstream oil and gas sector, domestic maritime emissions, and energy from waste and waste incineration. The UK is also looking to introduce a carbon border adjustment mechanism, which would place a carbon price on certain emissions-intensive industrial goods imported to the UK.

The price of emissions allowances (EUA) traded on the European Union's Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) exceed 100 euros per metric ton of CO₂ for the first time n February 2023. Athough average annual EUA prices have increased significantly since the 2018 reform of the EU-ETS, they fell 19 percent year-on-year in 2023 to 65 euros. What is the EU-ETS? The EU-ETS became the world’s first carbon market in 2005. The scheme was introduced as a way of limiting GHG emissions from polluting installations by putting a price on carbon, thus incentivizing entities to reduce their emissions. A fixed number of emissions allowances are put on the market each year, which can be traded between companies. The number of available allowances is reduced each year. The EU-ETS is now in its fourth phase (2021 to 2030). Volatility of carbon prices EU carbon prices are volatile and change daily. Prices are determined by the supply and demand of allowances. In March 2022, the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war caused EUA prices to crash to less than 60 euros/tCO₂ due to the expected ban on Russian energy imports in Europe.

Carbon prices across multiple emissions trading systems worldwide are expected to increase during the period of 2026 to 2030, compared to 2022 to 2026. The average EU ETS carbon price is expected to be 84.4 euros per metric ton of CO₂ during the period 2022 to 2025, but is projected to rise to almost 100 euros per metric ton of CO₂ during the period of 2026 to 2030, according to a survey of International Emissions Trading Association members. EU ETS carbon pricing broke the 90 euros per metric ton of CO₂ barrier in February 2022, and in February 2023 it surpassed 100 euros per metric ton of CO₂.

Voluntary carbon offset prices could reach as high as 238 U.S. dollars per ton of carbon dioxide (USD/tCO₂) by 2050 if integrity issues within the market are resolved. However, if the market continues to operate without rigorous standards, and integrity issues remain a concern for companies, then carbon offset credits would trade at just 14 USD/tCO₂ in 2050. Meanwhile, prices would soar to 146 USD/tCO₂ by 2030 if the market is restricted to only carbon removals.

The average price of voluntary carbon market (VCM) credits decreased by 11 percent in 2023, to 6.53 U.S. dollars per metric ton of carbon dioxide equivalent. The market value of the VCM totaled just over 700 million U.S. dollars that year.

All-Transactions House Price Index for Carbon County, MT was 343.51000 Index 2000=100 in January of 2024, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, All-Transactions House Price Index for Carbon County, MT reached a record high of 343.51000 in January of 2024 and a record low of 62.59000 in January of 1993. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for All-Transactions House Price Index for Carbon County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on March of 2025.

United States - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Chemicals and Allied Products: Carbon Black was 559.63200 Index Dec 1983=100 in February of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Chemicals and Allied Products: Carbon Black reached a record high of 683.96400 in July of 2022 and a record low of 76.10000 in April of 1989. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Chemicals and Allied Products: Carbon Black - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on March of 2025.

United States - Producer Price Index by Industry: Carbon and Graphite Product Manufacturing: Miscellaneous Receipts was 149.83400 Index Oct 1988=100 in November of 2024, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Producer Price Index by Industry: Carbon and Graphite Product Manufacturing: Miscellaneous Receipts reached a record high of 164.00000 in January of 2011 and a record low of 100.00000 in October of 1988. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Producer Price Index by Industry: Carbon and Graphite Product Manufacturing: Miscellaneous Receipts - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on March of 2025.

This study aims to investigate the price changes in the carbon trading market and the development of international carbon credits in-depth. To achieve this goal, operational principles of the international carbon credit financing mechanism are considered, and time series models were employed to forecast carbon trading prices. Specifically, an ARIMA(1,1,1)-GARCH(1,1) model, which combines the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models, is established. Additionally, a multivariate dynamic regression Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with Exogenous Inputs (ARIMAX) model is utilized. In tandem with the modeling, a data index system is developed, encompassing various factors that influence carbon market trading prices. The random forest algorithm is then applied for feature selection, effectively identifying features with high scores and eliminating low-score features. The research findings reveal that the ARIMAX Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) model exhibits high forecasting accuracy for time series data. The model’s Mean Squared Error, Root Mean Squared Error, and Mean Absolute Error are reported as 0.022, 0.1344, and 0.1543, respectively, approaching zero and surpassing other evaluation models in predictive accuracy. The goodness of fit for the national carbon market price forecasting model is calculated as 0.9567, indicating that the selected features strongly explain the trading prices of the carbon emission rights market. This study introduces innovation by conducting a comprehensive analysis of multi-dimensional data and leveraging the random forest model to explore non-linear relationships among data. This approach offers a novel solution for investigating the complex relationship between the carbon market and the carbon credit financing mechanism.

United States - Producer Price Index by Industry: Carbon and Graphite Product Manufacturing: All Other Carbon and Graphite Products was 137.40000 Index Dec 2003=100 in September of 2019, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Producer Price Index by Industry: Carbon and Graphite Product Manufacturing: All Other Carbon and Graphite Products reached a record high of 137.40000 in January of 2019 and a record low of 100.00000 in December of 2003. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Producer Price Index by Industry: Carbon and Graphite Product Manufacturing: All Other Carbon and Graphite Products - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on March of 2025.

This study aims to investigate the price changes in the carbon trading market and the development of international carbon credits in-depth. To achieve this goal, operational principles of the international carbon credit financing mechanism are considered, and time series models were employed to forecast carbon trading prices. Specifically, an ARIMA(1,1,1)-GARCH(1,1) model, which combines the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models, is established. Additionally, a multivariate dynamic regression Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with Exogenous Inputs (ARIMAX) model is utilized. In tandem with the modeling, a data index system is developed, encompassing various factors that influence carbon market trading prices. The random forest algorithm is then applied for feature selection, effectively identifying features with high scores and eliminating low-score features. The research findings reveal that the ARIMAX Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) model exhibits high forecasting accuracy for time series data. The model’s Mean Squared Error, Root Mean Squared Error, and Mean Absolute Error are reported as 0.022, 0.1344, and 0.1543, respectively, approaching zero and surpassing other evaluation models in predictive accuracy. The goodness of fit for the national carbon market price forecasting model is calculated as 0.9567, indicating that the selected features strongly explain the trading prices of the carbon emission rights market. This study introduces innovation by conducting a comprehensive analysis of multi-dimensional data and leveraging the random forest model to explore non-linear relationships among data. This approach offers a novel solution for investigating the complex relationship between the carbon market and the carbon credit financing mechanism.

United States - Producer Price Index by Industry: Iron and Steel Forging: Hot Impression Die Impact, Press and Upset Carbon Steel Forgings was 201.70700 Index Dec 1983=100 in February of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Producer Price Index by Industry: Iron and Steel Forging: Hot Impression Die Impact, Press and Upset Carbon Steel Forgings reached a record high of 227.59200 in March of 2024 and a record low of 99.80000 in October of 1986. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Producer Price Index by Industry: Iron and Steel Forging: Hot Impression Die Impact, Press and Upset Carbon Steel Forgings - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on March of 2025.

United States - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Metals and Metal Products: Steel Wire, Carbon was 320.81100 Index Dec 2003=100 in February of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Metals and Metal Products: Steel Wire, Carbon reached a record high of 416.90700 in May of 2022 and a record low of 100.00000 in December of 2003. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Metals and Metal Products: Steel Wire, Carbon - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on March of 2025.

European Union Emissions Trading System (EU-ETS) carbon allowances are estimated to average 65 euros per metric ton of carbon dioxide (tCO₂e) in 2024. This figure is forecast to more than double by the end of the decade to almost 150 euros/tCO₂e, before reaching nearly 200 euros/tCO₂e by 2035. EU-ETS carbon prices surpassed the 100 euros per metric ton threshold for the first time in February 2023.

United States - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Chemicals and Allied Products: Carbon Dioxide was 563.40300 Index 1982=100 in February of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Chemicals and Allied Products: Carbon Dioxide reached a record high of 596.66000 in August of 2024 and a record low of 80.80000 in July of 1981. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Chemicals and Allied Products: Carbon Dioxide - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on March of 2025.

All-Transactions House Price Index for Carbon County, WY was 276.41000 Index 2000=100 in January of 2024, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, All-Transactions House Price Index for Carbon County, WY reached a record high of 276.41000 in January of 2024 and a record low of 52.08000 in January of 1976. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for All-Transactions House Price Index for Carbon County, WY - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on March of 2025.