EU Carbon Permits decreased 2.17 EUR or 2.97% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for EU Carbon Permits.

The price of emissions allowances (EUA) traded on the European Union's Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) exceed 100 euros per metric ton of CO₂ for the first time n February 2023. Athough average annual EUA prices have increased significantly since the 2018 reform of the EU-ETS, they fell 19 percent year-on-year in 2023 to 65 euros. What is the EU-ETS? The EU-ETS became the world’s first carbon market in 2005. The scheme was introduced as a way of limiting GHG emissions from polluting installations by putting a price on carbon, thus incentivizing entities to reduce their emissions. A fixed number of emissions allowances are put on the market each year, which can be traded between companies. The number of available allowances is reduced each year. The EU-ETS is now in its fourth phase (2021 to 2030). Volatility of carbon prices EU carbon prices are volatile and change daily. Prices are determined by the supply and demand of allowances. In March 2022, the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war caused EUA prices to crash to less than 60 euros/tCO₂ due to the expected ban on Russian energy imports in Europe.

European Union Emissions Trading System (EU-ETS) carbon allowances are estimated to average 65 euros per metric ton of carbon dioxide (tCO₂e) in 2024. This figure is forecast to more than double by the end of the decade to almost 150 euros/tCO₂e, before reaching nearly 200 euros/tCO₂e by 2035. EU-ETS carbon prices surpassed the 100 euros per metric ton threshold for the first time in February 2023.

Prices for EU Carbon Permits - Precio De Mercado including live quotes, historical charts and news. EU Carbon Permits - Precio De Mercado was last updated by Trading Economics this March 26 of 2025.

Carbon prices across multiple emissions trading systems worldwide are expected to increase during the period of 2026 to 2030, compared to 2022 to 2026. The average EU ETS carbon price is expected to be 84.4 euros per metric ton of CO₂ during the period 2022 to 2025, but is projected to rise to almost 100 euros per metric ton of CO₂ during the period of 2026 to 2030, according to a survey of International Emissions Trading Association members. EU ETS carbon pricing broke the 90 euros per metric ton of CO₂ barrier in February 2022, and in February 2023 it surpassed 100 euros per metric ton of CO₂.

As of April 2024, the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) carbon price was above 60 U.S. dollars per metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (USD/tCO₂e). The EU ETS launched in 2005 as a cost-effective way of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and was the world's first major international carbon market. The UK was formerly part of the EU ETS, but replaced this with its own system after withdrawing from the EU. As of April 2024, the price of carbon on the UK ETS was 45 USD/tCO₂e.

The cost of UK ETS carbon permits (UKAs) was around 100 GBP in February 2023, but prices have fallen considerably since then. Prices on January 16, 2025 were just 32.57 GBP, down 11 percent from the same date the previous year. Formerly part of the EU ETS, the UK launched its own cap-and-trade system in 2021 following Brexit. Why has the UK’s carbon price fallen? Several factors have contributed to falling UK carbon prices, including mild winter weather and reduced power demand, as well as a surplus of carbon allowances on the market. While prices have recovered marginally from the record lows, they remain markedly below carbon prices on the EU ETS. The low cost of UK carbon permits has raised concerns that it could deter investment in renewable energy. Future of UK ETS The UK ETS covers emissions from domestic aviation and the industry and power sectors, amounting to some 30 percent of the country’s annual GHG emissions. There are plans to expand the system over the coming years to cover CO₂ venting by the upstream oil and gas sector, domestic maritime emissions, and energy from waste and waste incineration. The UK is also looking to introduce a carbon border adjustment mechanism, which would place a carbon price on certain emissions-intensive industrial goods imported to the UK.

This data package includes the underlying data files to replicate the data and charts presented in Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has cemented the European Union’s commitment to carbon pricing PIIE Policy Brief 23-13.

If you use the data, please cite as: Kirkegaard, Jacob Funk. 2023. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has cemented the European Union’s commitment to carbon pricing. PIIE Policy Brief 23-13. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

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Carbon Credit Market Size 2025-2029

The carbon credit market size is forecast to increase by USD 1,966.3 billion at a CAGR of 32.1% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth due to rising emissions in the Earth's atmosphere, which necessitates the need for businesses and individuals to offset their carbon footprint. Booming investment and partnership deals in this market are driving its expansion, with various organizations recognizing the importance of reducing their carbon emissions and contributing to environmental sustainability. However, the fluctuating prices of carbon credits pose a challenge for market participants, as they can impact the profitability of carbon offsetting projects.
To stay competitive, market players must closely monitor carbon credit prices and adapt their strategies accordingly. In summary, the market is witnessing increasing demand due to growing environmental concerns and regulatory requirements, but its growth is influenced by the volatility of carbon credit prices.

What will the Carbon Credit Market Size during the forecast period?

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The market has gained significant traction in recent years as businesses and individuals seek to offset their carbon emissions and contribute to the global decarbonization effort. This market facilitates the buying and selling of carbon credits, which represent the right to emit a specific amount of greenhouse gases. The voluntary carbon market plays a crucial role in this context, enabling organizations to offset their carbon footprint beyond regulatory requirements. Net-zero greenhouse-gas emissions have become a key business objective, driving demand for carbon credits from various sources. Forestry projects are a significant contributor to the market. These projects involve the protection, restoration, or reforestation of forests, which act as carbon sinks, absorbing and storing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.
Carbon emission reduction projects, such as renewable energy and energy efficiency initiatives, also contribute to the market. Carbon storage projects, including those focused on geological storage, are another essential component. The market's dynamics are influenced by various factors, including regulatory policies, market prices, and technological advancements. As the world moves towards a low-carbon economy, the demand for carbon credits is expected to continue growing, making it an attractive investment opportunity for businesses and individuals alike.

How is this market segmented and which is the largest segment?

The market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

End-user

  Power
  Energy
  Transportation
  Industrial
  Others


Type

  Compliance
  Voluntary


Geography

  Europe

    Germany
    UK
    France
    Italy


  Asia

    China


  North America



  Rest of World (ROW)

By End-user Insights

The power segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Carbon credits represent financial instruments that enable organizations to invest in emission reduction projects, contributing to the global effort to transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources. These initiatives, which focus on conservation, biodiversity, and livelihoods, provide a means to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the effects of climate change.

Additionally, the energy sector, specifically power generation, can benefit significantly from this shift, as renewable energy sources offer a sustainable and non-depleting alternative to coal and natural gas. To achieve the international goal of limiting global temperature rise to 2°C or 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions is crucial. Carbon credits facilitate this transition by incentivizing investment in renewable energy projects and reducing the overall carbon footprint.

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The power segment was valued at USD 61.30 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

Europe is estimated to contribute 84% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.

Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

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The European Union (EU) held a significant share of The market in 2023, with countries like the UK and Germany being major buyers. To achieve climate neutrality by 2050, the EU established the International Emissions Trading System (ETS) in 2005, which sets the cost of CO2 emissions

Netherlands Road: Carbon Pricing Score: Excluding Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 30 per Tonne of CO2 data was reported at 100.000 % in 2021. This stayed constant from the previous number of 100.000 % for 2018. Netherlands Road: Carbon Pricing Score: Excluding Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 30 per Tonne of CO2 data is updated yearly, averaging 100.000 % from Dec 2012 (Median) to 2021, with 4 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 100.000 % in 2021 and a record low of 99.823 % in 2012. Netherlands Road: Carbon Pricing Score: Excluding Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 30 per Tonne of CO2 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Netherlands – Table NL.OECD.ESG: Environmental: Effective Carbon Rates: by Sector: OECD Member: Annual. The carbon pricing score answers the question how close countries are to price carbon in line with carbon costs. EUR 60 is a midpoint estimate for carbon costs in 2020, and a low-end estimate for 2030. Pricing all emissions at least at EUR 60 in 2020 shows that a country is on a good track to reach the goals of the Paris Agreement to decarbonise by mid-century economically. EUR 30 is a historic low-end estimate for carbon costs, and EUR 120 is a midrange estimate for carbon costs in 2030.; The carbon pricing score answers the question how close countries price carbon emissions in line with carbon costs. EUR 30 per tonne CO2 is a historic low-end estimate for carbon costs in the mid-2010s. A carbon price of EUR 30 in 2025 is also consistent with decarbonisation by 2060 according to Kaufman et al. (2020).More generally, a carbon pricing score of 100% shows that a country prices all carbon emissions at the carbon cost estimate or more, and a carbon pricing score of 0% shows that a country does not price any carbon emissions.The carbon pricing score by country, by sector answers the question how close countries price carbon emissions in line with carbon costs within a given sector.For additional information, see Effective Carbon Rates 2021

This paper studies the heterogeneous effects of exchange rate and stock market on carbon emission allowance price in four emissions trading scheme pilots in China. We employ a panel quantile regression model, which can describe both individual and distributional heterogeneity. The empirical results illustrate that the effects of explanatory variables on carbon emission allowance price is heterogeneous along the whole quantiles. Specifically, exchange rate has a negative effect on carbon emission allowance price at lower quantiles, while becomes a positive effect at higher quantiles. In addition, a negative effect exists between domestic stock market and carbon emission allowance price, and the intensity decreasing along with the increase of quantile. By contrast, an increasing positive effect is discovered between European stock market and domestic carbon emission allowance prices. Finally, heterogeneous effects on carbon emission allowance price can also be proved in European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU-ETS).

Ethiopia All Sectors: Carbon Pricing Score: Excluding Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 30 per Tonne of CO2 data was reported at 7.890 % in 2021. Ethiopia All Sectors: Carbon Pricing Score: Excluding Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 30 per Tonne of CO2 data is updated yearly, averaging 7.890 % from Dec 2021 (Median) to 2021, with 1 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.890 % in 2021 and a record low of 7.890 % in 2021. Ethiopia All Sectors: Carbon Pricing Score: Excluding Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 30 per Tonne of CO2 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Ethiopia – Table ET.OECD.ESG: Environmental: Effective Carbon Rates: by Sector: Non OECD Member: Annual. The carbon pricing score answers the question how close countries are to price carbon in line with carbon costs. EUR 60 is a midpoint estimate for carbon costs in 2020, and a low-end estimate for 2030. Pricing all emissions at least at EUR 60 in 2020 shows that a country is on a good track to reach the goals of the Paris Agreement to decarbonise by mid-century economically. EUR 30 is a historic low-end estimate for carbon costs, and EUR 120 is a midrange estimate for carbon costs in 2030.; The carbon pricing score answers the question how close countries price carbon emissions in line with carbon costs. EUR 30 per tonne CO2 is a historic low-end estimate for carbon costs in the mid-2010s. A carbon price of EUR 30 in 2025 is also consistent with decarbonisation by 2060 according to Kaufman et al. (2020).More generally, a carbon pricing score of 100% shows that a country prices all carbon emissions at the carbon cost estimate or more, and a carbon pricing score of 0% shows that a country does not price any carbon emissions.The carbon pricing score by country, by sector answers the question how close countries price carbon emissions in line with carbon costs within a given sector.For additional information, see Effective Carbon Rates 2021

Uganda All Sectors: Carbon Pricing Score: Excluding Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 120 per Tonne of CO2 data was reported at 75.004 % in 2021. Uganda All Sectors: Carbon Pricing Score: Excluding Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 120 per Tonne of CO2 data is updated yearly, averaging 75.004 % from Dec 2021 (Median) to 2021, with 1 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 75.004 % in 2021 and a record low of 75.004 % in 2021. Uganda All Sectors: Carbon Pricing Score: Excluding Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 120 per Tonne of CO2 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Uganda – Table UG.OECD.ESG: Environmental: Effective Carbon Rates: by Sector: Non OECD Member: Annual. The carbon pricing score answers the question how close countries are to price carbon in line with carbon costs. EUR 60 is a midpoint estimate for carbon costs in 2020, and a low-end estimate for 2030. Pricing all emissions at least at EUR 60 in 2020 shows that a country is on a good track to reach the goals of the Paris Agreement to decarbonise by mid-century economically. EUR 30 is a historic low-end estimate for carbon costs, and EUR 120 is a midrange estimate for carbon costs in 2030.; The carbon pricing score answers the question how close countries price carbon emissions in line with carbon costs. EUR 120 per tonne CO2 is a central estimate for carbon costs in 2030.More generally, a carbon pricing score of 100% shows that a country prices all carbon emissions at the carbon cost estimate or more, and a carbon pricing score of 0% shows that a country does not price any carbon emissions.The carbon pricing score by country, by sector answers the question how close countries price carbon emissions in line with carbon costs within a given sector.For additional information, see Effective Carbon Rates 2021

These are inputs into the BEIS Carbon Price Models, which are used for analysis, including for estimating impacts on the carbon price of policy changes, and for producing BEIS's updated short-term traded carbon values for modelling purposes and for public policy appraisal. Updated short-term traded carbon values for modelling purposes have been used in the latest update to BEIS’s Energy and Emissions projections (EEP) and will be used in other models of electricity generation and investment across government. BEIS’s short-term traded carbon values for UK public policy appraisal are used for valuing the impact of government policies on emissions in the traded sector, that is those sectors covered by the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). These data are not released: they are commercial in nature because they have been produced for the Department by external contractors under commercial contract.

The East European carbon market reached $1.4B in 2024, standing approx. at the previous year. The total consumption indicated perceptible growth from 2012 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.4% over the last twelve years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, consumption decreased by -8.7% against 2022 indices.

The Europe carbon market was estimated at $5.2B in 2024, rising by 3.7% against the previous year. Overall, consumption, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the market reached the maximum level at $5.8B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Nigeria All Sectors: Carbon Pricing Score: Including Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 120 per Tonne of CO2 data was reported at 0.000 % in 2021. Nigeria All Sectors: Carbon Pricing Score: Including Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 120 per Tonne of CO2 data is updated yearly, averaging 0.000 % from Dec 2021 (Median) to 2021, with 1 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.000 % in 2021 and a record low of 0.000 % in 2021. Nigeria All Sectors: Carbon Pricing Score: Including Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 120 per Tonne of CO2 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Nigeria – Table NG.OECD.ESG: Environmental: Effective Carbon Rates: by Sector: Non OECD Member: Annual. The carbon pricing score answers the question how close countries are to price carbon in line with carbon costs. EUR 60 is a midpoint estimate for carbon costs in 2020, and a low-end estimate for 2030. Pricing all emissions at least at EUR 60 in 2020 shows that a country is on a good track to reach the goals of the Paris Agreement to decarbonise by mid-century economically. EUR 30 is a historic low-end estimate for carbon costs, and EUR 120 is a midrange estimate for carbon costs in 2030.; The carbon pricing score answers the question how close countries price carbon emissions in line with carbon costs. EUR 120 per tonne CO2 is a central estimate for carbon costs in 2030.More generally, a carbon pricing score of 100% shows that a country prices all carbon emissions at the carbon cost estimate or more, and a carbon pricing score of 0% shows that a country does not price any carbon emissions.The carbon pricing score by country, by sector answers the question how close countries price carbon emissions in line with carbon costs within a given sector.For additional information, see Effective Carbon Rates 2021

Cyprus Off-road: Carbon Pricing Score: Excluding Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 30 per Tonne of CO2 data was reported at 62.690 % in 2021. Cyprus Off-road: Carbon Pricing Score: Excluding Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 30 per Tonne of CO2 data is updated yearly, averaging 62.690 % from Dec 2021 (Median) to 2021, with 1 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 62.690 % in 2021 and a record low of 62.690 % in 2021. Cyprus Off-road: Carbon Pricing Score: Excluding Emissions from the Combustion of Biomass: EUR 30 per Tonne of CO2 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Cyprus – Table CY.OECD.ESG: Environmental: Effective Carbon Rates: by Sector: Non OECD Member: Annual. The carbon pricing score answers the question how close countries are to price carbon in line with carbon costs. EUR 60 is a midpoint estimate for carbon costs in 2020, and a low-end estimate for 2030. Pricing all emissions at least at EUR 60 in 2020 shows that a country is on a good track to reach the goals of the Paris Agreement to decarbonise by mid-century economically. EUR 30 is a historic low-end estimate for carbon costs, and EUR 120 is a midrange estimate for carbon costs in 2030.; The carbon pricing score answers the question how close countries price carbon emissions in line with carbon costs. EUR 30 per tonne CO2 is a historic low-end estimate for carbon costs in the mid-2010s. A carbon price of EUR 30 in 2025 is also consistent with decarbonisation by 2060 according to Kaufman et al. (2020).More generally, a carbon pricing score of 100% shows that a country prices all carbon emissions at the carbon cost estimate or more, and a carbon pricing score of 0% shows that a country does not price any carbon emissions.The carbon pricing score by country, by sector answers the question how close countries price carbon emissions in line with carbon costs within a given sector.For additional information, see Effective Carbon Rates 2021

The average annual price of European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) allowances fell 22 percent year-on-year in 2024, to 65 euros. Still, EU ETS carbon allowances are forecast to rise to almost 150 euros by the end of the decade. Each EU ETS emissions allowance (EUA) gives the holder the right to emit one metric ton of carbon dioxide equivalent.

Empirical result of European market.