Housing Index in China remained unchanged at -2.20 percent in October. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - China Newly Built House Prices YoY Change - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

In 2023, the average price of real estate in China was approximately ****** yuan per square meter, representing a decrease from the previous year. Rising prices in the real estate market Since the 1998 housing reform, property prices in China have been rising continuously. Housing in the country is now often unaffordable, especially considering the modest per capita income of Chinese households. Shanghai and Beijing even have some of the most competitive real estate markets in the world. The rapid growth in housing prices has increased wealth among homeowners, while it also led to a culture of speculation among buyers and real estate developers. Housing was treated as investments, with owners expecting the prices to grow further every year. Risk factors The expectation of a steadily growing real estate market has created a property bubble and a potential debt crisis. As Chinese real estate giants, such as China Evergrande and Country Garden, operate by continuously acquiring land plots and initiating new projects, which often require substantial loans and investments, a slowdown in property demands or a decline in home prices can significantly affect the financial situation of these companies, putting China’s banks in a vulnerable position. In addition, due to a lack of regulations and monetary constraints, the long-term maintenance issues of high-rise apartments are also a concern to the sustainable development of China’s cities.

Revenue for the Residential Real Estate industry in China is expected to decrease at a CAGR of 9.8% over the five years through 2025. This trend includes an expected decrease of 9.6% in the current year.Since August 2020, the People's Bank of China and the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission have proposed three debt indicators for real estate development and management companies through which the company's financial health can be rated. This new policy has exacerbated the company's debt pressure, making it unable to repay old debts by borrowing new debt. Some real estate companies faced a liquidity crisis.In 2022, the city's lockdown and laying-off caused by COVID-19 epidemic led to the pressure of delaying the delivery of houses. The industry's newly constructed and completed areas decreased significantly throughout the year. In addition, the epidemic has impacted sales in the industry, and some sales offices have been forced to close temporarily. In 2022, the residential sales area decreased by 26.8%, and the residential sales decreased by 31.2%.Industry revenue will recover at an annualized 0.7% over the five years through 2030. Over the next five years, the industry's drag on GDP will weaken, and industry growth will stabilize. However, high housing prices have become a major social problem in China. Under the measures on the principle that residential real estate is used for living, not speculation, the financial attributes of real estate will gradually weaken, and housing prices will tend to stabilize.

Key information about House Prices Growth

• China house prices dropped 2.5% YoY in Oct 2025, following a decrease of 1.9% YoY in the previous month.
• YoY growth data is updated monthly, available from Mar 1999 to Oct 2025, with an average growth rate of 5.3%.
• House price data reached an all-time high of 25.0% in Feb 2010 and a record low of -12.6% in Apr 1999.

Housing markets are often characterized by price bubbles, and governments have instituted policies to stabilize them. Under this circumstance, this study addresses the following questions. (1) Does policy tightening change expectations in housing prices, revealing a regime change? (2) If so, what determines the housing market’s reaction to policy tightening? To answer these questions, we examine the effects of policy tightening that occurred in 2016 on the Chinese housing market where a price boom persisted in the post-2000 period. Using a log-periodic power law model and employing a modified multi-population genetic algorithm for parameter estimation, we find that tightening policy in China did not cause a market crash; instead, shifting the Chinese housing market from faster-than-exponential growth to a soft landing. We attribute this regime shift to low sensitivity in the Chinese housing market to global perturbations. Our findings suggest that government policies can help stabilize housing prices and improve market conditions when implemented expediently. Moreover, policymakers should consider preparedness for the possibility of an economic crisis and other social needs (e.g., housing affordability) for overall social welfare when managing housing price bubbles.

Discover the booming China home mortgage finance market! Our in-depth analysis reveals key trends, growth projections (2025-2033), and regional insights. Learn about regulatory impacts and future market opportunities. Recent developments include: October 2022: HSBC expands China's private banking network and launches in two new cities., September 2022: China Construction Bank Corp., one of the country's four largest state-owned lenders, will set up a 30-billion-yuan (USD 4.2 billion) fund to buy properties from developers. The move comes even as policymakers take steps to contain a real estate crisis weighing on the economy.. Notable trends are: Favorable Mortgage Rates is Expected to Drive the Market.

Discover the booming China commercial real estate market! Our analysis reveals a $890 million market in 2025, projected to grow at a 3.49% CAGR until 2033. Learn about key drivers, trends, restraints, and major players like Wanda Group and CapitaLand. Explore market segmentation and regional data for informed investment decisions. Recent developments include: May 2023: The Beijing Suning Life Plaza mixed-use complex was recently purchased from Suning for about USD 400 million by CapitaLand Investment Private Fund with the help of Cushman & Wakefield's Greater China Capital Markets division., April 2023: AIA put US$1.3 billion into a Shanghai office-retail complex, while Ping An paid about US$7 billion for industrial and office assets in Shanghai and Beijing. Insurers, including AIA and Ping An Life Insurance, are investing billions of dollars in mainland China properties, which are expected to remain an attractive asset class for insurers despite the property market downturn.. Key drivers for this market are: Foreign Investments driving the market, Implementation of government policies driving the market. Potential restraints include: Oversupply of commercial real estate, Increasing property prices affecting the growth of the market. Notable trends are: Technology and Innovation Driving the Market.

The samples in this paper come from panel data of 35 large and medium-sized cities in China from 1999 to 2019(In order to avoid the impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the conclusions of this analysis, we use the data before the outbreak of the epidemic for empirical testing). Here, the variables adopted for assessing the housing bubble include price level, resident income, household population, the average wage of staff and land supply. Apart from the housing bubble index which is obtained via assessment, all the other basic data come from official statistics, including the Wind Economic Database, website of the People’s Bank of China, and National Bureau of Statistics website.

Portugal, Canada, and the United States were the countries with the highest house price to income ratio in 2024. In all three countries, the index exceeded 130 index points, while the average for all OECD countries stood at 116.2 index points. The index measures the development of housing affordability and is calculated by dividing nominal house price by nominal disposable income per head, with 2015 set as a base year when the index amounted to 100. An index value of 120, for example, would mean that house price growth has outpaced income growth by 20 percent since 2015. How have house prices worldwide changed since the COVID-19 pandemic? House prices started to rise gradually after the global financial crisis (2007–2008), but this trend accelerated with the pandemic. The countries with advanced economies, which usually have mature housing markets, experienced stronger growth than countries with emerging economies. Real house price growth (accounting for inflation) peaked in 2022 and has since lost some of the gain. Although, many countries experienced a decline in house prices, the global house price index shows that property prices in 2023 were still substantially higher than before COVID-19. Renting vs. buying In the past, house prices have grown faster than rents. However, the home affordability has been declining notably, with a direct impact on rental prices. As people struggle to buy a property of their own, they often turn to rental accommodation. This has resulted in a growing demand for rental apartments and soaring rental prices.

In 2024, real estate developers in China completed ****** million square meters of floor space, representing a significant drop of almost ** percent from the previous year. Housing completion figures in China have generally decreased over the last decade, owing to structural challenges in the real estate industry. The ups and downs of the Chinese real estate market Following the marketization of the housing sector in the late *****, China's real estate industry has enjoyed more than two decades of prosperity. The output value of the sector multiplied several times, with home prices rising sharply across the country and some properties in urban centers such as Beijing and Shanghai being among the most expensive in the world. While being a pillar industry in the country’s economy, the real estate sector has also stimulated the development of many related industries, such as construction and financial services. The property bubble and unfinished buildings The former expansion of the housing market had created a considerable bubble in the sector, which finally burst during the COVID-19 pandemic. Many apartments, especially the tower blocks in small or medium-sized cities and towns remained unsold or left unoccupied, leading to financial turmoil for real estate developers. The failure of major market players such as China Evergrande and Country Garden resulted in more than a million unfinished apartments in China.

Discover the booming China commercial real estate market! Our analysis reveals a $890 million market in 2025, projected to grow at a CAGR of 3.49% through 2033. Learn about key drivers, trends, and top players like Wanda Group and CapitaLand. Explore market segmentation and regional insights for informed investment decisions. Recent developments include: May 2023: The Beijing Suning Life Plaza mixed-use complex was recently purchased from Suning for about USD 400 million by CapitaLand Investment Private Fund with the help of Cushman & Wakefield's Greater China Capital Markets division., April 2023: AIA put US$1.3 billion into a Shanghai office-retail complex, while Ping An paid about US$7 billion for industrial and office assets in Shanghai and Beijing. Insurers, including AIA and Ping An Life Insurance, are investing billions of dollars in mainland China properties, which are expected to remain an attractive asset class for insurers despite the property market downturn.. Key drivers for this market are: Foreign Investments driving the market, Implementation of government policies driving the market. Potential restraints include: Foreign Investments driving the market, Implementation of government policies driving the market. Notable trends are: Technology and Innovation Driving the Market.

On the 2025 Fortune China 500 ranking for real estate companies, China’s leading real estate developer Poly Real Estate ranked first with a total revenue of ************ U.S. dollars, followed by China Vanke and Country Garden. Real estate market in ChinaIn the last 20 years, China’s real estate market has experienced its most prosperous development. Land purchase has also become an important source of financial revenue for many local governments. The housing price increased so rapidly, especially in larger cities, that the government had to take measures to restrict investment. With the slowdown of China’s economic development and gradually saturated market, people are also afraid of the burst of the real estate bubble. While the real estate price in smaller cities tended to stay stable or even decrease, there is still growing potential for real estate prices in larger cities, especially the first-tier cities. China’s consumers are increasingly interested in the high-quality real estate products built by leading real estate developers. Leading real estate developers in ChinaCompared to the ranking in 2021, there were ***** new members entering the leading ten real estate developer club in 2022. The larger developers became stronger as they had advantages in land acquisitions, financing, marketing and pricing power which is difficult for smaller developers to catch up with. Thus, consolidation is also very common among China’s real estate developers. In 2022, *** real estate giants disappeared from the Fortune 500 ranking list, Evergrande and Sunac. Affected by the changing real estate market, they were facing cash flow problems and were affected heavily by the debt crisis.

China's large population, the accelerating urbanization process, rising household disposable incomes, and strong economic expansion have all contributed to the development of the real estate market. As a result, demand for real estate agents in China has been rising to meet the expanding market volumes and requirements for higher transaction efficiency.Over the five years through 2025, industry revenue is anticipated to decrease at a CAGR of 3.3%, including a decline of 2.2% in 2025. A competitive market has led to speculation and inflated housing prices in recent years. As a result, the Chinese government has implemented property-purchasing and loan limitations, price restrictions, and housing tax reforms to regulate industry development and limit speculation. Since 2022, consumers' demand for real estate has declined due to the COVID-19 epidemic and economic downturn. In 2023, the newly constructed area of real estate decreased by 20.9% year-on-year, which was narrower than that in 2022, while the completed area of real estate in this year increased by 15.8%.Over the five years through 2030, ACMR-IBISWorld forecasts that China's Real Estate Agents industry will recover, with revenue increasing at a CAGR of 1.9%. Due to intensifying competition, the separation of real estate development and sales will continue. Outsourcing real estate sales operations will improve the operational efficiency of real estate developers and offer new opportunities for real estate intermediary service providers in the industry.

The best fit of log-periodic power law parameters near policy implementation.

Considering the notable influence of traditional Confucian culture on China’s housing market, this study introduces an innovative index to quantify the magnitude of the real estate bubble within China, employing a familial generational iterative model. Utilizing rent-buy policy as a conceptual framework, our research constructs a difference-in-differences model to investigate the impact of macroeconomic policies on the housing bubble phenomenon. Empirical observations from 2022 reveal pronounced bubble dynamics in first and second-tier cities, while housing prices in third and fourth-tier cities, alongside select fifth-tier cities, exhibit a declining trend. On a national scale, apart from minor affordability observed during 2005–2007, no significant affordability was identified in other years, with the housing price bubble index demonstrating a downward trajectory from 2020 to 2022. Furthermore, the implementation of the rent-buy policy that equality the rights of renter and owner has directly influenced the housing market, notably mitigating the overall escalation of housing prices. Additional analysis indicates that the rent-and-buy policy has been more successful in curbing price hikes in newly constructed and smaller-sized housing units compared to second-hand and larger-scale properties.

New Home Sales YoY in China decreased to -41.90 percent in October from 0.40 percent in September of 2025. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for China New Home Sales YoY.

The Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008), which began due to the collapse of the U.S. housing market, had a negative effect in many regions across the globe. The global recession which followed the crisis in 2008 and 2009 showed how interdependent and synchronized many of the world's economies had become, with the largest advanced economies showing very similar patterns of negative GDP growth during the crisis. Among the largest emerging economies (commonly referred to as the 'E7'), however, a different pattern emerged, with some countries avoiding a recession altogether. Some commentators have particularly pointed to 2008-2009 as the moment in which China emerged on the world stage as an economic superpower and a key driver of global economic growth. The Great Recession in the developing world While some countries, such as Russia, Mexico, and Turkey, experienced severe recessions due to their connections to the United States and Europe, others such as China, India, and Indonesia managed to record significant economic growth during the period. This can be partly explained by the decoupling from western financial systems which these countries undertook following the Asian financial crises of 1997, making many Asian nations more wary of opening their countries to 'hot money' from other countries. Other likely explanations of this trend are that these countries have large domestic economies which are not entirely reliant on the advanced economies, that their export sectors produce goods which are inelastic (meaning they are still bought during recessions), and that the Chinese economic stimulus worth almost 600 billion U.S. dollars in 2008/2009 increased growth in the region.

In 2023, the total investment in residential housing in Shanghai reached ****** billion yuan, representing an increase from the previous year. Since the housing market reform of the 1990s, investments in residential real estate in Shanghai skyrocketed, from less than **** billion yuan in 1991 to almost ** billion yuan in 2000. The figure grew further at a moderate speed until 2008, before substantial investments poured into the real estate sector after the global financial crisis.

Evaluation index system for the real estate bubble in China.

Shanghai Property Price: Secondary Mkt: Pudong New Area: Sanlin data was reported at 14,257.000 RMB/sq m in Jan 2011. This records an increase from the previous number of 14,114.000 RMB/sq m for Dec 2010. Shanghai Property Price: Secondary Mkt: Pudong New Area: Sanlin data is updated monthly, averaging 10,743.000 RMB/sq m from Jan 2005 (Median) to Jan 2011, with 73 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 14,571.000 RMB/sq m in May 2010 and a record low of 6,629.000 RMB/sq m in Jan 2005. Shanghai Property Price: Secondary Mkt: Pudong New Area: Sanlin data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Shanghai Existing Property Index Office. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Price – Table CN.PD: Shanghai Existing Property Index Office: Shanghai Property Price: Secondary Market (Discontinued).