The benchmark interest rate in China was last recorded at 3 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - China Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

In September 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In September 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 17 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.3 percent in September 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 8 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

Lending Rate in China remained unchanged at 4.35 percent in October from 4.35 percent in September of 2022. This dataset provides - China Prime Lending Rate- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Hong Kong HK: Real Interest Rate data was reported at 3.288 % pa in 2016. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.309 % pa for 2015. Hong Kong HK: Real Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 3.551 % pa from Dec 1990 (Median) to 2016, with 27 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 13.347 % pa in 2000 and a record low of -3.093 % pa in 1992. Hong Kong HK: Real Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Hong Kong SAR – Table HK.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Real interest rate is the lending interest rate adjusted for inflation as measured by the GDP deflator. The terms and conditions attached to lending rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files using World Bank data on the GDP deflator.; ;

Long-term interest rate in China, August, 2025 The most recent value is 1.84 percent as of August 2025, an increase compared to the previous value of 1.7 percent. Historically, the average for China from January 2014 to August 2025 is 3.03 percent. The minimum of 1.62 percent was recorded in April 2025, while the maximum of 4.5 percent was reached in January 2014. | TheGlobalEconomy.com

China Lending Rate: USD: 1 Year data was reported at 5.330 % pa in Dec 2024. This records an increase from the previous number of 5.090 % pa for Nov 2024. China Lending Rate: USD: 1 Year data is updated monthly, averaging 3.005 % pa from Jan 2003 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 252 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.434 % pa in Aug 2006 and a record low of 0.780 % pa in Jun 2021. China Lending Rate: USD: 1 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The People's Bank of China. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MA: Lending Rate: USD.

China: Real interest rate: Bank lending rate minus inflation: The latest value from 2024 is 5.09 percent, an increase from 4.88 percent in 2023. In comparison, the world average is 4.99 percent, based on data from 73 countries. Historically, the average for China from 1980 to 2024 is 2.13 percent. The minimum value, -8.01 percent, was reached in 1994 while the maximum of 7.38 percent was recorded in 1982.

China Interest Rate Swap (IRS): Nominal Principal: Total data was reported at 3,683,546.000 RMB mn in Nov 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 3,345,527.000 RMB mn for Oct 2025. China Interest Rate Swap (IRS): Nominal Principal: Total data is updated monthly, averaging 789,337.000 RMB mn from Mar 2006 (Median) to Nov 2025, with 237 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4,616,555.000 RMB mn in Jul 2025 and a record low of 0.000 RMB mn in May 2006. China Interest Rate Swap (IRS): Nominal Principal: Total data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Interbank Funding Center. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MG: National Interbank Funding Centre (NIFC): Interest Rate Swap: Nominal Principal.

The benchmark interest rate in Hong Kong was last recorded at 4.25 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Hong Kong Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

China Interval Ratio of Lending Rate: Loan Prime Rate(LPR) data was reported at 5.460 % in Dec 2024. This records an increase from the previous number of 4.850 % for Nov 2024. China Interval Ratio of Lending Rate: Loan Prime Rate(LPR) data is updated monthly, averaging 5.990 % from Aug 2019 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 65 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.420 % in Mar 2021 and a record low of 0.320 % in Aug 2019. China Interval Ratio of Lending Rate: Loan Prime Rate(LPR) data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The People's Bank of China. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MA: Rediscount and Lending Rate.

In 2024, the average annual inflation rate in China ranged at around 0.2 percent compared to the previous year. For 2025, projections by the IMF expect nearly no inflation. The monthly inflation rate in China dropped to negative values in the first quarter of 2025. Calculation of inflation The inflation rate is calculated based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for China. The CPI is computed using a product basket that contains a predefined range of products and services on which the average consumer spends money throughout the year. Included are expenses for groceries, clothes, rent, power, telecommunications, recreational activities, and raw materials (e.g. gas, oil), as well as federal fees and taxes. The product basked is adjusted every five years to reflect changes in consumer preference and has been updated in 2020 for the last time. The inflation rate is then calculated using changes in the CPI. As the inflation of a country is seen as a key economic indicator, it is frequently used for international comparison. China's inflation in comparison Among the main industrialized and emerging economies worldwide, China displayed comparatively low inflation in 2023 and 2024. In previous years, China's inflation ranged marginally above the inflation rates of established industrialized powerhouses such as the United States or the European Union. However, this changed in 2021, as inflation rates in developed countries rose quickly, while prices in China only increased moderately. According to IMF estimates for 2024, Zimbabwe was expected to be the country with the highest inflation rate, with a consumer price increase of about 561 percent compared to 2023. In 2023, Turkmenistan had the lowest price increase worldwide with prices actually decreasing by about 1.7 percent.

China IRS: Fixed Interest Rate: 1 Year Lending Rate: 6 Month data was reported at 7.850 % pa in 03 Sep 2013. This records an increase from the previous number of 7.360 % pa for 05 Jul 2013. China IRS: Fixed Interest Rate: 1 Year Lending Rate: 6 Month data is updated daily, averaging 6.752 % pa from Jun 2011 (Median) to 03 Sep 2013, with 146 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 10.640 % pa in 29 May 2012 and a record low of 3.945 % pa in 25 Apr 2013. China IRS: Fixed Interest Rate: 1 Year Lending Rate: 6 Month data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Interbank Funding Center. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MG: National Interbank Funding Centre (NIFC): Interest Rate Swap: Fixed Interest Rate: Daily.

China’s crude oil import has increased sharply since 2002. Its expenditure on oil import now accounts for around 10% of its total commodity import. Thus, there is potential imported inflation or deflation due to oil price fluctuations and China’s central bank may respond to it. We quantitatively analyze the impact of oil prices on China’s benchmark interest rate and monetary supply by a 6-variable structural vector auto-regression model. We draw that: 1) In response to an increase of oil price, China’s central bank generally upgrades interest rate. If oil price rises by 10 US dollars, the 6-month lending base rate will increase by around 0.13 percentage point in 3 months. 2) The effects of price shocks deepen after the oil pricing reform, and specifically, it can explain 19.8% of the variations in monetary policies in one year after October 2008, compared with the 0.83% before October 2001.

The Chinese economy has undergone a long-term transition reform, but there is still a planned economy characteristic in the financial sector, which is financial repression. Due to the existence of financial repression, China’s actual interest rate level should be lower than the Consumer Price Index (CPI). However, based on official China’s interest rates and CPI, over half of the years China’s actual interest rate remained higher than CPI by our calculation from 1999 to 2022. This is inconsistent with the financial repression that exists in China, and the main reason is the calculation methods of China’s CPI. China’s CPI measurement system originated from the planned economy era, which did not fully consider the rise in housing purchase prices, so the current CPI measurement system can be more realistically presented by taking the rise in housing prices into consider. The core idea of this study is to mining relevant official statistical data and calculate the proportion of Chinese residents’ expenditure on purchasing houses to their total expenditure. By taking the proportion of house purchases as the weight of house price factor, and taking the proportion of other consumption as the weight of official CPI, the Generalized CPI (GCPI) is formulated. The GCPI is then compared with market interest rates to determine the actual interest rate situation in China over the past 20 years. This study has found that if GCPI is used as a measure, China’s real interest rates have been negative for most years since 1999. Chinese residents have suffered the negative effects of financial repression over the past 20 years, and their property income cannot keep up with the actual losses caused by inflation. Therefore, it is believed that China’s CPI calculation method should be adjusted to take into account the rise in housing prices, so China’s actual inflation level could be more accurately reflected. In view of the above, deepening interest rate marketization reform and expand channels for financial investment are the future development goals of China’s financial system.

The Chinese economy has undergone a long-term transition reform, but there is still a planned economy characteristic in the financial sector, which is financial repression. Due to the existence of financial repression, China’s actual interest rate level should be lower than the Consumer Price Index (CPI). However, based on official China’s interest rates and CPI, over half of the years China’s actual interest rate remained higher than CPI by our calculation from 1999 to 2022. This is inconsistent with the financial repression that exists in China, and the main reason is the calculation methods of China’s CPI. China’s CPI measurement system originated from the planned economy era, which did not fully consider the rise in housing purchase prices, so the current CPI measurement system can be more realistically presented by taking the rise in housing prices into consider. The core idea of this study is to mining relevant official statistical data and calculate the proportion of Chinese residents’ expenditure on purchasing houses to their total expenditure. By taking the proportion of house purchases as the weight of house price factor, and taking the proportion of other consumption as the weight of official CPI, the Generalized CPI (GCPI) is formulated. The GCPI is then compared with market interest rates to determine the actual interest rate situation in China over the past 20 years. This study has found that if GCPI is used as a measure, China’s real interest rates have been negative for most years since 1999. Chinese residents have suffered the negative effects of financial repression over the past 20 years, and their property income cannot keep up with the actual losses caused by inflation. Therefore, it is believed that China’s CPI calculation method should be adjusted to take into account the rise in housing prices, so China’s actual inflation level could be more accurately reflected. In view of the above, deepening interest rate marketization reform and expand channels for financial investment are the future development goals of China’s financial system.

The Chinese economy has undergone a long-term transition reform, but there is still a planned economy characteristic in the financial sector, which is financial repression. Due to the existence of financial repression, China’s actual interest rate level should be lower than the Consumer Price Index (CPI). However, based on official China’s interest rates and CPI, over half of the years China’s actual interest rate remained higher than CPI by our calculation from 1999 to 2022. This is inconsistent with the financial repression that exists in China, and the main reason is the calculation methods of China’s CPI. China’s CPI measurement system originated from the planned economy era, which did not fully consider the rise in housing purchase prices, so the current CPI measurement system can be more realistically presented by taking the rise in housing prices into consider. The core idea of this study is to mining relevant official statistical data and calculate the proportion of Chinese residents’ expenditure on purchasing houses to their total expenditure. By taking the proportion of house purchases as the weight of house price factor, and taking the proportion of other consumption as the weight of official CPI, the Generalized CPI (GCPI) is formulated. The GCPI is then compared with market interest rates to determine the actual interest rate situation in China over the past 20 years. This study has found that if GCPI is used as a measure, China’s real interest rates have been negative for most years since 1999. Chinese residents have suffered the negative effects of financial repression over the past 20 years, and their property income cannot keep up with the actual losses caused by inflation. Therefore, it is believed that China’s CPI calculation method should be adjusted to take into account the rise in housing prices, so China’s actual inflation level could be more accurately reflected. In view of the above, deepening interest rate marketization reform and expand channels for financial investment are the future development goals of China’s financial system.

China Local Government Bond: Issuance Average Interest Rate Spread data was reported at 9.000 Basis Point in Feb 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 8.000 Basis Point for Jan 2025. China Local Government Bond: Issuance Average Interest Rate Spread data is updated monthly, averaging 20.000 Basis Point from Feb 2019 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 73 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 33.000 Basis Point in May 2019 and a record low of 5.000 Basis Point in Oct 2024. China Local Government Bond: Issuance Average Interest Rate Spread data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Ministry of Finance. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Government and Public Finance – Table CN.FA: Government Debt: Local Government: Issuance Average Interest Rate Spread.

While higher interest rates increase the cost of credit financing for businesses, this study finds that the direct impact of this traditional credit transmission mechanism on corporate bankruptcy risk is limited. Instead, our research reveals that changes in corporate behavior induced by rising debt financing costs are the root cause of bankruptcy risk. In the short term, an increase in interest rates drives businesses to substitute supply chain financing for credit financing in pursuit of profit maximization. This mismatch of short-term debt and long-term investments undermines the sustainability of the supply chain, ultimately reducing financial security—sacrificing safety for profitability. In the long term, higher interest rates exacerbate the overcapacity problem in industries, increasing the unsustainability of the production and sales balance. Using data from China’s construction industry, this study empirically tests these findings and, based on the main conclusions, provides policy suggestions regarding the long- and short-term effects of monetary policy on the sustainable development of China’s construction industry: (1) focus on short-term interest rate risks and be vigilant against commercial credit bubbles; (2) long-term monetary policy should prioritize industrial structure optimization.

Inflation Rate in China increased to 0.20 percent in October from -0.30 percent in September of 2025. This dataset provides - China Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The yield on China 30 Year Bond Yield rose to 2.09% on November 17, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.15 points and is 0.22 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for China 30Y.