Housing Index in China decreased by 3.20 percent in June from -3.50 percent in May of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - China Newly Built House Prices YoY Change - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

In 2023, the average price of real estate in China was approximately ****** yuan per square meter, representing a decrease from the previous year. Rising prices in the real estate market Since the 1998 housing reform, property prices in China have been rising continuously. Housing in the country is now often unaffordable, especially considering the modest per capita income of Chinese households. Shanghai and Beijing even have some of the most competitive real estate markets in the world. The rapid growth in housing prices has increased wealth among homeowners, while it also led to a culture of speculation among buyers and real estate developers. Housing was treated as investments, with owners expecting the prices to grow further every year. Risk factors The expectation of a steadily growing real estate market has created a property bubble and a potential debt crisis. As Chinese real estate giants, such as China Evergrande and Country Garden, operate by continuously acquiring land plots and initiating new projects, which often require substantial loans and investments, a slowdown in property demands or a decline in home prices can significantly affect the financial situation of these companies, putting China’s banks in a vulnerable position. In addition, due to a lack of regulations and monetary constraints, the long-term maintenance issues of high-rise apartments are also a concern to the sustainable development of China’s cities.

The China commercial real estate market, valued at $890 million in 2025, is projected to experience steady growth, driven by robust economic expansion and increasing urbanization. A Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.49% from 2025 to 2033 indicates a significant market expansion. Key growth drivers include rising consumer spending, a burgeoning e-commerce sector fueling demand for logistics and warehousing space, and ongoing investments in infrastructure development within key cities. The market is segmented by property type, with office, retail, industrial (logistics), and hospitality sectors contributing significantly. Strong performance in the logistics sector is particularly noteworthy, fueled by the expansion of e-commerce giants and the need for efficient supply chains. However, factors such as government regulations aimed at curbing speculative investment and potential economic fluctuations pose challenges to sustained growth. Competition among major players like Wanda Group, Greenland Business Group, and CapitaLand is intense, fostering innovation and driving down prices in certain segments. The forecast period (2025-2033) presents opportunities for strategic investors and developers to capitalize on the growth trajectory while mitigating the potential risks associated with economic volatility and regulatory changes. The historical period (2019-2024) likely showcased fluctuating growth based on national economic policies and global events. This makes understanding those historical impacts crucial to future investment strategies. The dominance of major players suggests a concentrated market, but smaller, regional developers are also carving out niches. The continued expansion of China’s middle class and increasing disposable income will further stimulate demand across all sectors, especially in the retail and hospitality segments. However, sustainable development and environmental concerns are likely to play an increasingly important role in shaping future market trends, pushing developers towards green building practices and energy-efficient designs. The evolving regulatory landscape necessitates a cautious approach, requiring careful risk assessment and compliance strategies for successful long-term investment. Future growth will hinge on adapting to both economic and environmental demands. Recent developments include: May 2023: The Beijing Suning Life Plaza mixed-use complex was recently purchased from Suning for about USD 400 million by CapitaLand Investment Private Fund with the help of Cushman & Wakefield's Greater China Capital Markets division., April 2023: AIA put US$1.3 billion into a Shanghai office-retail complex, while Ping An paid about US$7 billion for industrial and office assets in Shanghai and Beijing. Insurers, including AIA and Ping An Life Insurance, are investing billions of dollars in mainland China properties, which are expected to remain an attractive asset class for insurers despite the property market downturn.. Key drivers for this market are: Foreign Investments driving the market, Implementation of government policies driving the market. Potential restraints include: Foreign Investments driving the market, Implementation of government policies driving the market. Notable trends are: Technology and Innovation Driving the Market.

This data package includes the underlying data and files to replicate the calculations, charts, and tables presented in Is China's Property Market Heading toward Collapse?, PIIE Policy Brief 14-21. If you use the data, please cite as: Liu, Li-Gang. (2014). Is China's Property Market Heading toward Collapse?. PIIE Policy Brief 14-21. Peterson Institute for International Economics.

Revenue for the Residential Real Estate industry in China is expected to decrease at a CAGR of 9.8% over the five years through 2025. This trend includes an expected decrease of 9.6% in the current year.Since August 2020, the People's Bank of China and the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission have proposed three debt indicators for real estate development and management companies through which the company's financial health can be rated. This new policy has exacerbated the company's debt pressure, making it unable to repay old debts by borrowing new debt. Some real estate companies faced a liquidity crisis.In 2022, the city's lockdown and laying-off caused by COVID-19 epidemic led to the pressure of delaying the delivery of houses. The industry's newly constructed and completed areas decreased significantly throughout the year. In addition, the epidemic has impacted sales in the industry, and some sales offices have been forced to close temporarily. In 2022, the residential sales area decreased by 26.8%, and the residential sales decreased by 31.2%.Industry revenue will recover at an annualized 0.7% over the five years through 2030. Over the next five years, the industry's drag on GDP will weaken, and industry growth will stabilize. However, high housing prices have become a major social problem in China. Under the measures on the principle that residential real estate is used for living, not speculation, the financial attributes of real estate will gradually weaken, and housing prices will tend to stabilize.

Market Size and Growth: The China luxury residential real estate market was valued at $146.25 million in 2025 and is projected to reach $170.78 million by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.28% during the forecast period. Strong economic growth, rising disposable incomes, and increasing urbanization are fueling the demand for luxury residential properties in major cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou. Key Trends and Drivers: The market is characterized by growing demand for premium amenities, such as smart home systems, rooftop gardens, and concierge services. Government policies are also encouraging the development of luxury residential properties, with increased investment in infrastructure and incentives for foreign investors. Additionally, the rise of the high-net-worth individual (HNWI) population in China and the increasing interest in international buyers are driving the market upwards. However, factors such as strict government regulations, rising construction costs, and limited land supply may pose challenges for the industry. Recent developments include: December 2022: A joint venture led by Shui On Land has won the land-use rights to develop a residential project on a plot in Shanghai’s Yangpu district with a bid of RMB 2.38 billion (USD 340 million). The parties plan to develop the 16,993.8 square metre (182,920 square foot) parcel on Pingliang Street into a heritage preservation project incorporating a high-end, low-density residential community. A wholly owned subsidiary of Shui On holds 60% of the JV, with the remaining 40% held by state-owned developer Shanghai Yangshupu., November 2022: China’s largest lenders ready to pump over USD 162 Billion of credit into the country’s property developers, as Xi Jinping’s government retreats from tight controls on leverage in the real estate sector that had sparked a property crisis. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), China’s largest lender by assets, announced it was extending credit lines totalling RMB 655 Billion (USD 92 Billion) to 12 developers.. Key drivers for this market are: 4., Higher incomes support4.; Massive industry change. Potential restraints include: 4., High imbalance in population versus real estate index. Notable trends are: Growth of urbanization driving luxury residential real estate market.

Chinese housing prices rose by over 10 percent per year in real terms between 2003 and 2014 and are now between two and ten times higher than the construction cost of apartments. At the same time, Chinese developers built 100 billion square feet of residential real estate. This boom has been accompanied by a large increase in the number of vacant homes, held by both developers and households. This boom may turn out to be a housing bubble followed by a crash, yet that future is far from certain. The demand for real estate in China is so strong that current prices might be sustainable, especially given the sparse alternative investments for Chinese households, so long as the level of new supply is radically curtailed. Whether that happens depends on the policies of the Chinese government, which must weigh the benefits of price stability against the costs of restricting urban growth.

Despite a slowdown in the country's economy, property prices remained relatively high across China in 2023. In Shanghai, the average prices for residential housing exceeded ****** yuan per square meter, making the metropolis one of the most expensive cities to live in globally. Meanwhile, many less developed regions, such as the provinces of Guizhou, Gansu, and Guangxi, had average housing prices below ***** yuan per square meter. High property prices in major cities The commodification of real estate in the 1990s led to a rapid rise in property prices across China over the last three decades. Between 1998 and 2023, average property prices in China ************************* to more than ****** yuan per square meter. The cost of housing in core areas of major urban centers such as Shenzhen, Shanghai, and Beijing can often reach unaffordable levels, even for the middle class. Key drivers behind the housing price rise Due to the regional disparities in the country, China's rapid urbanization resulted in a high influx of internal migrants into its eastern cities, resulting in a short housing supply across many regions. At the same time, due to China's unique land and tax system, local governments are often highly dependent on land transfer revenues for their finances. As a result, many regional authorities tend to restrict the supply of available land in the market, further exacerbating property price rises across the country.

On the 2024 Fortune China *** ranking for real estate companies, China’s leading real estate developer Poly Real Estate ranked first with a total revenue of 74 million U.S. dollars, followed by Greenland Holdings and Country Garden. Real estate market in China  In the last 20 years, China’s real estate market has experienced its most prosperous development. Land purchase has also become an important source of financial revenue for many local governments. The housing price increased so rapidly, especially in larger cities, that the government had to take measures to restrict investment. With the slowdown of China’s economic development and gradually saturated market, people are also afraid of the burst of the real estate bubble. While the real estate price in smaller cities tended to stay stable or even decrease, there is still growing potential for real estate prices in larger cities, especially the first-tier cities. China’s consumers are increasingly interested in the high-quality real estate products built by leading real estate developers. Leading real estate developers in China  Compared to the ranking in 2021, there were ***** new members entering the leading ten real estate developer club in 2022. The larger developers became stronger as they had advantages in land acquisitions, financing, marketing and pricing power which is difficult for smaller developers to catch up with. Thus, consolidation is also very common among China’s real estate developers. In 2022, *** real estate giants disappeared from the fortune *** ranking list, Evergrande and Sunac. Affected by the changing real estate market, they were facing cash flow problems and were affected heavily by the debt crisis.

China's large population, the accelerating urbanization process, rising household disposable incomes, and strong economic expansion have all contributed to the development of the real estate market. As a result, demand for real estate agents in China has been rising to meet the expanding market volumes and requirements for higher transaction efficiency.Over the five years through 2025, industry revenue is anticipated to decrease at a CAGR of 3.3%, including a decline of 2.2% in 2025. A competitive market has led to speculation and inflated housing prices in recent years. As a result, the Chinese government has implemented property-purchasing and loan limitations, price restrictions, and housing tax reforms to regulate industry development and limit speculation. Since 2022, consumers' demand for real estate has declined due to the COVID-19 epidemic and economic downturn. In 2023, the newly constructed area of real estate decreased by 20.9% year-on-year, which was narrower than that in 2022, while the completed area of real estate in this year increased by 15.8%.Over the five years through 2030, ACMR-IBISWorld forecasts that China's Real Estate Agents industry will recover, with revenue increasing at a CAGR of 1.9%. Due to intensifying competition, the separation of real estate development and sales will continue. Outsourcing real estate sales operations will improve the operational efficiency of real estate developers and offer new opportunities for real estate intermediary service providers in the industry.

Housing markets are often characterized by price bubbles, and governments have instituted policies to stabilize them. Under this circumstance, this study addresses the following questions. (1) Does policy tightening change expectations in housing prices, revealing a regime change? (2) If so, what determines the housing market’s reaction to policy tightening? To answer these questions, we examine the effects of policy tightening that occurred in 2016 on the Chinese housing market where a price boom persisted in the post-2000 period. Using a log-periodic power law model and employing a modified multi-population genetic algorithm for parameter estimation, we find that tightening policy in China did not cause a market crash; instead, shifting the Chinese housing market from faster-than-exponential growth to a soft landing. We attribute this regime shift to low sensitivity in the Chinese housing market to global perturbations. Our findings suggest that government policies can help stabilize housing prices and improve market conditions when implemented expediently. Moreover, policymakers should consider preparedness for the possibility of an economic crisis and other social needs (e.g., housing affordability) for overall social welfare when managing housing price bubbles.

The global comprehensive property services market is experiencing robust growth, driven by factors such as increasing urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and the growing demand for professionally managed properties across residential and commercial sectors. The market's expansion is further fueled by technological advancements, such as smart building technologies and property management software, which enhance efficiency and streamline operations. Key application segments, including medical institutions, administrators, enterprises, and educational institutions, are significant contributors to market revenue. The residential property management segment currently holds a larger market share compared to non-residential, but both are projected to experience considerable growth over the forecast period (2025-2033). While the market faces restraints such as economic downturns and fluctuating real estate prices, the long-term outlook remains positive, driven by consistent demand for improved property management services and the ongoing expansion of the global real estate sector. Major players in the market are actively investing in technological upgrades and strategic acquisitions to gain a competitive edge and cater to the evolving needs of their clients. Regional variations in market growth are expected, with Asia-Pacific, particularly China and India, likely to witness substantial growth due to rapid urbanization and infrastructural development. North America and Europe will also contribute significantly to the overall market size, although potentially at a slightly slower pace compared to the Asia-Pacific region. The projected Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicates a steady increase in market value throughout the forecast period. This growth will be influenced by several factors including government initiatives to improve infrastructure and housing, the increasing adoption of sustainable building practices, and the continued demand for high-quality property management solutions in both developed and developing economies. The segmentation by type (residential vs. non-residential) offers opportunities for specialized service providers to focus on specific market niches. Companies are likely to leverage data analytics and predictive modeling to optimize resource allocation and anticipate future market trends, further enhancing their operational efficiency and market competitiveness. The competitive landscape is characterized by a mix of large multinational corporations and regional players, with a trend towards consolidation and strategic partnerships as companies strive to expand their geographic reach and service offerings.

The Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008), which began due to the collapse of the U.S. housing market, had a negative effect in many regions across the globe. The global recession which followed the crisis in 2008 and 2009 showed how interdependent and synchronized many of the world's economies had become, with the largest advanced economies showing very similar patterns of negative GDP growth during the crisis. Among the largest emerging economies (commonly referred to as the 'E7'), however, a different pattern emerged, with some countries avoiding a recession altogether. Some commentators have particularly pointed to 2008-2009 as the moment in which China emerged on the world stage as an economic superpower and a key driver of global economic growth. The Great Recession in the developing world While some countries, such as Russia, Mexico, and Turkey, experienced severe recessions due to their connections to the United States and Europe, others such as China, India, and Indonesia managed to record significant economic growth during the period. This can be partly explained by the decoupling from western financial systems which these countries undertook following the Asian financial crises of 1997, making many Asian nations more wary of opening their countries to 'hot money' from other countries. Other likely explanations of this trend are that these countries have large domestic economies which are not entirely reliant on the advanced economies, that their export sectors produce goods which are inelastic (meaning they are still bought during recessions), and that the Chinese economic stimulus worth almost 600 billion U.S. dollars in 2008/2009 increased growth in the region.

Portugal, Canada, and the United States were the countries with the highest house price to income ratio in 2024. In all three countries, the index exceeded 130 index points, while the average for all OECD countries stood at 116.2 index points. The index measures the development of housing affordability and is calculated by dividing nominal house price by nominal disposable income per head, with 2015 set as a base year when the index amounted to 100. An index value of 120, for example, would mean that house price growth has outpaced income growth by 20 percent since 2015. How have house prices worldwide changed since the COVID-19 pandemic? House prices started to rise gradually after the global financial crisis (2007–2008), but this trend accelerated with the pandemic. The countries with advanced economies, which usually have mature housing markets, experienced stronger growth than countries with emerging economies. Real house price growth (accounting for inflation) peaked in 2022 and has since lost some of the gain. Although, many countries experienced a decline in house prices, the global house price index shows that property prices in 2023 were still substantially higher than before COVID-19. Renting vs. buying In the past, house prices have grown faster than rents. However, the home affordability has been declining notably, with a direct impact on rental prices. As people struggle to buy a property of their own, they often turn to rental accommodation. This has resulted in a growing demand for rental apartments and soaring rental prices.

The Asia-Pacific condominiums and apartments market is experiencing robust growth, driven by rapid urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and a burgeoning middle class across key economies like China, India, and Japan. The market's Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 7.80% from 2019 to 2024 indicates a significant upward trajectory. This expansion is fueled by increasing demand for modern, comfortable housing, particularly in densely populated urban centers. Government initiatives promoting affordable housing and infrastructure development further contribute to market expansion. However, challenges such as fluctuating property prices, stringent regulatory environments in certain countries, and potential economic downturns could act as restraints on growth. The market is segmented geographically, with China, India, and Japan holding considerable market share, while other Southeast Asian nations are showing increasing potential. The substantial growth witnessed across the region demonstrates a favorable outlook for investors and developers, despite potential economic uncertainties. The competitive landscape includes both established international players and prominent local developers, reflecting a dynamic and evolving market. Further analysis indicates that within the segment of Production Analysis, consumption analysis is particularly strong in major metropolitan areas, fueled by high population densities and robust economic activity. Import and export analyses of the market reveal a complex interplay of local production and international trade, influenced by global supply chains and economic policy. Price trends show cyclical fluctuations, influenced by material costs, interest rates, and overall economic conditions. The market's future is characterized by a continued emphasis on sustainable building practices, technological integration in property management, and a growing focus on luxury and high-end residential options. The forecast period of 2025-2033 promises continued expansion of the Asia-Pacific condominiums and apartments market, although at a potentially moderated rate compared to previous years. While the CAGR will likely settle somewhat, the underlying drivers – urbanization, increasing affluence, and evolving lifestyle preferences – remain strong. The market will likely see further segmentation based on factors like property type (luxury vs. affordable), location, and amenities offered. Strategic partnerships between developers and technology companies will become increasingly common, driving innovation in areas such as smart home technology and property management solutions. Regulatory changes aiming to enhance transparency and affordability within the housing sector will continue to shape market dynamics. The successful navigation of potential economic fluctuations and the adaptation to evolving consumer preferences will be crucial for sustained growth during this forecast period. Continuous monitoring of economic indicators and demographic trends will be key to making accurate predictions regarding future market performance. Recent developments include: October 2022: The USD 280 million Gold Coast condo development in Australia is a collaboration between Banda, a development and design studio founded by Princess Beatrice's husband, Edo Mapelli Mozzi, and Australian real estate expert Rory O'Brien. The new development will provide the most luxurious condos in the area. Banda Design Studio will create 28 units: 20 residences, five sky homes, two duplex sub-penthouses, and a super-penthouse., March 2022: Goldman Sachs may collaborate with trading firm Sojitz to acquire and renovate older apartments that would otherwise go unnoticed by real estate investors. By the summer, they plan to form a joint venture to focus on rental housing in major Japanese cities. Properties that have been improved will be sold in batches to financial institutions and investment funds. The partners intend to invest JPY 40-50 billion (USD 323-405 million) in the company each year.. Notable trends are: Increase in Demand for Rental Properties.

Solvency issues at China’s second-largest residential property developer, the Evergrande Group, threaten to send shockwaves across the global economy.

From the Summer of 2007 until the end of 2009 (at least), the world was gripped by a series of economic crises commonly known as the Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008) and the Great Recession (2008-2009). The financial crisis was triggered by the collapse of the U.S. housing market, which caused panic on Wall Street, the center of global finance in New York. Due to the outsized nature of the U.S. economy compared to other countries and particularly the centrality of U.S. finance for the world economy, the crisis spread quickly to other countries, affecting most regions across the globe. By 2009, global GDP growth was in negative territory, with international credit markets frozen, international trade contracting, and tens of millions of workers being made unemployed.

Global similarities, global differences

Since the 1980s, the world economy had entered a period of integration and globalization. This process particularly accelerated after the collapse of the Soviet Union ended the Cold War (1947-1991). This was the period of the 'Washington Consensus', whereby the U.S. and international institutions such as the World Bank and IMF promoted policies of economic liberalization across the globe. This increasing interdependence and openness to the global economy meant that when the crisis hit in 2007, many countries experienced the same issues. This is particularly evident in the synchronization of the recessions in the most advanced economies of the G7. Nevertheless, the aggregate global GDP number masks the important regional differences which occurred during the recession. While the more advanced economies of North America, Western Europe, and Japan were all hit hard, along with countries who are reliant on them for trade or finance, large emerging economies such as India and China bucked this trend. In particular, China's huge fiscal stimulus in 2008-2009 likely did much to prevent the global economy from sliding further into a depression. In 2009, while the United States' GDP sank to -2.6 percent, China's GDP, as reported by national authorities, was almost 10 percent.