The China Residential Real Estate Market Report is Segmented by Type (Villas and Landed Houses, Apartments and Condominiums) and by City (Shenzhen, Beijing, Shanghai, Hangzhou, Guangzhou, and Other Cities). The Report Offers the Market Sizes and Forecasts for the China Residential Real Estate Market in Value (USD) for all the Above Segments.

In 2023, the average price of real estate in China was approximately 10,438 yuan per square meter, representing a decrease from the previous year. Rising prices in the real estate market Since the 1998 housing reform, property prices in China have been rising continuously. Housing in the country is now often unaffordable, especially considering the modest per capita income of Chinese households. Shanghai and Beijing even have some of the most competitive real estate markets in the world. The rapid growth in housing prices has increased wealth among homeowners, while it also led to a culture of speculation among buyers and real estate developers. Housing was treated as investments, with owners expecting the prices to grow further every year. Risk factors The expectation of a steadily growing real estate market has created a property bubble and a potential debt crisis. As Chinese real estate giants, such as China Evergrande and Country Garden, operate by continuously acquiring land plots and initiating new projects, which often require substantial loans and investments, a slowdown in property demands or a decline in home prices can significantly affect the financial situation of these companies, putting China’s banks in a vulnerable position. In addition, due to a lack of regulations and monetary constraints, the long-term maintenance issues of high-rise apartments are also a concern to the sustainable development of China’s cities.

Key information about House Prices Growth

• China house prices dropped 4.1% YoY in Dec 2024, following a decrease of 4.8% YoY in the previous month.
• YoY growth data is updated monthly, available from Mar 1999 to Dec 2024, with an average growth rate of 7.4%.
• House price data reached an all-time high of 25.0% in Feb 2010 and a record low of -12.6% in Apr 1999.

In 2022, the average price for residential real estate in Shenzhen was over 55.700 thousand yuan per square meter. This was the highest price among all major cities in China, with the average price across the country amounting to 17,359 yuan per square meter. A pillar of the Chinese economy China gradually abolished its welfare housing allocation system and liberalized its real estate market in the 1990s. In 2003, the government declared the real estate sector as one of the pillars of the Chinese economy. Thanks to the country's rapid economic development and urbanization, China's real estate market expanded significantly in the last two decades, with the sector accounting for about seven percent of China's GDP in 2022. Unaffordable in major urban centers While the real estate industry greatly contributed to the growth of China's economy, the housing market boom also created social issues and financial risks. In comparison to household income, property prices in major cities, most notably Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, are extraordinarily expensive for average citizens. Soaring housing prices have also led to a rapid division of wealth between homeowners and renters. At the same time, debt problems created by the rapid expansion of real estate companies and the high levels of debt accumulated by Chinese citizens have created serious potential hazards for China's financial system.

Since the 1998 housing reform, the Chinese real estate market went through more than two decades of prosperity. The overall sales revenue of commercial residential housing skyrocketed from 251.3 billion yuan in 1998 to over five trillion yuan in 2012, and more than 16 trillion yuan in 2021. However, sales revenue dropped considerably in 2022, and reached only around 8.5 trillion yuan in 2024. With demands for residential housing potentially falling, the sector is posing a significant risk to the long-term healthy development of the Chinese economy.

The Report Covers Commercial Real Estate Companies in China and the Market is Segmented by Type (office, Retail, Industrial (Logistics), and Hospitality). The Report Offers Market Size and Forecasts for the China Commercial Real Estate Market in Value (USD) for all the Above Segments.

The China Luxury Residential Real Estate Market Report is segmented by type (villas and landed houses, apartments and condominiums) and by cities (Beijing, Wuhan, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou and Other cities). The report offers market size and forecasts for the China Luxury Residential Real Estate Market in value (USD billion) for all the above segments.

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Real Estate Market Size 2025-2029

The real estate market size is forecast to increase by USD 1,258.6 billion at a CAGR of 5.6% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant shifts and innovations, with both residential and commercial sectors adapting to new trends and challenges. In the commercial realm, e-commerce growth is driving the demand for logistics and distribution centers, while virtual reality technology is revolutionizing property viewings. Europe's commercial real estate sector is witnessing a rise in smart city development, incorporating LED lighting and data centers to enhance sustainability and efficiency. In the residential sector, wellness real estate is gaining popularity, focusing on health and well-being. Real estate software and advertising services are essential tools for asset management, streamlining operations, and reaching potential buyers. Regulatory uncertainty remains a challenge, but innovation in construction technologies, such as generators and renewable energy solutions, is helping mitigate risks.

What will be the Size of the Real Estate Market During the Forecast Period?

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The market continues to exhibit strong activity, driven by rising population growth and increasing demand for personal household space. Both residential and commercial sectors have experienced a rebound in home sales and leasing activity. The trend towards live-streaming rooms and remote work has further fueled demand for housing and commercial real estate. Economic conditions and local market dynamics influence the direction of the market, with interest rates playing a significant role in investment decisions. Fully furnished, semi-furnished, and unfurnished properties, as well as rental properties, remain popular options for buyers and tenants. Offline transactions continue to dominate, but online transactions are gaining traction.
The market encompasses a diverse range of assets, including land, improvements, buildings, fixtures, roads, structures, utility systems, and undeveloped property. Vacant land and undeveloped property present opportunities for investors, while the construction and development of new housing and commercial projects contribute to the market's overall growth.

How is this Real Estate Industry segmented and which is the largest segment?

The industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Type

  Residential
  Commercial
  Industrial


Business Segment

  Rental
  Sales


Manufacturing Type

  New construction
  Renovation and redevelopment
  Land development


Geography

  APAC

    China
    India
    Japan
    South Korea


  North America

    Canada
    US


  Europe

    Germany
    UK


  South America

    Brazil


  Middle East and Africa

By Type Insights

The residential segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

The market encompasses the buying and selling of properties designed for dwelling purposes, including buildings, single-family homes, apartments, townhouses, and more. Factors fueling growth in this sector include the increasing homeownership rate among millennials and urbanization trends. The Asia Pacific region, specifically China, dominates the market due to escalating homeownership rates. In India, the demand for affordable housing is a major driver, with initiatives like Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (PMAY) spurring the development of affordable housing projects catering to the needs of lower and middle-income groups. The commercial real estate segment, consisting of office buildings, shopping malls, hotels, and other commercial properties, is also experiencing growth.

Furthermore, economic and local market conditions, interest rates, and investment opportunities in fully furnished, semi-furnished, unfurnished properties, and rental properties influence the market dynamics. Technological integration, infrastructure development, and construction projects further shape the real estate landscape. Key sectors like transportation, logistics, agriculture, and the e-commerce sector also impact the market.

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The Residential segment was valued at USD 1440.30 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

APAC is estimated to contribute 64% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.

Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

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The Asia Pacific region holds the largest share of The market, dr

China Real Estate Investment data was reported at 12,026,351.460 RMB mn in 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 10,979,852.880 RMB mn for 2017. China Real Estate Investment data is updated yearly, averaging 779,092.230 RMB mn from Dec 1986 (Median) to 2018, with 33 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 12,026,351.460 RMB mn in 2018 and a record low of 10,100.000 RMB mn in 1986. China Real Estate Investment data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Bureau of Statistics. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Real Estate Sector – Table CN.RKA: Real Estate Investment: Summary.

In 2024, the total sales revenue from commercialized real estate sold in China amounted to around 9.7 trillion yuan. This figure includes total sales of residential real estate, office real estate, real estate for business use, and others, generated by real estate developers in China.

House Price Index MoM in China decreased to -0.10 percent in February from 0 percent in January of 2025. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for China House Price Index MoM.

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Residential Real Estate Market Size 2024-2028

The residential real estate market size is forecast to increase by USD 482.1 billion at a CAGR of 4.6% between 2023 and 2028.

The market is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing demand from a growing population and urbanization trends. This demand is further fueled by marketing initiatives from real estate developers and agents, who are leveraging digital platforms and creative campaigns to attract buyers. However, regulatory uncertainty poses a challenge to market growth, with varying regulations and policies in different regions impacting investment decisions. For companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities, it is essential to stay informed of regulatory changes and adapt strategies accordingly. Additionally, collaboration with local experts and partnerships with regulatory bodies can help navigate complex regulatory landscapes and ensure compliance. Overall, the market presents significant opportunities for growth, but requires a strategic approach to address regulatory challenges and effectively target demand. Companies that can navigate these challenges and adapt to local market conditions will be well-positioned to succeed in this dynamic market.

What will be the Size of the Residential Real Estate Market during the forecast period?

Request Free SampleThe market continues to exhibit activity, driven by strong economic fundamentals and population growth. In nominal terms, the market size reached an all-time high in the latest fiscal year, with discerning buyers demonstrating continued interest in spacious accommodations. However, macroeconomic headwinds, such as rising interest rates and inflation, pose challenges for some potential homebuyers. Economic factors, including GDP per capita and purchasing power, remain essential support for the housing market. Despite these conditions, property launches in the luxury residential sector have shown resilience, catering to the demand for high-end living spaces. Residential construction remains a critical component of the market, with new housing units being added to meet the growing demand for homes. Overall, the market is expected to remain a significant contributor to the economy, offering opportunities for both investors and homebuyers.

How is this Residential Real Estate Industry segmented?

The residential real estate industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2024-2028, as well as historical data from 2018-2022 for the following segments. Mode Of BookingSalesRental/LeaseTypeApartments and condominiumsLanded houses and villasGeographyAPACChinaJapanNorth AmericaUSEuropeGermanyUKSouth AmericaMiddle East and Africa

By Mode Of Booking Insights

The sales segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

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The Sales segment was valued at USD 896.60 billion in 2018 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

APAC is estimated to contribute 54% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.Technavio’s analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

For more insights on the market size of various regions, Request Free Sample

The market in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region held the largest market share in 2023 and is anticipated to continue leading the market growth during the forecast period. Key drivers of this expansion include population growth and increasing purchasing power, leading to a in demand for spacious accommodations. Rapid urbanization and economic fundamentals, such as GDP per capita, have fueled the construction of new housing units, particularly in countries like India and China. Furthermore, domestic demand and foreign homebuyers have contributed to the unsold inventory overhang, creating investment opportunities in underconstruction properties. Despite these positive indicators, challenges persist, including affordability concerns and critical input costs. In the context of the US housing market, the residential real estate sector offers investment opportunities through traditional options, such as home ownership and rental cash flow, as well as low-risk methods, like investment portfolios. Key economic factors, such as interest rates and supply metrics, impact residential property prices, which may vary in real and nominal terms. The market is also influenced by changing consumer preferences, regulatory reforms, and technological transformation, including home automation and cutting-edge strategies.

Market Dynamics

Our researchers analyzed the data with 2023 as the base year, along with the key drivers, trends, and challenges. A holi

China Market Cap: Shanghai SE: Real Estate data was reported at 634,442.000 RMB mn in Feb 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 604,391.000 RMB mn for Jan 2025. China Market Cap: Shanghai SE: Real Estate data is updated monthly, averaging 498,324.500 RMB mn from Apr 2001 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 286 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1,535,433.000 RMB mn in Dec 2015 and a record low of 43,491.060 RMB mn in Jul 2005. China Market Cap: Shanghai SE: Real Estate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Shanghai Stock Exchange. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Financial Market – Table CN.ZA: Shanghai Stock Exchange: Market Capitalization.

China GDP: TI: Real Estate data was reported at 2,218.482 RMB bn in Dec 2024. This records an increase from the previous number of 2,016.400 RMB bn for Sep 2024. China GDP: TI: Real Estate data is updated quarterly, averaging 478.450 RMB bn from Mar 1992 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 132 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2,412.010 RMB bn in Dec 2020 and a record low of 20.910 RMB bn in Mar 1992. China GDP: TI: Real Estate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Bureau of Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s China – Table CN.AA: Gross Domestic Product: Quarterly.

In 2023, the value of personal housing loans in China amounted to 38.17 trillion yuan, representing a slight drop of 1.6 percent compared to the previous year. The overall value of outstanding mortgages more than doubled between 2016 and 2021 before it plateaued afterwards.

A key factor to the growth of the real estate market China's personal housing loan market emerged in the 1990s in tandem with the marketization of the country's real estate sector. Its subsequent expansion also mirrored the growth in the property industry. Thanks to the dramatic rise in home prices across China since the early 2000s, substantial capital has poured into the market through real estate development loans and personal housing credits. For almost two decades, many Chinese middle class citizens accumulated their personal wealth through the considerable appreciation of their properties, which they financed with the help of mortgages.

Risks The persistently high level of outstanding personal mortgage is becoming increasingly concerning amidst China’s current economic and market situation. With the country’s economic slowdown and the oversupply in the property sector, the housing market is losing steam, resulting in elevated risks of bad debts to financial institutions. At the same time, the household debt in China is now staying above 60 percent of the country’s GDP, undermining the ability to consume and invest in the Chinese population.

CN: Real Estate Investment: Hunan data was reported at 335,059.300 RMB mn in 2024. This records a decrease from the previous number of 383,306.000 RMB mn for 2023. CN: Real Estate Investment: Hunan data is updated yearly, averaging 221,052.000 RMB mn from Dec 2000 (Median) to 2024, with 25 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 542,782.610 RMB mn in 2021 and a record low of 7,483.000 RMB mn in 2000. CN: Real Estate Investment: Hunan data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Bureau of Statistics. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Real Estate Sector – Table CN.RKA: Real Estate Investment: Summary.

This data package includes the underlying data files to replicate the data and charts presented in Why China's housing policies have failed, PIIE Working Paper 23-5.

If you use the data, please cite as: Huang, Tianlei. 2023. Why China's housing policies have failed. PIIE Working Paper 23-5. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

Revenue for the Real Estate Development and Management industry in China is expected to decrease at a CAGR of 3.9% over the five years through 2024. This trend includes an expected decrease of 2.3% in the current year.Since August 2020, the People's Bank of China and the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission have proposed three debt indicators for real estate development and management companies through which the company's financial health can be rated. This new policy has exacerbated the company's debt pressure, making it unable to repay old debts by borrowing new debt. Some real estate companies faced a liquidity crisis.In 2022, the city's lockdown and laying-off caused by COVID-19 epidemic led to the pressure of delaying the delivery of houses. The industry's newly constructed and completed areas decreased significantly throughout the year. In addition, the epidemic has impacted sales in the real estate development and management industry, and some sales offices have been forced to close temporarily. In 2022, the sales area of commercial housing decreased by 24.3%, and the sales of commercial housing decreased significantly by 29.8%.Industry revenue will recover at an annualized 3.4% over the five years through 2029. Over the next five years, the industry's drag on GDP will weaken, and industry growth will stabilize. However, high housing prices have become a major social problem in China. Under the measures on the principle that residential real estate is used for living, not speculation, the financial attributes of real estate will gradually weaken, and housing prices will tend to stabilize.

The statistic shows the average real estate sale price of residential real estate in China between 2013 and 2023. In 2023, one square meter of real estate in China cost, on average 10,864 yuan.

Graph and download economic data for Real Residential Property Prices for China (QCNR368BIS) from Q2 2006 to Q3 2024 about China, residential, housing, real, and price.