According to preliminary figures, the growth of real gross domestic product (GDP) in China amounted to 5.0 percent in 2024. For 2025, the IMF expects a GDP growth rate of around 3.95 percent. Real GDP growth The current gross domestic product is an important indicator of the economic strength of a country. It refers to the total market value of all goods and services that are produced within a country per year. When analyzing year-on-year changes, the current GDP is adjusted for inflation, thus making it constant. Real GDP growth is regarded as a key indicator for economic growth as it incorporates constant GDP figures. As of 2024, China was among the leading countries with the largest gross domestic product worldwide, second only to the United States which had a GDP volume of almost 29.2 trillion U.S. dollars. The Chinese GDP has shown remarkable growth over the past years. Upon closer examination of the distribution of GDP across economic sectors, a gradual shift from an economy heavily based on industrial production towards an economy focused on services becomes visible, with the service industry outpacing the manufacturing sector in terms of GDP contribution. Key indicator balance of trade Another important indicator for economic assessment is the balance of trade, which measures the relationship between imports and exports of a nation. As an economy heavily reliant on manufacturing and industrial production, China has reached a trade surplus over the last decade, with a total trade balance of around 992 billion U.S. dollars in 2024.

This data package includes the PIIE dataset to replicate the data and charts presented in The rise of US economic sanctions on China: Analysis of a new PIIE dataset by Martin Chorzempa, Mary E. Lovely, and Christine Wan, PIIE Policy Brief 24-14.

If you use the dataset, please cite as: Chorzempa, Martin, Mary E. Lovely, and Christine Wan. 2024. The rise of US economic sanctions on China: Analysis of a new PIIE dataset, PIIE Policy Brief 24-14. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

The graph shows China's share in global gross domestic product adjusted for purchasing-power-parity until 2024, with a forecast until 2030. In 2024, China's share was about 19.45 percent. China's global GDP share Due to the introduction of capitalist market principles in 1978, China's economic market began to show immense change and growth. China's real GDP growth ranged at 5.0 percent in 2024. China's per capita GDP is also expected to continue to grow, reaching 13,300 U.S. dollars in 2024. Comparatively, Luxembourg and Switzerland have some of the world’s largest GDP per capita with 141,100 U.S. dollars and 111,700 U.S. dollars, respectively, expected for 2025.China is the largest exporter and second largest importer of goods in the world and is also among the largest manufacturing economies. The country also ranges among the world's largest agricultural producers and consumers. It relies heavily on intensive agricultural practices and is the world's largest producer of pigs, chickens, and eggs. Livestock production has been heavily emphasized since the mid-1970s. China’s chemical industry has also seen growth with a heavy focus on fertilizers, plastics, and synthetic fibers. China's use of chemical fertilizers amounted to approximately 50.2 million metric tons in 2023. GDP composition in China Industry and construction account for less than 40 percent of China's GDP. Some of the major industries include mining and ore processing, food processing, coal, machinery, textiles and apparel, and consumer products. Almost half of China's output is dedicated to investment purposes. However, as the country tends to support gross output, innovation, technological advancement, and even quality are often lacking.

Key information about China GDP Per Capita

• China Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per Capita reached 13,306.173 USD in Dec 2024, compared with 12,959.024 USD in Dec 2023.
• China GDP Per Capita data is updated yearly, available from Dec 1957 to Dec 2024, with an average number of 388.951 USD.
• The data reached an all-time high of 13,306.173 USD in Dec 2024 and a record low of 68.243 in Dec 1957.
• CEIC converts annual GDP per Capita into USD. The National Bureau of Statistics provides GDP per Capita in local currency. Federal Reserve Board average market exchange rate is used for currency conversions.

• In the latest reports, China GDP expanded 4.550 % YoY in Mar 2023.
• China Nominal GDP reached 4,166.759 USD bn in Mar 2023.
• Its GDP deflator (implicit price deflator) increased 0.400 % in Mar 2023.
• Gross Savings Rate of China was measured at 44.277 % in Dec 2023.

Historical chart and dataset showing China GDP by year from 1960 to 2023.

China boasts the fastest growing GDP of all developed nations. Neighboring regions will have the largest middle class in history. China is building transport infrastructure to take advantage. Companies that capture market share in this region will be the largest and best performing over the next decade.

Macro Tailwinds

1) China GDP is the fastest growing of any major country with expected 5-6% over the next decade. If businesses (Alibaba, Tencent, etc..) maintain flat market share, that alone will drive 5-6% over the next decade. This is already higher than JP Morgans expectation (from their 13f filings) that the US market will perform between -5% and +5% over this coming decade.

2) The Southeast Asia Region contains about 5 billion people. China is constructing the One Best One Road which will be completed by 2030. This will grant their businesses access to the fastest and largest growing middle class in human history. Over the next 10+ years this region will be home to the largest middle class in history, potentially over 10x that of North America and Europe, based on stock price in Google Sheets.

Increasing average Chinese income.

Chinese average income has more than doubled over the last decade. Having sustained the least economic damage from the virus, this trend is expected to continue. At this pace the average Chinese citizen salary will be at 50% of the average US by 2030 (with stock price in Excel provided by Finsheet via Finnhub Stock Api), with the difference being there are 4x more Chinese. Thus a market potential of almost 2x the US over the next decade.

The Southeast Asia Region now contains the largest total number of billionaires, this number is expected to increase at an increasing rate as the region continues to develop. Over the next 10 years the largest trading route ever assembled will be completed, and China will be the primary provider of goods to 5b+ people

2013 North America was home to the largest number of billionaires. This reversed with Asia over the following 5 years. This separation is expected to continue at an increasing rate. Why does this matter? Over the next 10 years the largest trading route ever assembled will be completed, and China will be the primary provider of goods to 5b+ people

Companies that can easily access all customers in the world will perform best. This is good news for Apple, Microsoft, and Disney. Disney stock price in Excel right now is $70. But not for Amazon or Google which at first may sound contrary as the expectation is that Amazon "will take over the world". However one cannot do that without first conquering China. Firms like Alibaba and Tencent will have easy access to the global infrastructure being built by China in an attempt to speed up and ease trade in that region. The following guide shows how to get stock price in Excel.

We will explore companies using a:

1) Past

2) Present (including financial statements)

3) Future

4) Story/Tailwind

Method to find investing ideas in these regions. The tailwind is currently largest in the Asia region with 6%+ GDP growth according to the latest SEC form 4 from Edgar Company Search. This is relevant as investments in this region have a greater margin of safety; investing in a company that maintains flat market share should increase about 6% per year as the market growth size is so significant. The next article I will explore Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), and why I recently purchased a large position during the recent Ant Financial Crisis.

The graph shows per capita gross domestic product (GDP) in China until 2024, with forecasts until 2030. In 2024, per capita GDP reached around 13,300 U.S. dollars in China. That year, the overall GDP of China had amounted to 18.7 trillion U.S. dollars. Per capita GDP in China Gross domestic product is a commonly-used economic indicator for measuring the state of a country's economy. GDP is the total market value of goods and services produced in a country within a given period of time, usually a year. Per capita GDP is defined as the GDP divided by the total number of people in the country. This indicator is generally used to compare the economic prosperity of countries with varying population sizes.In 2010, China overtook Japan and became the world’s second-largest economy. As of 2024, it was the largest exporter and the second largest importer in the world. However, one reason behind its economic strength lies within its population size. China has to distribute its wealth among 1.4 billion people. By 2023, China's per capita GDP was only about one fourth as large as that of main industrialized countries. When compared to other emerging markets, China ranked second among BRIC countries in terms of GDP per capita. Future development According to projections by the IMF, per capita GDP in China will escalate from around 13,300 U.S. dollars in 2024 to 18,600 U.S. dollars in 2030. Major reasons for this are comparatively high economic growth rates combined with negative population growth. China's economic structure is also undergoing changes. A major trend lies in the shift from an industry-based to a service-based economy.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in China expanded 1.10 percent in the second quarter of 2025 over the previous quarter. This dataset provides - China GDP Growth Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

China: Exports of goods and services as percent of GDP: The latest value from 2024 is 20.02 percent, an increase from 19.1 percent in 2023. In comparison, the world average is 44.58 percent, based on data from 134 countries. Historically, the average for China from 1960 to 2024 is 14.7 percent. The minimum value, 2.45 percent, was reached in 1970 while the maximum of 35.53 percent was recorded in 2006.

China Exports to United States was US$525.65 Billion during 2024, according to the United Nations COMTRADE database on international trade. China Exports to United States - data, historical chart and statistics - was last updated on July of 2025.

Key information about China Gross National Product (GNP)

• China Gross National Product (GNP) was reported at 18,617.329 USD bn in Dec 2024.
• This records an increase from the previous number of 18,131.846 USD bn for Dec 2023.
• China Gross National Product (GNP) data is updated yearly, averaging 435.702 USD bn from Dec 1957 to 2024, with 68 observations.
• The data reached an all-time high of 18,617.329 USD bn in 2024 and a record low of 43.606 USD bn in 1957.

• China Gross National Product (GNP) data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data.
• CEIC converts annual Gross National Product into USD. The National Bureau of Statistics provides Gross National Product in local currency. Federal Reserve Board average market exchange rate is used for currency conversions.

China GDP: PPP: 2017 Price data was reported at 25,684,414.532 Intl $ mn in 2022. This records an increase from the previous number of 24,938,967.814 Intl $ mn for 2021. China GDP: PPP: 2017 Price data is updated yearly, averaging 7,839,613.420 Intl $ mn from Dec 1990 (Median) to 2022, with 33 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 25,684,414.532 Intl $ mn in 2022 and a record low of 1,616,385.776 Intl $ mn in 1990. China GDP: PPP: 2017 Price data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s China – Table CN.World Bank.WDI: Gross Domestic Product: Purchasing Power Parity. PPP GDP is gross domestic product converted to international dollars using purchasing power parity rates. An international dollar has the same purchasing power over GDP as the U.S. dollar has in the United States. GDP is the sum of gross value added by all resident producers in the country plus any product taxes and minus any subsidies not included in the value of the products. It is calculated without making deductions for depreciation of fabricated assets or for depletion and degradation of natural resources. Data are in constant 2017 international dollars.;International Comparison Program, World Bank | World Development Indicators database, World Bank | Eurostat-OECD PPP Programme.;Gap-filled total;

China recorded a trade surplus of 114.77 USD Billion in June of 2025. This dataset provides - China Balance of Trade - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

GDP per capita (current US$) in China was reported at 13303 USD in 2024, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. China - GDP per capita - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on July of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Purchasing Power Parity Converted GDP Per Capita Relative to the United States, average GEKS-CPDW, at current prices for China (PGD2USCNA621NUPN) from 1952 to 2010 about PPP, China, per capita, and GDP.

United States US: Trade Balance: Emerging and Developing Economies: Emerging and Developing Asia: China, People Republic: Mainland data was reported at -375.228 USD bn in 2017. This records a decrease from the previous number of -347.038 USD bn for 2016. United States US: Trade Balance: Emerging and Developing Economies: Emerging and Developing Asia: China, People Republic: Mainland data is updated yearly, averaging -11.489 USD bn from Dec 1948 (Median) to 2017, with 55 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.591 USD bn in 1980 and a record low of -375.228 USD bn in 2017. United States US: Trade Balance: Emerging and Developing Economies: Emerging and Developing Asia: China, People Republic: Mainland data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by International Monetary Fund. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.IMF.DOT: Trade Balance: by Country: Annual.

The gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of all major economies included except China was negative in 2020 following the COVID-19 pandemic. Growth rates were positive again in 2021, but stagnated in some countries in 2023 amid high inflation rates. What does GDP measure? GDP is the sum of all consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports in an economy. As such, different things drive the growth of each of these countries. Germany benefits from a high value of net exports, also known as its trade balance. Drawbacks of GDP growth as a metric GDP measures growth, but it does not capture welfare gains correctly in many cases. For example, carbon dioxide emissions often go hand in hand with a growing GDP. These emissions are from industry, such as coal power plants, or consumption, such as driving cars, but GDP does not measure the damage from these activities. Also, national debt is not incorporated into GDP.

Graph and download economic data for U.S. Exports of Goods by F.A.S. Basis to Mainland China from Jan 1985 to May 2025 about China, exports, goods, and USA.

In 2023, the United States accounted for 15.56 percent of global gross domestic product (GDP) after adjusting for purchasing power parity (PPP). This share was expected to decrease to 14.72 percent by 2029, which is roughly a seventh of the global total. What is PPP? The easiest way to understand purchasing power parity is the Big Mac Index, a measure developed by The Economist. The index tracks the price of the McDonald’s Big Mac burger, sold at each of its thousands of restaurants worldwide. Countries where the Big Mac is most expensive have higher purchasing power, meaning one can buy more for each unit of that currency. To calculate PPP, economists use a group of goods to calculate the ratio of the price of this group in each country. This ratio is then used to convert all countries into a standardized price level, on parity with each other. Why use PPP? A U.S. dollar in the United States does not have the same purchasing power as a dollar in China, even after considering the exchange rate. For this reason, adjusting for PPP gives an idea of what the rest of the world could buy in the United States, if prices were the same as in their home country. However, some economists argue that using PPP for comparisons between countries is inaccurate because it changes the price level differently for each country. Still, because it accounts not only for country-specific effects but also inflation and exchange rate fluctuations, PPP is a very popular metric.

United States Exports: Services: China: TCI: Computer data was reported at 429.000 USD mn in 2016. This records an increase from the previous number of 389.000 USD mn for 2015. United States Exports: Services: China: TCI: Computer data is updated yearly, averaging 265.000 USD mn from Dec 2006 (Median) to 2016, with 11 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 429.000 USD mn in 2016 and a record low of 69.000 USD mn in 2006. United States Exports: Services: China: TCI: Computer data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bureau of Economic Analysis. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.JA035: Trade Statistics: Services: China.