The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland provides daily “nowcasts” of inflation for two popular price indexes, the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). These nowcasts give a sense of where inflation is today. Released each business day.

United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): sa: MoM data was reported at 0.185 % in Dec 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.178 % for Nov 2018. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): sa: MoM data is updated monthly, averaging 0.153 % from Aug 2013 (Median) to Dec 2018, with 65 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.193 % in Mar 2016 and a record low of 0.129 % in Mar 2014. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): sa: MoM data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I007: Consumer Price Index: Urban: sa: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Consumer Price Index (CPI): YoY data was reported at 2.291 % in Nov 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.484 % for Oct 2018. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Consumer Price Index (CPI): YoY data is updated monthly, averaging 1.597 % from Aug 2013 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 64 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.935 % in Jul 2018 and a record low of -0.184 % in Apr 2015. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Consumer Price Index (CPI): YoY data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I003: Consumer Price Index: Urban: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Consumer Price Index (CPI): sa: MoM data was reported at 0.154 % in Nov 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.291 % for Oct 2018. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Consumer Price Index (CPI): sa: MoM data is updated monthly, averaging 0.147 % from Aug 2013 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 64 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.572 % in Sep 2017 and a record low of -0.686 % in Jan 2015. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Consumer Price Index (CPI): sa: MoM data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.I007: Consumer Price Index: Urban: sa: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Consumer Price Index (CPI): saar: QoQ data was reported at 1.768 % in Dec 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.133 % for Sep 2018. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Consumer Price Index (CPI): saar: QoQ data is updated quarterly, averaging 1.747 % from Sep 2013 (Median) to Dec 2018, with 22 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.574 % in Dec 2017 and a record low of -2.913 % in Mar 2015. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Consumer Price Index (CPI): saar: QoQ data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I007: Consumer Price Index: Urban: sa: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.

United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): saar: QoQ data was reported at 2.013 % in Dec 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.111 % for Sep 2018. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): saar: QoQ data is updated quarterly, averaging 1.954 % from Sep 2013 (Median) to Dec 2018, with 22 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.924 % in Mar 2018 and a record low of 0.595 % in Jun 2017. United States FRB Cleveland Forecast: Inflation Nowcast: Core Consumer Price Index (CPI): saar: QoQ data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I007: Consumer Price Index: Urban: sa: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

United States Retail Sales Nowcast: sa: YoY: Contribution: Inflation Nowcast: FRB Cleveland Forecast: Evolution: PCEPI: Inflation Nowcast: PCE: saar: QoQ data was reported at 0.000 % in 12 May 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 0.000 % for 05 May 2025. United States Retail Sales Nowcast: sa: YoY: Contribution: Inflation Nowcast: FRB Cleveland Forecast: Evolution: PCEPI: Inflation Nowcast: PCE: saar: QoQ data is updated weekly, averaging 0.073 % from Feb 2020 (Median) to 12 May 2025, with 274 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.432 % in 17 Jun 2024 and a record low of 0.000 % in 12 May 2025. United States Retail Sales Nowcast: sa: YoY: Contribution: Inflation Nowcast: FRB Cleveland Forecast: Evolution: PCEPI: Inflation Nowcast: PCE: saar: QoQ data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.CEIC.NC: CEIC Nowcast: Retail Sales.

United States FRB Cleveland: PCE Price Index: Inflation Nowcast: Core PCE: sa: MoM data was reported at 0.162 % in Jul 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.141 % for Jun 2018. United States FRB Cleveland: PCE Price Index: Inflation Nowcast: Core PCE: sa: MoM data is updated monthly, averaging 0.121 % from Jul 2013 (Median) to Jul 2018, with 61 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.326 % in Jan 2018 and a record low of -0.108 % in Mar 2017. United States FRB Cleveland: PCE Price Index: Inflation Nowcast: Core PCE: sa: MoM data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.A056: NIPA 2013: PCE Chained Type Price Index: 2009=100: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

United States FRB Cleveland: PCE Price Index: Inflation Nowcast: Core PCE: YoY data was reported at 2.030 % in Jul 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.963 % for Jun 2018. United States FRB Cleveland: PCE Price Index: Inflation Nowcast: Core PCE: YoY data is updated monthly, averaging 1.414 % from Jul 2013 (Median) to Jul 2018, with 61 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.030 % in Jul 2018 and a record low of 1.054 % in Jan 2014. United States FRB Cleveland: PCE Price Index: Inflation Nowcast: Core PCE: YoY data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.A056: NIPA 2013: PCE Chained Type Price Index: 2009=100: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

United States FRB Cleveland: PCE Price Index: Inflation Nowcast: PCE: saar: QoQ data was reported at 1.972 % in Sep 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 1.975 % for Jun 2018. United States FRB Cleveland: PCE Price Index: Inflation Nowcast: PCE: saar: QoQ data is updated quarterly, averaging 1.500 % from Sep 2013 (Median) to Sep 2018, with 21 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.747 % in Dec 2017 and a record low of -1.860 % in Mar 2015. United States FRB Cleveland: PCE Price Index: Inflation Nowcast: PCE: saar: QoQ data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.A056: NIPA 2013: PCE Chained Type Price Index: 2009=100: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

United States FRB Cleveland: PCE Price Index: Infla Nowcast: Core PCE: saar: QoQ data was reported at 2.003 % in Sep 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.125 % for Jun 2018. United States FRB Cleveland: PCE Price Index: Infla Nowcast: Core PCE: saar: QoQ data is updated quarterly, averaging 1.518 % from Sep 2013 (Median) to Sep 2018, with 21 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.529 % in Mar 2018 and a record low of 0.706 % in Jun 2017. United States FRB Cleveland: PCE Price Index: Infla Nowcast: Core PCE: saar: QoQ data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.A056: NIPA 2013: PCE Chained Type Price Index: 2009=100: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

FRB克利夫兰预报：通货膨胀临近预报：居民消费价格指数：季节性调整后：月度环比在11-01-2018达0.154%，相较于10-01-2018的0.291%有所下降。FRB克利夫兰预报：通货膨胀临近预报：居民消费价格指数：季节性调整后：月度环比数据按月更新，08-01-2013至11-01-2018期间平均值为0.147%，共64份观测结果。该数据的历史最高值出现于09-01-2017，达0.572%，而历史最低值则出现于01-01-2015，为-0.686%。CEIC提供的FRB克利夫兰预报：通货膨胀临近预报：居民消费价格指数：季节性调整后：月度环比数据处于定期更新的状态，数据来源于Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland，数据归类于Global Database的美国 – 表 US.I007：居民消费价格指数：城镇：季节性调整后：预测：克利夫兰市联邦储备银行。

FRB克利夫兰预报：PCE PI：通货膨胀临近预报：核心个人消费支出：季节性调整后：月度同比在07-01-2018达0.162%，相较于06-01-2018的0.141%有所增长。FRB克利夫兰预报：PCE PI：通货膨胀临近预报：核心个人消费支出：季节性调整后：月度同比数据按月更新，07-01-2013至07-01-2018期间平均值为0.121%，共61份观测结果。该数据的历史最高值出现于01-01-2018，达0.326%，而历史最低值则出现于03-01-2017，为-0.108%。CEIC提供的FRB克利夫兰预报：PCE PI：通货膨胀临近预报：核心个人消费支出：季节性调整后：月度同比数据处于定期更新的状态，数据来源于Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland，数据归类于Global Database的美国 – 表 US.A056：国民收入和国民产值账户 2013：PCE Chained Type Price Index：2009=100：预测：克利夫兰市联邦储备银行。

FRB克利夫兰预报：PCE PI：Infla Nowcast：核心个人消费支出：按年率季节性调整后：季度同比在09-01-2018达2.003%，相较于06-01-2018的2.125%有所下降。FRB克利夫兰预报：PCE PI：Infla Nowcast：核心个人消费支出：按年率季节性调整后：季度同比数据按季更新，09-01-2013至09-01-2018期间平均值为1.518%，共21份观测结果。该数据的历史最高值出现于03-01-2018，达2.529%，而历史最低值则出现于06-01-2017，为0.706%。CEIC提供的FRB克利夫兰预报：PCE PI：Infla Nowcast：核心个人消费支出：按年率季节性调整后：季度同比数据处于定期更新的状态，数据来源于Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland，数据归类于Global Database的美国 – 表 US.A056：国民收入和国民产值账户 2013：PCE Chained Type Price Index：2009=100：预测：克利夫兰市联邦储备银行。