This dataset includes processed climate change datasets related to climatology, hydrology, and water operations. The climatological data provided are change factors for precipitation and reference evapotranspiration gridded over the entire State. The hydrological data provided are projected stream inflows for major streams in the Central Valley, and streamflow change factors for areas outside of the Central Valley and smaller ungaged watersheds within the Central Valley. The water operations data provided are Central Valley reservoir outflows, diversions, and State Water Project (SWP) and Central Valley Project (CVP) water deliveries and select streamflow data. Most of the Central Valley inflows and all of the water operations data were simulated using the CalSim II model and produced for all projections.
These data were originally developed for the California Water Commission’s Water Storage Investment Program (WSIP). The WSIP data used as the basis for these climate change resources along with the technical reference document are located here: https://data.cnra.ca.gov/dataset/climate-change-projections-wsip-2030-2070. Additional processing steps were performed to improve user experience, ease of use for GSP development, and for Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) implementation. Furthermore, the data, tools, and guidance may be useful for purposes other than sustainable groundwater management under SGMA.
Data are provided for projected climate conditions centered around 2030 and 2070. The climate projections are provided for these two future climate periods, and include one scenario for 2030 and three scenarios for 2070: a 2030 central tendency, a 2070 central tendency, and two 2070 extreme scenarios (i.e., one drier with extreme warming and one wetter with moderate warming). The climate scenario development process represents a climate period analysis where historical interannual variability from January 1915 through December 2011 is preserved while the magnitude of events may be increased or decreased based on projected changes in precipitation and air temperature from general circulation models.
DWR has collaborated with Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory to improve the quality of the 2070 extreme scenarios. The 2070 extreme scenario update utilizes an improved climate period analysis method known as "quantile delta mapping" to better capture the GCM-projected change in temperature and precipitation. A technical note on the background and results of this process is provided here: https://data.cnra.ca.gov/dataset/extreme-climate-change-scenarios-for-water-supply-planning/resource/f2e1c61a-4946-4863-825f-e6d516b433ed.
Note: the original version of the 2070 extreme scenarios can be accessed in the archive posted here: https://data.cnra.ca.gov/dataset/sgma-climate-change-resources/resource/51b6ee27-4f78-4226-8429-86c3a85046f4
The Reddit Climate Change Dataset is a dataset of 620K Reddit posts and 4.6M comments - all mentions of the terms "climate" and "change" until 2022-09-01 across the entire Reddit social network. Both were procured with SocialGrep's export feature and released as part of SocialGrep Reddit datasets. The posts are labeled with their subreddit, title, creation date, domain, selftext, and score. The comments are labeled with their subreddit, body, creation date, sentiment (calculated for you using a VADER pipeline), and score.
The table Global Temperatures by Country is part of the dataset Climate Change: Earth Surface Temperature Data, available at https://columbia.redivis.com/datasets/1e0a-f4931vvyg. It contains 577462 rows across 4 variables.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
A complete description of the dataset is given by Jones et al. (2023). Key information is provided below.
Background
A dataset describing the global warming response to national emissions CO2, CH4 and N2O from fossil and land use sources during 1851-2021.
National CO2 emissions data are collated from the Global Carbon Project (Andrew and Peters, 2024; Friedlingstein et al., 2024).
National CH4 and N2O emissions data are collated from PRIMAP-hist (HISTTP) (Gütschow et al., 2024).
We construct a time series of cumulative CO2-equivalent emissions for each country, gas, and emissions source (fossil or land use). Emissions of CH4 and N2O emissions are related to cumulative CO2-equivalent emissions using the Global Warming Potential (GWP*) approach, with best-estimates of the coefficients taken from the IPCC AR6 (Forster et al., 2021).
Warming in response to cumulative CO2-equivalent emissions is estimated using the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions (TCRE) approach, with best-estimate value of TCRE taken from the IPCC AR6 (Forster et al., 2021, Canadell et al., 2021). 'Warming' is specifically the change in global mean surface temperature (GMST).
The data files provide emissions, cumulative emissions and the GMST response by country, gas (CO2, CH4, N2O or 3-GHG total) and source (fossil emissions, land use emissions or the total).
Data records: overview
The data records include three comma separated values (.csv) files as described below.
All files are in ‘long’ format with one value provided in the Data column for each combination of the categorical variables Year, Country Name, Country ISO3 code, Gas, and Component columns.
Component specifies fossil emissions, LULUCF emissions or total emissions of the gas.
Gas specifies CO2, CH4, N2O or the three-gas total (labelled 3-GHG).
Country ISO3 codes are specifically the unique ISO 3166-1 alpha-3 codes of each country.
Data records: specifics
Data are provided relative to 2 reference years (denoted ref_year below): 1850 and 1991. 1850 is a mutual first year of data spanning all input datasets. 1991 is relevant because the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change was operationalised in 1992.
EMISSIONS_ANNUAL_{ref_year-20}-2023.csv: Data includes annual emissions of CO2 (Pg CO2 year-1), CH4 (Tg CH4 year-1) and N2O (Tg N2O year-1) during the period ref_year-20 to 2023. The Data column provides values for every combination of the categorical variables. Data are provided from ref_year-20 because these data are required to calculate GWP* for CH4.
EMISSIONS_CUMULATIVE_CO2e100_{ref_year+1}-2023.csv: Data includes the cumulative CO2 equivalent emissions in units Pg CO2-e100 during the period ref_year+1 to 2023 (i.e. since the reference year). The Data column provides values for every combination of the categorical variables.
GMST_response_{ref_year+1}-2023.csv: Data includes the change in global mean surface temperature (GMST) due to emissions of the three gases in units °C during the period ref_year+1 to 2023 (i.e. since the reference year). The Data column provides values for every combination of the categorical variables.
Accompanying Code
Code is available at: https://github.com/jonesmattw/National_Warming_Contributions .
The code requires Input.zip to run (see README at the GitHub link).
Further info: Country Groupings
We also provide estimates of the contributions of various country groupings as defined by the UNFCCC:
And other country groupings:
See COUNTRY_GROUPINGS.xlsx for the lists of countries in each group.
Compilation of Earth Surface temperatures historical. Source: https://www.kaggle.com/berkeleyearth/climate-change-earth-surface-temperature-data
Data compiled by the Berkeley Earth project, which is affiliated with Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. The Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature Study combines 1.6 billion temperature reports from 16 pre-existing archives. It is nicely packaged and allows for slicing into interesting subsets (for example by country). They publish the source data and the code for the transformations they applied. They also use methods that allow weather observations from shorter time series to be included, meaning fewer observations need to be thrown away.
In this dataset, we have include several files:
Global Land and Ocean-and-Land Temperatures (GlobalTemperatures.csv):
%3C!-- --%3E
%3C!-- --%3E
%3C!-- --%3E
%3C!-- --%3E
%3C!-- --%3E
%3C!-- --%3E
%3C!-- --%3E
%3C!-- --%3E
%3C!-- --%3E
**Other files include: **
%3C!-- --%3E
%3C!-- --%3E
%3C!-- --%3E
%3C!-- --%3E
The raw data comes from the Berkeley Earth data page.
The preferred citation when using this dataset is: Stevens, A., & Lamie, C., Eds. (2024). New York State Climate Impacts Assessment: Understanding and preparing for our changing climate. The New York State Climate Impacts Assessment is an investigation into how climate change will affect New York State’s communities, ecosystems, and economy. The data and information presented will help New Yorkers plan and prepare for the impacts of climate change. The assessment also strives to show how addressing climate change provides opportunities to enhance equity and reduce the vulnerability of those most at risk. As part of the assessment, Columbia University developed climate change projections for temperature and precipitation, extreme events, degree days, and sea level rise, downscaled to 12 regions of New York State. This dataset includes those projections of future climate conditions in New York State, for the 2030s through 2100. For more information on these projections or to read the full NYS Climate Impacts Assessment, visit the assessment website at https://nysclimateimpacts.org/. The New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) offers objective information and analysis, innovative programs, technical expertise, and support to help New Yorkers increase energy efficiency, save money, use renewable energy, accelerate economic growth, and reduce reliance on fossil fuels. To learn more about NYSERDA’s programs, visit nyserda.ny.gov or follow us on Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, or Instagram.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
Climate change, that is a threat to ecosystems and the livelihoods of those that depend on them, is increasingly manifesting as an increased frequency and intensity of severe weather events such as droughts and floods (Déqué et al., 2017). Climate change has created an urgent need for early warning aids or models to enhance the sub-Saharan African health systems ability to prepare for, and cope with escalations in treatment needs of climate sensitive diseases (Nhamo & Muchuru, 2019). This dataset was created from the health and weather data of nine purposively selected study districts in Uganda, whose health and weather data were available for the development of an early warning health model (https://github.com/CHAIUGA/chasa-model) and an accompanying prediction web app (https://github.com/CHAIUGA/chasa-webapp). The districts were selected based on the following criteria: (a) were experiencing climate change and variability, (b) represented different climatologic, and agro-ecological zones, (c) availability of climate information and health information from a health facility within a 40 kilometres radius of a functional weather station. Historical weather data was retrieved from the Uganda National Meteorological Association databases, as monthly averages. The weather variables in this data included: atmospheric pressure, rainfall, solar radiation, humidity, temperature (maximum, minimum and mean), and wind (gusts and average wind speed). The monthly health aggregated data for the period starting September 2018 to December 2019, was retrieved from the National Health Repository (DHIS2) for referral hospitals within the selected districts. Only data for a selection of climate-sensitive disease aggregates was obtained. The dataset contains 436 complete matched disease and weather records. Ethical issues: Both the de-identified aggregate monthly disease diagnosis count data and weather data in this dataset are from national data available to the public on request.
https://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/licences/specific_licences/esacci_sst_terms_and_conditions_v2.pdfhttps://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/licences/specific_licences/esacci_sst_terms_and_conditions_v2.pdf
This v2.1 SST_cci Climatology Data Record (CDR) consists of Level 4 daily climatology files gridded on a 0.05 degree grid.
The dataset has been produced as part of the European Space Agency (ESA) Climate Change Initiative Sea Surface Temperature project(ESA SST_cci). The data products from SST_cci accurately map the surface temperature of the global oceans over the period 1981 to 2016 using observations from many satellites. The data provide independently quantified SSTs to a quality suitable for climate research.
Data are made freely and openly available under a Creative Commons License by Attribution (CC By 4.0) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ .
When citing this dataset please also cite the associated data paper: Merchant, C.J., Embury, O., Bulgin, C.E., Block T., Corlett, G.K., Fiedler, E., Good, S.A., Mittaz, J., Rayner, N.A., Berry, D., Eastwood, S., Taylor, M., Tsushima, Y., Waterfall, A., Wilson, R., Donlon, C. Satellite-based time-series of sea-surface temperature since 1981 for climate applications, Scientific Data 6:223 (2019). http://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-019-0236-x
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
To aid applicants with quantification and monetization of benefits of proposed water storage projects per Chapter 8 of Proposition 1 (Water Code section 79750 et. seq.), the California Water Commission (Commission) developed a Technical Reference which was released in August 2016.
These data and model products are companion information to the Technical Reference and were developed to assist applicants for funding under the Water Storage Investment Program (WSIP). The WSIP required applicants for public funding to analyze their proposed projects using climate and sea level conditions for California projected at years 2030 and 2070.
The data and model products were developed for the following climate and sea level conditions:
Without-Project 2030 Future Conditions – Year 2030 future condition with projected climate and sea level conditions for a thirty-year period centered at 2030 (climate period 2016-2045)
Without-Project 2070 Future Conditions – Year 2070 future condition with projected climate and sea level conditions for a thirty-year period centered at 2070 (climate period 2056-2085)
1995 Historical Temperature-detrended Conditions (reference) – Year 1995 historical condition with climate and sea level conditions for a thirty-year period centered at 1995 (reference climate period 1981-2010)
The California Water Commission consists of nine members appointed by the Governor and confirmed by the State Senate. Seven members are chosen for their expertise related to the control, storage, and beneficial use of water and two are chosen for their knowledge of the environment. The Commission provides a public forum for discussing water issues, advises the Director of the Department of Water Resources on matters within the Department’s jurisdiction, approves rules and regulations, and monitors and reports on the construction and operation of the State Water Project. Proposition 1: The Water Quality, Supply, and Infrastructure Improvement Act approved by voters in 2014, gave the Commission new responsibilities regarding the distribution of public funds set aside for the public benefits of water storage projects, and developing regulations for the quantification and management of those benefits. In 2018, the Commission approved maximum conditional funding amounts for eight projects in the Water Storage Investment Program.
Open Database License (ODbL) v1.0https://www.opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1.0/
License information was derived automatically
CCKP provides open access to a comprehensive suite of climate and climate change resources derived from the latest generation of climate data archives. Products are based on a consistent and transparent approach with a systematic way of pre-processing the raw observed and model-based projection data to enable inter-comparable use across a broad range of applications. Climate products consist of basic climate variables as well as a large collection (70+) of more specialized, application-orientated variables and indices across different scenarios. Precomputed data can be extracted per specified variables, select timeframes, climate projection scenarios, across ensembles or individual models, etc. CCKP adheres to data distributions standards defined under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) and its contributions to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Reports and latest scientific methodologies identified by the World Meteorological Organization and climate science community. Climate products are available for the following collections. Downscaled CMIP6 global 0.25-degree – 1950-2100; ERA5 global 0.25-degree – 1950-2022; CRU global 0.50-degree – 1901-2022; Population global 0.25-degree – 1995-2100 (GPW v4).
Temperature and precipitation projections for NYC reported by the New York City Panel on Climate Change (NPCC).
The New York City Panel on Climate Change (NPCC) started in 2009 and was codified in Local Law 42 of 2012 with a mandate to provide an authoritative and actionable source of scientific information on future climate change and its potential impacts.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is the United Nations body for assessing the science related to climate change.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
This repository contains materials associated with a project which explores appeals to expertise by climate scientists in hearings before Congress. These materials include plain text files in UTF-7 and ASCII format of testimonies by individual scientists in hearings from 1985-2013 as well as meta-data about each of the hearings and scientific witnesses in the corpus.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
Analysis of ‘Climate Change Dataset’ provided by Analyst-2 (analyst-2.ai), based on source dataset retrieved from https://www.kaggle.com/yamqwe/climate-change-datae on 28 January 2022.
--- Dataset description provided by original source is as follows ---
Data from World Development Indicators and Climate Change Knowledge Portal on climate systems, exposure to climate impacts, resilience, greenhouse gas emissions, and energy use.
In addition to the data available here and through the Climate Data API, the Climate Change Knowledge Portal has a web interface to a collection of water indicators that may be used to assess the impact of climate change across over 8,000 water basins worldwide. You may use the web interface to download the data for any of these basins.
Here is how to navigate to the water data:
- Go to the Climate Change Knowledge Portal home page (http://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/)
- Click any region on the map Click a country In the navigation menu
- Click "Impacts" and then "Water" Click the map to select a specific water basin
- Click "Click here to get access to data and indicators" Please be sure to observe the disclaimers on the website regarding uncertainties and use of the water data.
Attribution: Climate Change Data, World Bank Group.
World Bank Data Catalog Terms of Use
Source: http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/climate-change
This dataset was created by World Bank and contains around 10000 samples along with 2009, 1993, technical information and other features such as: - 1994 - Series Code - and more.
- Analyze 1995 in relation to Scale
- Study the influence of 1998 on Country Code
- More datasets
If you use this dataset in your research, please credit World Bank
--- Original source retains full ownership of the source dataset ---
https://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/licences/specific_licences/esacci_sst_terms_and_conditions_v2.pdfhttps://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/licences/specific_licences/esacci_sst_terms_and_conditions_v2.pdf
This v2.1 SST_cci Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Level 2 Preprocessed (L2P) Climate Data Record (CDR) consists of stable, low-bias sea surface temperature (SST) data from the AVHRR series of satellite instruments. It covers the period between 08/1981 and 12/2016. This L2P product provides these SST data on the original satellite swath with a single orbit of data per file.
The dataset has been produced as part of the European Space Agency (ESA) Climate Change Initiative Sea Surface Temperature project(ESA SST_cci). The data products from SST_cci accurately map the surface temperature of the global oceans over the period 1981 to 2016 using observations from many satellites. The data provide independently quantified SSTs to a quality suitable for climate research.
This CDR Version 2.1 product supercedes the CDR Version 2.0 product. Data are made freely and openly available under a Creative Commons License by Attribution (CC By 4.0) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ .
When citing this dataset please also cite the associated data paper: Merchant, C.J., Embury, O., Bulgin, C.E., Block T., Corlett, G.K., Fiedler, E., Good, S.A., Mittaz, J., Rayner, N.A., Berry, D., Eastwood, S., Taylor, M., Tsushima, Y., Waterfall, A., Wilson, R., Donlon, C. Satellite-based time-series of sea-surface temperature since 1981 for climate applications, Scientific Data 6:223 (2019). http://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-019-0236-x
surface water data and projections produced for 32 sites in the central US. Surface water data consists of open and vegetated surface water 2 week averages from 2017-2021. This dataset is associated with the following publication: Vanderhoof, M., J. Christensen, L. Alexander, C. Lane, and H. Golden. Climate Change Will Impact Surface Water Extents and Dynamics Across the Central United States. Earth�s Future. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, NJ, USA, 12(2): e2023EF004106, (2024).
Climate change is viewed as a major concern globally, with around 90 percent of respondents to a 2023 survey viewing it as a serious threat to humanity. developing nations often show the highest levels of concern, like in the Philippines where 96.7 percent of respondents acknowledge it as a serious threat. Rising emissions despite growing awareness Despite widespread acknowledgment of climate change, global greenhouse gas emissions continue to climb. In 2023, emissions reached a record high of 53 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent, marking a 60 percent increase since 1990. The power industry remains the largest contributor, responsible for 28 percent of global emissions. This ongoing rise in emissions has significant implications for global climate patterns and environmental stability. Temperature anomalies reflect warming trend In 2024, the global land and ocean surface temperature anomaly reached 1.29 degrees Celsius above the 20th-century average, the highest recorded deviation to date. This consistent pattern of positive temperature anomalies, observed since the 1980s, highlights the long-term warming effect of increased greenhouse gas accumulation in the atmosphere. The warmest years on record have all occurred within the past decade.
Evaluating multiple signals of climate change across the conterminous United States during three 30-year periods (2010�2039, 2040�2069, 2070�2099) during this century to a baseline period (1980�2009) emphasizes potential changes for growing degree days (GDD), plant hardiness zones (PHZ), and heat zones. These indices were derived using the CCSM4 and GFDL CM3 models under the representative concentration pathways 4.5 and 8.5, respectively, and included in Matthews et al. (2018). Daily temperature was downscaled by Maurer et al. (https://doi.org/10.1029/2007EO470006) at a 1/8 degree grid scale and used to obtain growing degree days, plant hardiness zones, and heat zones. Each of these indices provides unique information about plant health related to changes in climatic conditions that influence establishment, growth, and survival. These data and the calculated changes are provided as 14 individual IMG files for each index to assist with management planning and decision making into the future. For each of the four indices the following are included: two baseline files (1980�2009), three files representing 30-year periods for the scenario CCSM4 under RCP 4.5 along with three files of changes, and three files representing 30-year periods for the scenario GFDL CM3 under RCP 8.5 along with three files of changes.Heat zones map the distribution of potential heat stress for plants and animals, including humans. We define heat zones as the number of days with maximum daily temperature >30 �C (86 �F). Because species have unique adaptations and abilities to tolerate a wide variety of conditions, this metric is used merely as an indicator of change in �hot� conditions. The 30 �C value is set primarily for agricultural production and is a general temperature threshold at which photosynthesis can be negatively impacted for C3 plants (e.g., most species including trees), but it certainly also captures temperatures that induce stress in humans as well. In addition, increases in temperature above these thresholds for longer periods, especially when accompanied with prolonged dry conditions, are linked to reduced performance and likely mortality of trees. Each day surpassing the 30 �C threshold was tallied and summed for each year and reported as the mean number of days, per year, over each 30-year period: baseline, early, mid, and late century.�Original data and associated metadata can be downloaded from this website:�https://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2019-0001
The Vegetation/Ecosystem Modeling and Analysis Project (VEMAP) Phase 2 has developed a number of transient climate change scenarios based on coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) transient climate experiments. The purpose of these scenarios is to reflect time-dependent changes in surface climate from AOGCMs in terms of both (1) long-term trends and (2) changes in multiyear (3-5 yr) to decadal variability patterns, such as El Nino/Southern Oscillation(ENSO). Development of the data set is reported in Kittel et al. (1997). Scenarios have been derived from transient greenhouse gas experiments with sulfate aerosols from the Canadian Climate Center (CCC) and the Hadley Centre (HADCM2; Mitchell et al. 1995, Johns et al. 1997) accessed via the Climate Impacts LINK Project, Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia. Scenarios were developed for the following variables: total incident solar radiation, minimum and maximum temperature, vapor pressure, precipitation, relative humidity and mean daily irradiance for the time periods January 1994 to approximately 2100. These data and the VEMAP 1 data (Kittel et al. 1995) were used to drive models in VEMAP Phase 2, the objectives of which are to compare time-dependent ecological responses of biogeochemical and coupled biogeochemical-biogeographical models to historical and projected transient forcings across the conterminous U.S. This data set of daily climate change scenarios was designed to be concatenated with the /VEMAP/vemap.html">VEMAP 2: U.S. Daily Climate, 1895-1993, Version 2 data set to create a single climate series from 1895 - ~2100. This data set is being made available for the U.S. National Assessment. Users are requested to confer with the NCAR VEMAP Data Group to ensure that the intended application of the data set is consistent with the generation and limitations of the data. For more information, refer to the VEMAP homepage. Data Citation The data set should be cited as follows: Kittel, T. G. F., N. A. Rosenbloom, C. Kaufman, J. A. Royle, C. Daly, H. H. Fisher, W. P. Gibson, S. Aulenbach, R. McKeown, D. S. Schimel, and VEMAP 2 Participants. 2000. VEMAP 2: U. S. Daily Climate Change Scenarios. Available on-line from Oak Ridge National Laboratory Distributed Active Archive Center, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, U.S.A.
The Potential Impacts of Climate Change on World Food Supply: Datasets from a Major Crop Modeling Study contain projected country and regional changes in grain crop yields due to global climate change. Equilibrium and transient scenarios output from General Circulation Models (GCMs) with three levels of farmer adaptations to climate change were utilized to generate crop yield estimates of wheat, rice, coarse grains (barley and maize), and protein feed (soybean) at 125 agricultural sites representing major world agricultural regions. Projected yields at the agricultural sites were aggregated to major trading regions, and fed into the Basic Linked Systems (BLS) global trade model to produce country and regional estimates of potential price increases, food shortages, and risk of hunger. These datasets are produced by the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) and are distributed by the Columbia University Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN).
TRCA Climate Change Projections under RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 (1971-2100)
These datasets represent future climate change projections for TRCA. The summary information can be used by various audiences to better understand the climate trends expected to be seen within TRCA by the end of the century. It is also anticipated that the data will be used to inform various adaptation initiatives across the TRCA jurisdiction.
"For the RCP8.5 tabs and the TRCA Baseline tab, Column A represents the climate parameters. Columns C-R represent the individual climate models. Column S is the overall ensemble average of all the climate models. Columns T and U represent the 10th and 90th Percentiles respectively.
This dataset includes processed climate change datasets related to climatology, hydrology, and water operations. The climatological data provided are change factors for precipitation and reference evapotranspiration gridded over the entire State. The hydrological data provided are projected stream inflows for major streams in the Central Valley, and streamflow change factors for areas outside of the Central Valley and smaller ungaged watersheds within the Central Valley. The water operations data provided are Central Valley reservoir outflows, diversions, and State Water Project (SWP) and Central Valley Project (CVP) water deliveries and select streamflow data. Most of the Central Valley inflows and all of the water operations data were simulated using the CalSim II model and produced for all projections.
These data were originally developed for the California Water Commission’s Water Storage Investment Program (WSIP). The WSIP data used as the basis for these climate change resources along with the technical reference document are located here: https://data.cnra.ca.gov/dataset/climate-change-projections-wsip-2030-2070. Additional processing steps were performed to improve user experience, ease of use for GSP development, and for Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) implementation. Furthermore, the data, tools, and guidance may be useful for purposes other than sustainable groundwater management under SGMA.
Data are provided for projected climate conditions centered around 2030 and 2070. The climate projections are provided for these two future climate periods, and include one scenario for 2030 and three scenarios for 2070: a 2030 central tendency, a 2070 central tendency, and two 2070 extreme scenarios (i.e., one drier with extreme warming and one wetter with moderate warming). The climate scenario development process represents a climate period analysis where historical interannual variability from January 1915 through December 2011 is preserved while the magnitude of events may be increased or decreased based on projected changes in precipitation and air temperature from general circulation models.
DWR has collaborated with Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory to improve the quality of the 2070 extreme scenarios. The 2070 extreme scenario update utilizes an improved climate period analysis method known as "quantile delta mapping" to better capture the GCM-projected change in temperature and precipitation. A technical note on the background and results of this process is provided here: https://data.cnra.ca.gov/dataset/extreme-climate-change-scenarios-for-water-supply-planning/resource/f2e1c61a-4946-4863-825f-e6d516b433ed.
Note: the original version of the 2070 extreme scenarios can be accessed in the archive posted here: https://data.cnra.ca.gov/dataset/sgma-climate-change-resources/resource/51b6ee27-4f78-4226-8429-86c3a85046f4